Skyepony's WunderBlog

Weather, News & What Nots
Posted by: Skyepony, 1:03 AM GMT on April 10, 2007 +1

The recent noreaster storm death count is now up to atleast 16. Between the storm & the shooting in VA, it's been a sad few days.

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Study: Climate Change Risks National Security

Good News South America! The Goes-10 satallite was moved over for better coverage of South America.
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NHC Tropical Disscusion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

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Local Hazards
Wind & Sea....Rip Current.....Fire weather......Lightning.......Severe Hail.....Severe Winds.....Tornados




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook


Watching for rain..

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Slight chance of rain, more chance north & tonight (we're talking sprinkles. After that into the long term looks dry.

Major Hazard is wildfires. It's safe to go in the water again.





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Surfers & Surge
cool wave watch graphic.
NOAA Wave Watch III
Storm surge threat model...Always wondered if or how vulnerable your or friend's place would be to surge? Covers Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie & Martin Counties.


Radar/Satellite/Microwave
Melbourne NEXRAD Radar
NOAA Satellite Services ~ I like the RGB by day, rainbow at night with some Water Vapor thrown in once in a while.
Navy site~good to keep up with invests

Models~
Local Meso Model (well it covers most the state)~ lots of informative blue bars, each a different model, above it to click on too. Forecasts weather for the nexr 24 hrs.
FSU Model page
Shear loop .
Comparing different models shear, steering & percipitation loops.

Click to make maps bigger.

STEERING CURRENTS


HAZARDS


Tropical Deppression Probibility


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West Pacific~
95W~ gone

Indian Ocean~

Southern Hemisphere

93S 15kts 1006mb.

That makes 0:1 S Hemisphere takes lead. We are running neck & neck as cane season switches from one hemisphere to another...daily

EPAC gets an honorable mention with the light blue box on the prob map. In all truth it looks way more impressive than the 1 invest.

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Updated April 16th~ The CPC weekly is out.

The Jan, Feb, Mar average was +.3 which brings us to offical neutral.

As for the week we had a bit of warming in nearly all the regions. This is good, comforting to see a trend up or down in a jagged, up & down way, like history dictates instead of the insane drops we've witnessed lately.



Anomilies are -.2 in regions 3, .2 in region 3,4. -1.1 in region 1,2. And +.3 in region 4. Overall for the week it went up .1 in region 1,2 ~ Region 3 went up .4~ The central & western Pacific in regions 3,4 (up .1) & 4 stayed the about the same. The cold water up wells in the East & then travels west.

CPC Synopsis: A transition from ENSO-neutral to La Ni�a conditions is possible during the next 3 months. Same as last 4 weeks.
The # that counts is region 3&4, that principal (now) # .2, same as last week, now conditions are neutral.



The ESPI rose from -.96 to -.60 for the last weeks for the last 30 days.

We may see a little more warming of ENSO in the next few weeks. Plenty of cold water under there, don't expect an escape from Neutral.
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101. Lovethetropics 2:17 PM GMT on April 19, 2007    

Good morning SkyePony!! Have a beautiful day!!

Member Since: August 18, 2005 Posts: 236 Comments: 11291
102. AllyBama 2:33 PM GMT on April 19, 2007    
Member Since: August 3, 2006 Posts: 131 Comments: 20499

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