Tropics & 05L

By: Skyepony , 2:52 PM GMT on July 01, 2012

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Atlantic
99L


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99W


11W DAMREY


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A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
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Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

July gardening in Florida is harvesting, keeping the weeds down..North & central FL can still plant a few summer type plants. South FL should plant nothing this month. August is huge planting month for all of FL. So get ready..July is a good month to plan & order seeds for fall & winter plants. Look for a few cloudy cooler hours this month to keep the beds & containers up if you can, makes fall garden go in alot easier.

North FL~ Lima Beans, southern peas (cow, black eyed), okra, eggplant, gourds & watermelon.

Central FL~ okra, southern peas & gourds.

South FL~ Plant nothing..

July 2012
28th-30th Seeds Planted Now Will Do Poorly And Yield Little.
31st Any Aboveground Crops That Can Be Planted Now Will Do Well.
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Car in My Ditch (Skyepony)
Texting & driving fail put this car in my ditch.
Car in My Ditch

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Wave swirl has come undone a bit since lastnight...
OSCAT


Bogon~ I like that one alot too. Thanks for posting it. MJO sites shuffled around alot in the last year. I don't think I could find it quick at the moment.

I have a hard time picking a favorite. They all have ways of picking out different things. Here's one of my favs.. Something about graphing the world & mjo strength like that.



Easy way to decipher the zone it's in for comparing to climo for where tropical storms might form that month with MJO in that place. We are just about pare for zone 5 month of July.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217


Tropical clouds are smiling at 93W flooding the Philippines... Cloudsat of the low that makes the right eye in the smiley face in the WPAC (left eye is 95W).

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
146. Bogon
MJO is sitting in the middle of the phase chart at the moment. Not much amplitude. Longitudinal position is near what I think of as MJO's home base over the Moluccas. There's a big pool of warm water there year round.

I don't put much faith in MJO forecasts either. If you read the explanatory notes at CPC's MJO page, it says that the predictions are experimental. Weather models don't (yet) reliably reproduce the MJO phenomenon.

That's why I like to post the little infrared / velocity anomaly chart. It gives a good idea what the MJO was doing a couple of days ago, which is about as close as most of us can come to understanding it. :o)
Member Since: June 26, 2008 Posts: 84 Comments: 4296
94W is dead.

ASCAT just missed the Central Atlantic wave. Here's OSCAT from lastnight.


Those storm yesterday killed atleast two. More is expected today..stay safe!

Finn~ Thanks for bring that. I hope it passes.

Bogon~ MJO really got itself bundled up into one mass at the moment. This forecast is calling for it to be slightly weaker than the last. Hard to say though. Seen most the MJO forecasts flounder the last few weeks.


Shep~ It was a moment that the tourists were easily discerned from the natives..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
Quoting Skyepony:
Got a taste of that blob.. Drove to The Hilton in Indian Harbor Beach. Low hanging wall cloud coming in from the ocean with bits of rotation as we are walking in. Was meeting people at the pool. Go through the lobby, got to the glass door just in time to see the wind hit. The scene was beach chairs flipping, umbrellas & cushions flying, glass breaking, a lot of tourists running. The door in front of me was held shut by the wind. Undaunted I shoved it open & got out in it before all the animated objects had dropped from the sky. Found part of the family, got their storm frightened child upstairs & back with it's mom. From the 10th floor looking east the wind was howling against the glass slider. Looking down at the beach the sand was flying from south to north. The guy trying to put lounge chairs away looked in pain from the sandblasting. Saw big lounge chairs rolling down the beach in the wind. Sand started burying towels, cushions & anything that was not swept up in the wind. Driving back down Eau Gallie every political sign was down the whole Blvd. A huge blow up eagle for advertizing was face down & limbs were everywhere.



ROFL :)))

"Welcome to Florida"

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143. Bogon
It's about time for the tropics to heat up again. Climatologically it's that time of year. Throughout the month of July the Atlantic basin has been quiet because of wind shear, Saharan dust and because the descending phase of the Madden-Julian Oscillation has blanketed the western hemisphere.



Finally the brown downer has shuffled off toward Africa, and the green rising phase of the MJO has arrived in the eastern Pacific.

There's a blob moving west at 15N 40W. This morning's models don't develop this wave into a hurricane, but it will give us something to watch. It should bring enhanced rain chances to the Antilles starting Monday.
Member Since: June 26, 2008 Posts: 84 Comments: 4296
A quick flyby to wish safety for all WU-friends and drop off THIS LIST of those who endorse the right to know about GMO.
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 68 Comments: 7586
98L is dead.

Thanks Hades.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
140. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10
9:00 AM JST July 27 2012
=============================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Ogasawara Waters

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1010 hPa) located at 23.4N 148.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
==========================

24 HRS: 24.5N 145.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Ogasawara Waters

------------------------------------------------- ----

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11
9:00 AM JST July 27 2012
=============================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 10.6N 130.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving north northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
==========================

24 HRS: 12.4N 128.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of The Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
The new blob 95W looks more gamely than that depression. Navy still has it as 93W. I think 94W is near deactivated.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
138. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST July 27 2012
=====================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 11.0N 131.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396


Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
Good news Wabit:)

I think there will be many weighing the benefit of a break in the drought & heat against the price of severe weather today..

Stay safe everyone..Straight line winds & hail are the biggest concerns. Click pic for more.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
135. whitewabit (Mod)
At last some rain showers !!!
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35075
Vicente is dead.

Plant above crops now!

Turns out that was a controlled burn at KSC.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
Wind is stoking some swamp fires in Brevard & Osceola Counties. Wunder if that's a controlled burn north end of Kennedy Space Center.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
Fresh ASCAT of the BOC blob..


Wabit~ Perhaps an increase in trucking & fuel too, if this keeps up?
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
ASCAT of Gulf of Mexico blob.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
130. whitewabit (Mod)
Skye .. Just saw a report on the Mississippi River .. the Big Easy is 12 to 20 feet below normal .. and that the barges are running half full to decrease their draft .. more price increase as the tow companies charge the same whether the barge is full or half full ..

barges stacked up in some places where only a single line of barges are able to pass ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35075
Even with the recent shift in Arctic winds I have a hard time seeing 2007 holding it's record for least sea ice extent.

Here is late Sept 2007..melts up to pink & purple..


Today..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
May see an invest soon, that blob ~35N 55W.

Wab~ Be safe. That's more dangerous than a tropical storm.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
127. whitewabit (Mod)
Skye .. my temperature peaked out at 105.8 degrees just before 3 pm ... in Peoria with all the concrete and blacktop roads must be 3-5 degrees warmer then me in the country ... feeling for the city folks ...

Hoping power holds too !!!
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35075


Wab~ Here's hoping your power holds:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
125. whitewabit (Mod)
103.9 degrees here at 2:30 and still going up .. this is like S. Texas weather ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 374 Comments: 35075
Peaked out just before landfall..Not good for Hong Kong.

2012JUL23 183200 5.8 933.3/ 0.8 /109.8
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
123. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
as of 17:00 PM UTC...

JTWC (Hawaii): 120 knots
RSMC (Japan): 65 knots (10 min sustained wind avg)
CMA (China): 80 knots (2 min sustained wind avg)
HKO (Hong Kong): 85 knots (10 min sustained wind avg)
PAGASA (Philippines): out of area of responsibility (10 minute sustained wind avg)

Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
Weather Station at the airport reporting every 1/2hr. Eyewall is coming up on it.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
Saw 85mph on one station before it went off line. Here's one near by.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
120. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #29
TYPHOON VICENTE (1208)
21:00 PM JST July 23 2012
=====================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Vicente (970 hPa) located at 21.1N 114.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 95 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.0

Storm Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
270 NM from the center in southeast quadrant
210 NM from the center in northwest quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 22.5N 110.2E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Near Hong Kong
48 HRS: 22.3N 106.5E - Tropical Depression Overland Vietnam
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
Vicente is gaining strength as it comes in for landfall..

2012JUL23 160100 5.3 947.0/ +0.8 / 97.2

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
Hong Kong looking east..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
93W is new. Vicente is about to make landfall..click pic for loop.



Blob part 2 lurks offshore. Can hear the occasional boom from a cloud to ground to the east. Cat refused to go out, tormented children, then took to her lair. Ponies are eating hay in the barn.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
Bogon~ There is palm fronds & such laying about about my lawn. My highs today were 27mph & 95.4ºF.


There is a video here someone took near Pineda, at Rotary Park, on the river of the winds here today. Also said about 2500 lost power.

About 3:30 p.m., Melbourne police responded to the northern end of Pineapple Avenue after a man tumbled from a boat into the Indian River Lagoon during the storm.

He escaped injury, Sgt. Cheryl Trainer said.

Two men were trapped in a sailboat during a squall after the vessel struck the Eau Gallie Causeway, breaking its mast, Trainer said.

Another boater towed the sailboat to shore.
(I saw this going on when I came back over the causeway)

In Cocoa Beach, a strong gust sent a windsurfer flying into sand dunes by Doubletree Cocoa Beach Oceanfront, said Eisen Witcher, Brevard County Ocean Rescue assistant chief.

The windsurfer was not injured, he said.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
115. Bogon
Hmmm, the 8:30 Eyewitness News.

Hope everything was OK at your house.
Member Since: June 26, 2008 Posts: 84 Comments: 4296
Got a taste of that blob.. Drove to The Hilton in Indian Harbor Beach. Low hanging wall cloud coming in from the ocean with bits of rotation as we are walking in. Was meeting people at the pool. Go through the lobby, got to the glass door just in time to see the wind hit. The scene was beach chairs flipping, umbrellas & cushions flying, glass breaking, a lot of tourists running. The door in front of me was held shut by the wind. Undaunted I shoved it open & got out in it before all the animated objects had dropped from the sky. Found part of the family, got their storm frightened child upstairs & back with it's mom. From the 10th floor looking east the wind was howling against the glass slider. Looking down at the beach the sand was flying from south to north. The guy trying to put lounge chairs away looked in pain from the sandblasting. Saw big lounge chairs rolling down the beach in the wind. Sand started burying towels, cushions & anything that was not swept up in the wind. Driving back down Eau Gallie every political sign was down the whole Blvd. A huge blow up eagle for advertizing was face down & limbs were everywhere.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
90E is new..

Our early week blob is a few hours ahead of schedule. Should kinda flare out & diminish before it really gets over FL but still enhance our chance of afternoon rain the next few days.

Good time to harvest & tie up tomatoes in the wild garden.

Clouds are coming bigger & faster from the east than this morning.

Rob~ They've had a few dry years over there in Africa now.. After this blob rolls out it should be some of the thickest we've seen so far this year.

Hades~ I should put some models up. Thanks.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
112. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
TROPICAL STORM VICENTE (1208)
3:00 AM JST July 22 2012
=====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Vicente (992 hPa) located at 19.5N 116.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
180 NM from the center in southeast quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwest quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.1N 113.7E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
48 HRS: 20.6N 110.6E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
72 HRS: 20.9N 107.5E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Gulf of Tonkin
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
Saharan Dust...This is quite a lot of it this season!
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 108 Comments: 36577
Something for later.. cloudsat granule 33147 missing, should have passed around Ferdie.

Hades~ I see NAVY has gone with VICENTE.

Rob~ You should be all good. Saharan Dust is my biggest complaint.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
109. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL STORM VICENTE (1208)
21:00 PM JST July 21 2012
=====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In South China Sea

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Vicente (996 hPa) located at 19.5N 117.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
180 NM from the center in southeast quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwest quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.2N 114.5E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
48 HRS: 20.6N 112.0E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
72 HRS: 21.0N 108.9E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Gulf of Tonkin
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
CIMSS blog has some great shots & videos from yesterday's Meso Low over Lake Michigan.




& Ship tracks as they were drawn into the circulation center of dying Fabio (along with the other ship tracks approaching the storm from the south).

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
107. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERDIE
11:00 AM PhST July 21 2012
=============================================

Tropical Depression "FERDIE" has crossed the Balintang Channel and merged with the Low Pressure Area over the West Philippine Sea.

At 10:00 AM PhST, Tropical Depression Ferdie located at 18.7°N 119.2°E or 130 km northwest of Laoag City has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1

Luzon Region
--------------

1. Ilocos Norte
2. Ilocos Sur
3. Abra

Additional Information
=======================

Estimated rainfall amount is heavy to intense (10-25 mm per hour) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides due to enhanced southwest monsoon especially the western section of Luzon and Visayas.

Public Storm Warning Signals elsewhere are now lowered.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the western seaboard of Luzon due to the combined effect of Tropical Depression "FERDIE" and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 P.M. today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
103. Skyepony
Okay by me. Don't mind the shade, let's just have the LA blob and the wave out of the way by Thurs. Don't wanna make that trip to MCO in a depression. Traffic was bad enough yesterday.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 108 Comments: 36577
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
104. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09
9:00 AM JST July 21 2012
=====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In South China Sea

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1000 hPa) located at 19.3N 119.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.3N 117.1E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
Globally everything faded away except 92W which is now 09W TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERDIE.



Interesting to the Atlantic waters is the LA blob which may persist another day or more & the wave over Hispaniola which looks to be coming to South Fl & then Central FL very late Sunday through maybe Wed.

Hades~ Thanks for the updates:)

Bogon~ Awesome choice there. Love the subtleties, those chickens can throw some dirt too..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 300 Comments: 41217
102. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERDIE
5:00 AM PhST July 21 2012
=============================================

Tropical Depression "FERDIE" has slightly accelerated as it continues to traverse Balintang Channel

At 4:00 AM PhST, Tropical Depression Ferdie located at 19.1°N 121.4°E or 80 km north northwest of Aparri, Cagayan has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1

Luzon Region
--------------

1. Isabela
2. Cagayan
3. Calayan Grp of Is
4. Babuyan Gr of Is
5. Batanes Gr of Is
6. Kalinga
7. Apayao
8. Abra
9. Ilocos Norte
10. Ilocos Sur
11. Mt. Province

Potential Wind Impacts
========================

Twigs and branches of trees may be broken

Some banana plants may tilt or land flat on the
ground

Rice in flowering stage may suffer significant
damage

Some nipa and cogon houses may be partially
unroofed

Sea travel of small seacrafts and fishing boats is
risky

Additional Information
=======================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10-25 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Tropical Depression "Ferdie" is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon that will bring rains over southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao especially the western section.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Seaboards of central and southern Luzon due to the combined effect of Tropical Depression "Ferdie" and the southwest monsoon.

Meanwhile, the Low Pressure Area was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 150 km West Southwest of Laoag City, Ilocos Norte (17.7°N, 119.0°E).

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
101. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:08 PM GMT on July 20, 2012
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERDIE
11:00 PM PhST July 20 2012
=============================================

Tropical Depression Ferdie has maintained its strength as it continues to move in a west northwest direction

At 10:00 PM PhST, Tropical Depression Ferdie located at 18.5°N 122.6°E or 95 km east of Aparri, Cagayan has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1

Luzon Region
--------------

1. Isabela
2. Cagayan
3. Calayan
4. Babuyan Group of Islands
5. Batanes Group of Islands
6. Kalinga
7. Apayao
8. Abra
9. Ilocos
10. Norte
11. Ilocos Sur
12. Mt. Province

Potential Wind Impacts
========================

Twigs and branches of trees may be broken

Some banana plants may tilt or land flat on the
ground

Rice in flowering stage may suffer significant
damage

Some nipa and cogon houses may be partially
unroofed

Sea travel of small seacrafts and fishing boats is
risky

Additional Information
=======================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10–25 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signal #1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Tropical Depression “Ferdie” is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao especially the western section.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Seaboards of central and southern Luzon due to the combined effect of Tropical Depression “Ferdie” and the southwest monsoon.

Meanwhile, a Low Pressure Area was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 95 km west southwest of Sinait, Ilocos Sur (17.3°N, 119.5°E).

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
100. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
12:31 PM GMT on July 20, 2012
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FERDIE
5:00 PM PhST July 20 2012
=============================================

The active low pressure east of Tuguegarao city has developed into a tropical depression and was named "Ferdie". It is now moving towards extreme northern Luzon

At 4:00 PM PhST, Tropical Depression Ferdie located at 18.4°N 123.0°E or 130 km east of Aparri, Cagayan has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1

Luzon Region
--------------

1. Isabela
2. Cagayan Including Calayan
3. Babuyan Group of Island
4. Batanes Group of Island
5. Kalinga
6. Apayao
7. Abra
8. Ilocos
9. Norte
10. Ilocos Sur
11. Mt. Province

Additional Information
=======================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10–25 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Tropical Depression “Ferdie” is expected to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring rains over southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao especially the western section.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Seaboards of central and southern Luzon due to the combined effect of Tropical Depression “Ferdie” and the southwest monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
99. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:28 AM GMT on July 20, 2012
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09
15:00 PM JST July 20 2012
=====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1002 hPa) located at 17.3N 123.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 18.5N 121.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Bashi Channel

Additional Information
====================

Tropical depression will accelerate for the next 24 hours

Tropical depression will move northwest for the next 24 hours

Tropical depression will be upgraded to tropical storm within 24 hours

Tropical depression will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area

Final initial Dvorak number will be 2.0 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 56 Comments: 50396
98. Bogon
2:26 PM GMT on July 19, 2012
Here's some music for the chickens while you're gone.

Member Since: June 26, 2008 Posts: 84 Comments: 4296

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About Skyepony

Skywarn, Horse Trainer, Artist and Farmer, I help moderate the Blogs at WeatherUnderground.

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Wind Gust: -
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