SPLbeater's Blog

Tropical Cyclone Daphne Forms
Posted by: SPLbeater, 5:49 PM GMT on April 02, 2012 +4
Tropical cyclone Daphne has formed in the southwest Pacific, with the first advisory on the system yesterday evening. The storm currently has 40kt wind speeds and is not expected to increase in intensity very much, if at all. Daphne has the character trait of a fish storm, which doesnt harm any land masses. This system came together from the area tagged 95P for the last few days, and was developed by the models in the long range. Kudos to the models that nailed the development of Daphne!

IR satellite imagery of Daphne, credit: NOAA


Forecast For Daphne

Daphne is currently moving towards the southeast at a speed of 27 knots, and this movement should continue for the next day or so. Wind shear is in the moderate range of 10-20 knots and this combined with dry air on Daphne's western side should help to prohibit good intensification. Water temperatures are warm, at 27-28C, and the further Daphne moves southwards the cooler the sea surface temperatures will be. No land areas are in the path of this system, and Daphne should harmlessly dissipate over open water tomorrow evening or Wednesday morning.

Forecast graphic from the Fleet Weather Center in Norfolk, VA concerning TC Daphne.


Elsewhere In The Tropics

None of the models are forecasting any development in the southern hemisphere for the next 8 days. The ECMWF does however hint at a possible system in the southern Indian Ocean on April 12th, but this is too far out to trust as of now.

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That is it for today, thanks all for stopping in and I hope you have a blessed week ahead of you!
Categories: Tropics Cyclone
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1. MAweatherboy1 7:23 PM GMT on April 02, 2012    
Thanks for the update SPL... Daphne's not exactly a thrilling storm :)
I think the Southern Hemisphere season is just about done... Maybe one or two more, but probably nothing major
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 66 Comments: 6319
2. SPLbeater 7:28 PM GMT on April 02, 2012    
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Thanks for the update SPL... Daphne's not exactly a thrilling storm :)
I think the Southern Hemisphere season is just about done... Maybe one or two more, but probably nothing major


Your welcome MA.

IR satellite of Daphne is improving greatly...but as you said not quite a thrilling storm. But there is a small chance that could change. :)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
3. Bergeron 9:08 PM GMT on April 02, 2012    
Nice, concise post, SLP!
Member Since: October 19, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 101
4. SPLbeater 9:43 PM GMT on April 02, 2012    
Quoting Bergeron:
Nice, concise post, SLP!


Thanks Bergeron!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3953
5. nigel20 1:42 AM GMT on April 03, 2012    
Well done as always SPl...you have really good Blog posts
Member Since: November 6, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 4510
6. SPLbeater 12:15 PM GMT on April 03, 2012    
Quoting nigel20:
Well done as always SPl...you have really good Blog posts


Thanks alot for the kind words nigel, really means alot! :)
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7. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 6:24 PM GMT on March 01, 2013    
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8. WunderAlertBot (Admin) 8:31 PM GMT on March 01, 2013    
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