Angela's Blog

Sandy: State by state impact forecasts
Posted by: Angela Fritz, 11:43 PM GMT on October 28, 2012 +29
We're seeing impacts as far west as Ohio on Monday evening. Wind gusts of 64 miles per hour have been reported in Cleveland, Ohio, where the winds have also brought down trees on to power lines. Widespread power outages have been reported from the Northeast to Ohio and south to North Carolina.

For local storm warnings and advisories, check out the "Severe Weather" layer on Wundermap. Click your location to see the advisories in effect.

Maine

• Storm tide and surge: 1 to 2 feet of storm surge on top of tides.
Wind: 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening.
• Rain: Widespread totals from 1 to 3 inches, with isolated amounts up to 5 inches
• Inland Flooding: Significant urban and small stream flooding is possible, which could linger into Tuesday.
• Power outages: Spotty power outages are possible as wind takes down branches and trees.

Vermont/New Hampshire

Wind: 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. Gusts to 70 mph on exposed slopes and higher elevations. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening.
Rain: Widespread totals from 1 to 3 inches, with isolated amounts up to 5 inches
Inland Flooding: Significant urban and small stream flooding is possible, which could linger into Tuesday.
Power outages: Spotty power outages are possible as wind takes down branches and trees.

Massachusetts

• Storm tide and surge: Up to 4 feet of storm surge on top of tides, with a 10-20% chance of surge exceeding 5 feet.

Storm tide forecast for Buzzards Bay, MA is 7-8 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Woods Hole, MA is 6-7 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Nantucket, MA is 6-7 feet.

Wind: Gusts up to 40 mph are still possible into Tuesday.
• Rain: Widespread totals from 1.5 to 3 inches, with isolated amounts up to 5 inches
• Inland Flooding: Significant urban and small stream flooding is possible, which could linger into Tuesday.
• Power outages: Spotty power outages are possible as wind takes down branches and trees

Rhode Island

• Storm tide and surge: 4 to 5 feet of surge is possible on top of tides, with a 10-20% chance of surge exceeding 5 feet.

Storm tide forecast for Newport, RI is 8-9 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Providence, RI is 10-11 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Block Island, RI is 7-8 feet.

Wind: 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening
• Rain: Widespread totals from 1.5 to 3 inches, with isolated amounts up to 5 inches
• Inland Flooding: Significant urban and small stream flooding is possible, which could linger into Tuesday.
• Power outages: Spotty power outages are possible as wind takes down branches and trees

Connecticut

• Storm tide and surge: 6 to 9 feet of surge is possible on top of tides, with a 60% chance of surge exceeding 5 feet west of Bridgeport. Surge will be worse as you move west along the Connecticut coastline.

Storm tide forecast for New London, CT is 8-9 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Bridgeport, CT is 14-15 feet.

Wind: 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening
• Rain: Widespread totals from 1.5 to 3 inches, with isolated amounts up to 5 inches
• Inland Flooding: Significant urban and small stream flooding is possible, which could linger into Tuesday.
• Power outages: Power outages are possible as wind takes down branches and trees

New York

• Storm tide and surge:
Long Island Sound -- 6-7 feet on top of tide with a 50% chance of exceeding 7 feet. Storm tide forecast for Port Jefferson is 13-14 feet.
Manhattan -- 4-5 feet on top of tide with a 40% chance of exceeding 7 feet.
Staten Island -- 4-5 feet on top of tide with a 60% chance of exceeding 7 feet.

Storm tide forecast for Montauk, NY is 7-8 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Port Jefferson, NY is 13-14 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Kings Point, NY is 12-13 feet.
Storm tide forecast for The Battery, NY is 9-10 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Bergen Pt, NY is 10-11 feet.

Wind: Long duration, damaging winds expected. 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 80 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and night.
• Rain: Widespread totals from 2 to 4 inches, with isolated amounts up to 6 inches, especially in the higher elevations. 1 to 2 inches PER HOUR are expected where the heaviest rain bands set up.
• Inland Flooding: Widespread urban flooding is expected Monday and into Tuesday. Fast-responding streams are expected to flood, as well. The flooding will be exacerbated by blockages in storm drains as well as rising storm tide.
• Power outages: Power outages are possible, even likely, as wind takes down branches and trees.

Pennsylvania

• Storm tide and surge: 1 to 2 feet of surge is possible on top of tides, with a 30-40% chance of surge exceeding 3 feet.

Storm tide forecast for Philadelphia, PA is 8-9 feet.

Wind: 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening and into Tuesday. Wind speeds will increase closer to the coast.
• Rain: Widespread totals from 4 to 10 inches, with the highest amounts mainly from Philadelphia metro southward. Heavy rain is expected to begin Sunday night, with the heaviest occurring Monday night into Tuesday.
• Inland Flooding: Significant urban and small stream flooding is possible, which could linger into Tuesday. RIver flooding is possible.
• Power outages: Power outages are likely as wind takes down branches and trees.

West Virginia

Wind: 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening and into Tuesday.
Rain: Rainfall up to 4 inches though Tuesday.
Inland Flooding: Significant small stream flooding is possible.
Power outages: Power outages are likely as wind and snow takes down branches and trees.
Snow: Blizzard warnings are in effect for the mountain regions of the state, where up to 3 feet of snow could fall in the highest elevations.

New Jersey

• Storm tide and surge: 4 to 5 feet of surge is possible on top of tides, with a 30-50% chance of surge exceeding 7 feet. Surge will be worse as you move north along the New Jersey coastline.

Storm tide forecast for Sandy Hook, NJ is 10-11 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Atlantic City, NJ is 9-10 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Cape May, NJ is 9-10 feet.

Wind: 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening and into Tuesday. Wind speeds will increase closer to the coast.
• Rain: Widespread totals from 4 to 10 inches. Heavy rain is expected to begin Sunday night, with the heaviest occurring Monday night into Tuesday.
• Inland Flooding: Significant urban and small stream flooding is possible, which could linger into Tuesday. RIver flooding is possible.
• Power outages: Power outages are likely as wind takes down branches and trees.

Delaware

• Storm tide and surge: 4 to 5 feet of surge is possible on top of tides, with a 20% chance of surge exceeding 6 feet.

Storm tide forecast for Reedy Point, DE is 8-9 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Lewes, DE is 9-10 feet.

Wind: 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening and into Tuesday. Wind speeds will increase closer to the coast.
• Rain: Widespread totals from 4 to 10 inches. Heavy rain is expected to begin Sunday night, with the heaviest occurring Monday night into Tuesday.
• Inland Flooding: Significant urban and small stream flooding is possible, which could linger into Tuesday. RIver flooding is possible.
• Power outages: Power outages are likely as wind takes down branches and trees.

Maryland and Washington D.C.

• Storm tide and surge: 4 to 5 feet of surge is possible on top of tides on the ocean coast, with a 10-20% chance of surge exceeding 6 feet.
Wind: 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening and into Tuesday. Wind speeds will increase closer to the coast, and will also be stronger along the ridges.
• Rain: Widespread totals from 3 to 6 inches, with locally higher amounts, especially in the D.C. metro. Heavy rain is expected to begin Sunday night, with the heaviest occurring Monday night into Tuesday.
• Inland Flooding: Moderate to major flooding is possible on the smaller creeks and streams. Flooding is also possible on the larger mainstream rivers beyond Tuesday.
• Power outages: Power outages are likely as wind takes down branches and trees.
Snow: Blizzard warnings are in effect for the western mountain region of the state, where up to 3 feet of snow could fall in the highest elevations.

Virginia

• Storm tide and surge: 2 to 4 feet of surge is possible on top of tides on the ocean coast.

Storm tide forecast for Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel, VA is 6-7 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Wachapreague, VA is 7-8 feet.
Storm tide forecast for Kiptopeke Beach, VA is 6-7 feet.

Wind: 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening and into Tuesday. Wind speeds will increase closer to the coast, and will also be stronger along the ridges.
• Rain: Widespread totals from 3 to 6 inches, with locally higher amounts, especially in the D.C. metro. Heavy rain is expected to begin Sunday night, with the heaviest occurring Monday night into Tuesday.
• Inland Flooding: Moderate to major flooding is possible on the smaller creeks and streams. Flooding is also possible on the larger mainstream rivers beyond Tuesday.
• Power outages: Power outages are likely as wind takes down branches and trees.

North Carolina

• Storm tide and surge: 2 to 4 feet of surge is possible on top of tides.

Storm tide forecast for Duck Pier, NC is 7-8 feet.

Wind: 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening and into Tuesday. Wind speeds will increase closer to the coast, and will also be stronger along the ridges.
• Rain: An additional 1 to 3 inches possible overnight Sunday.
• Inland Flooding: Flood threat is tapering off as Sandy moves north.
• Power outages: Sporadic power outages are possible as wind breaks branches off trees.



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51. Izzn 4:46 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
Nicely done! Hoping you can add something about OHIO soon, we are getting kind of breezy here and the entire Northeast part of the state is one giant mud pit already. Keep up the good work and thank you for this info!
Member Since: October 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
52. sunmoon 4:51 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
Great presentation of the impacts of the storm,thank you for that.
Member Since: May 20, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
53. Sallmander 4:58 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
Angela

West Virginia is a state, is in the hurricane area and is being heavily impacted. According to you blobs we do not exist. What shoddy "reporting"
Member Since: October 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
54. kellya2mi 5:13 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
We're seeing some high winds here in SE Michigan too. Not shocking when you see the size of this thing!
Member Since: June 24, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
55. Jetson78 5:53 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
Thanks for the West Virginia report. I am keeping tabs on my parents there.

So far just a little snow on the rooftops and grass in So. WV.

Drew
Member Since: February 16, 2003 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
56. Angela Fritz, Atmospheric Scientist (Admin)
8:17 PM GMT on October 29, 2012
   
Quoting Sallmander:
Angela

West Virginia is a state, is in the hurricane area and is being heavily impacted. According to you blobs we do not exist. What shoddy "reporting"


Im sorry you feel this way. Given all that's going on, we chose to focus on what will likely be the hardest-hit states with the most life-threatening impacts. I will add a West Virginia outlook for you, which will include snow -- a very interesting result of this storm.
57. masmith0512 8:28 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
Ms. Fritz,
You and your staff are doing just fine. I am certain the weather underground, as well as all other news outlets are doing all you can. As a truck driver, I depend alot on the information you provide, and just wanted you to know.. I appreciate what you do for all of us.

Quoting angelafritz:


Im sorry you feel this way. Given all that's going on, we chose to focus on what will likely be the hardest-hit states with the most life-threatening impacts. I will add a West Virginia outlook for you, which will include snow -- a very interesting result of this storm.
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
58. ANetTow 8:29 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
Look again. West Virginia is listed between Pennsylvania and New Jersey.

Quoting Sallmander:
Angela

West Virginia is a state, is in the hurricane area and is being heavily impacted. According to you blobs we do not exist. What shoddy "reporting"
Member Since: October 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
59. Angela Fritz, Atmospheric Scientist (Admin)
8:38 PM GMT on October 29, 2012
   
Quoting masmith0512:
Ms. Fritz,
You and your staff are doing just fine. I am certain the weather underground, as well as all other news outlets are doing all you can. As a truck driver, I depend alot on the information you provide, and just wanted you to know.. I appreciate what you do for all of us.



Stay safe out there!
60. jsmarkley 9:19 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
Angela,

What kind of effect is Sandy going to have on Buffalo, NY? Looks like it's going to be a tropical depression by the time it hits.

I commute by bicycle, only 3 miles, but wondering if the wind is going to be big enough factor that I should take the bus.
Member Since: October 29, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
61. Angela Fritz, Atmospheric Scientist (Admin)
9:38 PM GMT on October 29, 2012
   
Quoting jsmarkley:
Angela,

What kind of effect is Sandy going to have on Buffalo, NY? Looks like it's going to be a tropical depression by the time it hits.

I commute by bicycle, only 3 miles, but wondering if the wind is going to be big enough factor that I should take the bus.


I would take the bus, if only because of the rain!
62. sailmonger 10:43 PM GMT on October 29, 2012    
Quoting Sallmander:
Angela

West Virginia is a state, is in the hurricane area and is being heavily impacted. According to you blobs we do not exist. What shoddy "reporting"



West Virginia

• Wind: 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. The strongest winds will occur Monday afternoon and evening and into Tuesday.
• Rain: Rainfall up to 4 inches though Tuesday.
• Inland Flooding: Significant small stream flooding is possible.
• Power outages: Power outages are likely as wind and snow takes down branches and trees.
• Snow: Blizzard warnings are in effect for the mountain regions of the state, where up to 3 feet of snow could fall in the highest elevations.
Member Since: September 2, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
63. nosambor 12:33 AM GMT on October 30, 2012    
Angela,
Thank you for your FREE service to the world. Don't let the malcontents bother you. You folks are doing a wunderful job.
Rob
Member Since: February 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
64. SandyCheeks13 3:29 AM GMT on October 30, 2012    
Hey, I was wondering, will the flooding going as far as into East Elmhurst and Jackson Heights in Queens? I really need this question answered. :<
Member Since: October 30, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7
65. shaunlevi 3:15 PM GMT on October 30, 2012    
Really appreciate the great coverage provided throughout the storm.
Member Since: October 30, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
66. WunderAlertBot (Admin) 6:32 PM GMT on October 30, 2012    
angelafritz has created a new entry.

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About angelafritz
Atmospheric Scientist here at Weather Underground, with serious nerd love for tropical cyclones and climate change. Twitter: @WunderAngela

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