I provide a weather email service for people in MD. I am a storm chaser & Skywarn spotter. For daily weather tidbits follow me on Twitter: @wxmanMD.
By: cws6196, 4:56 AM GMT on November 30, 2007
I have analyzed the model data, read reports from various sources, and I conclude what I have been saying: this is not a major event for Central MD. It appears the Low has slowed, thus allowing for more warm air to enter our area. Given the cloud cover which will begin Saturday, it will insulate the area from severely dropping temps.
At this time it appears most of us will begin to see precip in the early morning hours of Sunday. For those on the MD/PA border, the temps will be cooler and more of a chance for actual snow. But for the rest, it looks to be a rain event most of the day Sunday, yet, beginning as sleet. The precip amounts are not hefty for this area, so "even if" it were a snow event, we would be looking at no more then 1" or so.
Please note though that on Monday we are in for some very windy weather, with winds upwards of 20 mph and more.
By: cws6196, 4:02 PM GMT on November 28, 2007
It is still too far out for me to feel comfortable with any forecast, but, a look at the data right now does show we will see precip this weekend. Of course the question remains as to what kind. Right now it looks to be late Saturday night it will start as freezing rain and turn to rain or a mix with snow.
I know this is not a definitive forecast, yet the timing and the ability for the cold air to be pushed out will make all the difference. Right now "if" we see snow it should not be much more then an inch. Of course as we get closer this is all subject to change.
By: cws6196, 8:42 PM GMT on November 27, 2007
Below is an article posted on Marylandweather.com. This is a re-post from Accuweather regarding a strong winter system forming off the coast and effecting us this weekend.
Keep this in mind: this is many days away; the local NWS doesn't yet see it; historically, Accuweather over-predicts snow.
I mention this at all mainly because a few of the local media outlets get their weather from Accuweather and so may start talking about snow for the weekend. I will keep an eye on this and will keep you posted best I can.
Today, November 27, 2007 | Frank Roylance
Might there be some snow in the air this weekend? AccuWeather's extreme weather blogger Henry Margusity thinks so. He's looking at a fairly intense storm brewing in the Rockies and predicting it will become a strong coastal storm by this weekend. He thinks it will barrel up the East Coast, knock into some pretty cold entrenched air here and drop some snow and ice on the mid-Atlantic on Sunday before everything changes to rain.
If he's right, it would be the first significant winter storm of the season. It would also reinforce some of the seasonal forecasts that predicted most of our wintry weather this year would come in December, to be followed by a very mild "La Nina" January and February.
If he's wrong, it would provide brickbats for those who see Margusity as a conduit for winter weather scares and hype, of the sort that boosts online traffic counts. And here I am, contributing to that.
Anyway, he says he'll be posting a snow map forecast at 8:30 tonight. We'll just have to wait and see how well he does with it.
In the meantime, our NWS forecasters out at Sterling, Va., looking at the same model pedictions, think the storm will move up the Ohio Valley rather than reforming offshore and coming up the coast. That would give us warmer temperatures. They see rain falling on Sunday, after an overnight low of 28. They're posting only "snow showers" for Sunday night. The chances for either rain or snow are put at 50 percent.
CapitalWeather.com has this take on the snow threat, which they give only a 20 percent shot: "Minor Event -- Some accumulation. Untreated roads hazardous, slick spots possible on treated roads during heavy precipitation. (Winter weather advisory criteria, dusting to two inches)"
Everybody is looking for sharply colder weather later next week.
By: cws6196, 4:39 AM GMT on November 21, 2007
May you and your loved ones have a very peace-filled and Blessed Thanksgiving! There is so much for which to be thankful.
By: cws6196, 6:13 PM GMT on November 08, 2007
That "S" word has been heard in some forecasts for this area. And no matter how much I wish it to be true, the reality is, no snow for us.
Tomorrow afternoon into the evening will see precip (rain) and falling temps. Depending how low the temps drop will determine if the precip freezes. At this time I see those N and W of Baltimore with the best chance for either ice or light snow. Either way, with the temps of the day and the heat of the ground, there will be no accumulation.