Skyepony's WunderBlog

Weather News/Local Feb/ENSO

By: Skyepony, 4:52 AM GMT on February 24, 2008

Some local Notes on Febuary

~The Oak Trees
Oh yes I've been watching them. Last year we had a very heavy pollen as the rain was scarce. I don't think this led to the huge crop of acorns as many years recently a late winter drought had the pollen thick but a bounty of acorns hasn't always followed. January & Febuary brought the central part of Fl from west to east across the state above average rainfall for the 1st time in several years. Oak trees are coming up everywhere. Several of the nieghbors has noticed the invation of baby oak trees. I'll have to keep an eye out for a corilation between lotta acorns & a wet early spring. The wet weather has really knocked down the pollen this year:)


Too Hot & too Cold~ The last week of Febuary.
With in a week I had 2 types of bolt resistant lettuse bolt because it got so hot & had the baby Okra & baby Morning Glorys take cold damage. The Okra may need replanted.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Research snows Greensburg, Udall tornadoes eerily similar (including they were both EF-5s)
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Thousands flee Argentina floods
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Kentucky get federal disaster aid

Hair test can reveal where person has lived

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Airborne Bacteria May Cause Rain

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

I know, I promised compost, but there is another easy grower out there & no compost is required... POTATOES! Adding a root crop to a garden greatly cuts down on the size & work a garden needs to feed a family. Central FL potato plant time is Jan & Feb. North FL is Jan - March. SoFL is Sept - Jan. Basically when the potatoes coming from the store is trying to sprout all it's eyes. You cut up the tader being sure every cube has an eye. Put them in a paper bag with lime & shake. Lay a 6" layer of old hay, dried grass clippings or leaves on the ground. Scatter the potato bits every 8-10 inches & cover with more dried clippings. Water 2-3 times a week. As the plants grow 8-10 inches above the yard trash cover with more. Repeat for about 100 days when the plant dies go searching for potatos. Each plant make about 10 potatoes.

I got mine in beginning of January..Red, Bakers & Yukon Gold. It's also in a low spot, so I'm filling a hole too.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
NHC Tropical Disscusion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger


Local Hazards
Wind & Sea....Rip Current......Flash Flood.......Lightning.......Severe Hail.....Severe Winds.....Tornados




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook


Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive







monday~ warming up chance of scattered rain.
Tuesday~ chance for strong to severe storms as a front passes. North 1/2 best chance for worst weather. This will probibly drag into overnight, early Wed morning for those on the east coast.
Wed~ cooler






click maps to make bigger & animate

Surfers & Surge
cool wave watch graphic.
NOAA Wave Watch III
Storm surge threat model...Always wondered if or how vulnerable your or friend's place would be to surge? Covers Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie & Martin Counties.
Red Tide (FL & TX)


Radar/Satellite/Microwave
Melbourne NEXRAD Radar
NOAA Satellite Services ~ I like the RGB by day, rainbow at night with some Water Vapor thrown in once in a while.
Good place to keep up with invests.

Models~
Local Meso Model (well it covers most the state)~ lots of informative blue bars, each a different model, above it to click on too. Forecasts weather for the nexr 24 hrs.
FSU Model page
Shear loop .
Comparing different models shear, steering & percipitation loops.

Click to make maps bigger.

850mb Relitive Vorticity

Click on map to enlarge, check 2 other shear maps, divergance, convergance, shear tendicy, visible winds, upper & lower winds. To get back to the steering currents click on home & click layer mean wind analysis per basin.

HAZARDS


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~







~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
La Nina Update

weekly CPC report is out.






Simply~ this is the T-depth anomily, kinda like slicing the ocean from top to bottom at the equater & standing next to it. Top is the surface, bottom the depths, right is east to near South America. Left is west through the west Pacific.

Overall looks like we had a Kelvin wave~ how the hot heated & is now calming. Notice the warming at the surface near South America (region 1,2)..it's only at the surface. The winds need to switch from west to east at the surface before I'm calling this La Nina done. Springs coming, not really the time of year for a La Nina peak either.


most recent ENSO models run
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Visitor Map
Create your own visitor map!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Updated: 7:16 PM GMT on March 03, 2008

Permalink

Weather News & Grow Your Own

By: Skyepony, 7:17 PM GMT on February 16, 2008

Friday, Feb. 22: NYC's First Significant Snowfall?
City Could See As Much As 4 Inches Of Snow, Most All Season



Judge allows "hot fuel" lawsuits to go forward
KANSAS CITY, Kan. — A federal judge in Kansas is allowing a lawsuit that claims U.S. oil companies have knowingly overcharged customers when gas station fuel temperatures rise.



NASA and Northrop Grumman Partner to 'Measure The Immeasurable' in Climate Change and Planetary Science

GREENBELT, Md., Feb. 21 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Answering bold
questions about life and climate on Earth and other planets is the goal
behind a new Space Act Agreement signed today between NASA Goddard Space
Flight Center and Northrop Grumman's (NYSE: NOC) Electronic Systems sector
in a ceremony in the Miller Senate Building, Presidential Conference Center
West at the Maryland State Capitol in Annapolis.

Through the agreement, researchers from the two Maryland-based
organizations will collaborate on the development of advanced civil radar
system architectures that can be leveraged into new space-based remote
sensing instruments with revolutionary performance characteristics. These
systems will help scientists measure with far greater accuracy, precision,
and detail such things as the three-dimensional structure of Mars and other
planets and heavenly bodies, as well as cloud composition and other
characteristics on Earth to better understand climate change.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

We missed the WoodVale Atlantic Rowing race.. Seasick chain-smoker rows Atlantic

Severe weather howled through much of the nation Sunday, producing damaging tornadoes in the South that injured nearly 30 people and treating winter-weary parts of the Midwest to freezing rain, snow and flooding.

A tornado damaged or destroyed about 200 homes and businesses in Prattville, outside Montgomery, where Mayor Jim Byard said crews searched for people trapped in the wreckage.

No fatalities were immediately reported, but two people were critically injured, said Fire Marshal Dallis Johnson. Twenty-seven people had minor injuries, officials said


Heavy snow blankets Turkey, Istanbul and Ankara hard hit

Planes grounded as snow covers Greece



~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Grow Your Own~ While things are quiet I thought it might be fun to share gardens, ideas & tips on growing your own food. A family of 4 can be fed on 700-1000sq ft, so little land is required. It really doesn't take much of your time either if you lazy garden as much as possible.

To get a quick start on some lazy gardening this week consider planting a blueberry bush~ these thrive on neglect & sand, they also produce 5 gallons of blueberrys a year in 5 years. The gallon of berrys they produce the 2nd year will more than pay for themselves.

With citrus, don't go with the commercial verieties. I grow a Ponderosa Lemon near as big as a person's head. Much tastier & has netted as much as $300 a year selling the extra to local fruit stands. My extra tangerines I usually trade with other growers & treat the ponys. 2 citrus trees produce alot.

Got a mango tree planted under yet another beetle infested pine tree. I give the pine 5 years & when it dies the mango will be ready to fill the hole in the canopy. Mangos produce in 4-6 years.

Wild Cherry bushes~ some people about can't stop eating them, for others it's an aquired taste. Very easy to grow & like the hard to fill deep shady spots on the north side of a house.

Berry patches are a little more effort on planting day but well worth the return considering how outragously expensive, delicous & good for us they are. I went seedless blackberrys & rasberrys, several verieties. These can be well tended with lines, trellous or kept as a thicket.

Grapes & currents is another good one, with several varieties that thrive well in the south. My local Target garden center had some of these this week.

Others include Avacodo, coconuts & nut trees. Passionfruit & Malabar Spinach is my version of kudzu. I'm sure I've forgotten some. So many things can become part of a low maintenance edible landscape.

All these are pretty much water til established, most want a little attention during bad drought like watering while flowering & setting fruit. Some compost thrown, occationally under all these, will usually produce a bigger yield. Pay good attention to a plant's zone when selecting, it must be able to survive in your zone. Different varieties of the same type of plant grow in different zones.

My favorite place online to buy these things is Aarons farms..AKA TyTy. There's a few with bad experiences that have smeared them about the web a bit. My orders with them have always gone well. They are in GA which is good for us looking for plants in the SE. Many times there is more than listed. I can tell them my zone & get a variety. If your into hot guys growing, picking & eating fruit it's kinda a fun site to look over too.

Next time we can get into compost.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
NHC Tropical Disscusion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger


Local Hazards
Wind & Sea....Rip Current......Flash Flood.......Lightning.......Severe Hail.....Severe Winds.....Tornados




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook


Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive





Thur~ 50% chance rain
Friday rain tapers off






click maps to make bigger & animate

Surfers & Surge
cool wave watch graphic.
NOAA Wave Watch III
Storm surge threat model...Always wondered if or how vulnerable your or friend's place would be to surge? Covers Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie & Martin Counties.
Red Tide (FL & TX)


Radar/Satellite/Microwave
Melbourne NEXRAD Radar
NOAA Satellite Services ~ I like the RGB by day, rainbow at night with some Water Vapor thrown in once in a while.
Good place to keep up with invests.

Models~
Local Meso Model (well it covers most the state)~ lots of informative blue bars, each a different model, above it to click on too. Forecasts weather for the nexr 24 hrs.
FSU Model page
Shear loop .
Comparing different models shear, steering & percipitation loops.

Click to make maps bigger.

850mb Relitive Vorticity

Click on map to enlarge, check 2 other shear maps, divergance, convergance, shear tendicy, visible winds, upper & lower winds. To get back to the steering currents click on home & click layer mean wind analysis per basin.

HAZARDS


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~







~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Jan 14th La Nina Update

weekly CPC report is out.

Looks like we are at a peak in a cold phase of a Kelvin Phase, so things should begin to warm slightly in the eb & flow of the ENSO.






most recent ENSO models run
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Visitor Map
Create your own visitor map!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Updated: 9:24 PM GMT on February 21, 2008

Permalink

Surveying the Damage

By: Skyepony, 6:11 AM GMT on February 04, 2008

Something for the little ones..."It Came From Nowhere
Our Story of Surviving a Tornado" Young survivors of last year's Lake Mack tornado have produced a coloring book about their experiences. You can download & print this coloring book.


Damage report for Cocoa Beach Tornado is out. Here is full report (with radar & pics) & here's the highlights.

Cocoa Beach Tornado
February 12, 2008

The parent storm which produced the EF0 tornado developed along the coast between Melbourne/Palm Bay and Satellite Beach around 2:00 PM and moved northward at 20-25 mph. The storm hugged the coast line through most of its life cycle before weakening as it moved off the coast just south of Playalinda Beach. The storm acquired a discernible inflow notch with corresponding cyclonic rotation around 2:10 PM as it moved north of Melbourne.

By 2:15 PM, the combination of both reflectivity and velocity signatures indicated the storm had a high probability of producing a waterspout or tornado. Given the storm's proximity to the coastline, both a Special Marine Warning and a Tornado Warning were necessary. At 2:22 PM, a Special Marine Warning was issued for the coastal and intracoastal waters of Brevard County from Cocoa Beach north to the Brevard-Volusia county line, quickly followed by a Tornado Warning for northeast Brevard County at 2:24 PM, effective through 3:00 PM.

By 2:35 PM, the storm was moving north, with large hail at Cocoa Beach at 2:37 PM. At 2:45 PM, isolated tornadic damage was reported at the Diplomat Condominiums at the 3100 block of Hwy. A1A. The storm continued to display a strong tornadic signature in both the reflectivity and velocity data fields as it moved through Port Canaveral in vicinity of the Kennedy Space Center. At 2:58 PM, the Tornado Warning for northeast Brevard County was extended to 3:30 PM.

The storm was the result of a lifting warm front which brought a rapid increase to surface dew points, as well as southerly low-level winds, to promote rotating updrafts within erupting thunderstorms. The tornado potential was accentuated given the storm's proximity to the coast.



1212 AM TORNADO 2 N NEW SMYRNA BEACH 29.06N 80.92W
02/13/2008 VOLUSIA FL TRAINED SPOTTER

STORM SPOTTER OBSERVED A WALL CLOUD AND HEARD A POSSIBLE
TORNADO JUST EAST OF NEW SYMRNA BEACH AIRPORT.


0449 PM FUNNEL CLOUD GROVELAND 28.56N 81.85W
02/12/2008 LAKE FL LAW ENFORCEMENT

GROVELAND POLICE STATION 94 SIGHTED THREE FUNNEL CLOUDS
WITH ONE POSSIBLE TOUCHDOWN 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THEIR
LOCATION.





1103 PM TORNADO FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.15W
02/12/2008 F0 BROWARD FL PUBLIC

EFO TORNADO REPORTED AT CATCAYLANE ST IN FORT LAUDERDALE.
NWS SURVEY ESTIMATES TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN SOMEWHERE
AROUND OR JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSECTION OF I-595 AND SW
31ST AVENUE AND MOVED NORTH NORTHEAST ALONG SW 31ST
AVENUE BEFORE LIFINTG OFF THE GROUND SOMEWHERE JUST SOUTH
OF SUNRISE BLVD. PATH LENGTH WAS APPROX. 2.5 TO 3 MILES.
ITS WIDEST PATH WAS ABOUT 1/8 OF A MILE BETWEEN SW 4 ST
AND SW 8 ST...OR BETWEEN DAVIE AND BROWARD BLVD. MINOR
DAMAGE TO TREES...ROOFS...AND OUTSIDE OBJECTS NOTED.

1110 PM TORNADO FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.15W
02/12/2008 F0 BROWARD FL PUBLIC

REPORTED AT 3201 SW 17TH ST. NWS SURVEY ESTIMATES EF0.


0956 PM TORNADO EVERGLADES CITY 25.86N 81.39W
02/12/2008 COLLIER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

TWO CESNA AIRCRAFTS TURNED UP SIDE DOWN AT THE AIRPORT.
TREES AND MINOR ROOF DAMAGE NORTHEAST OF THE AIRPORT.
REPORTED BY AIRPORT EMPLOYEE AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
ESTIMATED INTENSITY FROM EM SURVEY EF0.


1110 PM TORNADO 4 W FORT LAUDERDALE 26.12N 80.21W
02/12/2008 F0 BROWARD FL NEWSPAPER

FORT LAUDERDALE SUN-SENTINEL AND MIAMI HERALD REPORT
DOWNED POWER LINES, SEVERAL TREES KNOCKED OVER, AWNINGS
AND CHAIN LINK FENCES DOWN IN A FORT LAUDERDALE
NEIGHBORHOOD JUST NORTHEAST OF US 441 INTERSTATE 595
INTERCHANGE BOUNDED BY SW 31 AVE TO SW 34 AVE BETWEEN
DAVIE BOULEVARD AND SW 14 ST. APPARENT EF0 TORNADO.


1000 PM TORNADO EVERGLADES CITY 25.86N 81.39W
02/12/2008 COLLIER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

BOAT DAMAGE AND TREES DOWN EVERGLADES CITY MARINA.
POSSIBLE TORNADO PER RESIDENT REPORT.


1015 PM TORNADO EVERGLADES CITY 25.86N 81.39W
02/12/2008 COLLIER FL EMERGENCY MNGR

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED TREES DOWN AND MINOR
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AT 409 COPELAND N AND 200 RIVERSIDE DR.
POSSIBLE TORNADO BUT PENDING REVISION.







~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
NHC Tropical Disscusion

Local text Products
Local Forecast Graphics.

Click to make larger


Local Hazards
Wind & Sea....Rip Current......Flash Flood.......Lightning.......Severe Hail.....Severe Winds.....Tornados




These will update automatically with conditions.
Credit~NWS More East Central FL Graphical Hazard maps & these full size are available there.
Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook


Watching for rain & minimum temps..
click maps to go interactive





Sunday & Monday~ cooler, drier
Tues or Wed~ still undecided on possible severe weather

Monday~ Cool
Tuesday morning cold with 30s in the interior.
Wed the warm up begins
Thurs & Friday~ in the 80's





click maps to make bigger & animate

Surfers & Surge
cool wave watch graphic.
NOAA Wave Watch III
Storm surge threat model...Always wondered if or how vulnerable your or friend's place would be to surge? Covers Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie & Martin Counties.
Red Tide (FL & TX)


Radar/Satellite/Microwave
Melbourne NEXRAD Radar
NOAA Satellite Services ~ I like the RGB by day, rainbow at night with some Water Vapor thrown in once in a while.
Good place to keep up with invests.

Models~
Local Meso Model (well it covers most the state)~ lots of informative blue bars, each a different model, above it to click on too. Forecasts weather for the nexr 24 hrs.
FSU Model page
Shear loop .
Comparing different models shear, steering & percipitation loops.

Click to make maps bigger.

850mb Relitive Vorticity

Click on map to enlarge, check 2 other shear maps, divergance, convergance, shear tendicy, visible winds, upper & lower winds. To get back to the steering currents click on home & click layer mean wind analysis per basin.

HAZARDS


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~







~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Jan 14th La Nina Update

weekly CPC report is out.

Looks like we are at a peak in a cold phase of a Kelvin Phase, so things should begin to warm slightly in the eb & flow of the ENSO.






The steady & quick rise to region 1,2 viewed from the depth T-anomily & SST by the week~ Looks more like the hotter than warmer waters from the Caribbean are being blown into the cooler than normal area of the East Pacific. Looking at the T-depth anomily it's only at the surface...as if the hot water was coming in through a canal or something. I'll have to look into this later in the week. At the moment I don't see it as an indicor to the end, I agree with the CPC that the La Niña should last atleast through the spring of 2008.

most recent ENSO models run
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Visitor Map
Create your own visitor map!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Updated: 4:58 PM GMT on February 14, 2008

Permalink

About Skyepony

Forecaster, Skywarn, Horse Trainer, Artist and Gardener...I help moderate the Blogs at WeatherUnderground.

Skyepony's Recent Photos

Personal Weather Stations

West Eau Gallie
Melbourne, FL
Elevation: 29 ft
Temperature: 75.4 °F
Dew Point: 75.0 °F
Humidity: 99%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: -
Updated: 6:11 AM EDT on August 22, 2014
Forge Mountain
Mills River, NC
Elevation: 2540 ft
Temperature: 66.9 °F
Dew Point: 64.2 °F
Humidity: 91%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 6:11 AM EDT on August 22, 2014
APRSWXNET Etowah NC US
Etowah, NC
Elevation: 2376 ft
Temperature: -
Dew Point: -
Humidity: -9999%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 9:12 PM EDT on August 21, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations