Tropical Cyclone Daphne Forms
Tropical cyclone Daphne has formed in the southwest Pacific, with the first advisory on the system yesterday evening. The storm currently has 40kt wind speeds and is not expected to increase in intensity very much, if at all. Daphne has the character trait of a fish storm, which doesnt harm any land masses. This system came together from the area tagged 95P for the last few days, and was developed by the models in the long range. Kudos to the models that nailed the development of Daphne!
IR satellite imagery of Daphne, credit: NOAA
Forecast For Daphne
Daphne is currently moving towards the southeast at a speed of 27 knots, and this movement should continue for the next day or so. Wind shear is in the moderate range of 10-20 knots and this combined with dry air on Daphne's western side should help to prohibit good intensification. Water temperatures are warm, at 27-28C, and the further Daphne moves southwards the cooler the sea surface temperatures will be. No land areas are in the path of this system, and Daphne should harmlessly dissipate over open water tomorrow evening or Wednesday morning.
Forecast graphic from the Fleet Weather Center in Norfolk, VA concerning TC Daphne.
Elsewhere In The Tropics
None of the models are forecasting any development in the southern hemisphere for the next 8 days. The ECMWF does however hint at a possible system in the southern Indian Ocean on April 12th, but this is too far out to trust as of now.
That is it for today, thanks all for stopping in and I hope you have a blessed week ahead of you!