Tropics

By: Skyepony , 2:00 PM GMT on September 01, 2012

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Atlantic

14L NADINE



East Pacific
14E


13E MIRIAM


Central Pacific

West Pacific
95W


94W


19W EWINIAR


18W.JELAWAT


Indian Ocean

Southern Hemisphere


A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
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Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

Sept brings a flurry of gardening.. North FL is still planting some warm season but is able to plant most cool season stuff. Central FL is planting a nice mix of both but still leaning mostly warm season. South FL is planting mostly warm season with a few cool season. Everyone can plant lettuce..so let us plant!!!

North FL Bush & pole beans, Broccoli, cauliflower, collards, cucumbers, onions, turnips, summer squash, Kohlrabi, beets, brussel sprouts, cabbage, carrots, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish.

Central FL pole, lima & bush beans, broccoli, celery, collards, corn, eggplant, onions, peppers, cucumbers, southern peas, summer squash, tomatoes, broccoli, cabbage, lettuce, mustard, parsley, radish, turnips.

South FL bush, pole & lima beans, broccoli, cantaloupes, cabbage, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, lettuce, mustard, parsley, okra, southern peas, peppers, pumpkins, summer squash, tomatoes & watermelon.

September 2012
21st-23rd Clear Fencerows, Woodlots And Fields, But Do No Planting.
24th-25th Any Aboveground Crops That Can Be Planted Now Will Do Well.
26th-27th Poor Planting Days. Kill Plant Pests.
28th-30th Favorable Planting Days: First Day For Aboveground Crops. Last Two Days For Root Crops. Last Two Days Also Good For Transplanting. All Days Fine For Planting Vine Crops.

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Endeavour Leaving for California (Skyepony)
Endeavour Leaving for California
North Garden Fence Down (Skyepony)
North garden fence was getting old. Buster must have stuck his head through the gate after grass & got caught up in it. He has a small scrape. He needed more reassuring he wasn't in trouble than medical attention.
North Garden Fence Down

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230. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
2:05 AM GMT on October 02, 2012
Skyepony has created a new entry.
229. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
1:16 AM GMT on October 02, 2012

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
TROPICAL STORM GAEMI (T1220)
9:00 AM JST October 2 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Gaemi (1004 hPa) located at 16.7N 115.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving southeast slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
150 NM from the center in the northwestern quadrant
90 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 16.0N 115.6E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
48 HRS: 15.5N 115.8E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
72 HRS: 15.3N 114.6E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) South China Sea

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
TROPICAL STORM MALIKSI (T1219)
9:00 AM JST October 2 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Iwo Jima

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Maliksi (992 hPa) located at 20.3N 143.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
375 NM from the center in northeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in southwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 23.2N 140.7E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Ogasawara waters
48 HRS: 29.0N 140.6E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Ogasawara waters
72 HRS: 37.4N 147.5E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
228. LakeWorthFinn
5:30 PM GMT on October 01, 2012
GO NADINE GO! :)

~ White wabits ~ White wabits ~ White wabits to everybody!
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7292
227. Skyepony
1:22 PM GMT on October 01, 2012
Hey all. I'll get a new blog up later.

Louis~ I've been rooting for her too! Go Nadine!

Rob~ Buster was a sad, abused, starved pony I paid $400 more for than I should have, but I couldn't leave him.. I've had him a few years now, long enough he knows he doesn't have to cower from me. He got extra kisses that day..he's such a kiss loving pony.

Hades~ Thanks I've been busy

Shep~ :))

{{Finn}}


They are starting to move GOES-14 over toward the east.. Not looking good for GOES-13..

Details/Specifics of Change: In order to support users with better data
during the ongoing GOES-13 anomaly recovery, a GOES-14 East Drift Start
Maneuver will be performed today, Monday, October 1, 2012, at 1545 UTC.
GOES-14 is currently positioned at 105 degrees west, and upon the
maneuver, the eastward longitudinal drift will be initiated.
GOES-14 will
drift 0.90 degrees per day to the East towards the location of
GOES-13 at
75 degrees West.


Final location of GOES-14 is dependent upon the ongoing recovery of
GOES-13. During this transition, direct readout users can continue to
receive GOES-14 data via the GOES-13 GVAR broadcast stream from
75 degrees
West, and will not have to repoint their antennas to GOES-14. GOES-13
imager and sounder remain out of service at this time.


Location of frame boundaries of the satellite scanning sectors will be
adjusted every Wednesday at the 1900 UTC housekeeping period.
This will
cause a one time shift in the image and sounding frames each Wednesday.
GINI and Remapper output will be monitored to ensure optimal
coverage of
the CONUS for users of AWIPS and of the SATEPSDIST servers within ESPC.
Image Navigation and Registration (INR) is expected to remain within
specification during this drift period. For NWS operations, during this
time period, RSO (Rapid Scan Operations) will be available. No SRSO
(Super
Rapid Scan Operations) will be available.


On October 1, 2012 the following schedule will be employed to support
maneuver operations:


GOES-14 East Drift Start Maneuver Schedule begins at 1545 UTC on
October 1,
2012.


>From 1545 UTC through 1606 UTC -- GOES-14 No Scan Operations


There will be no GOES-15 (GOES-West) Full Disk (30 minute) Imaging.


There will be no recovery schedule for this maneuver.


1609 UTC -- GOES-14 Routine Scan Operations Resume.


Please note: Since post-maneuver attitude performance is expected to be
nominal, a special recovery schedule is not required, and the
6-hour INR
(Image Navigation Registration) recovery period will be supported by
Routine schedule.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
226. Louisclocks
10:25 AM GMT on October 01, 2012
I think we need to tip out hats to Nadine. She must be one of the longest lasting storms. Go girl.
Member Since: February 22, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 94
225. RobDaHood
9:45 PM GMT on September 30, 2012
LOL

Just saw the pic of the fence. If I was Buster, I'd have been hiding somewhere on the back 40.

Just thought it was about time I said "Hi, Skye!"
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 96 Comments: 31859
224. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
9:44 PM GMT on September 30, 2012
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
17:30 PM IST September 30 2012
===================================

The well marked low pressure area over west central Bay of Bengal of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh coast. It may intensify into a depression during next 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
223. theshepherd
1:43 PM GMT on September 30, 2012
Quoting Skyepony:
Little something on the Trooping Fairies.. Beautiful moon tonight.


I suppose my ears may also have been burning a bit. Hey pony gal :)
Cyber fairies???

"Plenty of the old beautiful tunes of Ireland are only their music, caught up by eavesdroppers. No wise peasant would hum "The Pretty Girl milking the Cow" near a fairy rath, for they are jealous, and do not like to hear their songs on clumsy mortal lips."...

My daughter still thinks of this book that I gave her as a child every time she hears the word fairies and to this day spells it "faeries" out of respect for those mischievous little critters.
:)))

http://www.endicott-studio.com/rdrm/rrfairies4.ht ml
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222. Skyepony
1:30 AM GMT on September 30, 2012
Jelawat on TRMM.. click pic for very large quicktime animation..

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
221. Skyepony
1:04 AM GMT on September 30, 2012
Little something on the Trooping Fairies.. Beautiful moon tonight.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
220. LakeWorthFinn
6:00 PM GMT on September 29, 2012
Is this the Year of the Typhoons or the Year of the Dragon???

:( on the whales

Nice info again Skye, thanks!
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7292
219. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:05 PM GMT on September 29, 2012
looks like two new typhoons are appearing as forecast by the CMC.



Philippines may have to watch for "Marce" this week.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
218. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:02 PM GMT on September 29, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 22
21:00 PM JST September 29 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 13.5N 112.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 13.4N 112.2E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
217. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:02 PM GMT on September 29, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21
21:00 PM JST September 29 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea Near Chuuk Islands

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 12.8N 151.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving north northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 16.2N 146.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Marianas Island
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
216. Louisclocks
11:14 AM GMT on September 29, 2012
Queen of the night ?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PJc1IhESV8c&featur e=related
Member Since: February 22, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 94
215. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:24 AM GMT on September 29, 2012
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST September 29 2012
===================================

Vortex over Bay of Bengal near 15.5N 84.0E. Center poorly defined on infrared imagery. Associated broken low/medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection over Bay of Bengal between 12.0N to 16.5N west of 85.0E.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.0
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
214. Skyepony
2:05 AM GMT on September 29, 2012
Thanks Louis! It's so bright here tonight.

September
Moon Names: Harvest Moon, Wine Moon, Singing Moon, Sturgeon Moon, Haligmonath (Holy Month), Witumanoth (Wood Month), Moon When Deer Paw the Earth.
September was the seventh month in the oldest Roman calendar. When other months were added to the seasonal calendar, the name for some reason was never changed. The Autumn Equinox was and is still celebrated by many cultures around the world. This month is the last of the reliable harvesting months in the Northern Hemisphere. Life is beginning to wind down in preparation for the dormant months that follow. The energy flows from the Autumn Equinox through Winter Solstice to the Spring Equinox are getting deeper, more hidden. The Dark Moon deities, who represent the Underworld, death, reincarnation, and deep spiritual mysteries, now hold sway.

The Egyptian Ceremony of Lighting the Fire was a general festival of lights for all the gods and goddesses. Lamps of all kinds were set in front of deity statues. They were also placed before the statues of ancestors. The Egyptian deity Thoth was the Lord of Holy Wards and inventor of the Four Laws of Magick. Portrayed as ibis-headed, Thoth was a Moon god. As Supreme Magus, or the Ultimate Magician, he had control over the powers and attributes of the Moon.

In the old Incan Empire, the Citua was held on the New Moon nearest the Autumn Equinox. Everyone performed a ritual cleansing, then smeared their faces with a paste of ground maize (corn). There followed several days of feasting and dancing. This was a Moon festival in honor of Mama Quilla, the Moon goddess.

Correspondences

Nature Spirits: trooping faeries
Herbs: copal, fennel, rye, wheat, valerian, skullcap
Colours: brown, yellow-green, yellow
Flowers: narcissus, lily
Scents: storax, mastic, gardenia, bergamot
Stones: peridot, olivine, chrysolite, citrine
Trees: hazel, larch, bay
Animals: snake, jackal
Birds: ibis, sparrow
Deities: Demeter, Ceres, Isis, Nephthys, Freyja, Ch'ang-O, Thoth
Power Flow: rest after labor; balance of Light and Dark. Organize. Clean and straighten up physical, mental, emotional and spiritual clutter.

Old Sayings & Lore

A verse: When the Moon is at the full, mushroom you can safely pull. But when the Moon is on the wane, wit ere you think to pluck again.
Sailors believed that if the Moon, in the first or last quarter, lay in nearly a horizontal position with the horns upward, the weather would be fine. Country people say that the same type of Moon means good weather for twenty eight days.
Country people said that the weather was more likely to change at the four quarters of the Moon that at any other time.
Rain is coming when the Moon has a halo around it or when an outline can be seen between the horns of a waxing or waning Moon.
One old legend says that on the Moon is everything that was wasted on Earth: mis-spent time, squandered wealth, broken vows, unanswered prayers, fruitless tears, unfulfilled desires and intentions, etc.


Guy~ That is awful about the seagulls..



Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
213. Skyepony
2:00 AM GMT on September 29, 2012
Wave has looked better through out the day.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
212. guygee
12:50 AM GMT on September 29, 2012
On the bizarre and disturbing front, an article describing how seagulls have learned to eat the flesh of living whales when the whales surface for air...

Argentinian politicians unveil plan to shoot seagulls that attack whales

Birds regularly peck the mammals, then feed on the open wounds – behaviour environmentalists have blamed on humans
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3148
211. Louisclocks
12:13 AM GMT on September 29, 2012
Harvest Moon on the way .......... one of them anyway

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qVi0UvFu8Yo
Member Since: February 22, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 94
210. Skyepony
3:49 PM GMT on September 28, 2012
Latest on the expected bacon shortage due to drought.

As for American grain crops farmers are sitting on their crops waiting for prices to peak. There is also no pressure to decide right away who to sell their wheat, durum and barley now that the Canadian Wheat Board no longer has a monopoly over the marketing of those grains.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
209. Skyepony
3:21 PM GMT on September 28, 2012
Morning all. Updated the entry.

My tour of service ended with the last case the other day..indited.

Hades~ MJO isn't favoring the Bay of Bengal storm. Thanks for all the updates:)



Finn~ Congrats on having your book selected for buzzing! I'm not surprised, it's an excellent read.

Bogon~ I was awed by the cloudsat at the time. I can't remember if I posted it in Masters or not. That's neat that was also included in the link. Great documentation. Horrible storm.

guy~ considering Russia is taking issue immediately, there is going to be some backlash.. Thanks for bringing it for us to follow.

LowerCal~ Pretty great speech. I've seen first hand that job come home with them. Continued tinkering at home. Leaving for work at 2am because they wolk up in the middle of the night with the answer to saving the shuttle.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
208. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:20 AM GMT on September 28, 2012
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST September 28 2012
================================

The well marked low pressure area over west central Bay of Bengal and neighborhood persists..

Broken Low/Medium clouds with embedded moderate to intense convection over Bay of Bengal between 8.5N to 17.0N west of 91.0E in association with a vortex over the area centered around 13.5N 87.0E

Dvorak Intensity: T1.0
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
207. whitewabit (Mod)
12:07 AM GMT on September 28, 2012
Quoting Bogon:
Big weather last week in South America.


Severe weather happens everywhere on earth, but we only see events that are rather close to us .. Interesting article, had heard nothing of this before your post .. Tks !

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
206. LakeWorthFinn
11:31 PM GMT on September 27, 2012
Oh, didn't see you had buzzed Kun Lun here too! You are wonderful, thank you!
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7292
205. Bogon
10:37 PM GMT on September 27, 2012
Big weather last week in South America.
Member Since: June 26, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3689
204. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
10:36 PM GMT on September 27, 2012
looks like another typhoon in the making from the CMC models near Guam.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
203. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
10:16 PM GMT on September 27, 2012
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
23:30 PM IST September 27 2012
=====================================

The low pressure area over west central Bay of Bengal and neighborhood now lies as a well marked low pressure..
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
202. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
2:21 PM GMT on September 27, 2012
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
14:30 IST September 27 2012
=================================

A low pressure area has formed over west central Bay of Bengal. The system may become well marked during next 48 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
201. guygee
11:42 AM GMT on September 27, 2012
I was reading over at RealClimate this morning. The current lead story topic is apparently criticizing the non-disclosure agreement (NDA) that the authors of the paper mentioned below had the press sign before "pre-releasing" the results. In the comments it is brought up that "the paper's authors are claiming that the NDA was intended to protect them from retaliation by industry interests". Here it is the topic of the paper itself that may be more interesting.

Gilles-Eric Seralini, et al., "Long term toxicity of a Roundup herbicide and a Roundup-tolerant genetically modified maize", Food and Chemical Toxicology, Available online 19 September 2012, In Press, Corrected Proof

The full abstract and figures are currently available at the link above...most likely for a limited time only. Highlights are quoted below and for an introduction the first sentence of the abstract is included:

"The health effects of a Roundup-tolerant genetically modified maize (from 11% in the diet), cultivated with or without Roundup, and Roundup alone (from 0.1 ppb in water), were studied 2 years in rats."

Highlights
- A Roundup-tolerant maize and Roundup provoked chronic hormone and sex dependent pathologies.
- Female mortality was 2 - 3 times increased mostly due to large mammary tumors and disabled pituitary.
- Males had liver congestions, necrosis, severe kidney nephropathies and large palpable tumors.
- This may be due to an endocrine disruption linked to Roundup and a new metabolism due to the transgene.
- GMOs and formulated pesticides must be evaluated by long term studies to measure toxic effects.
=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=
Addendum
Here is a link to the full paper. The site is in French but if you scroll down just a bit you will see the page icons that you can click on to read the full paper page-by-page.

Also, Monsanto has issued it's own response to this paper. One of the contributors to the comments on RealClimate provided the link to Monsanto's response with this observation:

"I found Monsanto's response to Seralini et al. moved the goalpost from toxicity (which Seralini found) to "he didn't use the appropriate protocol to test for carcinogenicity" (which Seralini didn't claim - only tumors which is not the same as cancer or metastatic)."
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3148
200. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
4:32 AM GMT on September 27, 2012


first tropical cyclone to form in northern Indian Ocean?
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
199. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
4:13 AM GMT on September 27, 2012
Also there are warning for Taiwan eastern and southern coastline.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
198. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
4:12 AM GMT on September 27, 2012
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #26
TYPHOON LAWIN (JELAWAT)
11:00 AM PhST September 27 2012
==================================

Typhoon "LAWIN" has slightly weakened as it continues to threaten the Batanes Group of Islands

At 10:00 AM PhSt, Typhoon Lawin (Jelawat) [938 hPa] located at 19.8°N 124.6°E or 250 km east of Basco, Batanes has 10 minute sustained winds of 105 knots with gusts of 125 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
================

Signal Warning #3
----------------

Luzon Region
============
1. Batanes Group of Islands

Signal Warning #2
----------------

Luzon Region
============
1. Cagayan
2. Calayan
3. Babuyan Group of Islands

Signal Warning #1
-----------------

Luzon Region
==============
1. Ilocos Norte
2. Kalinga
3. Apayao
4. Abra
5. Isabela

Additional Information
========================

Residents living in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #3 & #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this typhoon.

Estimated amount is from 10-25 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 800 km diameter of the typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboard of central Luzon, the seaboards of southern Luzon and Visayas due to big waves generated by Typhoon "LAWIN" and Southwest Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
197. LakeWorthFinn
1:58 AM GMT on September 27, 2012
Cooling down here too. Hugz!
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7292
196. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
1:10 AM GMT on September 27, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #55
TYPHOON JELAWAT (T1217)
9:00 AM JST September 27 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Jelawat (920 hPa) located at 19.6N 124.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
=================
100 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
350 NM from the center in northern quadrant
240 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 22.3N 123.6E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Near Ishigaki Island
48 HRS: 24.2N 125.0E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Near Miyako-jima
72 HRS: 26.5N 129.2E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Okinawa Island Waters
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
195. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
12:53 AM GMT on September 27, 2012
SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Southeast of Hachijo-jima

At 0:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Ewiniar (985 hPa) located at 30.4N 142.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
==================
240 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
150 NM from the center in western quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 32.5N 142.7E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Near Hachijo-jima
48 HRS: 36.0N 146.4E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of Japan
72 HRS: 42.5N 156.2E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of Kuril
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
194. LowerCal
5:44 PM GMT on September 26, 2012
The Shuttle Shokunins is adapted from a speech Miles O'Brien delivered at the 50th anniversary dinner of the Kennedy Space Center on Saturday, September 22, 2012.

Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9167
193. Skyepony
5:05 AM GMT on September 26, 2012
Beautiful ring around the moon. It's freezing out there.. I mean less that 70º!


OSCAT of the wave ~55W
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
192. Skyepony
3:57 AM GMT on September 26, 2012
TRMM of EWINIAR~ Click pic for very large Quicktime.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
191. Skyepony
3:54 AM GMT on September 26, 2012
CLoudsat of the west side of Lawin. Along the bottom, the blue is water, the brown is little islands.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
190. Skyepony
3:04 AM GMT on September 26, 2012
Shore~ that is the sort of boycott we need!
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
189. Skyepony
3:04 AM GMT on September 26, 2012
Check out Finn's book Kun Lun Footprints of a Servant~ I finally got my review in...(5/5)
This book is a fun read that brings inspiration & wisdom while taking the reader on adventure in both time & spirit:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
188. shoreacres
1:31 AM GMT on September 26, 2012
Hi, Skye,

You'll be interested in this. Russia's just suspended importation and use of American GM corn. Other nations may follow.
Member Since: October 4, 2004 Posts: 205 Comments: 15288
187. Skyepony
12:22 AM GMT on September 26, 2012
Radiosonde weather balloon falls on a house in Titusville.


These five came before me today.. It went late. It's done, but the results aren't official til tomorrow.

Todays jury duty lesson is excessive daily use of meth can cause a new found love for blood lust.

Everything in moderation.. Carry on people:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
186. Skyepony
4:32 AM GMT on September 25, 2012
Cloudsat of the gulf..lower in the middle like that, begs tropical want to be.



Hades~ Lawin is the monster now..
Go TRMM..


Guy~ That has happened too much with too many crops. I refuse to eat GMO foods. It's about the only way left to protest it.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
185. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
3:21 AM GMT on September 25, 2012
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #18
TYPHOON LAWIN (JELAWAT)
11:00 AM PhST September 25 2012
==================================

Typhoon "LAWIN" intensifies as it moves north northwestward

At 10:00 AM PhSt, Typhoon Lawin (Jelawat) [933 hPa] located at 16.0°N 127.7°E or 520 km east of Casiguran, Aurora has 10 minute sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 6 knots.

Signal Warnings
================

Signal Warning #1
-----------------

Luzon Region
==============
1. Isabela
2. Cagayan
3. Calayan
4. Babuyan Group of Islands

Additional Information
=====================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10-20 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 800 km diameter of the typhoon.

Southwest monsoon enhanced by the Typhoon will continue to bring moderate to heavy rains in southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon and the seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao due to big waves generated by Typhoon "LAWIN".

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
184. guygee
12:12 AM GMT on September 25, 2012
A legal case study and ethical analysis

Monsanto Canada Inc. Vs. Percy Schmeiser

The case summary(excerpts):
...Percy Schmeiser never purchased Roundup Ready canola, nor did he ever spray Roundup in order to increase the profits of his farm. Instead, he believed the crops by the street had been contaminated, and thus sprayed Roundup on a small portion of these crops. The spraying proved that some of his canola had been contaminated. Percy then unintentionally combined this contaminated seed with the seed that he had been developing on his own over the years. While Percy did continue to use his canola seed, he never intentionally used any that he knew contained Roundup Ready genes. Therefore, he felt that he did not infringe on the patent because he continued using his own seed and never sprayed herbicides to increase profits. When Monsanto came to surrounding farms to inspect licensed Roundup Ready farmers, they chose to test Percy's plants as well. Unfortunately for Percy, the tests revealed that 95 to 98 percent of his 1,000 acres of canola crop was made up of Roundup Ready plants.

Monsanto sued Percy Schmeiser on the grounds that he had infringed on Monsanto's patent. The trial judge found the court in favor of Monsanto...
... The court forced him to dispose of the canola seed he had been altering and developing for decades, while also imposing fees of over $200,000 on Schmeiser. Many activists and citizens of the US and Canada reject the outcome of this case and believe that Percy is entitled to his crop even if cross contamination occurred...

(The ethical analysis that follows is very interesting, use the link above.)
Member Since: September 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3148
183. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
8:38 PM GMT on September 24, 2012
..and Ewiniar was the monster (130 knots - 1min) the last time it was designated to a cyclone, Jelawat was a typical tropical storm cyclone
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
182. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
8:36 PM GMT on September 24, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL STORM EWINIAR (T1218)
3:00 AM JST September 25 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea South Of Japan

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Ewiniar (998 hPa) located at 20.7N 138.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
==================
150 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in western quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 25.2N 139.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Near Chichi-jima
48 HRS: 29.1N 140.3E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Near Chichi-jima
72 HRS: 31.0N 140.7E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
181. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
8:36 PM GMT on September 24, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #37
TYPHOON JELAWAT (T1217)
3:00 AM JST September 25 2012
==================================

SUBJECT: Category Five Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Jelawat (905 hPa) located at 15.2N 127.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 155 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T7.0

Storm Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 16.8N 126.8E - 115 knots (CAT 5/Intense Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 18.4N 124.7E - 115 knots (CAT 5/Intense Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 20.2N 122.8E - 110 knots (CAT 5/Intense Typhoon) South Of Okinawa
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45206
180. Skyepony
6:26 PM GMT on September 24, 2012
EUMETSAT is the view from east of the Atlantic.

They had GOES-8 though decommissioned was parked over FL, CONUS & such. NASA was using it, saw it acting up earlier this year. Checked it. The propulsion system is shot & it's gone too...

Here's the better polar orbiting site. CIMSS directs you to jump through hoops.

GOES-14 has a maybe little clearer view off the east coast. Wow.. MIRIAM.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779

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