Invest 90L & SE Fires

By: Skyepony , 4:15 AM GMT on April 20, 2007

Share this Blog
1
+

Developing low in the Western Atlantic to watch. It takes atleast 4 days for a cut off low to fully transition to tropical. Tough call if this one will be out there long enough to pull it off. It's coming west toward land & a front is coming east for it. Of course the models are still split about that & direction.


sfwmd

Notice the storm is already south of where the black XTRP line lays..

The impact map deserves a look at.


Some satalite shots on the floater.. Click to enlage & go right to the loop..


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~
ECFL Fire Links & news reprise...

Like I need another section. Hopefully it will be short lived. For now most the fire links are on the right under my Links. I'll try to get the more local ones in this section over the next few days.

County Emergancy Management
Flagler County
Lake County
Volusia County




Fires spread in Central Florida and Panhandle


Large wildfires merge in Bradford County; 1,000 evacuated

Weather only aggravates ever-growing wildfires
Wind and lightning are blamed for the new blazes in the Okefenokee.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~
NHC Tropical Disscusion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger


Local Hazards
Wind & Sea....Rip Current.....Fire weather......Lightning.......Severe Hail.....Severe Winds.....Tornados




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook


Watching for rain..

click map to go interactive





All local eyes on the low pressure, models are pointing it more toward NFL or GA, with some rain possible for ECFL & GA. ECFL Should stay a little cooler than we have been, winds should subside some for a day or 2 starting tommarrow & then may pick back up. Chance of rain is hanging around just like the low. NWS gives ECFL little chance for rain, mostly tommarrow & only Volusia. I give us a little better chance of showers, north most but don't count the rest of us out yet. It very well may never get warm enough core to it to be named an STS even though it's winds are that strong. Usually it takes a cut off low roughly 4 days to go fully tropical. It's a matter of how long it can tap the gulf stream before landfall. Of intrest is the Tropical Storm Position and Intensity Page has it as 90L with an ST# of 2.5 which equates 35 KTS, 40 MPH & 1005 mb.



click maps to make bigger

Surfers & Surge
cool wave watch graphic.
NOAA Wave Watch III
Storm surge threat model...Always wondered if or how vulnerable your or friend's place would be to surge? Covers Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie & Martin Counties.


Radar/Satellite/Microwave
Melbourne NEXRAD Radar
NOAA Satellite Services ~ I like the RGB by day, rainbow at night with some Water Vapor thrown in once in a while.
Navy site~good to keep up with invests

Models~
Local Meso Model (well it covers most the state)~ lots of informative blue bars, each a different model, above it to click on too. Forecasts weather for the nexr 24 hrs.
FSU Model page
Shear loop .
Comparing different models shear, steering & percipitation loops.

Click to make maps bigger.

STEERING CURRENTS


HAZARDS


Tropical Deppression Probibility


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~


Atlantic
90L
45kts 1000mb

West Pacific
98W 15kts 1006mb

EPAC blob was short lived...
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~
Updated May 7st~ The CPC weekly is out. There take is possible for La Ni�a conditions in 2-3 months.

All the regions took a fall this week.

Anomilies are -.3 in regions 3 down .3, down .2 to 0 in region 3,4. -1.3 in region 1,2 down .2. And down .1 to +.1 in region 4. With 0 in the 3,4 region we are at true neutral.

The ESPI fell from -.66 to -1.17 for the last weeks for the last 30 days.

Rapid cooling for the near future is my forecast. Wouldn't be suprised to see us get into La Ni�a conditions. Don't know if it would last long enough to be offical.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~

Create your own visitor map!
LinkLink

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 251 - 201

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5Blog Index

251. OGal
6:29 PM GMT on May 09, 2007
Skye, coming across Lake Jessup this morning headed south on the Greenway I could barely see. Really dangerous conditions. I went to work in the yard a little while ago and my eyes burned way too bad to stay out there. We got to keep those babies dancin.
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19224
250. Skyepony
1:37 PM GMT on May 09, 2007
smoke just rolled in..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
249. Skyepony
1:23 PM GMT on May 09, 2007
Good Morning everyone.. Today is Skye's (the actual cute pony pictured up there)~ his birthday:)) He wants his plug, he's standing for stud, hoping for for many cute mares.

Recon is up! I've been leaving info on Dr Masters blog.

Looks like 90L may just get named a Subtropical storm later this morning.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
248. miawolf
11:42 AM GMT on May 09, 2007
Morning Skye and Family. :)
myspace layouts, myspace codes, glitter graphics
247. Raysfan70
9:45 AM GMT on May 09, 2007
Good Morning {{Skye}}!
Myspace Layouts
Myspace Layouts
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
246. Skyepony
10:53 PM GMT on May 08, 2007
The impact map has gone nuts!!! Crossing the state & knocking down trees on the gulf coast..

For the arcives (won't update)
Nexsat.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
245. Skyepony
10:39 PM GMT on May 08, 2007
Thanks stormchaser~ for the reminder. The may forecast does tend to be worth a look over.

I rarely go against the NWS in my forecast synopsis & point out when I do. I'm glad I did this time as it sprinkled here & Volusia also looks to be getting a few sprinkles.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
244. stormchasher
8:33 PM GMT on May 08, 2007
Just saying the NHC H-season forecast comes out on the 22nd!!
Member Since: July 30, 2006 Posts: 40 Comments: 1295
243. Skyepony
5:20 PM GMT on May 08, 2007
LOL~ Ogal, guess we better start practicing.

Got a good laugh the floater is no longer inactive it's marked non-tropical low. I need to update the blog & get the new & moved floater up. Probibly in an hour or 2.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
242. OGal
1:13 PM GMT on May 08, 2007
Skye, the words for the day, "Hunker Down". (:o)
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19224
241. Skyepony
1:06 PM GMT on May 08, 2007
5/08/07 - TALLAHASSEE, FL) - Further evacuations were ordered Monday in windy, parched Florida as a wildfire crept within a quarter-mile of several homes, one of numerous blazes that occupied crews around the country.


A fast-growing fire forced evacuations in northeastern Minnesota, and the area damaged by Georgia's largest-ever wildfire surpassed 100,000 acres -- about 156 square miles -- as that blaze continued to spread.

Residents in at least three areas of Florida were ordered to leave, and hundreds more were on standby. About 20 homes in Walton County in the Panhandle were evacuated as a 300-acre fire threatened the neighborhood, said Jim Harrell, a spokesman for the state Division of Forestry.

A second evacuation was ordered quickly as a fire sprang up near the Wekiva River in central Florida, Lake County spokesman Chris Patton said. That order was lifted hours later after crews got the 1,000-acre fire under control.

A third evacuation was ordered in Alachua County north of Gainesville on Monday night due to a fire larger than 3,000 acres, or more than 4.5 square miles. It was not clear exactly how many people were affected, but Harrell said it is a rural area with scattered homes.

Officials said conditions across the state were critical, with humidity at dangerously low levels inland and winds gusting over 20 mph.

"It's getting interesting and I don't think it's going to get better soon," state Emergency Management Director Craig Fugate said.

In all, there were at least 260 fires burning Monday in Florida, covering about 19,000 acres. Nearly 50 of those started Sunday, about half of them caused by lightning from a line of thunderstorms that moved through the state too quickly to quench the blazes, Harrell said.

Firefighters in Grand Marais, Minn., called for reinforcements as a wildfire continued to burn through the northeastern Minnesota forests, damaging 40 buildings and pushing about 100 people from their homes.

John Stegmeir, the incident commander, said he called for a doubling of firefighting crews to 300 as the fire grew to 16,500 acres -- more than twice the size it had been Sunday night.

"You are going to see a lot more people here," he said. "We are just going to need more stuff to do what we need to do."

The fire advanced into the Boundary Waters Canoe Area in northeastern Minnesota on Sunday. Officials ordered people to leave the vicinity.

Northeastern Minnesota has been in a drought since last summer, and no rain was expected for several days.

In southeastern Georgia, three weeks after the state's largest wildfire on record ignited near Waycross, sustained winds of 20 mph from the northeast pushed the fire deeper into the Okefenokee Swamp, giving firefighters a chance to fortify fire breaks.

Lightning strikes from weekend thunderstorms started three new fires near the center of Okefenokee and posed no immediate threat to people outside the swamp.

The storms failed to bring rain to ease the extreme drought conditions.

"The fire areas themselves got next to nothing, just a little bit of sprinkles," said David Spear, a spokesman for the firefighters' joint information center. "You need days and days of heavy soaking rain to have any appreciable effect."

Officials said Monday the wildfire had blackened 100,420 acres. The Georgia Forestry Commission has said the vast wildfire was caused by a fallen tree striking a power line, but the agency suspects arsonists may have started six smaller fires that later flared up nearby.

No injuries were reported in any of the wildfires.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
240. Skyepony
12:59 PM GMT on May 08, 2007
Hope thing quiet down for ya Mia. Tigger got a big smile.

How very creative {{Rays}}~ thanks!

Got a green blue square on the probibilities map for our swirl offshore. 1-1.5% chance.

Dangerous beach day & boating day, as well as fire day. Dew points are way low this morning.

The wind has switched to where smoke is an issue for most of ECFL.. I got some here.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
239. miawolf
10:00 AM GMT on May 08, 2007
Morning Skye,
Grey and dull here; hoping for more rain later. Outside the house is a parking area for all the residents and the tarmac is being repaired...but did it have to involve a thousand dentist drills?!! Aahhh. :)
Hope you're all OK.
Here is a Tigger for your little one...
myspace layouts, myspace codes, glitter graphics
238. Raysfan70
9:31 AM GMT on May 08, 2007
{{Skye}}
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
237. Skyepony
11:49 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
Oh & all roads are open again:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
236. Skyepony
11:48 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
Hey wab, I'm with ya, on the 5'o clock they were showing all these people that were trying to get home & they wouldn't let to their houses. Pets, horses & even one guy's 2 teen daughters home alone on the other side. They did let the guy in after his daughters, but no one else. Animal control was out looking after the rest.

Beautiful day here.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
235. whitewabit (Mod)
9:14 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
hey Skye...hope everyone is safe...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32393
234. Skyepony
9:11 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
SR 46 IS CLOSED AT CR46A IN LAKE COUNTY TO ORANGE BLVD IN SEMINOLE COUNTY


Besides the Seminole fire there is one here..

SR-60 2-3 MI E x[PEAVINE RD] [KENANSVILLE], roads are open but smokey
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
233. Skyepony
9:02 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
Rainman~ It would have been my choice for image of the day. I've had that RGB loop all day watching it. Thanks for posting it.

Ogal~ turning on the news now. Thanks for the update. Weikava never seems to get a break.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
232. OGal
8:09 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
Skye, two fires over here. One is on the Seminole Lake County Line. It is in the Weikiva area. The other fire is near runway 17L at the Orlando International Airport. It is my understanding that the airport fire is almost out. The other fire is huge!
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19224
231. Rainman32
8:04 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
OSEI Image of the Day


Brought to you by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
230. Skyepony
7:33 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
EPAC Blob

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
229. Skyepony
2:01 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
LOL at the gif~ Ogal. I got wind, franticly tying tomatos this morning..

Finn:) Who needs sleep when we need rain this bad? It really rained on late there. What was ya'lls totals? Had .77" here which keeps Bob in the lead.

Found a neat site gotta finish checking it out later. Been looking for this.
Table 1.3

SH had 24 storms 1 below the average so according to the Emanuel theory the NH overall season shouldn't be too crazy as far as #s.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
228. LakeWorthFinn
12:41 PM GMT on May 07, 2007
Morning Skye, thanks for stopping at my blog. I was watching you getting a lightening show yesterday, glad all is well. I woke up to thunder several times last night, but the rain we got was worth sleep deprivation :)
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7416
227. OGal
12:36 PM GMT on May 07, 2007

COOL MySpace Comments

Yep Skye, it is Blob Ahoy day. I heard for the first time this morning the Channel 9 weather guy mention the word squall. Is it windy at your house??
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19224
226. Skyepony
11:37 AM GMT on May 07, 2007
Good morning everyone:)

Ally the littlin liked the gif. Hope your week is great as well.

Rays~ mmm sunrise in the coffee. If only the sun was a waffle.

By the way I've mastered the waffle making. I have a house of waffle addicts now.

To the weather~ Windy with untold horrors to small boaters & tourist who don't know what rip currents are & the lovely (not so) sea creatures it tends to bring this time of year.

Checking the models the consensis EMCWF, NOGAPS, GFS, UKMET has it landing in central to NFL & mostly disappating as it crosses the state headed SW. Excellent for rain... CMC is the outlier, meandering around NFL, GA, SC & back to sea.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
225. Raysfan70
9:53 AM GMT on May 07, 2007
{{Skye}}
myspace layouts, myspace codes, glitter graphics
Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
224. AllyBama
2:34 AM GMT on May 07, 2007
myspace layouts, myspace codes, glitter graphics
Skye - have a great week..sure hope that you guys have some rain out of that low in the ATL..take care.
Member Since: August 3, 2006 Posts: 133 Comments: 20639
223. Skyepony
12:25 AM GMT on May 07, 2007
Interesting wind advisery issued for the east side of FL

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY FOR COASTAL AREAS...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT TUESDAY. THE LAKE
WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELED.

A RAPIDLY DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST WILL DRIFT SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT AND THEN WILL MOVE SLOWLY
WESTWARD ON MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS IT APPROACHES THE REGION
WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES AS WELL AS CLAY AND
PUTNAM COUNTIES. AT THIS TIME...THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE IMMEDIATE BEACHES...THE INTRA COASTAL WATERWAY...AND ST
JOHNS RIVER. NORTHEAST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
WILL BE LIKELY.

MINOR DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE POSSIBLE
WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE.

MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILES VEHICLES ARE ADVISED TO USE CAUTION
UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES.

STRONG WINDS CAN TOPPLE TREES...BLOW WEAKENED ROOFS OFF HOUSES...
AND DOWN POWER LINES. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO SECURE TRASH CANS...
LAWN FURNITURE...AND ANY OTHER LOOSE OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING. BOATERS IN THE
ADVISORY AREA SHOULD AVOID OPEN WATER AND STAY CLOSE TO SHORE IN
WIND PROTECTED INLETS. HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE EXTRA
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING AS WELL.


$$

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
222. Skyepony
9:48 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Nearly done here.. the thunder keeps throwing me offline.

It's coming for ya Finn.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
221. LakeWorthFinn
7:27 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Stay safe Skye!
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7416
220. Skyepony
7:06 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Brevard is under the Severe TS Warning now...

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
219. Skyepony
6:44 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Congrats to 03, currently 1st in our~ who got the most rain contest today:)

Upgraded to Thunderstorm warning for Volusia, Flagler, Orange Counties. Watches & warnings

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
218. weatherguy03
6:23 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Well, I got alittle over an inch. Yippie!!..LOL I will have to savior it for awhile!..LOL
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29708
217. Rainman32
6:21 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Yeap, and here come the winds behind it.. finally got around to checking my own station. note the 0.01" accumulation here, probably just the wind tipping the bucket!
Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
216. weatherguy03
6:17 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Yep, my power went out for about 15 minutes. Big storm rolled through. Finally, some action. That will be it for us today. Now the rest of the state. Gonna check to see how much I got. Probably the most rain in over 2 months!..LOL
Member Since: July 5, 2005 Posts: 592 Comments: 29708
215. Skyepony
6:15 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
It looks like it is beginning to pop in a scattered all around way.. Jeez alot of lightning, so thick ya gotta wonder how many fires will be started for any doused..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
214. Rainman32
6:07 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Wow.. RAIN?! There is a nice cell going south through St. John's will be in Flagler next.. looks like it just may douse that fire some. I got a video of it as it passed though here, all 20 seconds of it! lol
Member Since: September 19, 2004 Posts: 32 Comments: 6123
213. Skyepony
5:51 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Heads up locals we made the mesoscale discussion..



MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0725
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1211 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN FL PEN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 061711Z - 061915Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A WW.

HEATING/DESTABILIZATION OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS WELL UNDERWAY.
AND...LATEST RUC GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT MIXED LAYER CAPE IS NOW IN
EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA...
WHERE INHIBITION IS BECOMING NEGLIGIBLE. IT APPEARS FORCING
ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK UPPER TROUGHING...DEVELOPING SOUTHWARD WITHIN
NORTH/NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW REGIME NEAR SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL
AREAS...WILL AID CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.

SURFACE WINDS HAVE ALREADY TURNED TO NORTHWESTERLY ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHERN FLORIDA INTO THE PENINSULA...AND IT APPEARS LOW-LEVEL
CONFLUENCE COULD AID INITIATION OF STORMS IN THE VICINITY OF ORLANDO
BY/SHORTLY AFTER 18Z...WITH ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY POSSIBLE ALONG EAST
CENTRAL COASTAL SEA BREEZE. LARGE-SCALE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO SUPPORT
A SOUTHWARD/SOUTHWESTWARD DEVELOPMENT OF STORMS ACROSS INTERIOR
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PENINSULA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE SEA
BREEZE OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO COULD AID ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT.

UNSATURATED MID-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS. AND...30 KT
NORTHERLY MID-LEVEL WINDS MAY SUPPORT MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR FOR UPDRAFT ROTATION. A SHORT-LIVED SUPERCELL OR TWO
MAY FORM...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO...IN ADDITION
TO ENHANCED RISK FOR LARGE HAIL.

..KERR.. 05/06/2007


ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...TAE...
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
212. Skyepony
1:44 PM GMT on May 06, 2007
Good morning all..

Very cute {{Rays}}

Me too Ogal~ gentle rain would be great, I'll even take a down pour:) Ya'll watch out the hazard graphics are all lite up. Interesting we already have hurricane winds off NC.

You can see it gettin spun up on quikscat
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
211. OGal
12:38 PM GMT on May 06, 2007


Hope we get some rain today. Don't want severe stuff just happy gentle rain. Have a wonderful Sunday.
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19224
210. Raysfan70
10:23 AM GMT on May 06, 2007
{{Skye}}

Member Since: July 28, 2005 Posts: 138 Comments: 57354
209. Fshhead
8:05 AM GMT on May 06, 2007

Click Me!!!!

What's up Skye??? Have not seen much of ya lately. Hope everything is well with you & yours!
Member Since: November 19, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 9960
208. Skyepony
4:15 AM GMT on May 06, 2007
Thanks Charlestonlady~ You too:) I'll most likely be watchin that low spin up...

Patrap~ I was wishin I was there when I updated the news on it. Thanks I'm going to watch that & then most likely off to sleep.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
207. Patrap
3:55 AM GMT on May 06, 2007
New Orleans JazzFest,,,Cowboy Mouth..Allman Brothers.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129833
206. charlestonlady
2:43 AM GMT on May 06, 2007
HI skye! have wonderful sunday!
Member Since: June 26, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 16683
205. Skyepony
10:53 PM GMT on May 05, 2007
West Orange county is under a thunderstorm warning. Radar

Nogaps finally came in, comes toward central fl then dies offshore. This could bring wind with no rain which would be bad on the fire scene. To much differences in the models for much certainty at this point.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
204. Skyepony
7:14 PM GMT on May 05, 2007
Checking out the midday models at the potental Atlantic blob.

The cmc & NAM jumped on board with the GFS ~linger off the carolinas maybe brush.

Ukmet brings it to central FL, like the NOGAPS 00Z run. It's 12Z run is nowhere to be found, suspisiously missing...

Updated GEM I can only find in the panel & is all out to sea.


EPAC blob fell apart..

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
203. Skyepony
1:27 PM GMT on May 05, 2007
smokey outlook for the day..


click pic to go interactive.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
202. Skyepony
12:57 PM GMT on May 05, 2007
can't help but root for the NOGAPS..


All the models have shifted northward since their last run, CMC has a more SC brush, Ukmet brushes NC, GFS doesn't really take it back all the way to land... LIke I mentioned last night the ridge really didn't get erroded so I shouldn't be getting my hopes up...
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372
201. Skyepony
12:49 PM GMT on May 05, 2007
Good Morning Rays, Mia & all! I'm up. Well been up & already scrubbed the the racoon crap out of the pony's water bucket. This happens repeatedly with each drought, so gross.

Mia~ Ya'll inland got a much better chance, hope ya get lucky...

Blob alert in the Epac~ Self updates for convenant blob watching..

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39372

Viewing: 251 - 201

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5Blog Index

Top of Page

About Skyepony

Forecaster, Skywarn, Horse Trainer, Artist and Gardener...I help moderate the Blogs at WeatherUnderground.

Local Weather

Scattered Clouds
54 °F
Scattered Clouds

Skyepony's Recent Photos

Yacon Root
Orion Fans
Orion Sunrise
Orion Sunrise

Personal Weather Stations

West Eau Gallie
Melbourne, FL
Elevation: 29 ft
Temperature: 53.1 °F
Dew Point: 52.7 °F
Humidity: 99%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: -
Updated: 6:32 AM EST on December 20, 2014
Forge Mountain
Mills River, NC
Elevation: 2540 ft
Temperature: 39.0 °F
Dew Point: 32.1 °F
Humidity: 76%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 6:32 AM EST on December 20, 2014
APRSWXNET Etowah NC US
Etowah, NC
Elevation: 2376 ft
Temperature: 38.0 °F
Dew Point: 34.0 °F
Humidity: 86%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 2.0 mph
Updated: 5:12 AM EST on December 20, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations