Erika Penultimate Track & Possible Strength

By: TXCWC, 12:24 AM GMT on August 27, 2015

The future track of Erika has become much clearer throughout the day. Before showing my updated Penultimate (next to last, immediately before) Track Cone let's take a look at the initial Preliminary track I posted just as 98L became Erika

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After observing all the major operational afternoon forecast model runs I have access to (EURO / GFS / GEM) as well as latest consensus hurricane model tracks, it is now clear that the Gulf of Mexi...


Updated: 7:22 AM GMT on August 27, 2015


By: TXCWC, 5:46 AM GMT on August 26, 2015

Erika is not currently well and she may not ever be FULLY healthy (if some forecast models get their way). But don't take my word for it, see for yourself.

This is not a picture of a very healthy storm

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What are her issues? Maybe the better question is what issues does she not have currently?

As mentioned in last nights blog post, I did not feel that then 98L had a very well organized core structure. It...

Hurricane Flood

ERIKA coming / Preliminary Track Cone

By: TXCWC, 3:20 AM GMT on August 25, 2015

Before we get started let me be upfront in stating the National Hurricane Center and Local National Weather Service Offices should be looked upon as the offical expert weather authorities not me or this blog. I am a weather enthusiast who is interested in providing his own opinion, observations, and comparing them to the experts and seeing how I stack up in the end. With that said, I do believe I have picked up a few things in my observational time and have at least...


Updated: 7:26 AM GMT on August 25, 2015

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Weather Enthusiast with a focus on Tropics and TX Winter Events. Sharing his thoughts and seeing how he stacks up with the experts.

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