Focusing on the Tropics

By: cchsweatherman , 2:52 PM GMT on September 28, 2008

Share this Blog
0
+

For those who wish to remove yourselves from the despicable banter and immature bickering occuring on Dr. Master's blog and want to talk about the active tropics, this is the place for you.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 26 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

26. tropics21
11:38 PM GMT on July 21, 2010
Hey Great to see You back deffinitely bookmarking this site alot better as you say than the bickering bolg thanks for renewing the site
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 263
25. JFV
5:48 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Which specific 12z model runs have backed off significantly on developing a potential tropical system in the Western Carribean Sea this week? Because according to what Dr. Masters wrote in his latest blog entry that would appear to be anything but the actual case, especially for later on this week in the Western Carribean Sea. Thanks and keep up the outstanding work my friend!!!
24. dewdana
5:28 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Quoting 7544:
cchs could this also be a promblem for se fla as far south as miami if it developes strong or is it more of a west coast strom tia


Ditto- I have wandered here from the Masters blog b/c I am trying to figure out the same thing for the Fl Keys/Miami area. If so, any clues on the timing? A lot to ask this early in formation I know!
Member Since: September 20, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 11
23. stormdude77
3:43 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
It looks like north of the Yucatan is the place to watch for development...

Loop
22. bcn
3:42 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
The third atlantic low (Kyle, 95L and Spain):




Aka: Spain still learning to construct hurricanes (link)
Member Since: August 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 62
21. 7544
3:41 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
cchs could this also be a promblem for se fla as far south as miami if it developes strong or is it more of a west coast strom tia
Member Since: May 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6874
20. Sfloridacat5
3:40 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
TWC just said that winds and wave heights (based on bouy data) are coming down associated with Kyle.
Cantore said that Kyle was a terrible looking hurricane (not very well developed).
They are expecting Kyle to weaken today. Kyle will most likely be a Tropical Storm at landfall.
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9397
19. cchsweatherman
3:39 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Quoting cybergrump:
Is there a anti cyclone over the yucatan blob?


To answer your question, there has been an anitcyclone developing to the southwest of the Yucatan disturbance. I will be watching to see whether this anticyclone starts building over it or if it moves into the Pacific.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
18. cchsweatherman
3:38 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Quoting Sfloridacat5:
I'm wondering when THC will make the developing Low off the Yucatan an invest?


Should be sometime this afternoon based upon the current observations and satellite images as well as computer model trends.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
17. cchsweatherman
3:37 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
16. Sfloridacat5
3:37 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
I'm wondering when THC will make the developing Low off the Yucatan an invest?
Member Since: September 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 9397
15. Enola
3:35 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Thanks for the blog, CCHS!

Just one question from a non-met: aren't Kyle and 95L awfully far north for this time of year?
Member Since: August 18, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 269
14. bcn
3:27 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
(sorry if someone already read this post in the other blog but, well, it seems it is suffering an storm of off-topics).

According to this image Caribean is dry while nordatlantic is wet. And according this map the only 3 lows are Kyle, Azores and Spain. Is it a normal september situation?
Member Since: August 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 62
13. cchsweatherman
3:20 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Quoting stormdude77:
95L



Just needs more deep convection closer to the circulation in order to gain either subtropical or tropical storm status. It has a very vigorous circulation with reported hurricane force winds from ship reports in the area.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
12. 7544
3:20 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
how strong will the effects be felt in se fla from this system tia
Member Since: May 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6874
11. cybergrump
3:20 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Is there a anti cyclone over the yucatan blob?
Member Since: September 17, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 434
10. IpswichWeatherCenter
3:20 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Hi.... while i may be taking part in bickering (I'm trying to make ends meet there)

I am interested more in Tropical Weather....

So... all say I if 95L is already Laura
Member Since: April 27, 2008 Posts: 29 Comments: 2097
9. GeoffreyWPB
3:20 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
cchs..a ?....you have the yucatan blob off in the carib. and developing. At 8:00 a.m., the NHC had it over the Yuc. Pens. and drifting north into the GOM. Are you expecting a change from the NHC at 2:00 p.m. to confirm your analysis?
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11557
8. cybergrump
3:18 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Quoting bjdsrq:


Won't it be inland over FL before it gets near TS strength? Doesn't look like it has a lot of time from the model runs.

Models dont do to good when it comes to strength. This is my opinion.
Member Since: September 17, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 434
7. cchsweatherman
3:18 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Quoting bjdsrq:


Won't it be inland over FL before it gets near TS strength? Doesn't look like it has a lot of time from the model runs.


Based upon averaging out the computer models in terms of timing, this Yucatan disturbance has somewhere around 72 hours before it would move over South Florida. This would be sufficient time for this to develop into a tropical storm in my opinion.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
6. bjdsrq
3:14 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Quoting cchsweatherman:


Throughout the morning, I have been watching the surface observations around the disturbance. All the surface observations have shown that a closed surface circulation has either formed or is forming at this time. With deep convection over the analyzed low and somewhat favorable wind shear as well as very warm SSTs, it would seem like the Yucatan disturbance could very well develop into a tropical depression during the next 24 to 48 hours.


Won't it be inland over FL before it gets near TS strength? Doesn't look like it has a lot of time from the model runs.
Member Since: July 26, 2003 Posts: 3 Comments: 428
5. stormdude77
3:12 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
I believe once 95L gains some persistent deep convection over the ''center'', the NHC will upgrade it to STS Laura...
4. stormdude77
3:09 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
95L

3. cchsweatherman
2:59 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Quoting southbeachdude:
So you think this blob will develop? Looks like we could get some rain in Miami later in the week....


Throughout the morning, I have been watching the surface observations around the disturbance. All the surface observations have shown that a closed surface circulation has either formed or is forming at this time. With deep convection over the analyzed low and somewhat favorable wind shear as well as very warm SSTs, it would seem like the Yucatan disturbance could very well develop into a tropical depression during the next 24 to 48 hours.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5169
2. billy305
2:58 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
Could that blob develop?
Living in South Florida, I need to know these things.....
1. southbeachdude
2:54 PM GMT on September 28, 2008
So you think this blob will develop? Looks like we could get some rain in Miami later in the week....
Member Since: July 29, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 697

Viewing: 26 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

Top of Page

About cchsweatherman

Local Weather

Scattered Clouds
79 °F
Scattered Clouds