Skyepony's WunderBlog

Florida El Nino forecast

By: Skyepony, 4:29 AM GMT on September 15, 2006

El Ninos forecasted affects for the Florida..
credit NWS


NHC Tropical Disscusion

Local text Products



credit MLB NWS

Local NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook

Surfers & Surge
NOAA Wave Watch III
Local NWS Surf Zone Forecast
Storm surge threat model...Always wondered if or how vulnerable your or friend's place would be to surge? Covers Volusia, Brevard, Indian River, St Lucie & Martin Counties.


Radar/Satellite/Microwave
Melbourne NEXRAD Radar
NOAA Atlantic and Caribbean Tropical Satellite Imagery ~ I like the RGB by day, rainbow at night with some Water Vapor thrown in once in a while.
GOES-East WV Imagery Loop - Atlantic Basin...excellent WV of the big picture.
Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC)

Models~
Local Meso Model (well it covers most the state)~ lots of informative blue bars, each a different model, above it to click on too. Forecasts weather for the nexr 24 hrs.
FSU Model page
Shear loop .

Click to make maps bigger.
PROBIBILITY MAP


SHEAR


STEERING CURRENTS


HURRICANE Isaac

500 PM AST SUN OCT 01 2006

...ISAAC MOVING TOWARD NEWFOUNDLAND...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA
OF NEWFOUNDLAND...WHICH INCLUDES THE CITIES OF CAPE RACE AND ST.
JOHNS.

THE 500 PM AST POSITION...36.3 N...60.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN/FRANKLIN

Every model recurves it away from the US cause a big front is sweeping it away.




click to make bigger
credit~ NOAA



Invest 97L is no more

Cmc keeps calling for this front that just stalled in the Bahamas to blow up in the Bahamas & head north. The 18Z gfs again had it form into a very small storm in the Bahamas & dying as it hit S FL. Both models look to have this even weaker today. But what was once 97L is headed into the area so area to watch winner..

Honorable Mention~

There is a 1008mb low in the southern Caribbean. Good news, lastnight it was a 1006mb low. It's in an area where the diffluence is enhanced. Should move off west & hit land.

Waves may be coming...Though models are tending down abit from the near 10'.

ENSO

Updated: 7:48 PM GMT on July 13, 2011

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About Skyepony

Forecaster, Skywarn, Horse Trainer, Artist and Gardener...I help moderate the Blogs at WeatherUnderground.

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