Skyepony's WunderBlog

Ally~ Now that there'd make for a happy hump day.

Enjoy yours. I hope we see a little rain that next front. This one mostly dried up for some of the state & the next is trending that way too.

atmos~ you seem to deep down love it but like maybe you just don't need to look at it til 'cane season. It helps with burn out on intensive things if you give them a season & a time off.

A little break & if we have a kickin cane season you won't be able to resist. Especially all the thinking you do at school, you just don't need to run the daily senerios for N & S everyday 365 days a year.

Cloudsat keeps missing Gamede. Caught a little over Madagascar this morning at 2/26/2007 09:55

Gamede


Mimic animated loop on Gamede~ pretty much trucked west today & did an eyewall replacement. Still not turning south like forecasted to start doing so day before yesterday. I don't see any real flatning on the north side like it's about to get shoved hard south either. To the Madagascar lurker through here lastnight..you may want to prepare.

this one self updates

Awe Love has discovered my love for random firey explosions..lol

Good Morning {{{Rays}}}

The only change for today is if we get a good local storm fired up it may have some hail.

How was it in the Bahamas lastnight???? gfs has been threatning to get some sort of not so tropical lows forming east of FL moving NE...here's one. Though the model called for it to form well east of the Bahamas..


click to make bigger

That's too bad I posted & ran this morning, ya'll had a coming out blob party..lol. It's a pretty sloppy cold blob.

Here's the gfs 850vort for it in 24hrs, I perticularly like the 2 bits of convection just to the east of it for crazy eyes with the green open mouthed smiley.


Here's the sea level pressure loop.

GFS is the only one to have it on it's phase analysis

Quickscat is "down" & the high res has missed it:) Man the buoys!!! lol.



Rand thanks for posting the TS watch stuff. I noticed the light on the NOAA radio when I got home.

Dang dewpoint is 69.8
temp is 84.7º
we're certainly riper than yesterday.

Pat I's trying to figure out if those were paniced people running around or looters.

Hey Kris!

Here's our local hazards.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. WITH A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS IN
PLACE...ATMOSPHERIC LIFT FROM THE DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE PERIODS
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THE
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY BECOME SEVERE AND PRODUCE HAIL THE SIZE
OF A PENNY OR LARGER. WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL...AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO
ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST STORMS. THERE WILL ALSO BE A SLIM CHANCE OF
A TORNADO NEAR THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON...FROM THE CAPE
SOUTHWARD...ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS THAT INTERACT WITH THE
LOCAL SEA BREEZE. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
WILL BE FROM OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTY SOUTHWARD...AND ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE EAST COAST IF A SEA BREEZE IS ABLE TO FORM THIS AFTERNOON.
STORM MOTION WILL BE EAST SOUTHEAST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

No seabreeze yet:)

LOL~ 03, i'm suprised more wasn't said about it a few days back when the gfs picked up on it. & not a tropical blob it's a cold sloppy blob of convection. CSBoC I'll call it for short:)

I thought ENSO was more interesting but I couldn't resist posting a pic of it after it had grown angrier overnight.

Wake up! Got you KSC damage photos;) (up right of my blog)
Those were instantly approved, never have I seen faster photo aproval..lol.

North Bahamas Beware..

2nd spawned cold sloppy blob of convection, in as many nights, forms over you.

Oh thanks, I have some nicer ones but figured I'd better stick with the ones that "could have been hail anywhere" pics..lol.

Though I guess it's pretty hard to find a "think safety" doormat.

Good morning! & happy hump day. Ya'll flew through here early this morning.

Looks like a beauty of a day, though perhaps kinds warm for Feb. The south end may see a little rain.

The boundry that's over N Bahamas wasn't as strong as the night before.

Gamede slightly strengthend lastnight now near 55kts.

Off to play a bit.

Hades~ Thanks for the update which one was that? Navy doesn't have it named yet..

LowerCal~ I have a little theory for around here.. Each spring the Oaks go crazy with pollen & every year it seems to go dry for the most part at the same time for weeks on end. May have a little rain or a quick downpour & heavy fog becomes common but no long sustained soaking rain to wash that pollen away til every bit has fallen & the air has been thick with it for weeks & smells of swamp fire.

Treat for E Pac fans...
gfs forecasting a small, weak, weak short lived warm blob.