Bopha & 91L

By: Skyepony , 4:33 AM GMT on November 02, 2012

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Atlantic
91L


East Pacific

Central Pacific

West Pacific
26W BOPHA


Indian Ocean
99B


Southern Hemisphere
98S



A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
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Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

In November the planting frenzy continues for all the state of Florida, heaviest for South FL planting some summer & most winter varieties still. Harvest should be picking up too with a mix of some early winter & late summer. The hot fall has found favor with some late okra & looks to be a great season for tomatoes, cauliflower & broccoli with Brussels sprouts having a slow start. It's a good month for local diverse veggie eating. It's time to turn compost into your garden, improve soil & throw seed to the ground. Don't forget to rotate your crops, for example..legumes (beans/peas), followed by heavy eaters like corn/tomatoes, then root crops & leafy greens. Surround with herbs & flowers when possible. Below is what each part of Florida should plant from seed this month.

North FL beets, Broccoli, cabbage, Carrots, kale, Kohlrabi, Mustard, onions, radish. Last month to plant~ spinach, strawberry & collards.

Central FL beets, broccoli, cabbage, carrots, cauliflower, celery, collards, kale, kohlrabi, lettuce, mustard, onions, english peas, radish. Last month to plant spinach, strawberry & turnips.

South FL all beans, beets, broccoli, cabbage, carrots, cauliflower, celery, collards, corn, cucumber, Kale, kohlrabi, lettuce, mustard, onions, all peas, potatoes, radish, spinach, tomato, turnips. Last month to plant strawberry.

November 2012
29th-30th Any Seed Planted Now Will Rot.

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Nice but dry..


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Hurricane Sandy's Sand (Skyepony)
Hurricane Sandy brought millions of dollars of sand to East Central Florida. The new tidal pool/trench is where the beach used to end & the ocean began. Sandy brought far more beach than I've ever seen in this area. Not only is the sand bar new, the old beach is ~five foot higher than it used to be. It used to be 9 stairs down to the beach now it's only 4.
Hurricane Sandy's Sand
FullBeaverMoon.. (suzi46)
and the smallest full moon in North America.. This was the time to set beaver traps before the swamps froze, to ensure supply of warm winter furs. Another interpretation suggests that the name Full Beaver Moon comes from the fact that the beavers are now actively preparing for winter. It is sometimes also referred to as the Frosty Moon.
FullBeaverMoon..

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Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
PERTURBATION TROPICALE 02-20122013
10:00 AM RET November 15 2012
========================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 02 (1004 hPa) located at 9.6S 71.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving west southwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.5/1.5/D 0.5/6 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 9.9S 68.7E - 30 knots (Depression Tropicale)
48 HRS: 10.0S 66.1E - 25 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)
72 HRS: 9.7S 62.7E - 25 knots (Perturbation Tropicale)

Additional Information
=========================
Vertical wind shear has decreased since yesterday over the disturbed weather area monitored since a few days ago. System has organized and deep convective activity keeps on persisting near the center since 1600 PM UTC. It presents now a curved band pattern (refer to 2243 PM UTC, F17 0116 AM UTC, WINDSAT 0123 AM UTC, and F18 0329 AM UTC).

OSCAT 1856 PM UTC and partial covered ASCAT 0512 AM UTC swath confirms that near gale force winds 30 knots exists in the southern semi-circle.

A weak to moderate wind shear window is expected to keep on persisting up to 1200 PM UTC before east northeasterly upper level winds strengthen back. Despite the indirect equatorward low level inflow and an only sustained poleward one, system is expected to deepen into a tropical depression stage within the next night (a more rapid intensification is however not excluded)

Current intensity of the system does not justify issuance of regular advisory
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
57. whitewabit (Mod)
hopefully the system will stay well off the coast .. but the models always seem to move to the west ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 358 Comments: 30184
12ZCMC showing the next low starting subtropical & moving more tropical as it deepens. Click pic to see sst which are kinda cool for all that, 23-25C.



Large with a large blocking high to the north..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26
9:00 AM JST November 15 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.3N 107.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving north northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 9.7N 104.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26
3:00 AM JST November 15 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.3N 107.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 10.0N 105.7E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Overland Vietnam
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
8:30 AM IST November 14 2012
=================================

a low pressure area has formed over southeast and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal. The system would become well marked during next 48 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26
15:00 PM JST November 14 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 8.1N 109.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 9.0N 106.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea

Additional Information
=======================

Tropical Depression will move west northwestward for the next 24 hours

Tropical Depression will be upgraded to tropical storm within 24 hours

System will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area

Final initial Dvorak number will be 2.5 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26
12:00 PM JST November 14 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 7.6N 109.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 8.3N 107.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26
9:00 AM JST November 14 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 7.6N 110.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 8.3N 107.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea

Additional Information
=======================

Tropical Depression will move west north westward for the next 24 hours

Tropical Depression will be upgraded to tropical storm within 24 hours

System will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area

Final initial Dvorak number will be 2.0 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Aqua & Skye, drooling here! I still have all the seeds you sent but haven't had a permanent garden to plant them in, but soon we will... :)
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7198
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26
6:00 AM JST November 14 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 7.4N 110.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 7.7N 107.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26
3:00 AM JST November 14 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 7.4N 110.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================
24 HRS: 7.7N 107.4E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Did see a few late watermelons up yesterday.

Well, you are further south than me....companion planting of watermelon and broccoli? oh my...what IS this world coming to?

:)
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25508
Quoting Louisclocks:
Im thinking of putting away the generator.


Yeah the pain train seems to be headed to the NE..

I've got to pull the lawn furniture & what not out of the barn so I can store hay.

With 60% hay failure across the land & coming off the bad hay years from the droughts from TX to GA..it's probilby going to be hard to find late winter & early spring.


Aqua~ Awesome garden report! Your gardens are beautiful. What a treat it was to see them. I told Pros..I still can't get over how wowed I was by her art "live". Hope your Melons finish up quick. I got your hitchhikers planted. They look all happy. Planted a few cucumbers, thought I'd play the odds too.. My neglected fall squash all was eaten by bugs. Did see a few late watermelons up yesterday. It' been warm enough.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
Looks like a great year for broccoli, cauliflower & cabbage.

Yep. Growing like crazy here. Some raab, already over a foot in diameter- all leafy, no raab-y.

Last cold spell exploded the letti seeds. Did I REALLY plant that many? (probably over 100 each) Also, the spinach pushed through. It was planted on a special saturday, before a special monday. Nearly 30 of'm, I sang praises to God, my neighbor thought I was daffy.
Found BOGO four-pak pots of cauliflower and bok-choy at the arts market, $2. Never grew cauliflower before. The broccoli has taken off, too. Found another burnett, too- all from the crazy gun-toting survivalist herb lady.

Oh yeah, there's two marble-sized cataloupes. Will it be a warm winter, or a cold winter? I think I got it covered.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25508
Im thinking of putting away the generator.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Hey everyone 96W & 98B are up..good call Hades:)

Nice NOAA is providing floaters on all these. Indian Ocean & SH ones we haven't had til more recent.

Wab~ Been agreeing with you completely on the Central Atlantic wave.

The wave that is going to turn into a extra or maybe sub-tropical low & hit Bermuda.. CMC is starting to show the tail of that touching a blob off the Carolinas. Barely warm core about 4-5 days out.


Reclaimed the north garden. I've been hacking & pulling in there a few weeks now. Regaining a few pots & planting. Cleared the rest & filled in around what survived since (buster was in there) with some plants from the farm store, onion sets & seeds.

Looks like a great year for broccoli, cauliflower & cabbage. Put your lettuce in the coolest spots you got ECFL & south.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
41. whitewabit (Mod)
Swirl in the mid Atlantic still under strong sheer .. blowing all the cloud tops to the east .. don't see it lessening in the next several days .. so don't see any development in it unless the sheer dies down ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 358 Comments: 30184
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST November 13 2012
======================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 8.0N 116.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Cool that you gained beach. Usually the other way around!
Just popping in to say "Hi!"
Enjoy the evening.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30684
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM RET November 11 2012
===================================

Over the northeastern basin: the low level circulation center, detected yesterday, has lost in both definition and organization since last night. After a rather symetric presentation on last night ASCAT pass, OSCAT data of this morning, TRMM pass of 0556Z and classical satellite imagery, show that the low level circulation center merged within an east-west shear line located along 07S. Convective activity is locally strong between 06S 09S and 80E 83E but remains highly easterly sheared and without any organization. Environmental conditions appear marginal for development at present time (indirect low level inflow, 30-40 knots easterly shear). According to available numerical guidance, conditions could become gradually more conducive Tuesday with a more direct low level inflow equatorwards and some easing of the shear associated with better divergence aloft. All guidance deepen a low within the next few days and move it southwestwards and then west southwestwards. It is worth to note that some models show a significantly weaker system than suggested a few days ago.

250 km to the north of Tromelin: The broad low level clockwise circulation monitored since a few days, is located at 1100Z near 13.6S 54.5E, moving west northwestwards at about 8 knots. Associated residual convective activity is removed at more than 500 km to the southeast of the center. mean sea level pressure is estimated at 1008 hPa and winds are estimated at 10-15 knots near the center, reaching 20-25 knots far away from the center in the southern semi-circle due to gradient effect with the subtropical high pressures. Within unfavorable conditions, this system should dissipate within the next 24-36 hours near the northeastern coasts of Madagascar.

For the next 24 hours, development of a tropical depression is not expected. Tuesday, potential becomes poor to fair for the disturbance in paragraph one.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
17:30 PM IST November 10 2012
======================================

A low pressure area may form over central parts of south Bay of Bengal around November 14th.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM RET November 10 2012
===================================

A near equatorial Trough extends north of 10S east of 68E. Within the NET, convective activity is locally moderate to strong between 80E and 85E. ASCAT data of this morning and last available animated satellite pictures suggest that a poorly defined low level circulation exists near 5S/84E at 0900Z. The low level circulation center is almost stationary. Minimal sea level pressure is estimated at 1004hPa. Winds near the center are of the order of 20-25kt, reaching 30kt in the northwestern sector. Lower layers environmental conditions are rather favorable, but east-northeasterly vertical wind shear is expected to keep on being moderate to strong in this area within the next 2-3 days. This low may track slowly southwestward for the next 24 hours, and accelerate west southwestward beyond. Available numerical weather prediction models forecast a slow deepening of this low for the next 3 days.

A broad ill-defined low level clockwise circulation is located at 0900Z near 14.2S 58.4E, moving southwestward at about 10 knots. Associated convective activity is fluctuating. Mean level sea pressure is estimated at 1007 hPa and winds are estimated at 10-15 knots near the center, reaching 20-25 knots far away from the center in the southeastern quadrant due to gradient effect with the subtropical high pressures. Available numerical weather prediction models are in good agreement and do not deepen the low within the next days. Oceanic heat content is marginal and a rather strong north wind shear should remain on the expected west southwestward track.

For the next 48 hours, development of a tropical depression is not expected. From Monday, potential becomes poor for the first paragraph disturbance.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
35. whitewabit (Mod)
If the sheer would have been lower the last 2 days we would have a name already .. but thankfully it was and looks like will continue for a few days.. and its diving to the SW as you said and water temps are still very warm !! Will be watching the timing of any troughs coming down that could impact it ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 358 Comments: 30184
WOW..This just needs some convection from the center. Moving wsw too..click to loop.


Wab~ Oh there will be..

Ylee~ Makes me wunder how Daytona really fared.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
33. Ylee
That's some crazy sand; almost looks like Daytona! :)
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 86 Comments: 14577
32. whitewabit (Mod)
Thats an enormous amount of sand that was left by Sandy.. Hopefully there won't be another storm that washes it all away ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 358 Comments: 30184
Finally got my beach pics up. Sandy brought us so much sand...millions of dollars of sand. She was so well named. I know she was hell on the NE~ but here, We got a hurricane day with nearly no damage & all that beach renourishment. She did East Central Florida quite a bit of good.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM RET November 9 2012
===================================

A near equatorial Trough extends north of 10S east of 75E. Associated convective activity remains scattered and very fluctuating but locally strong northward and southward along a low level shear line stretching on a 08S 83E - 03S 93E axis. East northeasterly vertical wind shear is expected to keep on being rather strong in this area within the next 2-3 days. Beyond, potential for cyclogenesis is forecast to become good next week according to ECMWF ensemble strike probability.

A broad ill-defined low level clockwise circulation extends up to 600 km from the center of exposed low level circulation center approximately located at 1030Z near 11.5S 61.5E. Associated convective activity is very scattered and extends mainly far away from the center and especially in the southeastern semi-circle. Mean sea level pressure is estimated at 1007 hPa and ASCAT path of this morning suggests winds at about 10-15 kt near the center, reaching 20-25 kt far away from the center in the southeastern quadrant due to gradient effect with the subtropical high pressures. System is moving west southwestward at about 8-10 kt.

Available numerical weather prediction models are in good agreement and do not deepen the low within the next days. Oceanic heat content is marginal and a rather strong north easterly wind shear should remain on the expected west southwestward track.

For the next 60 hours, development of a tropical depression is not expected. From Monday, potential becomes poor within the area located east of the basin.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM RET November 7 2012
===================================

At 1030Z, the center is located near 10.5S 66.3E with an estimated mean sea level pressure at 1007 hPa and winds in the 10-20 knots range, reaching locally 25 kt far to the north and south of the low level circulation center. Initial motion is rather uncertain but is estimated to be southwards at 10-15 knots.

Wind shear appears to be the main limited factor for further development. However the shear is
easing and this trend should continue trough tomorrow afternoon associated with fair upper level
divergence. Some slow development is possible until that time. Beyond, a sharp increase in the
wind shear is expected. Available numerical weather prediction models analyze this low but none show significant deepening within the next few days as they move the low generally west southwestwards.

The potential for development of a tropical depression for the next 24 hours is poor to fair and
becomes null beyond.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
looks like the nor'easter got the name Winter Storm Bree from some weather center website in California. heh
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01F
9:00 AM FST November 7 2012
=================================

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance 01F (1003 hPa) located at 21.0S 176.0E. Position poor based on multispectral visible and peripheral surface observations. The disturbance is reported as moving southeast at 10 knots. Sea surface temperature is around 26C.

Tropical Disturbance 01 lies just to the east of an upper level trough in a high sheared environment. Global models have picked up the system and moves it southeastward with further development.

Potential for tropical disturbance 01 to develop into a tropical disturbance within the next 24 hours is LOW.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Quoting NEwxguy:
models trending east,models trending west,I guess the the final analysis is we are going to get hit pretty hard again here in the northeast.Sometimes just not worth following the models until the day of the storm,drive you to drink.


It certainly could. Wind swath on the the CMC is a little farther south than the GFS. This is one to prepare & hope not to get hit too hard by.. It's bringing wind & surge.



Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
models trending east,models trending west,I guess the the final analysis is we are going to get hit pretty hard again here in the northeast.Sometimes just not worth following the models until the day of the storm,drive you to drink.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Fiji Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
6:00 AM FST November 7 2012
====================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, LOW [1005HPA] LOCATED NEAR 20.0S 173.0E. THE LOW IS REPORTED AS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
lol Skye... dau has a new portrait up every day on FB - why not?
Wonderful election weather in SEFL today, 80F and just so nice to breathe good quality air. My favourite temps and weather :)
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7198
93S


GFS wind swath in knots for the nor'easter. It's 925mb so it should be a little less at the surface but dang..



Patti~ I need too go vote soon. Hoping the lines aren't long.

Wabit~ I can't get a straight answer on if you get to go in Atlantis. There is one of the mock ups at the visitor complex you can go in. Something special right now is for a limited time the public for the first time is allowed in the VAB in 30 years. It's the huge building with the NASA meatball & flag. I've been in it a few times & it is incredible. It has it's own weather atmosphere.. My grandfather helped build it. Dad worked on it too through the years.

Thanks ya'll. I got some great pics with the family with Atlantis with a much higher res camera for keepsake. The avatar is off a tablet I was gifted with the other week. That thing is so easy & fun to take pics of yourself & background with I'm trying hard not to turn into Jason with a new self portrait every other day:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM RET November 6 2012
===================================

Associated convective activity is particularly active from Equator to 13S between 60E and 80E. It is
still badly organized and fluctuating. Recent multispectral and scatterometry imagery does not
currently allow to depict a clockwise low level circulation. However, a movement seems to begin
between 65E and 75E around 8S.

For the next 2 days, last available numerical weather prediction models forecast favorable environmental conditions for cyclogenesis within the previously mentioned area. Low level inflow is expected to improve equator and polar sides and the east-northeasterly vertical wind shear should decrease on the northwestern edge of an high tropospheric ridge. Sea surface temperatures are sufficient at about 27-28C. Nevertheless, beyond 48-60 hours, wind shear is forecast to notably increase and should rapidly limit development of the system that might move south-westward on the low-mid level high pressures situated in the southeast.

There is no potential for development of a tropical depression for the next 24 hours. Potential becomes fair to good from Wednesday to Thursday.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Just running in the blogs while waiting for my time to go out and vote today... Hope all that must be out in the weather, stay safe and warm... and dont forget to vote!!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
19. whitewabit (Mod)
Skye .. when the shuttle exhibit is completed and opened to the public .. will one be able to see the inside of the shuttle or walk through it is some way ??
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 358 Comments: 30184
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:00 PM RET November 4 2012
===================================

Recent multi-spectral and scatterometry imagery does not currently allow to depict a clockwise low level circulation and any available numerical weather prediction model do not deep a significant low in this area within the next 3 days.

On and after Thursday or Friday, deterministic ECMWF model forecasts a signal of a deepening low near 10S 60E shifting westwards. Its ensemble prediction system show a low probability for a significant cyclogenesis in this area.

Development of a tropical depression is not expected for the next 72 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 48 Comments: 43702
Hi Aqua!
Hi Finn!

Skye,
copying this over from my blog to make sure you see it:

Skye,
Thanks. Your "Skyepony & Atlantis" pic is a great capture of a moment in history. You should get a high quality print of it framed and save it for your grandchildren. A lot of times we see pics of ancestors with no context. That one is special.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30684
want to go visit KSC one day.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 163 Comments: 25508
Thanks for the pics, bittersweet...
Yeah, cool avatar :)
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7198
wab~ Looking at the response imagery..too many houses were washed away. So much standing water on the images took yesterday. Feel for those people.. It's a lot of work.

The big storm in the NE Pacific threatening Alaska & Canada..that should have a part in next weeks weather on the east coast.

Finn~ That's sad about the people coming in that have lost lots.

Good to see the BIL getting along. It's amazing that fine line of electricity..glad he ran off for some. Many times once you have that, storm suddenly feels less harsh.

Rob~ Thanks!!
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157
12. whitewabit (Mod)
Watched some of the rolling out didn't see you LOL .. looked to be a big crowd .. It was sad to know they will never fly again ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 358 Comments: 30184
11. whitewabit (Mod)
This up coming nor'easter will cool temps off, just what they don't need with power still off in many areas.. which is going to take weeks to restore ..

Its going to be somber holidays for many of the people living right on the coast ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 358 Comments: 30184
Skye, I feel the sadness too, though I came to FL too late to really catch the shuttle fever.

Yes, BIL was prepared, but not being able to use the toilet and take a shower got too hard after 3 days so they're at SIL's house, who lost power just for a day. BIL hoping to get power on Monday.

Terrible to meet at the store many customers who have lost homes, one even lost her dog and was crying against my shoulder. So sad :(
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7198
Thanks for making time to post the pics.
Yes, I enjoyed them!

(Cool spacey avatar too!)
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30684
I've been crazy busy. Should have left more. Got the photos up. Unlike the ones that flew away, the parade & ceremony left time for a ridiculous amount of photo taking. It was hard to whittle them down. There is maybe 18 in that series. Enjoy!


Quoting NEwxguy:
Another nor'easter looming on the horizon,If I scream UNCLE,you think mother nature will cease and desist?
Especially for those in New York and NJ,don't need anything more right now.


I hate it for you all up there. I've half figured another one, probilby weaker & more cold core was next. Part is the over all pattern, that takes some time to undo.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36157

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About Skyepony

Forecaster, Skywarn, Horse Trainer, Artist and Gardener...I help moderate the Blogs at WeatherUnderground.

Personal Weather Stations

West Eau Gallie
Melbourne, FL
Elevation: 29 ft
Temperature: 84.6 °F
Dew Point: 63.9 °F
Humidity: 50%
Wind: 2.0 mph from the East
Wind Gust: -
Updated: 5:50 PM EDT on April 23, 2014
Forge Mountain
Mills River, NC
Elevation: 2540 ft
Temperature: 74.8 °F
Dew Point: 36.6 °F
Humidity: 25%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 5:50 PM EDT on April 23, 2014
APRSWXNET Etowah NC US
Etowah, NC
Elevation: 2376 ft
Temperature: 72.0 °F
Dew Point: 34.0 °F
Humidity: 25%
Wind: 1.0 mph from the NNE
Wind Gust: 7.0 mph
Updated: 4:12 PM EDT on April 23, 2014

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