Hot, Hot, Hot! - and maybe some tropical moisture to add to the humidity...

By: Thunderfan , 6:32 AM GMT on May 08, 2014

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158. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
11:35 AM GMT on July 01, 2014
Thunderfan has created a new entry.
157. Barefootontherocks
3:05 AM GMT on July 01, 2014
Poor thing doesn't seem to have anywhere to go at the moment except onto the FL coast. Looked like you might've had some rain this eve across GA. Hope so.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
156. Thunderfan
2:35 AM GMT on July 01, 2014
Comparing RGB loop and radar, it does not look like the LLC is under deep convection. However upper level clouds do appear to be covering the LLC. It appears to be do or die time for our tropical friend.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
155. Thunderfan
11:18 AM GMT on June 30, 2014
Looking at 91L this morning - the LLC is approaching naked swirl status. It is looking very well as far as being a LLC. Northerly shear is obvious. We'll see if that shear will lighten up as forecast or not.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
154. Thunderfan
11:07 PM GMT on June 29, 2014
Another from NWS Columbia...

The following picture was taken from GOES 13 satellite this afternoon, June 29th at 4:45 PM EDT.

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
153. Thunderfan
11:15 PM GMT on June 28, 2014
From NWS Columbia...



Low pressure currently centered off the SC coast--together with high pressure nosing down from the northeastern US--have recharged the atmospheric moisture over the region since Friday. This will yield at least scattered locally heavy showers/thunderstorms through this evening, and Sunday afternoon/evening.

The low pressure itself has the potential to form into the Atlantic Basin's first tropical system of the 2014 season, through the early part of the week ahead. It is currently progged to drift slowly toward the southwest through Monday.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
152. Thunderfan
5:53 PM GMT on June 28, 2014
Hey BF

This morning's high clouds falling apart, but seems like either LLC or MLC (like you said) forming just off shore of SC?
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
151. Barefootontherocks
5:40 PM GMT on June 28, 2014
Hi Tf,
Guess the world is now officially blob-watching. Maybe 91L mlc moving SE?

Have a good weekend.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
150. Thunderfan
4:29 PM GMT on June 28, 2014
At 12:30 EDT, it seems like the LLC may be forming well north of the main blob of high clouds.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
149. Thunderfan
5:33 PM GMT on June 27, 2014
Never thought I'd be near a yellow circle again...

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
148. Barefootontherocks
3:37 AM GMT on June 24, 2014
Thunder. Had some here overnight. Mostly just rain.
Hope you had a good Moonday.
;)
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
147. Thunderfan
2:29 AM GMT on June 20, 2014
Thundering with a shower outside. At first I thought the neighbors were being noisy. Wait a minute - that is thunder isn't it? LOL.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
146. Thunderfan
9:53 AM GMT on June 18, 2014
Hot, humid, boring weather. Blah, blah, blah...

From NWS-Columbia again...

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
145. Thunderfan
9:40 AM GMT on June 17, 2014
Today's graphic from NWS Columbia.

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
144. Thunderfan
11:32 PM GMT on June 15, 2014
Like I was saying - going to hot this week! Graphic from NWS-Columbia

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
143. Barefootontherocks
10:30 PM GMT on June 13, 2014
Cool. Neat. Storms.

Wanted to second the thx bl left you for pointing out 1900hurricane was out chasing yesterday.

Have a great weekend!
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
142. Thunderfan
5:14 PM GMT on June 12, 2014
Hey BF - three good storms in 24 hours, including an impressive severe one. I think it lived up to its warning even.

Just got through with a rain shower - no thunder yet today. But, hey I can't get greedy after such a productive week, you know?
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
141. Barefootontherocks
2:26 PM GMT on June 12, 2014
Good morning. Glad you got storms!
Nice rain here overnight.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
140. Thunderfan
5:21 PM GMT on June 11, 2014
Wow - thunder outside! So awesome...
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
139. Thunderfan
3:00 PM GMT on June 11, 2014
Quoting Barefootontherocks:
Good morning. Congratulations! Yay! Rain. Storm. Are you sure you are in Augusta? lpl

Upgraded the netnection in early Spring. Long story short, I use an old browser because this OSX was the last Apple made without an Intel component.

Have a good day.


Yeah - seriously - a storm. Definitely a good evening!
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
138. Barefootontherocks
2:25 PM GMT on June 11, 2014
Good morning. Congratulations! Yay! Rain. Storm. Are you sure you are in Augusta? lpl

Upgraded the netnection in early Spring. Long story short, I use an old browser because this OSX was the last Apple made without an Intel component.

Have a good day.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
137. Thunderfan
11:28 AM GMT on June 11, 2014
Unfortunately blurry, but appears to be a lightning strike-caused. Maybe it was a sign I should have stayed home...

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
136. Thunderfan
5:18 AM GMT on June 11, 2014
Now that storm was awesome! Most my building has shook since the earthquake!

Still some rumbling and rain, but high winds have exited stage north.

Like I said - that was fun!

Going to be a long Wednesday at work, but it was worth it.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
135. Thunderfan
3:23 AM GMT on June 11, 2014
Here's the proof!

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
134. Thunderfan
2:53 AM GMT on June 11, 2014
Wow - looks like the line of storms to the south are actually getting stronger and heading this way. How can this be? Did someone at the Augusta "Shield" fall asleep?
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
133. Thunderfan
9:31 AM GMT on June 10, 2014
Mid 90's today, high humidity and not much chance of pop up storms. It' almost summer!

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
132. Thunderfan
9:48 PM GMT on June 09, 2014
Quoting Barefootontherocks:
Hi Tf,
This Is Why You Don't Hide Under A Tree During A Lightning Storm

Dang. Can't view that with my old Flash. lpl On the lost cell, funny it disappeared. Wishing you some buoyant parcels today!


It's an impressive video BF. You better get on that high speed connection... LOL.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
131. Barefootontherocks
6:25 PM GMT on June 09, 2014
Hi Tf,
This Is Why You Don't Hide Under A Tree During A Lightning Storm

Dang. Can't view that with my old Flash. lpl On the lost cell, funny it disappeared. Wishing you some buoyant parcels today!
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
130. Thunderfan
4:53 PM GMT on June 09, 2014
Note from SPC Outlook...

...SERN U.S THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...

WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SYNOPTIC FRONT...EXISTING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES...AND DEVELOPING SEA-BREEZE FRONTS AMIDST A VERY MOIST
AND MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. STORMS ALONG THE SYNOPTIC FRONT
OVER THE SRN APPALACHIANS MAY BE FURTHER BOLSTERED BY FORCING FOR
ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH AN MCV /CURRENTLY OVER MIDDLE TN/ WHICH WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE TIME OF PEAK HEATING. VERTICAL
SHEAR WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...BUT SUFFICIENT PARCEL BUOYANCY
WILL EXIST FOR VIGOROUS UP/DOWNDRAFTS WITH A RISK FOR LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL.


Yes - have to lookout for those vigorous up/downdrafts and that Parcel buoyancy... Yep.

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
129. Thunderfan
3:12 PM GMT on June 08, 2014
This Is Why You Don't Hide Under A Tree During A Lightning Storm
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
128. Thunderfan
1:45 PM GMT on June 08, 2014
Quoting Thunderfan:
It is a dark, gloomy, humid, foggy, morning. Where on Earth is the sun anyway? It's gone...

GOOD! Should keep the A/C bill down. LOL.

Looking for more scattered stuff when the sun does break out. Radar already has a couple of light returns...


Ditto today.

Did hear some thunder going on last night though...
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
127. Thunderfan
8:02 PM GMT on June 07, 2014
Hmm - my auto-correct must have malfunktioned.

I meant "little". But retrospectively, "lost" may be better yes. Poof!
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
126. Barefootontherocks
7:43 PM GMT on June 07, 2014
A "lost" cell, did you say?
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
125. Thunderfan
6:55 PM GMT on June 07, 2014
LOL BF - strange thing is - today may be the best chance of some good thunder of the three days. Nice list cell north of here drifting this way... :)
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
124. Barefootontherocks
5:47 PM GMT on June 07, 2014
Yo Tf..
Don't think I've ever seen them write up a 5% chance of a watch. lpl But you guys do have those patented dewrecko shields.

Have a great weekend!


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0876
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1142 AM CDT SAT JUN 07 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF SC...ERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 071642Z - 071915Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
REGION...AND WILL ADVANCE SWD/SEWD THROUGH THE DAY. THERE WILL EXIST
A RISK FOR ISOLATED MARGINALLY SVR STORMS...THOUGH WW ISSUANCE IS
UNLIKELY.

DISCUSSION...MOSAIC RADAR AND VIS IMAGERY INDICATE CONVECTION
DEVELOPING INVOF A STALLED BOUNDARY ANALYZED NW-SE FROM UPSTATE SC
TO N OF SAVANNAH GA...WITH ADDITIONAL CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER THE
SRN APPALACHIANS. CONTINUED ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE BOUNDARY AND
DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION ON BOTH SIDES OF THIS FEATURE...ALONG WITH
STRENGTHENING OROGRAPHIC CIRCULATIONS...WILL SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. RICH
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION -- E.G. SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70F -- IS SUPPORTING MLCAPE AROUND 1000-1500
J/KG PER MODIFICATIONS TO THE 12Z CHS RAOB...AND THESE VALUES WILL
INCREASE OWING TO AT LEAST PARTIAL INSOLATION. THIS BUOYANCY WILL
YIELD STRONG UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS WITH LOCALIZED DMGG WIND GUSTS --
AIDED BY WATER LOADING -- AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SVR HAIL.
HOWEVER...WITH LOWER/MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC FLOW AOB 15 KT PER AREA VWP
DATA...CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN DISORGANIZED TO LIMIT THE OVERALL
SVR RISK...WHILE WEAK SFC CONVERGENCE ALSO LIMITS ANY SVR TSTM
COVERAGE.

..COHEN/WEISS.. 06/07/2014
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
122. Thunderfan
2:15 PM GMT on June 07, 2014
It is a dark, gloomy, humid, foggy, morning. Where on Earth is the sun anyway? It's gone...

GOOD! Should keep the A/C bill down. LOL.

Looking for more scattered stuff when the sun does break out. Radar already has a couple of light returns...
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
121. Thunderfan
4:17 AM GMT on June 07, 2014
Looks like a quite night. Had quite a bit of thunder this afternoon with severe warning technically for the area, but it just didn't happen where I reside.

Warnings just seem exaggerated some times...
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
120. Thunderfan
8:43 PM GMT on June 06, 2014


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0860
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0221 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN GA...WRN SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 061921Z - 062145Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

SUMMARY...THERE WILL EXIST A RISK FOR ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THERE IS SOME POSSIBILITY THAT THIS
COULD WARRANT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

DISCUSSION...REGENERATIVE CONVECTION AT THE LEADING EDGE OF COLD
POOLS SPREADING E OF UPSTREAM WW 240 AND OROGRAPHIC CIRCULATIONS
OVER THE SRN APPALACHIANS WILL FOSTER AN INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE INTO THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. WITH SFC TEMPERATURES
IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90F AMIDST MIDDLE/UPPER 60S SFC
DEWPOINTS...SBCAPE AROUND 3000-4000 J/KG WILL SUPPORT ROBUST
UPDRAFTS/DOWNDRAFTS. HOWEVER...WITH THIS AREA BEING ON THE ERN
FRINGES OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW...EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES
AOB 25 KT WILL KEEP CONVECTION FROM EXHIBITING SUBSTANTIAL
ORGANIZATION. NEVERTHELESS...DCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG IN MANY
AREAS AND WATER LOADING PROCESSES WILL FOSTER STRONG DOWNDRAFTS WITH
ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE. SUCH POTENTIAL WOULD BE GREATER
IF UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH WERE TO OCCUR. MARGINALLY SVR HAIL WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE HIGH DEGREE OF UPWARD BUOYANCY.

..COHEN/WEISS.. 06/06/2014
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
119. Thunderfan
7:55 PM GMT on June 06, 2014
Local returns on the radar popping up. It just may happen. Skies are so blue facing east right now. Afternoon sun should help fire them up.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
118. Thunderfan
5:46 PM GMT on June 06, 2014
Looks like a little better chance today BF - storms near Atlanta and points NE starting to form earlier today. Maybe they won't die at my doorstep this time!
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
117. Barefootontherocks
5:30 PM GMT on June 06, 2014
Hope you see some rain and hear more thunder, more than one rumble, today.

Thanks for popping into my blog this morning.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
116. Thunderfan
11:39 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
Locally today - slight risk area for high winds just to the southwest. Just anticipate normal summer t-storms popping up. Sun is bright and quite toasty out there today.

Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
115. Barefootontherocks
10:14 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
Duh-me. Just noticed that on radar. I might be asleep.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
114. Thunderfan
10:09 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
It is definitely wet outside, so I assume so. Did not have any thunder in my dreams, so I assume no thunder. Radar definitely has more rain downstream now, than what was visible last night.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
113. Barefootontherocks
10:03 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
Did you get some rain last night? I mean, any?
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
112. Barefootontherocks
3:45 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
LMAO. That's funny.
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 151 Comments: 18360
111. Thunderfan
3:15 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
Augusta, Georgia - where de-wreck-o's go to die.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
110. Thunderfan
2:49 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
Yeah - went outside - no lightning what-so-ever. Now radar shows it falling apart, Captain!

Oh well.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
109. Thunderfan
2:23 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0846
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0913 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF ERN GA INTO SOUTH CAROLINA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 235...

VALID 060213Z - 060345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 235
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...INTENSITY OF STORMS COULD BRIEFLY FLARE UP AGAIN ACROSS
AND EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE AUGUSTA AREA BETWEEN NOW AND 03-04Z.
HOWEVER... THE RISK FOR SEVERE WIND GUSTS SEEMS LOW/LOCALIZED ENOUGH
THAT A NEW WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE STORMS THAT SPREAD ACROSS THE ATLANTA
AREA HAVE GENERALLY DISSIPATED...WITH STRONGEST STORMS NOW OCCURRING
IN A NARROW LINE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SURFACE COLD POOL
APPROACHING THE AUGUSTA GA AREA.
TRENDS IN LIGHTNING...RADAR AND
SATELLITE DATA ALL INDICATE STEADY WEAKENING OF CONVECTIVE SYSTEM
OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. WESTERLY AMBIENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF
THE COLD POOL IS NOT OPTIMAL...BUT GIVEN THE 35-40 KT EAST
SOUTHEASTERLY PROPAGATION OF THE COLD POOL...SYSTEM RELATIVE INFLOW
COULD STILL BE STRONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW AT LEAST A BRIEF FLARE UP OF
STORMS ACROSS AND EAST SOUTHEAST OF AUGUSTA THROUGH THE 03-04Z TIME
FRAME. THE REMNANT MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS ACROSS THIS
REGION...NEAR THE LEE SURFACE TROUGH...DOES NOT APPEAR IMPACTED
SUBSTANTIALLY BY PRIOR CONVECTION...THOUGH INHIBITION IS PROBABLY
INCREASING WITH GRADUAL SURFACE COOLING.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758
108. Thunderfan
2:10 AM GMT on June 06, 2014
Cells seem slightly weaker on radar, but there is a warning north of hear. If they hold together, definitely heading this way. I don't anticipate it being too bad.
Member Since: April 14, 2012 Posts: 3 Comments: 758

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