Professional Forecaster experience since 1977, concentrating in Aviation, Tropical and Long Range forecasting.
By: Steve Gregory, 5:57 PM GMT on May 06, 2015
INVEST 90L MAY EVOLVE INTO SUB-TROPICAL BUT ODDS AGAINST IT
(Next Regular WX Update THU – MAY 7)
The NHC has designated the disturbance off the Florida coast as INVEST 90L as expected, and they give it a 60% probability of becoming a sub-tropical or Tropical cyclone during the next few days. IMHO, I doubt it will actually justify the designation which NHC seems determined to make. Regardless, the system i...
By: Steve Gregory, 8:29 PM GMT on May 04, 2015
Major Pattern Shift Completed – Potential Sub-Tropical Cyclone
Warm Week Ahead
WILL HAVE AN UPDATE ON INVEST 90L AROUND 1PM CDT)
(Next REGULAR Update THU – MAY 7)
The pattern change that began a week ago has completed, with the main long wave TROF now over the western US and a broad, low amplitude ridge over the southeastern US. This general flow pattern will bring above normal readings from the Gr...
Updated: 5:03 PM GMT on May 06, 2015
By: Steve Gregory, 7:59 PM GMT on April 30, 2015
Cool Temps in the east to Warm during the Week Ahead
(Next Update MON – MAY 4)
As the upper low/TROF in the Northeast weakens and the TROF in the EPAC moves into the western US, the Ridge over the Rockies will shift eastward into the central US and amplify - bringing above normal Temps to much of the nation through next week.
The global models are in reasonably good agreement on maintaining a TROF near ...
Updated: 8:16 PM GMT on April 30, 2015
By: Steve Gregory, 6:51 PM GMT on April 27, 2015
Warmer Weather on the Way in the East
Cool in the east – Severe WX in the South this Week
(Next Update THU - 30APR)
The large upper Low over Southeast Canada / New England is drifting slowly eastward while the next short wave over the southern Rockies heads eastward generating scattered severe T-Storms over the western Gulf coast which will advance slowly eastward this week as a storm center forms near the Georgi...
Updated: 6:59 PM GMT on April 27, 2015
By: Steve Gregory, 7:56 PM GMT on April 23, 2015
Cold Temps in the East to warm during Week 2
A large-scale & quasi-stationary upper Low over Southeast Canada will keep an unseasonably cold flow into the eastern US during the next week – but much milder conditions should emerge during Week 2. Two potential coast storms are expected to develop over the southeast US during the next week keeping afternoon Temps well below normal across portions of the Gulf coast states and so...
Updated: 8:10 PM GMT on April 23, 2015