Tropics & What Not

By: Skyepony , 3:28 AM GMT on October 16, 2011

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Atlantic

East Pacific

Central Pacific

West Pacific
96W

Indian Ocean
95A


Southern Hemisphere


A site to check out storms.
A place to check for invests
MIT storm forecast & intensity models
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Garden~

When to plant what & how in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, Alabama.

In October the planting frenzy continues for all of the state of Florida, while we harvest the last tastes of summer. It's time to turn compost into your garden, improve soil & throw seed to the ground. Don't forget to rotate your crops, for example..legumes (beans/peas), followed by heavy eaters like corn/tomatoes, then root crops & leafy greens. Surround with herbs & flowers when possible. Below is what each part of Florida should plant from seed this month.

North FL beets, Broccoli, cabbage, Carrots, cauliflower, collards, kale, Kohlrabi, Lettuce, Mustard, onions, radish, spinach, strawberry, turnips.

Central FL beets, broccoli, cabbage, carrots, cauliflower, celery, collards, kale, kohlrabi, lettuce, mustard, onions, english peas, radish, spinach, strawberry, turnips.

South FL all beans, beets, broccoli, cabbage, carrots, califlower, celery, collards, corn, cucumber, eggplant, Kale, kohlrabi, lettuce, mustard, onions, all peas, peppers, potatoes, radish, spinach, summer squash, strawberry, tomato, turnips.

October 2011
24th-25th Good Days For Planting Root Crops, Fine For Sowing Hay, Fodder Crops, And Grains. Plant Flowers.
26th-28th Good Days For Planting Aboveground Crops And Leafy Vegetables Such As Lettuce, Cabbage, Kale And Celery, Where Climate Is Suitable. Start Seedbeds.
29th-30th Do Clearing And Plowing, But No Planting.
31st
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Local Weather~

Cooler & breezy through Sunday. Sunday night the front comes back on us warm with a chance of showers. Best chance is Treasure Coast south.
Tues~ clear & cooler is back.
Wed, windy with a outside chance for a coastal shower.




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Flooded Ricefild (Faasai)
Im stey more than 50 cm in the water,and is still come.
Flooded Ricefild

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147. Skyepony
4:40 AM GMT on November 01, 2011
Getting a few coastal sprinkles.. as good as anyway to start a new day.

Halloween sucked..Death visited & took my favorite Lemon Chicken. Well as far as we can gather maybe a pair of foxes killed her, Alice lost alot of feathers but looks pretty good, Angel has some holes in her skin & is caged separate but where they can hang out, out of the dirt, intensive care & such. She's even in the shop tonight, in the AC & out of the mosquitoes.

Trick or Treating, seeing everyone & Halloween Party was all good.

Also had a cockatiel fly down out of the storm onto one of the kid's head this morning. Was hungry & looking for a dry cage. I found it a great home in 45mins. If anyone is looking for their male with one clipped wing I can get him for you. Another was found in the area. Either a pair got loose together or someone let birds go. Kids were pretty sad we weren't keeping him, but my plate is full.

Pretty manic day for the kids. Either crying or screaming Halloween Happy. They loved the Halloween gifs.. Thanks so much everyone:)

Gamma~ My total was only .65".

plap~ I've posted in your blog before. You just hadn't seen me since before 'cane season..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
146. seflagamma
8:50 PM GMT on October 31, 2011
Hi Skye, guess you are one of the ones I did not get to last night before my computer started stalling!

Are you getting as much rain as we are??

we have now recived 10" since Friday..
4" Friday, 2" Sat afternoon, 4" today..

crazy..

if we get any trick or treaters tonight they will have to come in a boat! just to get down our street.

Hope you and the kids have a great time.


Happy Halloween my WU Friends!!!



Enjoy your evening!!!
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 302 Comments: 40954
145. plapman
8:00 PM GMT on October 31, 2011
Good day Skypony.
Thanks for stopping by the Northern Edge of the prairie.
It looks like all the pretty young ladies aren't scaed that I'll track them down and chase them down the street.
I worked in the civil engineering field for 41 years before my retirement.
I started my career, with the government, in 1968 as an Engineering Aid 1 ( like a private in the army) and worked my way through the ranks to the top of the technical engineering officer classification ( non commissioned officer in the armed forces). I wish that I had gone to collage and earned a degree in engineering but being young and foolish I got hooked on the pay I got in the construction industry as a labourer. Isn't hindsight wonderful!
I still get the odd call asking for information on projects I worked on many years ago. It's strange that with everything being documented first hand memories still answer questions about the past more clearly.
Have a great evening and shake your dad's hand for me. I bet he still wears the steel ring proudly on his finger.
Member Since: August 18, 2006 Posts: 2490 Comments: 7377
144. GardenGrrl
7:42 PM GMT on October 31, 2011
Happy Halloween

From The Corgi, who really seems to tolerate even perhaps enjoy hats...or maybe it' just the attention (lol).

Member Since: March 25, 2007 Posts: 260 Comments: 9974
143. PeaceRiverBP
1:50 PM GMT on October 31, 2011
Happy Halloween!

Member Since: November 16, 2002 Posts: 72 Comments: 7416
142. Alleyoops
12:13 PM GMT on October 31, 2011
zwani.com myspace graphic comments

Happy Halloween my dear friend. Have a wonderful day.
Member Since: April 18, 2007 Posts: 190 Comments: 29432
141. OGal
11:12 AM GMT on October 31, 2011
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19224
140. whitewabit (Mod)
5:26 AM GMT on October 31, 2011
Happy Halloween ..



38.3 degrees and falling...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32382
139. Skyepony
4:48 AM GMT on October 31, 2011
Light rain & windy, 73%uFFFDF.

Happy Halloween Everyone!!!! ...if you still have electricity & aren't underwater. Some poor souls have had their Halloween canceled due to weather...BOOO!

Free Clipart
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
138. Patrap
3:05 AM GMT on October 31, 2011
Published on Oct 28, 2011 by itnnews

Bangkok evacuation as the Chao Phraya river threatens to burst its banks. Report by Anna Drury. Like us on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/itn and follow us on Twitter at http://twitter.com/itn


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129808
137. AllyBama
2:57 AM GMT on October 31, 2011

glitter-graphics.com

Happy Halloween Skye!
Member Since: August 3, 2006 Posts: 133 Comments: 20639
136. Skyepony
2:21 AM GMT on October 31, 2011
A storm survey was conducted in Indian River and Martin Counties by the National Weather Service Forecast Office in Melbourne. The survey determined that EF-0 tornados hit the Vero Beach and Indiantown areas on the evening of October 18, 2011.


Finn~ I was so glad to see them okay.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
135. LakeWorthFinn
5:26 AM GMT on October 30, 2011
Thanks for the article Skye :D Animals know so much...

Great video!
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7416
134. Skyepony
12:25 AM GMT on October 30, 2011
Random wunderwebcam of the Panama canal..(kids got to see this).



Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
133. Skyepony
11:26 PM GMT on October 29, 2011
Ran off to Maitland for the day. Water is standing on both sides of I-95 around the sheriff farm area for miles. St Johns is up, but not epic or anything in Brevard.

Wabit~ I got most my rain today. 1.00" exactly, yesterday only got .13". Highest wind was 16mph. It's been great having the PWS near 30'.

Finn~ I couldn't watch the whole thing. Flashback to being a teen. Over two years one guy rode his old mare into the sewage treatment pit. The top looked like a dry desert. & two others into quicksand. My mare could sense weak footing & would refuse or skirt around. I learned to trust her. We always got them out.

All the horses were fine..I found an article.

One of the heroes of the day was Fjölnir Thorgeirsson, a journalist for Hestafréttir horse news, who jumped into the pond and took control. He made the horses step on his thigh for footing because they slipped on the silt on the bottom of the pond.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
132. whitewabit (Mod)
9:29 PM GMT on October 29, 2011
Skye ... did you pick up anymore rain today ???

Was bright and sunny here though cool ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32382
131. LakeWorthFinn
6:23 AM GMT on October 29, 2011
THIS VIDEO about hoses on ice almost gave me a heart attack. Really. I must write a spoiler about a happy ending, because I would have liked to know that myself before starting to watch it. I hope none of the horses got permanent injuries.
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7416
130. Skyepony
5:16 AM GMT on October 29, 2011
Finn~ Some places way south down by you have had 6-8inches already! Be safe..

It's starting to sound like great sleeping weather here.

0.33" so far.

Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
129. LakeWorthFinn
4:58 AM GMT on October 29, 2011
Uh Skye, your turn to get soaked! Been pouring for hours, for you, the most is yet to come...
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7416
128. Skyepony
2:41 AM GMT on October 29, 2011
F.I T. is off in that direction. Lockheed has something that way too. Nothing in the news, nothing to be found. It shook the town near 1/2 the day. Test after test or what ever. It started a few years ago. Really loud today. Shook the house.

Thanks for looking LowerCal.

Dragonfly enjoyed that rocket test.

Hey Wab!
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
127. LowerCal
10:42 PM GMT on October 28, 2011
Quoting whitewabit:
LowerCal ... how big of a rocket motor is that stand built for ? ....
.... Capable of measuring solid rocket motors up to 12 inches in diameter ....
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
126. whitewabit (Mod)
9:50 PM GMT on October 28, 2011
LowerCal ... how big of a rocket motor is that stand built for ?

Hi Skye ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32382
125. LowerCal
7:48 PM GMT on October 28, 2011
Quoting Skyepony:
Anyone know anything about that rocket engine testing sound coming from the general area of Melbourne Airport this morning? ....

I don't know but I can suggest two possibilities.


One, Florida Institute of Technology College of Engineering has a rocket engine test stand.

Rocket Engine Test Stand Improved.


Two, a neighbor was watching the Vandenberg AFB launch of the next generation civilian polar orbit weather/climate satellite on NASA TV with the sound turned WAY UP.

Spaceflight Now | Delta Launch Report | NPP: The next-generation weather watcher from space

Spaceflight Now | Delta Launch Report | Scientists counting on NPP amid programmatic turmoil
Originally conceived as a testbed satellite to prove the advanced designs for future U.S. government spacecraft, the NPP mission blasting off Friday has been thrust to an entirely new level of importance for meteorologists now facing a gap in data from space.
....
Spaceflight Now | Delta Launch Report | Venerable Delta 2 rocket launch flawless again


MODIFY: Changed "polar" to "polar orbit" for clarity.
Member Since: July 26, 2006 Posts: 58 Comments: 9303
124. Skyepony
7:29 PM GMT on October 28, 2011
Lightning in 3-D


Got side tracked looking for the source of the rocket sound. Maybe F.I.T. This was neat too.

Because the system typically picks up 60-megahertz signals in very high frequency, or VHF, bands, it became a lot easier to detect lightning signals when overlapping television broadcasts in the United States moved to digital, Krehbiel says. Other tweaks have also improved the array%u2019s sensitivity over time, allowing the scientists to see lightning in better detail than ever before. Already, the researchers have spotted many more %u201Cprecursors,%u201D or attempts to get intracloud lightning discharges started. Many flashes try multiple times to discharge before they make it, Rison says.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
123. Skyepony
4:35 PM GMT on October 28, 2011
Anyone know anything about that rocket engine testing sound coming from the general area of Melbourne Airport this morning?

Had a few sprinkles so far:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
122. Skyepony
1:53 PM GMT on October 28, 2011
96W is new.

Thanks Finn~ It was...time for me to catch up on some sleep.

Looks like the good part of Rina is coming (the rain). Orlando south should get more rain than north. Maybe some thunderstorms. Not expecting a widespread severe weather event.

Looking in on the invest in the Arabian sea..


Latest loop here..

Pretty unorganized. Pretty high PWat..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
121. LakeWorthFinn
3:23 AM GMT on October 28, 2011
Thanks Skye, good night :)
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7416
120. Skyepony
11:13 PM GMT on October 27, 2011
Rina is a naked swirl. Should be going right over Cozumel. She keeps fighting. Another blow up just northeast of Cozumel is occurring this evening.

AF307 is almost there.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
119. Skyepony
7:42 PM GMT on October 27, 2011
Thanks Wabit:)

Ah yes, Kermit is home, AF308 just made their 2nd fix.

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 19:30Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2011
Storm Name: Rina (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 13
Observation Number: 12
A. Time of Center Fix: 27th day of the month at 18:56:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 19°33'N 87°06'W (19.55N 87.1W)
B. Center Fix Location: 107 miles (172 km) to the NE (47°) from Chetumal, Quintana Roo, México.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,372m (4,501ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 37kts (~ 42.6mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 16 nautical miles (18 statute miles) to the SE (134°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 207° at 47kts (From the SSW at ~ 54.1mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the SE (137°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 993mb (29.32 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,523m (4,997ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 24°C (75°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,518m (4,980ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 55kts (~ 63.3mph) in the northeast quadrant at 18:03:00Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
BKN CLDS BLO
SFC CTR NOT VISIBLE
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
118. whitewabit (Mod)
7:25 PM GMT on October 27, 2011
Skye ... Latest Recon

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 18:28Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2011
Storm Name: Rina (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 13
Observation Number: 06
A. Time of Center Fix: 27th day of the month at 18:11:40Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 19°31'N 87°05'W (19.5167N 87.0833W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 106 miles (170 km) to the NE (48°) from Chetumal, Quintana Roo, México.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,367m (4,485ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 48kts (~ 55.2mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles) to the NE (46°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 128° at 55kts (From the SE at ~ 63.3mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 30 nautical miles (35 statute miles) to the NE (46°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 992mb (29.29 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,515m (4,970ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,525m (5,003ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Levels (sfc and flt lvl centers are within 5nm of each other): Surface and 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 55kts (~ 63.3mph) in the northeast quadrant at 18:03:00Z
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 25°C (77°F) which was observed 6 nautical miles to the SW (230°) from the flight level center
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32382
117. Skyepony
1:06 PM GMT on October 27, 2011
Kermit is about to Rina.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
116. Skyepony
10:17 AM GMT on October 27, 2011
Rina has consolidated a bit. Smaller but round again, running right of the forecast track & much faster.

AF306 is home. Last vortex message~

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 07:52Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2011
Storm Name: Rina (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 11
Observation Number: 17
A. Time of Center Fix: 27th day of the month at 7:37:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 18°43'N 86°52'W (18.7167N 86.8667W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 95 miles (152 km) to the E (81°) from Chetumal, Quintana Roo, México.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 3,034m (9,954ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 57kts (~ 65.6mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 8 nautical miles (9 statute miles) to the WSW (250°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 14° at 42kts (From the NNE at ~ 48.3mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 11 nautical miles (13 statute miles) to the WSW/W (259°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 991mb (29.26 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,046m (9,993ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,050m (10,007ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 5°C (41°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 3 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 66kts (~ 76.0mph) in the east quadrant at 5:50:30Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 56kts (~ 64.4mph) in the north quadrant at 7:43:10Z
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
SFC WINDS ON SONDE WERE 035 DEG 21 KTS
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
115. Skyepony
6:21 AM GMT on October 27, 2011
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 06:15Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2011
Storm Name: Rina (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 11
Observation Number: 05
A. Time of Center Fix: 27th day of the month at 5:56:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 18°40'N 86°44'W (18.6667N 86.7333W)
B. Center Fix Location: 103 miles (165 km) to the E (83°) from Chetumal, Quintana Roo, México.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 3,041m (9,977ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 53kts (~ 61.0mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles) to the ENE/E (79°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 133° at 66kts (From the SE at ~ 76.0mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 19 nautical miles (22 statute miles) to the ENE (72°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 993mb (29.32 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 8°C (46°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,049m (10,003ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,041m (9,977ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 4°C (39°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 5 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 66kts (~ 76.0mph) in the east quadrant at 5:50:30Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: 700mb
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
NO EYE SONDE RELEASED SFMR INDICATED SFC WINDS OVER 40 KTS AT FL FIX POSN
GOOD RAIN SHIELD ON RADAR TO THE NORTH BUT NO CLEAR EYEWALL EVIDENT
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
114. Skyepony
6:19 AM GMT on October 27, 2011
Dropsonde to the maximium wind band..

Significant Wind Levels...
Level Wind Direction Wind Speed
995mb (Surface) 345° (from the NNW) 59 knots (68 mph)
970mb 360° (from the N) 72 knots (83 mph)
958mb 360° (from the N) 70 knots (81 mph)
937mb 5° (from the N) 73 knots (84 mph)
902mb 15° (from the NNE) 61 knots (70 mph)
889mb 15° (from the NNE) 43 knots (49 mph)
883mb 10° (from the N) 45 knots (52 mph)
877mb 20° (from the NNE) 36 knots (41 mph)
850mb 5° (from the N) 39 knots (45 mph)
757mb 10° (from the N) 28 knots (32 mph)
751mb 360° (from the N) 27 knots (31 mph)
727mb 15° (from the NNE) 28 knots (32 mph)
697mb 355° (from the N) 32 knots (37 mph)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
113. Skyepony
6:14 AM GMT on October 27, 2011
Recon arrived..987.8 mb (~ 29.17 inHg), ~18.650N 86.683W. 58 knots (~ 66.7 mph) was the strongest winds at the surface on the way in..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
112. Skyepony
5:24 AM GMT on October 27, 2011
AF306 descending into the storm..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
111. Skyepony
4:24 AM GMT on October 27, 2011
Gonzo is done with his dropsonde run. The GOM drops were last so I don't think those are in the 00Z models.

Kermit is nearly back to Tampa.

AF306 is on the way to Rina.

On this 24hr recon trip I nearly forgot to bake for the Halloween Party tomorrow. Went with Pumpkin cookies.. Loosely followed this recipe, replacing much of the sugar with honey & molasses, add 2 tsp of baking powder, used frozen pumpkin instead of canned, had no cinnamon but molasses makes up for it. Added 1/4 cup shredded coconut too. The dough is really good. Waiting for first batch to come out the oven.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
110. Skyepony
2:53 AM GMT on October 27, 2011
Light showers off the coast tonight headed this way. They look like they are drying up, but I can hope..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
109. Skyepony
11:20 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Quoting whitewabit:
been watching the 2 little blobs in the Mid Atlantic moving slowly west ...


I'll place my bet on the one higher in latitude.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
108. Skyepony
11:18 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Kermit is on the way.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
107. Skyepony
8:54 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 20:23Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 304)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2011
Storm Name: Rina (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 8
Observation Number: 17
A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 20:05:20Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 18°08'N 85°54'W (18.1333N 85.9W)
B. Center Fix Location: 157 miles (252 km) to the ENE (74°) from Belize City, Belize.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,937m (9,636ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 76kts (~ 87.5mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 6 nautical miles (7 statute miles) to the W (279°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 33° at 76kts (From the NNE at ~ 87.5mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 8 nautical miles (9 statute miles) to the WNW (282°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 977mb (28.85 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 9°C (48°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,041m (9,977ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,060m (10,039ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 12°C (54°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the southeast
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Wind Outbound: 79kts (~ 90.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 20:10:40Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 79kts (~ 90.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 20:10:40Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: 700mb
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
EYE DROP REPORTED SLP OF 981MB AND 24KT SFC WIND
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
106. whitewabit (Mod)
8:32 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
been watching the 2 little blobs in the Mid Atlantic moving slowly west ...
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32382
105. Skyepony
7:26 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 19:14Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 304)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2011
Storm Name: Rina (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 8
Observation Number: 12
A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 18:57:10Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 18°05'N 85°46'W (18.0833N 85.7667W)
B. Center Fix Location: 164 miles (265 km) to the ENE (76°) from Belize City, Belize.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,967m (9,734ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 56kts (~ 64.4mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 14 nautical miles (16 statute miles) to the SE (131°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 202° at 63kts (From the SSW at ~ 72.5mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 13 nautical miles (15 statute miles) to the SE (129°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 978mb (28.88 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 15°C (59°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,049m (10,003ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,060m (10,039ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 9°C (48°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the south
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 4 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Wind Outbound: 73kts (~ 84.0mph) in the northwest quadrant at 18:59:40Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 73kts (~ 84.0mph) in the northwest quadrant at 18:59:40Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: 700mb
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 19°C (66°F) which was observed 8 nautical miles to the SE (140°) from the flight level center
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
EYE DROP REPORTED SLP OF 985MB AND 24KT SFC WINDS
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
104. Skyepony
6:31 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 18:18Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 304)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2011
Storm Name: Rina (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 8
Observation Number: 06
A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 17:50:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 18°00'N 85°41'W (18.N 85.6833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 169 miles (271 km) to the ENE (78°) from Belize City, Belize.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,969m (9,741ft) at 700mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 63kts (~ 72.5mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 3 nautical miles (3 statute miles) to the ENE (63°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 151° at 72kts (From the SSE at ~ 82.9mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 6 nautical miles (7 statute miles) to the ENE (62°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 976mb (28.82 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 11°C (52°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,048m (10,000ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,045m (9,990ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 9°C (48°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration and Wind
N. Fix Level: 700mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section - Remarks That Were Decoded...
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 72kts (~ 82.9mph) in the northeast quadrant at 17:48:00Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: 700mb
Remarks Section - Additional Remarks...
SFC WINDS REPORTED ON EYE DROP WERE 31KTS
SFC PRESSURE REPORTED ON EYE DROP WAS 985MB
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
103. Skyepony
6:10 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Recon fix ~17.967N 85.700W, 976.8 mb (~ 28.84 inHg), they may find higher but on the way in highest flight was 73 knots
(~ 83.9 mph), surface 61 knots (~ 70.1 mph).
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
102. Skyepony
5:50 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Kermit is headed home. The flight pattern posted had 2 more passes..

AF304 is about to make it's first fix.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
101. Skyepony
4:54 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 16:23Z
Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)
Storm Number & Year: 18L in 2011
Storm Name: Rina (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 7
Observation Number: 08
A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 15:53Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17°53'N 85°35'W (17.8833N 85.5833W)
B. Center Fix Location: 174 miles (279 km) to the E (81°) from Belize City, Belize.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 50kts (~ 57.5mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles) to the SE (125°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 191° at 65kts (From between the S and SSW at ~ 74.8mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 15 nautical miles (17 statute miles) to the SE (126°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 982mb (29.00 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 14°C (57°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,443m (8,015ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 26°C (79°F) at a pressure alt. of 2,445m (8,022ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 8°C (46°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Poorly Defined
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: Other - Not surface, 1500ft, 925mb (if vortex is newer than about mid 90's; see note for more), 850mb, 700mb, 500mb, 400mb, 300mb or 200mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 81kts (~ 93.2mph) in the northeast quadrant at 14:40Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 78kts (~ 89.8mph) in the northwest quadrant at 15:56Z
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
100. Skyepony
4:09 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Kermit just hit center again..~17.883N 85.583W, 980.1 mb (~ 28.94 inHg). There maybe higher coming out..surface wind 66 knots (~ 75.9 mph). Highest flight level 73 knots
(~ 83.9 mph).
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
99. Skyepony
3:12 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
AF304 is back up & on the way to Rina. That was a quick turn around..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
98. Skyepony
3:06 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Hey Gamma~ I bet picking them so green made them hard to peal. It's usually like peeling off dry old paper.

Oh the uncertainties. 97L, reprised this moring could affect it too. It that spins up or Rina gets ahead of the weak front she could be a mess for FL. Still sticking with SWFL Strong TS maybe Cat1 but confidence isn't what it could be.

Wish that first pass would have been a little cleaner, but with highest surface winds 62kts, at first glance she doesn't look like she did lastnight.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368
97. Skyepony
3:01 PM GMT on October 26, 2011
Recon made a pass. Not the best stacked but like that trmm showed crazy tight core, quick decent in & out. Doesn't look like they hit it real clean with 17mph in the center..983.4 mb (~ 29.04 inHg) (extrapolated), ~17.8N 85.4W for a center fix.
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 224 Comments: 39368

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Forecaster, Skywarn, Horse Trainer, Artist and Gardener...I help moderate the Blogs at WeatherUnderground.

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