STAT TUNED

By: bigtrucker , 1:24 AM GMT on July 11, 2009

Share this Blog
7
+

Watching TD18 with some concerns for the Northeast. Several models, including GFS AND Euro, bring this storm up the Eastern Seaboard. How strong and what type of storm remains to be seen. Several scenerios are possible. With a negative tilt to the jet expected to be in place, it is quite possible that the storm could ride the jet and make landfall in Southern New England.
Another possibility would be for the TD to be nudged out to sea with a secondary storm forming along the East coast.
I cant post no model info due to problems with my pc but I will try and resolve this issue.


Sea surface temps
































___________________________________________
___________________________________________

online degree programs online degree programs

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 189 - 139

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11Blog Index

AWESOME ART!! I hope you got some good shots bro! I heard about this through a buddy on FB who lives in CT. Man, t-storms rule
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
188. OGal
Wow Art, that looks like Florida stuff. Hope they miss you entirely. Have been thinking about you. We just found out we need out duct work replaced. Just another expense. It has been one thing right after another.

Please be careful. Take cover when you need to. That is one nasty looking storm. Itsn't it kind of strange for you to have that kind of storm this time of year??
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19222
Hi Gams...It's in my blood...LOL I'll be taking cover with my camera handy.
Warm front lifted north this AM with a cold front now approaching the area. Strong storms have developed as forecasted to.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Hey BT,

Take cover if it gets too bad.

Glad you are keeping an eye on the bad weather heading your way!
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 298 Comments: 40903
Hi Art...LOL...yeah, a lot of people think that. I am just very busy with school...our mid terms are this week and next and so I have a couple of last minute things to do, plus being an RA isn't helping things along with normal life that I have to live. It's all good though and i'm loving it, it's just a very busy time.

I'll try to stop in more often...normally I'll say hello on Emmy's blog and sometimes Patti's, but it's rare for me to be on someone else's blog.

Take care!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hi Brooke I thought you faded away...glad to see ya around and hope school is going good

Charles Yes, the pattern is changing...The northern branch of the jet stream is on the move south, which will put us into fall rather quickly. Most importantly, it kicked out that cut off low that was responsible for all the flooding in GA

Bug wow, your up early on a Sunday morn, thats for sure. Yeah, once your up and distracted it's hard to get back to sleep. trying to force yourself back into slumberland never works.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Wakey, wakey!

Good God... What am I doing up at this hour on Sunday morning?

Oh, yeah.. Hubby was having some serious leg and arm twitching or something going on. Woke me up. He'd quiet down and I'd start to nod back off again and he'd have another spasm of whatever it was. After about a dozen rounds of that, I decided to just go ahead and get up.

I need caffeine...
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 233 Comments: 25079
Hey Art that jet is as strong as I have seen in a while!! Gonna get wild around my place later tonight maybe,.. slight risk for severe for me.. then heavy winds with the remains of chio-wan coming in,
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hey Art, just stopping by to say hello...been incredibly busy...sorry I haven't been here or called.

Take care!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
{{{Peace}}} I know it has been busy for me too!! Getting together would be nice!!
Vermont IS very beautiful, If you like camping and hiking you cant go wrong there!!
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
{{{BT}}}; I had hoped that we'd be able to get together this summer since we don't live too far apart but it was so hectic this year :-( We can always try again now that it's fall.

We took The Ark up to the Lake Champlain Islands in Vermont for a ten day camping trip and we're hoping to go to do a little more camping before the snow flies.

Hope all is well!
Member Since: November 16, 2002 Posts: 72 Comments: 7369
Hi Gams!! Thank you for stopping by!! Today is ok, tonight and tomorrow will be rainy.
Hope your weekend is great!!!
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Good morning BT,

Just wanted to stop by and say Hello!

and wish you a happy weekend!

take care,
Weekend Comments at dazzlejunction.com
Weekend Comments
Myspace Comments - Myspace 2.0 Layouts
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 298 Comments: 40903
hey BT hows things
check out my new ride in my blog
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Coastal Flood Advisory
Statement as of 3:53 PM EDT on September 09, 2009


... Coastal Flood Advisory in effect from 11 am to 5 PM EDT
Thursday...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a coastal Flood
Advisory... which is in effect from 11 am to 5 PM EDT Thursday.

In addition... a persistent east to northeast flow will produce
tidal departures of one and a half to two feet above normal
Thursday afternoon... producing widespread minor coastal flooding
around the time of high tide on Thursday.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.


... ... ... ... ... ..time of... ... .height... ... minor... ... ... Forecast
location... ... ..high tide... ..Of tide... flood height... ... height
... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .(Mllw)... ..(Mllw)... ... ... .(mllw)

Ocean:
The Battery... ... .1225 PM... ... ..5.1... ... ... 6.7... ... ... ... 6.6
Sandy Hook... ... ..1208 PM... ... ..5.3... ... ... ---... ... ... ... 6.9
Bergen Point... ... 1224 PM... ... ..5.7... ... ... ---... ... ... ... 7.3
Freeport Creek... .1245 PM... ... ..3.4... ... ... 5.2... ... ... ... 5.5

Western sound...
Kings Point... ... ..326 PM... ... ..8.2... ... ... ---... ... ... ... 9.7
Stamford... ... ... ..349 PM... ... ..7.9... ... ... 9.5... ... ... ... 9.6
Bridgeport... ... ... 346 PM... ... ..7.4... ... ... 8.9... ... ... ... 9.0


Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Hi Charles
Been awhile, work and other stuff had me on the run and away from the puter. hope all is well, say hi to mom and sis for me.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Good evening
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hi Ogal!! Yes, Lisa is something else on the show. LOL. She really makes a hard job look easy and is on the way to proving herself as a heavy haul trucker. I would love to drive shotgun with her, or anyone else, and capture the beauty they drive through.
Yes, you can use vinager to keep the sludge from building up in the line, but a maintenance should be done on a yearly basis. Clearing the condensate line is part of that maintenance. along with washing indoor and outdoor coils. Look at your outdoor unit if possible. If you see dirt,lint,grass etc stuck on the coil you need to have it cleaned.
If you have any question, call me.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
169. OGal
Hi Art, have been meaning to stop by. Your cutie on Ice Road truckers is too much. I love the way she is not afraid to fix anything that happens to her truck, like the bungie cord to make the tail lights work.

Anyway i thought about you last night. We had a pipe leading to the outside from our air condtioner back up and we had water all over the garage. Hubby rushed to Home Depot and got a small snake and got most of the clogged stuff out. The air condtioner guy did come and with a shop vac sucked the rest out. Well, long story short now hubby is going to get a shop vac. We had one once but don't know what happened to it. Our air conditioner guy also said to once a month pour white vinegar throught the lines. That will help to keep the yuck for clogging up the pipe. Ya learn something new everyday.

Yep, I think Danny will be a strong noreaster for you guys. Sure could have been alot worse. I am concerned about the latest invest.
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19222
000
WTNT45 KNHC 280232
TCDAT5
TROPICAL STORM DANNY DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052009
1100 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2009

DANNY REMAINS VERY DISORGANIZED IN ITS SATELLITE PRESENTATION.
LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN NOTED NEAR THE ESTIMATED CENTER.
THERE ARE A FEW CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN AND
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CIRCULATION...BUT THIS CONVECTION SHOWS
LITTLE OR NO EVIDENCE OF BANDING FEATURES. DROPSONDE DATA FROM THE
NOAA G-IV JET AIRCRAFT SUGGEST THAT THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF
DANNY HAS LITTLE VERTICAL DEPTH. A NOAA P-3 HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT...CONDUCTING A RESEARCH MISSION IN DANNY THIS EVENING...
INDICATES THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS CONTINUE TO BE DISPLACED WELL TO
THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. PEAK WINDS REPORTED BY THE PLANE WERE
42 KT...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 40 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY. DANNY HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING STRONG WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
SHEAR DUE TO AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND CYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS TO ITS
WEST. THERE IS STILL A WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THE STORM TO
STRENGTHEN AS GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW BECOMING MORE
ANTICYCLONIC...WITH SOME LESSENING OF THE SHEAR DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THEREFORE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS SOME STRENGTHENING
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. HOWEVER BY 48 HOURS THE SHEAR OVER DANNY
IS EXPECTED TO BE 40 KT OR MORE SO ANY INTENSIFICATION OF THE
SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE SHOULD CEASE BY THAT TIME. IN
FACT...BY 48 HOURS...THE GLOBAL MODELS AND THE FSU CYCLONE PHASE
SPACE ANALYSES IMPLY THAT DANNY MAY HAVE ALREADY BECOME AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.

THE CENTER MEANDERED ABOUT DURING THE DAY...BUT LAST-LIGHT VISIBLE
IMAGERY AND DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT A NORTH TO
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION BEGAN SEVERAL HOURS AGO. HOWEVER...THE
CENTER IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO DISCERN ON RECENT INFRARED IMAGES.
THE INITIAL MOTION IS AN UNCERTAIN 330/7. THE TRACK FORECAST
REASONING IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED. DANNY SHOULD MOVE ON A GENERALLY
NORTHWARD COURSE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO ON THE EAST SIDE OF A
SHORT WAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. THEREAFTER
A DEEPENING LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN U.S. SHOULD CARRY
DANNY OR ITS POST-TROPICAL COUNTERPART NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TO
NORTHEASTWARD AT AN INCREASED FORWARD SPEED. LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD...THE CYCLONE SHOULD TURN EASTWARD AS IT BECOMES WELL
EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
VERY SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS CLOSE TO THE MODEL
CONSENSUS.

SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES TO KEEP THE AREA OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OFFSHORE...NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE
BEING ISSUED FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER NEW
WATCHES AND/OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED ON FRIDAY...PARTICULARLY
IF THE FORECAST TRACK SHIFTS TO THE WEST.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 28/0300Z 28.4N 73.5W 40 KT
12HR VT 28/1200Z 29.7N 74.5W 45 KT
24HR VT 29/0000Z 32.5N 74.5W 50 KT
36HR VT 29/1200Z 36.5N 73.0W 55 KT
48HR VT 30/0000Z 40.5N 69.5W 55 KT
72HR VT 31/0000Z 47.5N 59.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 01/0000Z 50.5N 46.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 02/0000Z 51.0N 31.5W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
SSI your right about Bob. It is taking a very simular path that Danny is on. Watching this one closely. The models seem to underestimate the sup tropical ridge along the mid Atlantic coast. Also, if it merges with a cold front that will be very close, it will be a coast hugger.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
SSI That is one of my favorite Bill Murray movies. Just watched it last week...LOL

Hi Blu...Yeah, watching the tropics. I plan on covering whatever comes out way using video and pictures. By the time it gets to us it will be no stronger than the Nor'easters we get in the winter. Maybe a wee bit stronger.
I hear you, driving in the rain is a royal pain.

Hi Charles...Glad your back. unfortunately, I was not LOL want to come cut my grass?




Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
That was some good mowage XD!! I have returned
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hey BT..how are ya man?!!! yeah, watching the tropics time for sure. Had a bunch or rain today from Titusville to Orlando....and back, not the bad storms we usually get in the pm, but steady "spittin" rain. Makes for a challenging traffic day.

SSI, funny movie...seen it more than once!
Member Since: July 13, 2005 Posts: 117 Comments: 5214
Sweet. I hope you get this one man!

I'm off to mow the lawn now, take er eazy
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hi Charles. The center ATTM is looking to be just east of me. But a hundred miles makes a big difference. They are calling for a strengthening to a cat1. This Storm reminds me of Bob

We'll see how it progresses
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
So Big D has a chance of hitting you eh? Whaddya figure.. as a TS or a CAT 1? I am thinking high end TS myself.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
All eyes then turn to Tropical Storm Danny for the first half of
the weekend. Current Sat imagery still shows an unorganized
system with the low center out in front of the convection.
However...TPC expects it to become more organized as it continues
on a general northwest motion through Thursday...before turning more northward
on Friday. An upper level trough digging into the Great Lakes region
will play a significant role with the exact track of Danny. If the
two systems merge...Danny would take a track closer to the coast.
If not...it would track further east. Current thinking is that the
two systems will remain separate. However...the latest TPC track
takes it just inside of the 40n 70w benchmark which would still
impact a good part of the County Warning Area. While the track and intensity
remain uncertain...potential impacts would be torrential
rain...gusty winds...coastal flooding...high surf...dangerous rip
currents and beach erosion.
Stay tuned. For the latest on
Danny...refer to the forecasts/advisories from TPC.


Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Quoting charlesimages:
I mixed some Crown Royal in with the wings, gave quite a flavor


Be a man and use Old Crow....A good ole bourbon...LOL
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT TUE AUG 25 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE AREA
OF DISTURBED WEATHER ABOUT 350 MILES NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
FOUND A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE BUT DID NOT FIND A CLOSED
CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE AIRCRAFT DID REPORT GALE-FORCE WINDS IN
THE AREA. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE
FOR DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A
TROPICAL STORM AT ANY TIME AS IT CONTINUES MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AROUND 20 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...GREATER THAN 50 PERCENT...
OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. INTERESTS
IN THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON MARINE WARNINGS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER
FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
I mixed some Crown Royal in with the wings, gave quite a flavor
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting bigtrucker:
well, I have to start sauce before I get to lazy...LOL talk to ya later. give a call later if you have time.
okie dokie man! have fun, I should get to my wing making too :P

I'll see what I'm doing later tonight =) If I'm not doing anything expect a call. Target time is 7-10PM EDT
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I don't see a pic for the CO model..

Wing making is easy here's what I do, get a pan, dump them in, cook in butter, then put "seasoning" on them, and smother in FRANKS RED HOT XTRA HOT SAUCE and let simmer for a while then eat.

Simple yet delectable!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
well, I have to start sauce before I get to lazy...LOL talk to ya later. give a call later if you have time.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Quoting charlesimages:
Dude no way you made your own sauce for hot wings? That's sweet! I dabble in sauce mixing too mainly for Hamburgers


I havent in a while, but it's not too hard. I would have to look it up. then tweek it to my liking.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Quoting bigtrucker:
yeah, most, if not all of the models keep it at tropical storm strength. Not sure of track yet
ensembles look sort of promising track wise last I checked this AM
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Dude no way you made your own sauce for hot wings? That's sweet! I dabble in sauce mixing too mainly for Hamburgers
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
yeah, most, if not all of the models keep it at tropical storm strength. Not sure of track yet
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
No I would like to make my own wings. No garbage from a box. And make my own sauce. I used to make the wing sauce for Bobby Valentines sports cafe quite a few years ago
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
We'll have to see. I don't think there will be a great amount of strengthening, then again what do I know i am a land based severe weather guy LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
92L is struggling to stay alive. Contending with dry air, low pressure nearby which is pumping cold air into the circulation. But they are still calling for a depression to form. I guess once it gets away from the SAL it will form.
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Hot wings are rather cheap man, I got a big ol bag of wing drummies and franks red hot sauce for a combined price of like $11. Of course I don;t eat much at a time so it's a 2 day meal at least before the bag is finished XD

LOL stay away from them boxed hot wings too man, they are cheap knockoffs! I like em BLAZING
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hot wings sound gooood. Thats one thing I have to get one day.
Yeah, I don't think I can eat fast food for the rest of my life.... LOL
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
Fast Food is better than nothing I suppose *chokes while typing that LOL* Glad you're gaining weight back =) You must be finding my stragglers!

I have a bag of wings in the fridge myself.. gonna make a torturous batch of hot wings tonight!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I bought some stuff to make sauce. I'm chilling out for awhile before I make it.
I have been eating fast food since April, and not all that much.
The good news is im starting to gain weight back...I lost a lot since April
Member Since: January 9, 2006 Posts: 80 Comments: 6119
That's good on you Art =) What'd ya have man? I haven't had anything yet today XD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 189 - 139

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11Blog Index

Top of Page

About bigtrucker

Bigtrucker likes weather and photography.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
77 °F
Mostly Cloudy