Skyepony's WunderBlog |
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| Posted by: Skyepony, 8:29 PM GMT on November 07, 2006 | +2 |
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75 °F
Partly Cloudy
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West Eau Gallie
Melbourne, FL
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| Elevation: | 29 ft |
| Temperature: | 83.3 °F |
| Dew Point: | 75.4 °F |
| Humidity: | 77% |
| Wind: | 2.0 mph from the SE |
| Wind Gust: | 3.0 mph |
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Updated: 8:28 AM EDT on May 22, 2013
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Forge Mountain
Mills River, NC
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| Elevation: | 2540 ft |
| Temperature: | 63.5 °F |
| Dew Point: | 60.2 °F |
| Humidity: | 89% |
| Wind: | Calm |
| Wind Gust: | 0.0 mph |
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Updated: 8:28 AM EDT on May 22, 2013
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APRSWXNET Etowah NC US
Etowah, NC
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| Elevation: | 2376 ft |
| Temperature: | 60.0 °F |
| Dew Point: | 60.0 °F |
| Humidity: | 100% |
| Wind: | Calm |
| Wind Gust: | 0.0 mph |
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Updated: 7:42 AM EDT on May 22, 2013
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Page: 1 — Blog Index
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN VOLUSIA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PONCE INLET...OSTEEN...OAK HILL...NEW
SMYRNA BEACH...MAYTOWN...EDGEWATER
* UNTIL 715 PM EST
* AT 634 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR OSTEEN...OR
ABOUT NEAR GENEVA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
* THE TORNADO IS WILL BE NEAR...
EDGEWATER AND OAK HILL BY 655 PM EST
BETHUNE BEACH...ELDORA...APOLLO BEACH AND 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW
SMYRNA BEACH BY 700 PM EST
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A STRONG BUILDING ON
THE LOWEST FLOOR...IN AN INTERIOR ROOM SUCH AS A BATHROOM OR CLOSET.
KEEP AWAY FROM WINDOWS. GET UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF
STURDY FURNITURE. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY.
EVACUATE MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO
SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW
SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS. ABANDON YOUR VEHICLE IF THE
TORNADO IS NEARBY.
LAT...LON 2883 8125 2870 8102 2888 8078 2911 8094
$$
Looks like the tornado has been traveling for a while now.
The models keep EPac busy but nothing intense. There is something else interesting on the 12Z NOGAPS, watch Guatemala.
Got friends up that way. Looks like there was a brief 2nd vorticy on the southern edge of Seminole county too. I'll get local nws tornado damage reports up when they come out, my guess sometime tommarrow afternoon.
Off to check out those models.
Here's the preliminary tornado reports. MLB NWS is down if you try to access through main site but the internal links I have posted up there are working.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1013 PM EST TUE NOV 07 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 PM TORNADO ORLANDO 28.50N 81.37W
11/07/2006 ORANGE FL BROADCAST MEDIA
REPORT FROM WFTV CHANNEL 9 OF TWO BUILDINGS DAMAGED IN
APARTMENT COMPLEX NEAR SEMORAN BLVD/436 AND EAST
COLONIAL/SR 50.
0610 PM TORNADO GOLDENROD 28.61N 81.29W
11/07/2006 SEMINOLE FL BROADCAST MEDIA
REPORT FROM WFTV CHANNEL 9 OF CARS BLOWN AROUND NEAR 417
AND ALOMA AVE.
0620 PM TORNADO OVIEDO 28.66N 81.18W
11/07/2006 SEMINOLE FL EMERGENCY MNGR
*** 2 INJ *** FLORIDA STATE WARNING POINT RELAYED REPORT
FROM SEMINOLE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER OF STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE TO FIVE HOMES IN THE ALOMA WOODS NEIGHBORHOOD IN
OVIEDO. A COMMAND POST HAS BEEN SET UP ON THE SCENE, SOME
INJURIES BEING TREATED / SEVERITY UNKNOWN. RED CROSS IS
EN ROUTE.
0625 PM TORNADO OVIEDO 28.66N 81.18W
11/07/2006 SEMINOLE FL BROADCAST MEDIA
NEWS CHANNEL 13 REPORTED STRONG WINDS AND BLOWN
TRANSFORMERS AT RED BUG LAKE RD. AND 417 IN OVIEDO.
0630 PM TORNADO OVIEDO 28.66N 81.18W
11/07/2006 SEMINOLE FL PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORT OF DEBRIS IN THE AIR AND LOUD ROAR OF WIND
NEAR ALAFAYA TRAIL AND MITCHELL HAMMOCK IN OVIEDO.
0631 PM TORNADO 2 W OVIEDO 28.66N 81.21W
11/07/2006 SEMINOLE FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
SEMINOLE COUNTY FIRE DISPATCH REPORTED SEVERAL ROOFS
DAMAGED / REMOVED NEAR 417/426. DAMAGE APPEARS TO BE
ALONG A TRACK, POSSIBLY FROM A TORNADO.
0655 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 2 S EDGEWATER 28.94N 80.90W
11/07/2006 VOLUSIA FL EMERGENCY MNGR
FLAGLER COUNTY EM RELAYED REPORT FROM CITIZEN IN VOLUSIA
COUNTY OF A FUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTING 2 MILES SOUTH OF
EDGEWATER.
&&
$$
JRC
Shall do Ogal. El Nino winters have always been bad news for us...especially Oviedo.
Some of the 12Z models indicate the possibility of yet a third depression this week in the area south of southernmost Mexico.
Saddlegait, any word on the spotted saddle horse Ass.? I haven't looked to see how theirs has gone down...
When I looked at TD 19-E last night I wasn't sure it would even be around this morning. All convection was blown away from the center, then a big burst of convection over the center, then the convection would be blown away again ... big changes in appearance on short time scales.
Just a quick look at the sat loops this am showed a fourth interesting area for the week around 127W 8N. I just took another quick look at it and I'm surprised it's not an invest.
I took a look at the 00Z cmc this am also. If this was football that solution would be called a hand off. The cmc is good entertainment while waiting for the nogaps. :)
The 00Z gfdl, gfs, and ukm like a TS south of Manznillo next Tue-Wed. The nogaps doesn't, it likes a TS in the SW Carib instead.
Impressive blog.
Have a nice day - and get some rest from this hugely tasked blog!
YellowPitts :) always a pleasure.
Gfdl has gone nuts on the 18Z run with conserns to 96E, like Cat 4 comin back on Mexico mad...
I was wondering what happened to the 12Z gfdl. I couldn't imagine they wouldn't do another run after the 00Z developed at Cat 3 threatening Puerto Vallarta.
I'd say we broke about even for the week
so is it stonger?
Thanks for the update on the models. It sounds like Sergio, the SW Carib, and the SE corner of the EPac all bear close watching for a while.
The 12Z models were interesting gfdl up to 135kts on TS Sergio (neat name). The cmc & ukmet stay strong on it. Well the cmc has stayed strong on everything even liking a near warm core for the mid atlantic. GFS is still on the Mid atlantic train but cold on all others (it's getting down right fickle). Nogaps has weakened on everything. Ukmet shows the 1st hint of a badly sheared storm in the gulf at the end of the run.
Aquak ~ I'm with ya on done for anything from the Atlantic hitting the US. Outside chance one could land on Baja on the west coast. For us those evey 4 day fronts would sweep anything east of us before it got north enough & the shear...it just hasn't let up.
Yea Cal if we don't get one in the carribean, may get another in the e. pac., heck the cmc is calling for both now.
How about the blow up on the central Pac invest today (it's on the right of one of the maps up there).
Taz~ about the same as last week, maybe barely stronger.
gal~ That's exciting, This time of year the views are awesome without all the leaves in the way. I look forward to seeing the pics!
Oh my camera is broke:(
Did you have your camera on when you did that amazing Tarzan/Jane swingjump into the river? ;-)
92C was something of a surprise. The Genesis Probabilities were elevated in that area for a while last week and nothing came of it. Once the probabilities dropped an invest appeared. Then at 10:00AM HST today the Central Pacific Hurricane Center quit mentioning the area.
There's a lot of convection with good outflow but I don't see any rotation. Nevertheless I'm sure the Hawaiians are still watching it. It's that time of year when anything developing could easily be pulled north instead of continuing west.
At least Christmas is coming...maybe it's time for an upgrade?
Sergio update
15/0000 UTC 12.8N 104.3W T3.5/3.5 SERGIO -- East Pacific Ocean
14/1715 UTC 12.9N 104.6W T3.0/3.0 SERGIO -- East Pacific Ocean
it's getting stronger...
I had that wrong earlier about seeing 92C up there in the farest west reaching map up there. That's just a blob that blew up earlier today. The invest is farther west.
aquak~ yeah that sounded aweful. There's talk of upgrade. Wish it would have lasted more than 3 years..guess I could have been nicer to it.
HIEXPRESS~ all good..a lively debate was just what I needed. Great ENSO link.
I'm beginning my break up with my long time love cigerettes, which from past experence just makes my usual peaceful self mean & unstable. But I got to do it for good so ya'll don't hold the next month or so against me. My husband was glad it wasn't him..he was laughinng about the whole my NOAA against Michael's wikipedia. I kinda feel like I owe Michael an apoligy, could of had a little more tact..(here comes unstable..lol) Ya'll feel free to leave me links to how horrible smoking is, as it is now required reading for me each day.
work fly by>>>>>>>>>>>>>
I am here with you.. Don't know if Code's going to have that "stop smoking blog again" but archives has all the links.
I quit for 6 mos then have been off and on during Sept and Oct. Quit a week then smoke a week.... I stopped again last Wed night (11/8) and I hope this time for good. Got to get it under my belt before the holidays. Fell off wagon Sat night and had 3 cigs.. hey it was a very bad work week! LOL.... no excuses..
anyway, won't hold nothing against you if you lash out at anyone! ROFL!!!
Also, watch the weight gain. I've only lost 12 pounds of the 15 I gained last March and April; that was a very big reason I gave up in Sept and started smoking again. I am determind I will not regain those 12 pounds I have worked so hard to lose this time.
Good luck to us both...again! LOL
Didn't stormydee say she was going to quit soon...and I think someone on ogal's blog said they were trying to quit again. So there may be another group going again soon. I think Code, Bug, StormDrain/barefoot, and Aquak all made it 10 mos now.(they were in my original group of 5) So I got to get back on the wagon and catch up! LOL
I found a couple of websites promoting solar power. They have pre-written petitions that can be sent to all of your representatives. With the change in leadership NOW is the time to be writing to all of them.
Link
Link
This site estimates your solar needs, finds installers & has FAQ's.
Link
Followed the links on the take action now, put in my area code & had a form letter fired off to~
Senator Mel Martinez (R-FL)
Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL)
Representative Dave Weldon (R-FL 15th)
in about 1 1/2 minutes...Thanks Fshhead!
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