Edouard Goes Inland

By: Skyepony , 3:19 AM GMT on July 26, 2008

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A new invest fresh off the coast of Africa..would have had 2 more passes by now, may be dropped.
06/2345 UTC 11.5N 22.6W T1.0/1.0 INVEST



Edouard~ 30kts



DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
05/1745 UTC 30.3N 95.0W OVERLAND EDOUARD
05/1145 UTC 29.6N 94.2W T3.5/3.5 EDOUARD
05/0545 UTC 28.8N 92.7W T3.0/3.0 EDOUARD
04/2345 UTC 28.4N 91.6W T3.0/3.0 EDOUARD
04/2345 UTC 21.7N 62.5W T1.0/1.0 99L
04/1745 UTC 28.2N 91.0W T3.0/3.0 EDOUARD
04/1745 UTC 21.6N 61.6W TOO WEAK 99L
04/1145 UTC 20.4N 59.0W TOO WEAK 99L
04/1145 UTC 28.3N 90.1W T2.5/2.5 EDOUARD
04/0545 UTC 19.8N 55.3W T1.0/1.0 99L
04/0545 UTC 28.2N 89.7W T2.0/2.0 EDOUARD
03/2345 UTC 28.1N 88.3W T2.0/2.0 EDOUARD
03/2345 UTC 19.4N 53.7W T1.0/1.0 99L
03/1745 UTC 28.4N 87.8W T1.5/1.5 91L
03/1745 UTC 19.4N 52.4W T1.0/1.0 99L
03/1145 UTC 28.2N 86.4W T1.5/1.5 91L
03/1145 UTC 18.7N 50.0W T1.0/1.0 99L
03/0545 UTC 28.2N 86.7W T1.5/1.5 91L
03/0545 UTC 11.9N 34.0W T1.0/1.0 90L
03/0545 UTC 18.3N 48.4W TOO WEAK 99L
02/2345 UTC 11.6N 32.1W T1.0/1.0 90L
02/2345 UTC 18.5N 46.2W TOO WEAK 99L
02/2345 UTC 27.7N 88.8W T1.0/1.0 91L
02/1745 UTC 18.6N 44.3W T1.0/1.0 99L
02/1745 UTC 11.4N 29.4W T1.0/1.0 90L
02/1145 UTC 18.5N 42.6W T1.0/1.0 99L
02/1145 UTC 11.4N 27.4W TOO WEAK 90L
02/0545 UTC 18.5N 40.7W TOO WEAK 99L
01/2345 UTC 18.4N 38.7W TOO WEAK 99L
01/1745 UTC 18.2N 36.9W TOO WEAK 99L
01/1145 UTC 18.6N 35.4W TOO WEAK 99L
01/1145 UTC 18.6N 35.4W TOO WEAK 98L
01/0600 UTC 18.5N 33.5W TOO WEAK 98L
31/1145 UTC 17.8N 26.8W TOO WEAK 98L
31/0545 UTC 17.7N 25.1W T1.0/1.5 98L
31/0000 UTC 16.8N 23.1W T1.0/1.5 98L
30/1745 UTC 16.0N 21.6W T1.5/1.5 98L
30/1145 UTC 15.1N 19.9W T1.5/1.5 98L
30/0600 UTC 14.4N 18.8W T1.5/1.5 98L
30/0000 UTC 13.4N 17.6W T1.0/1.0 98L
30/0000 UTC 13.4N 17.6W TOO WEAK INVEST
29/1730 UTC 12.2N 16.9W TOO WEAK INVEST
29/1200 UTC 11.3N 16.6W TOO WEAK INVEST
29/0600 UTC 9.7N 16.2W TOO WEAK INVEST
29/0000 UTC 9.4N 15.8W TOO WEAK INV


East Pacific

06E~ Hernan~ 45kts 1000mb


Central Pacific
01C ~ Kika~ 35kts 1008mb should go well south of Hawaii

West Pacific

10W~ Kammuri ~35kts 996mb



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Plant seeds through the weekend with the new moon. Central FL This is the time to start the summer/fall garden. Pole beans, squash, pumpkin, eggplant, corn & celery. FL planting guide.

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Edouard's Rainbow (ReginaTX)
Thank God for Edouard and a very FEW drops of rain. I see my fellow Mesquite resident also captured this beauty this evening. Pics don't do this one justice - it was simply spectacular.
Edouard's Rainbow

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129. Skyepony
4:12 AM GMT on August 09, 2008
Wow that's quite a parade.. I'll have to make a new blog, Edouard is gone.

Oh & the MJO..eeekkk it's coming across the middle at us..

LOL Mobal
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
128. mobal
12:02 AM GMT on August 09, 2008
Sky, Nub yea, Mean it!....LMAO
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 482 Comments: 5333
127. LowerCal
8:05 PM GMT on August 08, 2008
You and the little ones stay safe, Skye.

The next time you can stick your head up you could add 93C, 94E, 95E and 96E to the tropics. 96E looks like the one for Mexico to keep an eye on.

Today's Puzzle - Where in the world is MJO?



Extra Credit: Where will it be next week?

;^)
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 59 Comments: 9683
126. Skyepony
4:52 PM GMT on August 08, 2008
More extreme lightnin. See Ya'll...
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
125. Skyepony
1:23 PM GMT on August 08, 2008
That one lastest several hours, well after midnight. Lightning was crazy, over 2 inch of rain. & the wind...had a lotta corn down.. Worst one in a while.


I wonder what's up with all the lightning on the radar this morning. Ya'll getting dry lightning out there??
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
124. Skyepony
1:30 AM GMT on August 08, 2008
That last storm was a Melbourne roundabout. Palm Bay & Beach side pumbled. There's one coming now. LOoks to be nasty, shutting down. May bbl.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
123. psualum95
10:33 PM GMT on August 07, 2008
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
630 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 715 PM EDT


* AT 630 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CAMP HOLLY FISH CAMP...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
PALM BAY...WEST MELBOURNE...MELBOURNE BEACH...MELBOURNE...
MALABAR...INDIAN HARBOUR BEACH AND INDIALANTIC


SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
Member Since: August 2, 2005 Posts: 17 Comments: 7985
122. auburn (Mod)
7:03 PM GMT on August 07, 2008
Forecasters increase Atlantic hurricane outlook
Published: 8/7/08, 2:05 PM EDT

MIAMI (AP) - Federal forecasters say there is an even higher chance that this Atlantic hurricane season will be busier than normal.

In an update released Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration now projects an 85 percent probability of an above-normal season - up from 65 percent in May.

The update says there is a better than average chance of 14 to 18 named storms, seven to 10 hurricanes and three to six hurricanes of at least Category 3 strength.

That is for the whole season that ends Nov. 30 and includes the five storms that have formed so far.


In May, the outlook called for 12 to 16 named storms, six to nine hurricanes and two to five major ones. An average season has 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 548 Comments: 51367
121. psualum95
6:34 PM GMT on August 07, 2008
ESPI-

08/01 -0.95
08/03 -0.87
08/05 -0.80
08/07 -0.88

With me working on the East side of Orlando and now with limited time, unless I see a dramatic move, I will now only update it EVERY OTHER DAY :)

Link
Member Since: August 2, 2005 Posts: 17 Comments: 7985
120. Skyepony
3:37 PM GMT on August 07, 2008
Good Morning everyone..

Thanks for the tunes Aqua:) Who needs video when your checkin out the weather, the music is all that matters..


Other than keeping an eye on the Bahamas swirl all is super quiet on the Atlantic. It's the rest of the worlds turn. Named storm in the East, central & West Pacific..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
119. aquak9
11:59 PM GMT on August 06, 2008
Hi Skye. No video really, but the music...ahhh...to me it sounds like cold sweet orange juice on a hot day.

I'm not one to trash your blog with youtubes, but this gentle reprieve, I had to share. Hope you enjoy it.

Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 192 Comments: 27552
118. Skyepony
5:26 PM GMT on August 06, 2008
The WUnderphotos are pretty impressive at the moment from Edouard. Alotta rainbows. Look like a welcomed storm. The one I picked. I wonder if Humberto did that to the powerlines. Many around here look like that.

Anyway could have gone in more depth & looked a little more North this morning. The tropical wave that is over Columbia, S. America extends straight N with the swirl over the Bahamas moving toward SFL being 1/2 of the blob formerly known as 99L (which was 1/2 of 98L). That swirl & the area off the Carolinas that is flaring up today, are all associaed with that wave of energy. The one off the Carolinas is suppose to stay cold core by any model that sees it but looks suspishily a little like those storms that would form off NC & hit Ireland & Europe in 2006. As for the swirl headed toward SFL.. It should have a front to deal with, probibly over FL which was the base of the outside chance to spin one weak on FL & off to the NE scenerio I touched on earlier. Shear & conditions will play a big part. Unforchanately the big cooling upwelling that occured along the SE coast is beginning to fade.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
117. Skyepony
2:17 PM GMT on August 06, 2008
Good morning everyone, as soon as I began an update lastnight the teething started. Thanks for wish of blissful sleep Redhead. I hope perhaps tonight.

Wabit~ I caught your area on the national news. What a storm. This year has brought more tornados to more large citys..

Emmy~ thanks so much for the update. Absolutely wonderful to see Edouard turned out to be a blessing of a storm for you. So glad he raked along LA & never got too strong. Really been a trend so far this year. Hope it holds as ENSO continues to wildly shift the other way.

Rainman~ Thanks for the wrap up. The ISS pic got several wows here. They had some nice TRMM passes too.

Edouard news..

Glad to see the Atlantic blob that was lurking around out there lastnight failed to thrive. The only thing I see may be coming & it's a bit of an outside chance at this point is a system forming on the tail of the next front, maybe over FL, kick off into the Atlantic~ TD at the worse & then strengthen as it moves of to the NE. Something to watch, if it started a little more west could be worse or nothing could form...
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
116. whitewabit (Mod)
5:41 AM GMT on August 06, 2008
Rainman ... as always I enjoy your maps and the captions with them !!!
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 34532
115. whitewabit (Mod)
5:31 AM GMT on August 06, 2008
we had more damage up here from the storm that blew through Chicago last nite and then here around 5 am...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 34532
114. whitewabit (Mod)
5:27 AM GMT on August 06, 2008
Emmy ... glad you and the area got the much needed rain...lol now you'll need to mow the weeds...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 34532
113. Redhead
4:27 AM GMT on August 06, 2008


{{{Skye}}}
Member Since: April 29, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 7042
112. EmmyRose
8:47 PM GMT on August 05, 2008
We are blessed with the rain we desperately needed.
Some of the area got 6 inches, some 4 1/2, some not a drop. Baytown and Beaumont got it the worst

Bands are coming in and out near the bay.
We are downgraded to a depression.

Only one tree fell in Galveston, I believe on a golf course.

We were very fortunate. So far.

Thats the latest update at 3.30

Member Since: July 15, 2005 Posts: 347 Comments: 76406
111. whitewabit (Mod)
8:40 PM GMT on August 05, 2008
Edouard is a much welcomed rain event for Texas as that area of landfall was in moderate to exceptional drought...and Edouard will move through that area for the next 36-48 hours...

might see rainfall of 4-6 inches inland...

the area north and northeast of Houston, Tx has recieved up to 6 inches of rain and its not over yet...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 34532
110. Rainman32
7:34 PM GMT on August 05, 2008
Good Afternoon! (88.2°F)

An Edouard wrapup with an awesome pic from the ISS and TRMM synopsis, Todays Sat Pics O' The Day!


Edouard in the Gulf



This image, taken from aboard the International Space Station flight engineer Greg Chamitoff, is of Tropical Storm Edouard as it moved westward along the northern edge of the Gulf of Mexico on the morning of Monday, Aug. 4, 2008 .

According to the Associated Press, the storm "hit the Texas Gulf coast east of Galveston on Tuesday with strong winds and rain but was expected to weaken as it makes its way inland during the day."

Image Credit: NASA

» Full Size » 1600x1200 » 1024x768 » 800x600


UPDATE 5 AUGUST 2008
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD MAKES LANDFALL


Tropical Storm EDOUARD came ashore in the northwestern Gulf Coast without becoming a hurricane. The image on the right was made using data from the TRMM satellite when it was passing over EDOUARD on 5 August 2008 at 1111 UTC ( 6:11 CTD).

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4 AUGUST 2008
TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD FORMS IN THE GULF, HEADS FOR NORTH TEXAS

Texas has seen its share of tropical weather recently. Less than two weeks ago, Hurricane Dolly made landfall in South Texas as a category 2 storm with sustained winds of 100 mph. This week the latest tropical storm, Edouard, is expected to make landfall in North Texas. Edouard began as a tropical depression that formed in the northern Gulf of Mexico on the evening of August 3rd, 2008 about 85 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River. Tropical cyclones get their energy from the latent heat condensation, which is released in abundance inside of deep growing convective clouds (i.e., thunderstorms or thundershowers). Oftentimes in the Tropics, tropical cyclones originate when a pre-existing disturbance or low pressure center is able to tap into heating provided by a cluster of smaller scale convective storms, as was the case with Edouard.


The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission satellite (also known as TRMM) has been in service for over 10 years now and continues to provide valuable images and information on tropical cyclones around the Tropics using a combination of passive microwave and active radar sensors, including the first precipitation radar in space. This first image was captured by TRMM at 06:32 UTC (1:32 am CDT) 3 August 2008. It shows an area of light to moderate rainfall (blue and green areas, respectively) associated with a group of thunderstorms in the northeastern Gulf of Mexico south of Alabama. Rain rates in the center swath are based on the TRMM Precipitation Radar (PR), and those in the outer swath on the TRMM Microwave Imager (TMI). The rain rates are overlaid on infrared (IR) data from the TRMM Visible Infrared Scanner (VIRS). Within the day, this area of storms would organize into the fifth tropical depression of the Atlantic season, TD #5, the pre-cursor to Edouard.


After forming southeast of the Mississippi Delta, TD #5 was quickly upgraded to a tropical storm on the afternoon of the 3rd and given the name Edouard. As with the earlier disturbance, Edouard continued moving westward around the southern periphery of an area of mid to upper-level high pressure located over the south-central US. The second image was taken at 12:09 UTC (7:09 am CDT) 4 August 2008.
It shows a much different looking storm. Besides the enhanced detail provided by the PR, the areas of rain are now clearly organized into banded structures that spiral in towards the center. This is a result of the rainbands feeling the effects of Edouard's growing cyclonic circulation within which they are embedded. At the time of this image, Edouard was a minimal tropical storm with maximum sustained winds reported at 45 knots (52 mph) by the National Hurricane Center. Edouard is expected to continue off to the west-northwest towards the northern Gulf coast of Texas and to gain some strength. It could become a minimal hurricane before making landfall in the vicinity of Galveston Bay, TX.
Images by Hal Pierce (SSAI/NASA GSFC) and caption by Steve Lang (SSAI/NASA GSFC)

The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) is a joint mission between NASA and the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) designed to monitor and study tropical rainfall.



Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
109. Skyepony
12:11 PM GMT on August 05, 2008
The HH went home..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
108. Skyepony
12:10 PM GMT on August 05, 2008
AT 700 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EDOUARD WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST. THIS
POSITION IS ON THE UPPER TEXAS COAST ABOUT HALFWAY BETWEEN HIGH
ISLAND AND SABINE PASS IN THE MCFADDIN NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE.

That's within 30 miles of Galvanston. & those in Galvanston are about to take the brunt..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
107. Skyepony
11:09 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
oops.. that should have been 996mb. They just found a 63kt surface wind. almost a hurricane.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
106. Skyepony
10:46 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
1000mb & 62 knots (~ 71.3 mph) at the surface
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
105. Skyepony
10:29 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
Good morning everyone..

EDOUARD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EDOUARD IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR
OVER THE UPPER TEXAS OR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA COASTS BY MIDDAY
TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL
AND EDOUARD COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BY THE TIME ITS
CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

recon is almost to the center.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
104. Skyepony
5:40 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
~28.98N 92.82W 997.5mb

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
103. Skyepony
4:30 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
Hurricane Reconnaissance AF302 is now enroute.. It's so close they only go to 10000'.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
102. Skyepony
1:00 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
excellent....
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
101. Skyepony
12:59 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
They finished the flight on their doorstep. Recon should be back out before 2am eastern time~ 6gmt
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
100. Rainman32
12:58 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
I didn't even notice until I read your post Skye, Thanks. most of these links are good, look at the time, it is currently 00:58 UTC, if you find ones that say 21:somethin they are old.

Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
99. Rainman32
12:55 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
Good Evening! (81.1°F)


As promised, here is a collection of some of the best Sat views for watching Edouard as it approaches overnight. The selections were chosen for excellent quality, High Resolution, or particularly good night viewing, The Special Sat Pics O' The Evening


NGULF - Earth Scan Laboratory, LSU

Texas Meteorological Satellite Images




NexSat, NRL/NPOESS Next-Generation Weather Satellite Demonstration Project

NOAA's National Weather Service
Aviation Digital Data Service (ADDS)


College of DuPage Next Generation Weather Lab













Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
98. Skyepony
12:35 AM GMT on August 05, 2008

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 5th day of the month at 00:12Z
Corrected: This observation corrected a previous observation.
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Mission: Non-Tasked Mission, possibly not tropical (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Identifier: Edouard1
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 21
A. Time of Center Fix: 4th day of the month at 23:50:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°26'N 91°36'W (28.43N 91.60W)
B. Center Fix Location: 126 miles (203 km) between the SSE and S (168°) from Lafayette, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,419m (4,656ft) at an unspecified standard level
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 42kts (~ 48.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 45 nautical miles (52 statute miles) to the NW (307°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 77° at 45kts (From the ENE at ~ 51.8mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 70 nautical miles (81 statute miles) to the NW (309°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 999mb (29.50 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,573m (5,161ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,490m (4,888ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 17°C (63°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 19°C (66°F) which was observed 6 nautical miles to the WNW (300°) from the flight level center
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
MAX FL WIND AND MAX OUTBOUND WIND 61 KT NE QUAD 23:59:30 Z

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
97. Skyepony
12:06 AM GMT on August 05, 2008
Recon center fix 999.4 ~28.42N 91.57W 47 knots (~ 54.0 mph) coming out.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
96. Skyepony
11:25 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 4th day of the month at 22:43Z
Corrected: This observation corrected a previously corrected observation.
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Mission: Non-Tasked Mission, possibly not tropical (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Identifier: Edouard1
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 17
A. Time of Center Fix: 4th day of the month at 22:18:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°19'N 91°28'W (28.32N 91.47W)
B. Center Fix Location: 135 miles (218 km) to the SSE (166°) from Lafayette, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,423m (4,669ft) at an unspecified standard level
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 32kts (~ 36.8mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 67 nautical miles (77 statute miles) to the NW (307°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 46° at 37kts (From the NE at ~ 42.6mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 54 nautical miles (62 statute miles) to the NW (304°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 999mb (29.50 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,566m (5,138ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,491m (4,892ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.03 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 49kts (~ 56.4mph) in the north quadrant at 21:18:40Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
MAX OUTBOUND WIND 48 KTS AT 22:23:00 Z
RADAR BANDING CONSISTENT WITH FL CENTER FIX POSITION. BAND CONVECTION HAS REDUCED, BUT ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
95. Skyepony
11:22 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
There's a bit of satalite trouble LSU is near real time & still working.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
94. Skyepony
10:26 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
Here's the vort message from the last one with the 999.9mb

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 4th day of the month at 21:14Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Mission: Non-Tasked Mission, possibly not tropical (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Identifier: Edouard1
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 13
A. Time of Center Fix: 4th day of the month at 20:44:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°12'N 91°30'W (28.20N 91.50W)
B. Center Fix Location: 143 miles (230 km) to the SSE (167°) from Lafayette, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,427m (4,682ft) at an unspecified standard level
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 34kts (~ 39.1mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles) to the SW (228°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 307° at 39kts (From the NW at ~ 44.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 33 nautical miles (38 statute miles) to the SW (228°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 999mb (29.50 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,560m (5,118ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,505m (4,938ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 47kts (~ 54.1mph) in the northwest quadrant at 19:08:30Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
RADAR INDICATES CIRCULAR BANDING CONSISTENT WITH FIX ON EAST SIDE, 25 PERCENT COMPLETE.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
93. Skyepony
9:20 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
Hey Rainman~ I'll be looking forward to it. Tonight is one worth watching.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
92. Skyepony
9:19 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
I see the temp differnce is a little larger again. 999.9mb on the last pass. Another round of slight strengthening. Latest votex message... also notice line G, the area of winds have really grown today.

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 4th day of the month at 19:33Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Mission: Non-Tasked Mission, possibly not tropical (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Identifier: Edouard1
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 07
A. Time of Center Fix: 4th day of the month at 18:56:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°16'N 91°13'W (28.27N 91.22W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 137 miles (221 km) to the SSW (211°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,436m (4,711ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 35kts (~ 40.3mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 81 nautical miles (93 statute miles) to the SE (131°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 226° at 43kts (From the SW at ~ 49.5mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 63 nautical miles (72 statute miles) to the SE (130°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1001mb (29.56 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,553m (5,095ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,501m (4,925ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.05 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 47 KT NW QUAD 19:08:30 Z

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
91. Rainman32
6:50 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
Good Afternoon! (90.1°F)


I will be back later with a ollection of the best Sat views for watching Edouard as it approaches overnight. For now from NOAA/NESDIS Operational Significant Event Imagery and NOAA Environmental Visualization Program, Today's Sat Pics O' The Day





Tropical Storm Edouard regional imagery, 2008.08.04 at 1615Z.
Centerpoint Latitude: 27:54:33N Longitude: 90:29:08W.



Data Elements: Tropical Storm Edouard is moving west at 8 mph. There is a 20% chance that Edouard will reach hurricane status before landfall.
Observation Device: GOES-12 1 km visible imagery.
Visualization Date: August 4, 2008 13:02:08
Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
90. Skyepony
6:39 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
I've noticed 2 things here. The winds are pretty much worked their way down without a huge increase up higher (they are back to flying ~5000') & early this morning the temp inside to outside the center was 4º differnce now it is 2º. So we had a little intensification but perhaps that is leveling off a little for now, probibly due to the heat of the day. Can't say I expect any rapid intensification to happen this afternoon.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
89. Skyepony
6:32 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
PSU~ Definately the warm side of neutral.

TornadoFan~ Thanks for coming by:)

here's the vortex message from the last pass.

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 4th day of the month at 17:32Z
Corrected: This observation corrected a previous observation.
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Mission: Non-Tasked Mission, possibly not tropical (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Identifier: Edouard1
Mission Number: 3
Observation Number: 02
A. Time of Center Fix: 4th day of the month at 17:06:20Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°16'N 90°55'W (28.27N 90.92W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 129 miles (207 km) to the SSW (204°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,440m (4,724ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 41kts (~ 47.2mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 53 nautical miles (61 statute miles) to the NE (37°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 114° at 46kts (From the ESE at ~ 52.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 31 nautical miles (36 statute miles) to the NNE (31°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1001mb (29.56 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,556m (5,105ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,512m (4,961ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 16°C (61°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 46kts (~ 52.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 16:56:50Z

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
88. tornadofan
5:42 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
Just dropping in to say "Thanks" for all your recon reports here and in Doc Master's blog. It sure makes it easier to follow when surfing between tasks at work.
Member Since: April 5, 2007 Posts: 83 Comments: 12345
87. Skyepony
5:33 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
AF308 is back in Edouard. First pass shows he's strengthened a little 1000.1mb, 56 knots ~ 64.4 mph. Looks like they chucked a dropsonde in him.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
86. psualum95
5:27 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
18MAY2008_-0.3 _0.0 -0.6 -0.8
25MAY2008_ 0.1 _0.2 -0.4 -0.6
02JUN2008_ 0.4 _0.4 -0.4 -0.6
09JUN2008_ 0.5 _0.3 -0.3 -0.6
16JUN2008_ 0.5 _0.2 -0.4 -0.6
23JUN2008_ 0.4 _0.0 -0.4 -0.6
30JUN2008_ 0.4 _0.0 -0.3 -0.5
07JUL2008_ 0.4 _0.4 -0.1 -0.4
14JUL2008_ 0.6 _0.5 0.1 -0.3
21JUL2008_ 0.9 _0.6 _0.2 -0.3
28JUL2008_ 1.0 _0.5 _0.1 -0.3
04AUG2008_ 0.9 _0.6 _0.2 -0.3

REGION 1.2 decreased .1
REGION 3 increased .1
REGION 3.4 increased .1
REGION 4 REMAINED THE SAME
Member Since: August 2, 2005 Posts: 17 Comments: 7985
85. Skyepony
1:41 PM GMT on August 04, 2008
Good Morning again.. hey aquak9. So far so good. 1002mb, ~28.12N 90.27W, ~50mph flight wind has been the only pass & highlight since the last time I was in here. Those guys have been flying him a while now.

Gotta alotta energy from the severe storms in the midwest yesterday. It's moving down, infront of the storm in an inhancing manner. Help cut off the worst of the dry air too. If I had to choose a landfall town I'd go with Galvaston, TX. Looking at it pulling together this morning I wanna say Cat 1, could be a strong tropical storm. I'd be prepared for some last minute boarding up & certainly have provisions ready for loss of power. Please refure to slosh for your storm surge prediction needs.

On a last check of the hunters...they went home. Next ones ~4hrs from now. Here's the vortex message from the last pass.

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 4th day of the month at 11:22Z
Corrected: This observation corrected a previous observation.
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number & Year: 05L in 2008
Storm Name: Edouard (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 15
A. Time of Center Fix: 4th day of the month at 11:02:20Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°07'N 90°14'W (28.12N 90.23W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 129 miles (207 km) to the S (185°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,445m (4,741ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: Not Available
E. Bearing & Range from Center of Estimated Maximum Surface Wind (Undecoded): 0NA deg 000 nm
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 41° at 31kts (From the NE at ~ 35.7mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 48 nautical miles (55 statute miles) to the WNW (301°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1002mb (29.59 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,526m (5,007ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 20°C (68°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,531m (5,023ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 15°C (59°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 45 KT NE QUAD 11:11:20 Z

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
84. aquak9
10:29 AM GMT on August 04, 2008
Thanks for the wake-up call, D-fly.

Keep it weak, Skye. Don't want no surprises in the next 36-48 hours.

Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 192 Comments: 27552
83. Skyepony
10:12 AM GMT on August 04, 2008
Okay yeah, fell out there.. But thank D-fly for a real early morning update.

They are still out there. map Started out much weakend from when they left before. 1st pass~ 1006mb, 2nd~ 1003mb, 3rd~ 1002mb with last center ~28.00N 90.07W. Some 41kt (47.1 mph) flight level has been the highest so far & that was last time out. They are headed in again now. As wabit pointed out, the SFMR looks broke. Glad to see Ed struggle..


Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 4th day of the month at 09:32Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number: 05
Storm Name: Edouard (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 11
A. Time of Center Fix: 4th day of the month at 8:54:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 28°00'N 90°04'W (28.00N 90.07W)
B. Center Fix Location: 136 miles (220 km) to the S (180°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,441m (4,728ft) at 850mb
D & E. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: Not Available
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 356° at 28kts (From the N at ~ 32.2mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the W (265°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1002mb (29.59 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 17°C (63°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
MAX OUTBOUND AND MAX FL WIND 42 KT NE QUAD 09:17:00 Z

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 41002
82. whitewabit (Mod)
5:21 AM GMT on August 04, 2008
the SFMR looks awful shakey...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 34532
81. whitewabit (Mod)
4:51 AM GMT on August 04, 2008
I wanna see what the pressure is...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 34532
80. shoreacres
4:50 AM GMT on August 04, 2008
Uh... at least part of Texas is awake!
Member Since: October 4, 2004 Posts: 205 Comments: 15288
79. whitewabit (Mod)
4:48 AM GMT on August 04, 2008
going in on first pass at 5k...your right Skye...be there very soon...24 kts so far...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 372 Comments: 34532

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Elevation: 29 ft
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