Fall 2010

By: crowe1 , 12:54 PM GMT on September 29, 2010

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Well, it's that time again. Time to start think warm thoughts and preparing for all of the snowy goodness to come!
According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center,Link. Temps are forecast to stay a bit above normal for Oct then start to get back to near normal. We may see temperatures falling below normal for the second half of winter when the chances for above normal precipitation increase as well, great news for us snow lovers.
For a great analysis, check out Bizzard92's blog. Link
I will update as time and info dictate.

Eastern Region Watches, Warnings and Advisories

Northeast Radar


Water Vapor(click for loop):


-This is a link to the Albany CSTAR site, great short term models:


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315. LettyS
7:58 PM GMT on December 21, 2010
Hi guys - my husband and I got to see the eclipse last night. It conveniently occured in such a position that we could watch it through our skylight in the living room! Nice and warm and comfy. :-)

So it sounds like another storm might be coming our way this weekend. If so, my husband I will be snowed in at my mom's in MA. I better bring wine. ;-)
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314. originalLT
7:23 PM GMT on December 21, 2010
Listener, were you able to see the eclipse? I slept through it. It was so cold and windy down here by me. I did not want to get up and go outside.
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313. listenerVT
8:50 AM GMT on December 21, 2010
Courtesy of my marine biologist niece, Dianna, on the coast of South Carolina tonight...

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312. listenerVT
6:27 AM GMT on December 21, 2010
Quoting lazzyhazy1:
I thought the shower picked last weak?


Well, it's not at peak anymore, but during the darkest part of the eclipse the meteors will be much easier to see! Good luck everyone!
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311. lazzyhazy1
3:09 AM GMT on December 21, 2010
I thought the shower picked last weak?
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310. listenerVT
11:37 PM GMT on December 20, 2010
I will likely miss the solstice eclipse and meteor shower due to snow showers.

Still, I had my "solstice moment" on Sunday at 5:17am when I glanced out the window and thought something was on fire. It turned out to be the setting moon, low on the horizon, yellow-orange and big as a Harvest moon, setting behind some huge white pines.

http://www.livescience.com/space/etc/lunar-eclipse-winter-solstice-meteor-shower-101219.html

"It will be the first time a total lunar eclipse coincides with the winter solstice in 372 years. And on top of that, the Ursid meteor shower, normally unremarkable, could put on a bit of a show while the eclipse darkens the night sky."
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309. listenerVT
11:35 PM GMT on December 20, 2010
Thanks original! And everyone!! ♥
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308. originalLT
9:40 PM GMT on December 20, 2010
Thanks Listener, for that post, it sounded like Ally had a great time--she sure deserves it! Of course I and everyone one the Blog will be praying for negative HAMA, and clear scans.
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307. listenerVT
1:24 AM GMT on December 20, 2010
WhoooOOOOOOOOOOOooooooooo
..........==========||||||||||.................|""|
 ..........._|.The Polar ..|.|.|___|"""""""""|♥|[(<
 ..........|__Express!__|.|_.._.._.._.._.._.._||_
 ............( + )......( + )......( + )( + )( + )( + )..\
 """"""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""""

*** ♥ Ally Update! ♥ ***
Sunday, December 19, 2010 7:21 PM, EST

What a magical evening!  The Polar Express was fantastic!  Ally had so much fun.  But let me backtrack.....
Our day began with a quick visit from Grammy and Grampa on their way to Vermont.  Today was the family party in Vermont.  We were sad to miss it, but the North Pole was calling.
Just after Grammy and Grampa left we got a visit from our neighbor, and then the Christmas Bunny showed up!  (Pictures to come later in the week.)  Ally was very surprised with the Christmas Bunny, and has lots of theories about her.....
A bit after lunch we headed up to Lincoln and checked into our hotel.  Ally explored the room a bit and then was asked to lay down for her nap.  After 30 minutes of tossing and turning she confessed that she was just too exited to nap.....oh no!  Well....we decided to use our dinner voucher for late lunch/early dinner.  It was yummy.  After we ate we headed to the Hobo Railroad, for our Polar Express trip!
The trip began with a delicious cup of hot cocoa, followed by a chocolate with a center as white as snow.  We arrived at the North Pole and an elf jumped on the train looking for Ally and the other Make-A-Wish child.  We got our very own Elf Escort.  Ally was so excited she even held the Elf's (whose name was Twinkle Toes) hand.  We walked up the path to the theater at the North Pole.  There, we met the boy from the story, who is now an old man.  He read his story to us, and then Santa came!!!!  He made his way around the room, and when he got to Ally he picked her up and said, "Another angel for the tree!"  (Ally was not expecting to be picked up, and her whole body went rigid with the surprise of it all.)  After Santa was done greeting everyone he chose one boy to give the first gift of Christmas to.  The boy chose a bell from Santa's sleigh (just like in the book!).  He even asked if ALL the boys and girls could have a bell.  When we got back on the train everyone got bells and sang Christmas songs on the way back to the train station.  We even had enough time to meet the other Make-A-Wish family (who are also from Concord!).  They are super nice and we are going to try to meet up soon, as their kiddos are around Ally's age as well.
Ally had so much fun!  The Make-A-Wish organization has been great to us!  When we arrived at the hotel there was a bag with some goodies for us, plus they paid for our dinner and trip.  We are so glad that Ally was able to participate this year.  She is going to be talking about this for a long time.

(P.S. Pictures are not allowed at the North Pole, but we do have some from the train ride...coming later.) 

We get HAMA results on Wednesday.  If she is negative we head to NYC right after Christmas and stay for 2 weeks: 1 for 3f8 and 1 for scans.  If she is negative we have scans planned for DHMC between Christmas and New Years.  Scans are ALWAYS nerve-wracking...please pray for clear ones!

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306. Inyo
5:34 PM GMT on December 17, 2010
In Burlington it was snowing out of blue sky for a while. Now there are clouds, but still, i am quite confused.

I'm going to be driving quite a bit in the next few days so I'd be OK with that storm being a bust (or like Lefty said, so huge that I am forced to ditch out of everything else). Looks like a few inches in Vermont but nothing too crazy unless the storm is further west than expected.

I think it's only been above freezing at all on three days this month. Despite the lack of extreme record lows, it seems like it's been below average temperature quite consistently. Much colder than last year! On the plus side the snow isn't really melting except off of roofs, and there seems to be 5 or 6 inches in Burlington at this point (less in Middlebury). Honestly I think a lot of it is lake effect, like my weird sun snow shower.

hope Ally feels better soon!
Member Since: September 3, 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 873
305. LettyS
3:02 PM GMT on December 17, 2010
I think this storm is going to be a bust. To be honest, I'm kind of hoping it is a complete bust for the Boston area too, so that my family can meet in CT on Sunday as planned for our holiday celebration.

On the other hand if it snowed like crazy by me and I was stuck in the house, the enforced relaxation wouldn't be a bad thing. ;-)
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304. crowe1
2:47 PM GMT on December 17, 2010
Really fun link...Link

As far as totals for here, I think I'm gonna miss out on this one, like last year, but we'll see.
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303. lazzyhazy1
10:16 AM GMT on December 17, 2010
I hope Ally gets to injoy the weakend. Xmas is 7 days away I hope everyone is ready I think this is the first year I finished shopping early it feals nice. Lazzy
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302. listenerVT
4:04 AM GMT on December 17, 2010
So, what do we think of the forecast for Sunday - Monday? Please post any good links you have to models and such. Does anyone want to venture a snow totals prediction for anywhere in particular? If we all offer a little something we might get a larger picture.

Here's a starter:
http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/northeast-storm-potential_2010-12-15?page =2
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301. listenerVT
1:45 AM GMT on December 17, 2010
*** ♥ ALLY UPDATE ♥ ***

Thursday, December 16, 2010 10:08 AM, EST

Ally has a yucky cough.  We were given permission to use a cough syrup to help her sleep (even though she won't be 4 until the end of January).  It helped last night, but she has a very hard time falling asleep.  She has taken the last two days off from school.  Today she is going to school.  Please keep her in your thoughts, so that she will have enough energy for the Polar Express on Sunday.  She is soooooo excited to visit the North Pole.  Make-A-Wish is even putting us up in a hotel for the night and giving us dinner.  We are hoping the snow blows out to sea and we can have a magical evening!  I will be sure to take lots of pictures and update about our adventure.

And here's an earlier message I neglected to share. Sorry! (Catching up!)

Monday, December 13, 2010 8:07 AM, EST
We had a great weekend! On Saturday we had breakfast with some friends. Ally was very excited about her pancake with the fruit face. Later that day we went to a Christmas party. This party was put on by New Hampshire Childhood Cancer Life Line. This organization has been great. When Ally was first diagnosed they sent us a bunch of stuff in the mail, including big gift cards for local grocery shopping, a blanket and some other trinkets. They have all sorts of events, and a summer camp (that I think is free), but this is the first event we were able to attend. Ally had a blast. She decorated a gingerbread house, made an ornament and decorated a picture frame. Santa was there and Ally did a little dancing. There were not too many people there, so it was just Ally's speed. She enjoyed herself very much....you can see how much she enjoyed the cupcake in the new picture!
On Sunday we brought Ally to Grammie and Grampa's house. She had tons of fun putting together a toy train, making yummy pumpkin bread and making ornaments, while Mommy and Daddy took a few hours to go Christmas shopping and have lunch at the Taste of India in Dover (our favorite restaurant from when we lived there)!
Ally does have a nasty cough and a sometimes runny nose. Her temp has remained normal, please pray that it remains so. Daddy is home sick today too.

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300. listenerVT
5:35 PM GMT on December 15, 2010
Congratulations on completing your last final exam, Inyo!! Soon the busyness will subside and you'll have a strange feeling that you should be doing something when you needn't! Ha! It may take a few weeks to truly feel done. Meanwhile, may the rest of the tasks before you go smoothly and may you still have time to go play in the snow!

Nippy here this morning! Brrr. The snow is sifting down and is supposed to pick up a bit through the afternoon. We should have a foot or more on the ground by the time it's done. (Of course, given that we have "Chance of snow" each day for the forseeable future, I have no idea when "it's done" will be a reality!)
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299. Inyo
5:15 PM GMT on December 15, 2010
I noticed the nostril hair phenomenon in Middlebury last week before the thaw. It's cold in Burlington now but not that cold.

The final went fine, and my most stressful part of the year is over. I'm still really busy though.

There's about four inches of beautiful snow all over Burlington right now. Looks like we may get an inch or two this afternoon and evening too. I'm hoping the lake will give us an extra kick and we get 4 or 6 inches of soft snow (with low driving impact). We'll see!
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298. listenerVT
1:46 AM GMT on December 15, 2010
Thanks, original and Letty!

It's 1 degree here presently.
At this temp the hair in your nostrils freezes.
*giggle!*
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297. LettyS
7:44 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
Beautiful photos, Listener. I always enjoy seeing them. :)

Re: the potential weekend storm - NWS is holding off on making any sort of prediction, since the models are kind of nuts.

I love snowstorms, but having them on weekends during the holiday season isn't my favorite! Now during the week, so I could stay home from work...
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296. originalLT
6:38 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
Nice photos Listener. I received our first "snow" of the year, a whopping 1/2"! But at least everything is white, its pretty outside, and pretty cold for us down here. Still only about 22F now . Windy out of the NW at 10-20mph. And I hope your exam went well Inyo. The locals down here are backing -off for any weekend storm down here. I just think they don't really know yet, the models are flip-flopping all over the place!
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295. listenerVT
5:19 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
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294. listenerVT
5:05 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
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293. listenerVT
5:05 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
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292. listenerVT
5:04 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
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291. listenerVT
5:04 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
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290. listenerVT
5:02 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
TODAY:

Nine inches of Snow and counting!
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289. listenerVT
5:00 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
Here is a closer look at the flooding waters in my previous photo:
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288. listenerVT
4:59 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
I'm with you, Letty! Let it come early or wait a bit! I already postponed our family's Cookie Baking Day from last weekend to this weekend because of the high wind warning! Geesh, Mom Nature, have a heart!
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287. LettyS
4:53 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
OK everyone - there's signs there may be a big storm this weekend. I know - believe it when we see it, but something is in the air. I'm hoping this one misses us, or waits 'til the 20th. Supposed to drive to CT for my family Christmas get together on the 19th. A snowstorm would be mighty inconvenient!
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286. listenerVT
4:52 PM GMT on December 14, 2010
YESTERDAY:

The Old Red Mill at flood stage
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285. listenerVT
6:35 AM GMT on December 14, 2010
Inyo! Four of my kids went to UVM and one went to Champlain College. I've NEVER heard of a final earlier than 8:00am! How absurd! Is the campus bus service even running that time of day? I hope the sidewalks are cleared in time. Take care out in the elements!! All good luck and blessings for your final, and for the getting there.

Let us know how you fare! ♥
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284. Inyo
5:01 AM GMT on December 14, 2010
Pretty much all of the snow was gone in the Champlain Valley, but it turned back over to snow around Midday. It looks like Burlington's already had the 4 inches in the forecast, and it's still coming down. I'll bet Jericho gets quite a bit more since it usually does.

It was an absolutely beautiful walk home tonight around 9, although I was glad not to be driving. Now the wind off the lake has picked up, the snow is flying by the window, it's 17 degrees out, with a wind chill probably near zero.

I have a final tomorrow at 7:30 AM that I am NOT happy about. I don't know who authorized finals that early, especially in winter! In 7 hours I'll be trudging back up that hill in the snow and cold, and it will probably be in the mid teens and windy.

On the plus side, it may be the last final I ever have to take. If people are giving finals at 7:30 these days, it's just as well.

Anyway I'd better go to bed. Drive safe everyone! The roads are slick.
Member Since: September 3, 2002 Posts: 42 Comments: 873
283. listenerVT
11:05 PM GMT on December 13, 2010
This morning our 2 feet of snow was down to grass in most of the yard!

This afternoon we switched back over from rain to snow. We're expecting 2-6" of snow overnight,
and with temps saying cold the rest of the week, it seems to be here to stay.

Sure do miss Sully's Snow Totals maps, though!!
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282. originalLT
1:16 AM GMT on December 13, 2010
Hi everyone, I had 1.19" of rain up to 1:30pm when it stopped, we got into a dry slot, then started raining again late this afternoon. I'll check the total at midnight. Hi temp. was 54F , winds gusted up to about 30mph. The barometer has gotten down to 29.30". Now it appears to have leveled off. Still raining. LT Stamford CT.
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281. crowe1
6:48 PM GMT on December 12, 2010
No worries, Too late in the day to go now any how.
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280. listenerVT
5:55 PM GMT on December 12, 2010
Quoting crowe1:
I just might go for a hike up a 2700' mt to experience that wind!
Stay safe!


"Stay safe" backatcha crowe!!

(Remember, we can't bear to lose another blogmeister! ;-) )
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279. crowe1
5:55 PM GMT on December 12, 2010
Lazzy, I have a LaCrosse model 2315 that has served me well for 3 years. Cost about $150-200.
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278. listenerVT
5:53 PM GMT on December 12, 2010
We heard some pattering of ice against the windows this morning at 9:56am, just for a minute. It's been a rain event since, though the wind is picking up.

We probably could have gone ahead with Cookie Baking Day today. Fiddlesticks!



Lazzy ~ I don't know about those, but I'm betting someone here does. :-)
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277. crowe1
5:51 PM GMT on December 12, 2010
Gloomy day out today. We had maybe .2" of snow, about the same of sleet, enough fzr rain to be a pain, and now plain rain. We've only had .15" liquid so far.
I'm right on the edge of any real precip. Totals start to pick up quickly to the east and south of here. You folks down in the Catskills, Mid-Hudson, CT are certainly bearing the brunt of this one!

I thought this was interesting from the Albany,NY discoussion concerning the banding seen on radar: Some interesting features noted on radars over the last 2
hours...with distinct banding emanating from New Jersey...and propagating
north/northwest across the Catskills...and mainly north to north-northeast across
the middle Hudson Valley and northwest CT. Within these bands are pockets of
heavier rain...with even some lightning noted earlier across the
lower Hudson Valley. It is possible that these features are
associated with Gravity waves. At the very least...expect periods
of moderate to heavy rain as these bands move across...with some
possibility of thunder...especially across the middle Hudson Valley and northwest
CT. In addition...these bands may greatly enhance wind gusts
across higher elevations within the current High Wind Warning
area...such as the Taconics...and southern Green Mountains.

Locations just a bit higher and north of here have have a high wind warning for 70 mph gusts. Some of the gusts make mix down from here, we'll see. I just might go for a hike up a 2700' mt to experience that wind!
Stay safe!
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276. lazzyhazy1
8:15 AM GMT on December 12, 2010
Hi I am looking to get a weather station that I can go to my pc with any sugestions? frome what I have read it may eithe bea Lacross or Daviis any input would be nice thank you lazzy
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275. listenerVT
10:57 PM GMT on December 11, 2010
Quoting TheShovler3:
My total thus far and hopefully its over is 7.39" of rain according to the gauge and in the bucket outside i read a measurement of 7.5"

Its been pretty crazy with the wind lastnight branches were coming down and power went out a few times.

Hope everyone is safe.


Hallo kaaterskillfalls!! Welcome!!

Shovler was here back at Comment #20. Sure hope he returns again soon.

Come back early and often! It's going to be an exciting weekend up here, I'm thinking.

Had to postpone our Cookie Baking Day by a week due to tomorrow's forecast of sleet, then freezing rain, then rain, all with sustained winds of 20-35mph with gusts of 55-70mph!!

I sure didn't want family and friends on the roads during that mess!

Given that there is still some snow on the trees and that the soil is still soft, we could have a lot of uprooted and downed trees (any that survived the recent windstorm), and a lot of power outages...again. The crews still haven't caught up on sleep from the last onslaught!

I heard today that people sent "love letters" to the fire department and the electric crews for all their care and help. Seriously, one of my coworkers was trapped in her house due to trees resting on live, hanging power lines. So the fire department came to her house and checked on her. She lives alone and was so grateful!
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274. crowe1
12:07 AM GMT on December 11, 2010
Got my first dusting of snow here today!!!!! Time to start the the Lake Shadow snow count.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 15 Comments: 921
273. kaaterskillfalls
4:01 PM GMT on December 10, 2010
Hi y'all - I made the jump from what was Sully's blog on over to Crowe's - thanks Crowe for continuing some northeast representation on Wunderground.

Anybody ever hear anything from Shovler who used to post on Sully's blog quite a bit - I wanted to let him know that I was now over living over in his neck of the woods - on the east side of the mid-Hudson Valley.

Hard to believe that it is so crazy cold yet it's going to be too warm to snow over the weekend - then it gets even colder. That is just so frustrating for snow lovers... well, I should be used to it by now I suppose.
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272. crowe1
12:35 PM GMT on December 10, 2010
Thanks Listener! If that doesn't warm your heart, it just might be 2 sizes to small.
Down to 4.3 this am, BRRRRRR!
Looks like most areas can expect warm snow, (my daughter won't let me use the "R" word), with some actual snow at the onset and end in northern areas.
I'll try to check in later, first I need to write 7 more pages on the ethical and social influences of Taoism and Confucianism on China. I like both philosophies but don't care for writing papers all that much. Oh well, 1 more (hopefully) semester.
Member Since: January 26, 2007 Posts: 15 Comments: 921
271. listenerVT
4:30 AM GMT on December 10, 2010
Need a little Christmas spirit?
Here is Ally and her Mommy. :-)
My friend Susan made Ally's cupcake hat.

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270. lazzyhazy1
7:46 AM GMT on December 09, 2010
Hi it got down to 7 tonight it is a bit warmer now up to 10 any input on what will happen sunday would be nice then it looks like it going to get even colder take are and stay warm Lazzy
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269. Inyo
4:41 AM GMT on December 09, 2010
Yeah, I am either taking the bus, or bringing a lot of work with me to do while waiting for the roads to get better. Come to think of it i should do that anyway, in case the bus isn't running.
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268. listenerVT
3:39 AM GMT on December 09, 2010
Thanks, original!


So my Eldest Granddaughter is 4 years old, and quite bright.

Tonight Son in Maine wrote: I think I did OK on my impromptu physics quiz. Results pending.
Turns out it was administered by (his daughter) Eldest Granddaughter.

He explained: Getting out of the car she suddenly stopped and said "What holds the ground together?" I asked what she meant and she said "The ground! Why doesn't it all fall apart?" I replied that gravity holds it together, which then required a detailed definition.

On a roll, she then asked what snowflakes are made of. When I told her that they are frozen water she just laughed and said "No silly! Frozen water is ice!" I told her that snowflakes are made of lots of tiny ice crystals. This engendered the response "So you were wrong! They are made of ice, not water!"

I tried to defend my position, but I think I lost points for lack of clarity.



:-D If she's this good at arguing at age 4, he's in a lot of trouble. LOL!
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267. originalLT
1:31 AM GMT on December 09, 2010
Hi Listener, I think it would be better driving Sunay evening rather than Monday. But both times could be "Dicey". Really track your local forecasts as we get closer to the event.
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266. listenerVT
11:50 PM GMT on December 08, 2010
Inyo...well, there's no such thing as a good time to have an ice storm. ;-)
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265. listenerVT
11:48 PM GMT on December 08, 2010
Quoting LettyS:


Sure missing Sully. :-(


Amen to that. And that's nothing against anyone here, especially crowe.
Still, I'd give up Sully's forecasts more easily if I knew what became of him.
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