Cyclone Yemyin & Weather News

By: Skyepony , 2:15 PM GMT on June 23, 2007

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Deadly Floods Swamp English Cities

Texas Summer Storm Brings Flooding Rain, Tornado

Canada Heat wave

CA fire update

Southeast Europe heat wave leaves 38 dead, brings brush fires, power cuts

Cyclone on Pakistan's Coast Kills 10

yeaterday's news



CA~ Wildfire claims 220 homes

UK~ Hundreds flee homes in dam burst fear

Hunting Hurricanes: NASA Seeks Answers in African Dust

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NHC Tropical Disscusion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger


Local Hazards
Wind & Sea....Rip Current.....Fire weather......Lightning.......Severe Hail.....Severe Winds.....Tornados




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook


Watching for rain..

click map to go interactive







Wed & Thursday could see widespread rain with an incoming tropical wave, east coast looking at best chance. Cooler cause of clouds.

Friday rain chances return to scattered as the 1st wave exits.

Sat & Sunday unsure here~ either seabreezes stacking on the east coast as a weak front comes through or dry as a tropical system forms out of the tropical wave currently near Puerto Rico, just east of FL, then recurves taking the moisture with it. See CMC.


Tropically around the Western Hemisphere~ invest 93E in the EPAC & the wave who's moisture is currently north of PR.
.



click maps to make bigger

Surfers & Surge
cool wave watch graphic.
NOAA Wave Watch III
Storm surge threat model...Always wondered if or how vulnerable your or friend's place would be to surge? Covers Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie & Martin Counties.


Radar/Satellite/Microwave
Melbourne NEXRAD Radar
NOAA Satellite Services ~ I like the RGB by day, rainbow at night with some Water Vapor thrown in once in a while.
Good place to keep up with invests.

Models~
Local Meso Model (well it covers most the state)~ lots of informative blue bars, each a different model, above it to click on too. Forecasts weather for the nexr 24 hrs.
FSU Model page
Shear loop .
Comparing different models shear, steering & percipitation loops.

Click to make maps bigger.

STEERING CURRENTS


HAZARDS


Tropical Depression Probibility


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EPAC

93E~ 20kts 1008mb looking less healthy, the models aren't as aggressive with this one.


Indian Ocean

96B~ 25kts 1004mb strengthened a little overnight

03B Cyclone Yemyin~ 25kts 1005mb~ dying overland



more in the comments..

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~
Updated June 25th~ weekly is out. Their summary changed from ENSO neutral conditions are likely to continue during the next 3 months to dynamic models call for rapid transition to La Nina where statistical models & recent trends in surface & subsurface tempuratures suggest either a slower evolution to La Nina or the continuation of ENSO neutral conditions.


Regions 1&2 dropped .1 to -1.1, regions 3 droppped from -.4 to -.5, while 3,4 fell .1 to .1 & region 4 is down .5 to .4

Officially looking at only region 3,4~ We are now barely on the warm side of neutral~ good news for cane season if this trend holds, don't think it will.

Looking at it through the depths of the water the cool pool has lost some punch too. Interesting to note is the possible new pools of cooler water forming.

ESPI dropped from -0.62 to -1.23 for the last weeks for the last 30 days. I'm sticking with my forecast that was a warm mini peak in a continued trend downward~ More cooling should continue. Make it to La Nina? we will see.

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49. oakland
7:53 PM GMT on June 27, 2007
Dazzle your space at DazzleJunction.com

Hello Comments - DazzleJunction.com
Member Since: September 4, 2005 Posts: 41 Comments: 7526
48. Skyepony
7:02 PM GMT on June 27, 2007
Thanks for stoppping by ya'll. The beach was fun. 3 1/2' waves, tide out, the moderate hazard of rips is warrented...

& wow how about that CMC~ TS or TD on us in 48hrs... Not completely unbelievable looking at the satalite either. Enjoy the last bit of dry air for a few days, here comes the moist.



The gem model develops it too, just in 48 hrs a little farther out & 1008mb instead of ~1000mb.


Models just don't agree what the shear is gonna do the next few days either.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
47. Hurricaneblast
1:57 PM GMT on June 27, 2007
bump
Member Since: February 14, 2006 Posts: 161 Comments: 3626
46. reeldrlaura
12:05 PM GMT on June 27, 2007
Mornin {{Skye}}

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
Member Since: July 31, 2005 Posts: 93 Comments: 6007
45. Gatorxgrrrl
12:01 PM GMT on June 27, 2007
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 70 Comments: 15599
44. Skyepony
11:43 AM GMT on June 27, 2007
Good Morning All~ {{Rays}}

HadesGodWyvern~ Several news reports refure to the cyclone as Yemyin, since the India Meteorological Department wasn't online a bit i figured they got the info straight from the source, you may be right though, might have never been named officially by anyone other than the media.

Either way glad to see it weaken 20kts 1007mb.

Been training light rain here:)) .08" so far, the nice soaking veriety.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
43. Raysfan70
10:42 AM GMT on June 27, 2007
Good Morning {{Skye}}!
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
42. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
4:41 AM GMT on June 27, 2007
so you don't get confused later, the India Meteorological Department never did upgrade 03B to Yemyin.. so that name will likely be used for the next cyclone.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45290
41. Skyepony
3:28 AM GMT on June 27, 2007
TRMM rainfall for the last week

linked to larger
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
40. Skyepony
1:06 PM GMT on June 26, 2007
Good morning {{Rays}}} & all.. quick up date on 03B



looks pretty healthy for being on land. Weakend slightly to 40kts 993mb.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
39. Raysfan70
10:23 AM GMT on June 26, 2007
Good Morning {{Skye}}!
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
38. Skyepony
3:49 AM GMT on June 26, 2007
Waves..

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
37. Skyepony
3:46 AM GMT on June 26, 2007
03B
damage


surge (the blue is 1-3 ft)


rainfall
brightest colors are 4-6 inches
red= 2-4"
orange 1-2"
yellow=less than 1"



Link to these
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
36. Skyepony
3:38 AM GMT on June 26, 2007
Rainman~ they know we're on to them;)

Yesterday's & today's local reports.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
746 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2007

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1230 PM LIGHTNING APOPKA 28.69N 81.51W
06/25/2007 ORANGE FL BROADCAST MEDIA

CENTRAL FLORIDA NEWS 13 REPORTED LIGHTNING SPARKED A FIRE
THAT CAUSED HEAVY DAMAGE TO A LARGE HOME. NO INJURIES
WERE REPORTED.

1250 PM HEAVY RAIN PLYMOUTH 28.69N 81.55W
06/25/2007 M1.70 INCH ORANGE FL CO-OP OBSERVER

1.7 INCHES IN 20 MINUTES

0100 PM LIGHTNING DELTONA 28.91N 81.21W
06/25/2007 VOLUSIA FL BROADCAST MEDIA

WKMG CHANNEL 6 REPORTED LIGHTNING STRUCK AND CAUSED HEAVY
DAMAGE TO A HOME AT EDISON TERRACE IN DELTONA. NO
INJURIES WERE REPORTED.


&&

$$

JRC




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


000
NWUS52 KMLB 252328
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
728 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2007

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0630 PM LIGHTNING WINTER SPRINGS 28.68N 81.27W
06/24/2007 SEMINOLE FL NEWSPAPER

FLORIDA TODAY REPORTED LIGHTNING CAUSED A 2-ALARM FIRE
THAT DESTROYED A HOME ON BEAR CREEK CIRCLE IN WINTER
SPRINGS. THE DAMAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT APPROXIMATELY
600,000 DOLLARS. NO INJURIES WERE REPORTED.


&&

$$

JRC




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


000
NWUS52 KMLB 251701
LSRMLB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
101 PM EDT MON JUN 25 2007

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

1250 PM HEAVY RAIN PLYMOUTH 28.69N 81.55W
06/25/2007 M1.70 INCH ORANGE FL CO-OP OBSERVER

1.7 INCHES IN 20 MINUTES


&&

$$

FXD



Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
35. Rainman32
7:51 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
Well conspiracies on hold, sites back up for now...



Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
34. Skyepony
7:16 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
Thanks Michael~ was wondering how we exceeded bandwidth in here..lol. Yes, it is certainly more up to date than what the CPC is showing too. The heat potential one is interesting too, I've noticed a shift the last few weeks from the coolest water being a little north of the equator to right on it now.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
31. Skyepony
6:53 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
I gotta make this quick.

EPAC blob now invest!

Rainman I thought I started that conspiricy group last year during that after the season named storm. Here's your recent quickscat on Nexsat..

{{95}}~ Keeping up on the warnings. Seabreeze maybe getting a little more than scattered..

Laura you guessed my favorate..lol.

Dee~ Lucky!!!!not yet, trying to be hopeful

Michael~ yeah CPC centers on last week. I really wanna see that pic..link?? Pretty please.

{{Wab}}~ this one has killed too many so far.



Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
30. whitewabit (Mod)
5:23 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
03B looks to be getting stronger...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31361
28. stormydee
5:08 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
Hey Skye!!! YAY! Getting rain up here...how you fairing down there?
Member Since: August 25, 2005 Posts: 39 Comments: 517
27. reeldrlaura
4:59 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
Hey Skye.....thanks for stoppin' by my blog.....here's a little cowboy meat for ya!

Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
Member Since: July 31, 2005 Posts: 93 Comments: 6007
26. psualum95
4:15 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1154 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2007

FLZ044-045-144-251630-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
1154 AM EDT MON JUN 25 2007

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING EASTERN LAKE COUNTY...NORTHWESTERN
ORANGE COUNTY...

AT 1142 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG STORMS OVER ZELLWOOD AND MOUNT DORA...LITTLE MOTION IS
INDICATED.

THESE STORMS WILL DRIFT TOWARDS LAKE APOPKA. FREQUENT LIGHTNING
STRIKES...WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH
ABOUT 1230 PM BEFORE THE STORMS START TO WEAKEN.
Member Since: August 2, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 7361
25. Rainman32
2:55 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
Good Morning Skye! Well as the main QuikSCAT site is still down and my conspiracy theorists are becoming more convinced, I have another backup to use:

NOAA CoastWatch: Recent SeaWinds wind Data



Looks like the Bahamian swirly is gone now
Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
24. Skyepony
2:44 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
Quick ENSO teaser~ fell in all regions this week. As expected that was a mini peak in a larger trend down...

Full update in a few hours.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
23. Skyepony
2:42 PM GMT on June 25, 2007
Good morning everyone. I'm up Rays, got some more errands so full update coming this afternoon. As I expected 03B is strengthening. Fresh track



35kts 990mb

Storm coming together just west of me.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
22. Raysfan70
10:29 AM GMT on June 25, 2007
Good Morning {{Skye}}!
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
21. Skyepony
4:02 AM GMT on June 25, 2007
I notice with the late night updates, others on the other side of the world lurk through checking out what's happening on their end while I'm sleeping. This is for you people..

3 links you wanna check while here if your watching a storm is~ the one that's good for keeping up with invests~ you can look at the storms several different ways by clicking on the buttons up top, stick with the green ones, they are taken within the last 6 hrs. Also the steering currents map (I know it is the US) click on that & then the home button, next pic your ocean of choice & have fun. Last is the FSU model link, scroll down to the cyclone phase analysis, click on that, pic your model on the left & then your storm~ black dots are existing storms, red are future storms.

Interesting CMC & gfs kills off 03B fairly quick each sends it on a different path. I could be changing that header in the morning, for now it seems to feeding on some decent conditions.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
20. Skyepony
3:10 AM GMT on June 25, 2007
Oh now that's cute Gator. My cat helping with the weather update was unimpressed though. She's little old perhaps for kitten humor.

Hey SL~ The puppy got a gamely look. Ya'll have a great day:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
19. Skyepony
3:08 AM GMT on June 25, 2007
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
718 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2007

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0640 PM HAIL WINTER SPRINGS 28.68N 81.27W
06/24/2007 E0.25 INCH SEMINOLE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

WINTER SPRINGS POLICE REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL IN THE
TUSKAWILLA AREA ON THE EAST SIDE OF WINTER SPRINGS.


&&

$$

JRC



Saturday's waterspout on the west coast

Lightning/2000 Summary (Sunday, June 24, 2007 at 11:02:20 PM EDT)

Since midnight (1382.3 mins.):
Total strokes: 11,677 (avg. 8.4/min.)
Intracloud/Intercloud: 2534 - 21.7% (avg. 1.8/min.)
+IC: 1668 - 65.8% (avg. 1.2/min.)
-IC: 866 - 34.2% (avg. 0.6/min.)
Cloud to ground: 8869 - 76.0% (avg. 6.4/min.)
+CG: 2537 - 28.6% (avg. 1.8/min.)
-CG: 6332 - 71.4% (avg. 4.6/min.)
Total strong cloud-to-ground strokes: 220 (avg. 0.159/min.)
Total noises: 16,044 (avg. 11.6/min., 57.9%)
Total energy: 21,517 (avg. 15.6/min., 184%, squelch = 4)

Peak stroke count: 160 at 5:17:52 PM

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
18. Gatorxgrrrl
3:02 AM GMT on June 25, 2007
Member Since: May 10, 2007 Posts: 70 Comments: 15599
17. psualum95
10:38 PM GMT on June 24, 2007
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
628 PM EDT SUN JUN 24 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SEMINOLE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 715 PM EDT

* AT 620 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
WINTER SPRINGS AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO...
LAKE JESSUP.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MILES AN
HOUR AND OR LARGE DESTRUCTIVE HAIL. FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING
AND VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IF THE STORM APPROACHES
YOU...SEEK SHELTER IN AN ENCLOSED BUILDING ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. KEEP
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.
Member Since: August 2, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 7361
16. SouthernLady
10:29 PM GMT on June 24, 2007
Photo Sharing and Video Hosting at Photobucket
Member Since: August 27, 2005 Posts: 115 Comments: 29926
15. Skyepony
4:45 PM GMT on June 24, 2007
Thanks for the coffee Rays:)

EPAC blob moves up another shade of green 2-3%.

That moisture though reduced looks to have made it to the gulf. Hopefuly that will reduce the severe weather the models were calling for in the midwest in a day or two that was to form from that.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
14. Raysfan70
10:53 AM GMT on June 24, 2007
{{Skye}}
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
13. Skyepony
11:46 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
African blob seems to be encountering some early trouble on it's voyage across the great blue expanse. Should make a note worthy wave on the NHC tropical discussions.

EPAC blob coming along. I little low but still worth a watch. Made green statues on probibility..


linked to loop

Thanks for digging up the buoys & the satalite patrap. Shear comparision looks not so favorable but that's put out by models that keep calling for this to go north & according to them should already be well north. Rain producer looks reasonable.

Michael~ How do I express my graditude? You were the only one there with me last Monday actually looking at & considering the signs of what to come in the face of all the La Nada supporters. & thanks for bring the latest Australia info on it. They do a great synopsis, cover some different aspects & well i ain't got time to dig it & bring it all. Good stuff.

Gamma~ I've certainly noticed a drop off in crap from the family on my "weather obsession" as well as an increase in calls from them when something is coming or they're looking to plan a party..lol. I've been a housemaker for couple years now. Gotta do something to excercise the brain & well this keeps me outta trouble.

95~ It got dry too quick. My squash & watermelon were a bit sickly midafternoon~ little late with the hose.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
12. psualum95
7:15 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1215 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2007

...DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE INTERIOR COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...

FLZ044-045-053-058-144-232200-
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0052.070623T1615Z-070623T2200Z/
NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-SOUTHERN LAKE-
1215 PM EDT SAT JUN 23 2007

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON.

DRY CONDITIONS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE INTERIOR COUNTIES OF
CENTRAL FLORIDA AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
AFTERNOON. THE DRIEST CONDITIONS WILL BE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
STRETCHING FROM LEESBURG...THROUGH ORLANDO AND KISSIMMEE AND
TOWARDS OKEECHOBEE. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND THE RAPID
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES IS NOT ANTICIPATED...THE THREAT FOR FIRE
IGNITION WILL BE ELEVATED. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY
EARLY EVENING AS MOISTURE MOVES IN ALONG THE SEA BREEZE.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OR A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS...ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...
OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
Member Since: August 2, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 7361
11. seflagamma
7:05 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
hi skye,

I see our African blob got rip apart this afternoon. oh well...

Oh, my hubby thinks I'm nuts and the entire family and neighbors all laught at me...but when there is something out there, I'm the one they come to with questions! LOL...
and my SIL works for FPL and they have good info but he says the info I get is even better than theirs! LOL!!!
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 298 Comments: 40902
10. Patrap
6:50 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
WAVCIS shows the blip too...Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128248
9. Patrap
6:46 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
This is an interesting one too...Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128248
8. Patrap
6:45 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
Buoy trend here Skyepony..Link

GOES-12 GOM IR loop
Link



Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 128248
6. Skyepony
5:51 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
I hear ya gams:). Wonder if the husband thinks there should be a blob watchers anonmous??

That bit of weather over S TX, been eyeing that. Nothing has wanted to come off there into the gulf which for this part of the year is weird. Now that one~ lastnight looking at it, looked like it just might. Not a 00Z run had in coming off, all had it going north. Now it's 1/2 in the gulf.

ESPI is down to -1.21. Still expecting the ENSO dive.

Britian's big hippy fest got swamped with rain, like last year. They have 1200+ mud induced injuries so far. Attendance is around 180,000.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
5. seflagamma
3:17 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
I know, I cannot resist watching those blobs and waves and storms... and wondering what it will do, where will it go, etc. guess it is the same addiction all of us have!
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 298 Comments: 40902
4. Skyepony
2:50 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
GAMMA wins 1st!!!!! Nice article.

I think it's gonna get shreaded. Some models yesterday had it more a real slow shreading. & hey we're all about blob watching so lets get pics up!



Linked to loop...

Gamma & all have a great one. I may be in & out a little more today.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37829
3. seflagamma
2:19 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
a pretty good looking wave off Africa right now... very round and together. guess will have something to watch until it gets blown away by sheer!

enjoy your Sat (I'm at work so no happiness here! LOL my weekend begins tomorrow!)
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 298 Comments: 40902
2. seflagamma
2:18 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
Got this from the editoral section of paper this morning; some may be intrested.

Storm Season




South Florida Sun-Sentinel Editorial Board

June 23, 2007



ISSUE: Weather officials debate satellite.

Here's what federal officials ought to really focus on: Does Bill Proenza run the all-important National Hurricane Center effectively? When storms whip up in the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, does Proenza guide his staff, and civilian populations, through those tempests?

Because, in the final analysis, that's what really counts, at least for South Floridians and others in the tropics.

Right now, however, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration officials are spending way too much time worried about what Proenza says publicly.

The ruckus basically started when Proenza spoke out about the need to replace a weather satellite, QuikSCAT. Proenza says the satellite needs to be replaced to give storm forecasters the best possible data and analysis.

NOAA officials, however, say that while QuikSCAT is a valuable tool, it's not completely indispensable. Mary Glackin, acting director of the National Weather Service, points out there are myriad other gauges and instruments that can help supplement hurricane charting if QuikSCAT fails.

OK, so, he said, she said.

It's a healthy debate, and the fact that it's been carried out in public is the democratic way. However, when the debate careens toward speculation about Proenza leaving his post, or being fired, things start getting out of control.

Folks in the general public at least those following this give-and-take might be wondering if all this indicates that NWS people don't have enough to do when there aren't hurricanes. They do, of course, because they must keep their eyes on lots of different weather and climatological patterns.

Sure, debate the need for a satellite, quietly and not so quietly. But Proenza's job security must depend on how well he does when the storms are swirling and headed for cities and towns in harm's way. That moment may soon be upon us all.

Everything else is, well, politics.

BOTTOM LINE: What matters most is how Proenza runs the hurricane center.


Copyright 2007, South Florida Sun-Sentinel

Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 298 Comments: 40902
1. seflagamma
2:18 PM GMT on June 23, 2007
first.. good morning skye!!!
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 298 Comments: 40902

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Forecaster, Skywarn, Horse Trainer, Artist and Gardener...I help moderate the Blogs at WeatherUnderground.

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