Cool, Dry then Warmer, Wetter Mid-Atl/N East.

By: Pcroton , 9:47 AM GMT on April 16, 2014

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Update Section 4/22 5PM:Widespread Fire Weather Watch is in effect due to high winds and low humidites for Wednesday. Four 500mb cutoff lows will be influencing our weather over the next 10 days with generally light precipitation for the Middle Atlantic and some heavier rains for New England. The temperature rollercoaster will continue.

Updates Begin Post #112



Blog Header April 16, 2014
All info below is static as of blog inception.


Cold, Drying, then Warmer- Mid Atlantic / North East


From Wednesday April 16th through about Tuesday April 22nd we will experience temperatures below normal. After that it appears a significant warmup will occur and as of now the long range models are hinting at above normal temperatures to begin May.

Weather conditions are trending drier with a small system entering the picture in the Friday through Sunday time frame. As of now the GFS model shows a missed phase so any weather should be on the lighter showery side. The next significant system seems to enter the picture after the 10 day range which we know by then the trust you put into these solutions drops dramatically. A strong area of low pressure in the central plains is linked with another area of low pressure in the Canadian Maritimes. The connecting frontal system may affect the North East and perhaps the Middle Atlantic in some way.

Looking into the long term the central plains low cuts off at the 500mb level and ever so slowly crawls to the coastal regions by day 15. If this solution were to pan out we may be looking at an extended period of unsettled showery weather.















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124. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
11:21 AM GMT on April 23, 2014
Pcroton has created a new entry.
123. tlawson48
10:06 AM GMT on April 23, 2014
50F this morning with really thick fog in the fields on the way to work. That shows that last nights rain was at least somewhat warm, coupled with a high of 72F yesterday. First night where it was starting to get stuffy sleeping since at least September. Fire danger looks very bad tomorrow with the high winds and we have NOTHING that is green enough to counter it, just piles of leaves and brush.
Member Since: February 10, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 1363
122. wxgeek723
5:05 AM GMT on April 23, 2014
Front row seat to today's gust front just as it was initially blowing through. Was en route to Villanova and driving on 76 at sunset. Driving westbound into eastbound storms really speeds up the anxious wait. Saw the sun set behind partly cloudy skies while crossing the Walt but saw the ominous storm clouds just 10-15 minutes later after reaching Germantown. By the time I hit the 476 interchange it all went downhill from there. Spotted some good CTC bolts.

0709 PM HAIL 3 ESE READING 40.31N 75.88W
04/22/2014 E1.00 INCH BERKS PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0712 PM HAIL 2 SE ELVERSON 40.14N 75.80W
04/22/2014 E0.50 INCH CHESTER PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0712 PM TSTM WND GST 2 SE ELVERSON 40.14N 75.80W
04/22/2014 M54 MPH CHESTER PA TRAINED SPOTTER

0715 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 SE READING 40.25N 75.82W
04/22/2014 BERKS PA TRAINED SPOTTER

TREES DOWNED ON WEST BOUND 422. TIME ESTIMATED FROM
RADAR

0734 PM HAIL WEST CHESTER 39.96N 75.61W
04/22/2014 E0.75 INCH CHESTER PA SOCIAL MEDIA

0753 PM TSTM WND DMG PHILADELPHIA 39.95N 75.16W
04/22/2014 PHILADELPHIA PA 911 CALL CENTER

TREES DOWN IN WEST PHILADELPHIA

0755 PM TSTM WND DMG ROXBOROUGH 40.04N 75.22W
04/22/2014 PHILADELPHIA PA 911 CALL CENTER

TREES DOWN IN ROXBOROUGH PART OF PHILADELPHIA

Saw downed trees on the way home but on some of the trees that are still bare it is hard to determine whether that is recent or from the Feb. ice storm. There is actually a long stretch of 476 where nearly every tree on the side of the road is either downed completely or has a huge branch sitting on the ground beside it.


What's your take on the new format P?
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 79 Comments: 3713
121. cooldogs13
12:30 AM GMT on April 23, 2014
P that line may hit us it looked like it was pushing southeast but now looks like its pushing at least due east if not northw
East maybe. All I'll get hit by it but you maybe just a little to far north. Didn't have anything frm the line before just a few huge drops and I only noticed cause I went out in the car and noticed them on the windshield. It is raining right now a little bit in the Bronx just noticed on the Yankee game
Member Since: November 8, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 4
120. Pcroton
9:45 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
Wind and Humidity going to be a bad combination for tomorrow.

5PM Values:




Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
119. Pcroton
9:22 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
Some decent lightning out in PA with that line.





Large region under a FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

323 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND STRONG WINDS FOR
SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN DELMARVA...AND MUCH OF NEW
JERSEY...



Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
118. Pcroton
9:17 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
Guidance has been unimpressed with this system for New Jersey and radars reflect that. Doesn't seem like much is coming for me - if anything.


Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
117. Pcroton
9:11 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
Temps hit 78F here early today and stayed there all day long. We've already had 10 days at 75 or better. Blows away this time last year by far when it was just endlessly in the 50s and dreary.

Beach towns continue to suffer due to the low SST.





Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
116. Pcroton
9:06 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
Quoting 115. NEwxguy:

Showers seem to be moving in a lot quicker than expected


It does seem to be earlier than guidance showed. Haven't had anything here yet. Got split by the broken line. Some storms out in PA but who knows how well these will hold together. I can smell it though.






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115. NEwxguy
8:19 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
Showers seem to be moving in a lot quicker than expected
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 888 Comments: 15984
114. Pcroton
5:28 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
The second cutoff 500mb comes through the end of the week.





Windy on Wednesday and Thursday with the first system. Second one didn't seem to have much involved with it.




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113. Pcroton
5:22 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
HRRR thru 11pm tonight:





GFS/NAM thru the front and the cutoff low sequence:






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112. Pcroton
5:16 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
500MB cutoff lows are going to dominate the weather pattern the next 10 days. Severe weather and cold dreary conditions will result across the nation. These are four individual unrelated cutoffs.














Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
111. NEwxguy
1:44 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
Its going to be interesting to see how much instability builds tonight.Right now totals look pretty good for tonight.
Back to windy and cool weather.
Can't see any long warm spells right now,especially with this blocking setting up.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 888 Comments: 15984
110. tlawson48
12:51 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
As predicted, the sea breeze has been absolutely drutal here when it kicks in. Yesterday it took a 62F reading at noon and slammed it to 47F within a half hour. For everybody close to the coast it pretty much means the high is before lunch, then close all the windows and turn the heat on.
Member Since: February 10, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 1363
109. tlawson48
12:28 PM GMT on April 22, 2014
Cold front with good vertical temperature mixing on Thursday. Winds predicted to be 50 kts plus at 5K feet. This translates into gusts at the surface of 40 to 45 kts or 46 to 52 mph. NWS Gray already talking about wind headlines with a hazardous weather outlook.

Thursday is trash day, so I guess my garbage cans will be a third of a mile away at the end of the street like the last time it was really windy during garbage pick up!
Member Since: February 10, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 1363
108. Pcroton
11:30 AM GMT on April 22, 2014
SPC with a new experimental version of the convective outlooks. Color scheme is poor but adding categories is a great idea.

Thunderstorm, Marginal, Enhanced, Slight, Moderate, High.


The below is not a real time map it is an experimental product.

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
107. Pcroton
11:17 AM GMT on April 22, 2014
Good Morning. Warm today with Afternoon and Evening thundershowers on the way.












Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
106. Pcroton
7:01 PM GMT on April 21, 2014
Quoting 103. NEwxguy:

I see the NAO is going negative,hope everyone is ready for some cool damp weather for a while.


Maybe now we'll finally get our well blocked slow moving DC to Boston 2 foot blizzard!

Why not...all I heard all winter long from every online expert/private met was "NAO going strongly negative in about two weeks. Look out!"

And then...nothing.







Quoting 104. waterfallgal:

Hiya P !

Guess The winter is finally coming to a close , I see the GFS is showing the Colombian low slightly displaced , Still I love watching the Numerical Models and enjoy the reaction to anything showing @ 384 hrs out .





I see to recall last year starting around this time the GFS constantly had a WCar storm in the 12-16 day range.... and the storm never actually moved up in the model run. For about six weeks there was just always a storm near the end of the run. Eventually the storm it showed did form.


Quoting 102. originalLT:

Got down to 31.4F at my house in Stamford. Did have some frost on the cars. Now up to 47F already. Sunny, almost no wind. 30.22" on the Baro.



We actually looked like we had a coating of snow by morning. Cars had ice. Probably another chance a little later this week for more of the same.



Quoting 101. tlawson48:

Got back last night from visiting relatives for Easter. Cold morning, 27F. Supposed to be sunny and mid sixties today, then the cutoff low hits with gloomy and damp and in the low fifties for the rest of the week.


Sure looks like you're going to have some miserable weather there. Models have been hinting at the 500mb cutoff low scenario for some time - and well, here it comes.


We are at 61F today after a rather cold windy day yesterday. Saturday surprised as the windy elements didn't pick up as early as expected so we ended up with a really nice day in the end.
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
105. Pcroton
6:52 PM GMT on April 21, 2014
Good Afternoon everyone.

Late tomorrow features a low passing through southern Canada into northern New England trailing a cold front down into the Middle Atlantic.














While Philly to NYC will see a quick passage here the 500mb layer is going to cut off around Maine and capture the surface low and stall it for some time resulting in heavier rains persisting through Wednesday and even Thursday.

This will also result in another shot of cold morning temperatures for the region. If you haven't planted yet....don't. Just wait and see how this week goes and see if this is the end of it.






Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
104. waterfallgal
5:13 PM GMT on April 21, 2014
Hiya P !

Guess The winter is finally coming to a close , I see the GFS is showing the Colombian low slightly displaced , Still I love watching the Numerical Models and enjoy the reaction to anything showing @ 384 hrs out .

Member Since: December 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 63
103. NEwxguy
1:08 PM GMT on April 21, 2014
I see the NAO is going negative,hope everyone is ready for some cool damp weather for a while.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 888 Comments: 15984
102. originalLT
12:50 PM GMT on April 21, 2014
Got down to 31.4F at my house in Stamford. Did have some frost on the cars. Now up to 47F already. Sunny, almost no wind. 30.22" on the Baro.
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101. tlawson48
10:38 AM GMT on April 21, 2014
Got back last night from visiting relatives for Easter. Cold morning, 27F. Supposed to be sunny and mid sixties today, then the cutoff low hits with gloomy and damp and in the low fifties for the rest of the week.
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100. Pcroton
10:20 AM GMT on April 21, 2014
29F with a heavy frost this morning.



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99. Pcroton
7:51 PM GMT on April 20, 2014
Happy Easter, Listener.


Well folks, here we go with more frost - widespread advisories as a result. Temps at 6AM NAM Hires.





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98. listenerVT
7:24 PM GMT on April 20, 2014
Joyous Easter and Good Passover to all who observe!
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97. Pcroton
12:40 PM GMT on April 20, 2014
Quoting 95. goofyrider:

Happy Easter P

Could set a few thermo's in the ground at depths to see temp change. Suspect this winter drove the frost deep and it will take time to come out.


Happy Easter.


Turned the garden over again yesterday. Some of the soil was warm. Some of it still ice cold. Just not ready for efficient seed germination. Plenty of time.

Rutgers offers soil temps but I am suspicious as to how good it is...

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
96. Pcroton
12:37 PM GMT on April 20, 2014
Morning Updates begin post #93
========================


Fire season has been a bad one. Another house fire in the local area yesterday. A lot of this is tied to wiring that got damaged by Sandy and never repaired because it was never inspected afterwards. People just assumed that if the power came back on everything was fine. Corrosion due to cracked casings is likely causing a lot of these problems...especially in the seaside towns.

Also had so many brush fires this season. Another one yesterday.




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95. goofyrider
12:31 PM GMT on April 20, 2014
Happy Easter P

Could set a few thermo's in the ground at depths to see temp change. Suspect this winter drove the frost deep and it will take time to come out.
Member Since: February 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2933
94. Pcroton
11:18 AM GMT on April 20, 2014
I am still debating as to when to begin planting flowers - and putting my lettuce and carrot seeds into the ground.

I think despite the warmth in the area I will be holding off as tomorrow morning and moreso Thursday-Friday mornings will be featuring temperatures near freezing even near the coasts. It's just something I don't like to bother with anymore as the cold weather, even if it does not kill your plants, will result in stunted plant growth of which effects can last well into the growing season.

It pays to have patience in seasons like this - and I just feel I want to plant when I know it will be warm and I won't be watching 30s come in, and possibly a frost, and then two weeks later know that's why the plants aren't growing or filling in.

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
93. Pcroton
11:12 AM GMT on April 20, 2014
Good Happy Easter Morning to all. A little cooler today but the tranquil weather continues.

Temperatures really rose yesterday matching the HRRR guidance - which surprises since the HRRR wind profiles were entirely incorrect. At around 1PM yesterday the are had reach the low 60s and then wind snapped to the north and we had some strong gusts dropping temps back into the upper 50s - exactly how the NAM/GFS showed but then those winds just died off and we saw temperatures rise again hitting the mid to upper 60s through the region. It appears the high pressure in southern Canada weakened rather than strengthening and also moved slower than anticipated thus relaxing it's grip on the area. This allowed winds to slack and temperatures to rise through the rest of the afternoon.

Today we won't have as much luck as this high pressure region finally got on the move and has begun to strengthen again.




Here are the upcoming weather events over the next 10 days. It appears 500mb cutoff lows are the name of the game. Reminds me of early last season when we kept seeing strong cutoff 500mb lows and the NWS kept labeling them as "anomalous 500mb lows for this time of year" and thus discounting their existence...only to watch them develop and hit us with strong weather. This go around it appears only the system at the 10 day period has any significant weather with it. Unfortunately it may be quite strong and could signal the beginning of the spring severe weather season.












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92. Pcroton
9:31 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
We've had good rains recently, Tom, but we're definitely heading into a drier period. If anyone hasn't yet fertilized or dropped their first hit of grubX or the like we may see some light showers next week - so it'd be a good time to consider it. Next 120 hours:




LT - I could see how barometer watching would make you wonder if something were coming! Seems the strength of the Canadian high has waned quite a bit today and it hasn't made any eastern headway - and the low off the SE coast is deepening.





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91. Pcroton
9:27 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
The winds never got strong here after the initial burst earlier today in NJ and as a result the temps went up. Along the immediate coast the wind has intruded bringing in the cold marine air but it never quite circled around NNE enough to push further inland as thought.




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90. NJTom
7:23 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
Just spent an hour lugging my potted geraniums, asparagus ferns, etc. from the garage to the deck and had a cold beer while admiring the cherry tree and flowering shrubs. This is the kind of day I dream about all winter while the furnace rumbles, the garden magazines fall apart from overuse, and Canada ships us its surplus wind. Now I will make the annual transition from complaining about too much cold to griping about not enough rain.
Member Since: December 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 170
89. originalLT
6:33 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
My Temp. hit 64F about a half hour ago, now 63. Wind has been basically NW to N all day, about 5-15MPH> Baro. down to 30.23" (Had been 30.74 about 2 days ago). Totally sunny. Funny, with the digital ICON, on my weather station, because the Barometer has fallen so much in two days, it's "screaming "rain"! This is one of the times a falling Barometer can be wrong!
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88. Pcroton
5:04 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
Temps aren't bad. It's a nice day if you're sheltered or moving around.



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87. Pcroton
5:02 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
Have reached 61F here. The wind has held off until about the past 15-20 minutes where we're starting to get northerly gusts. All model guidance hinted at a high temp set around 1PM today due to the eventual change in wind direction.


Here is yesterday's rainfall.




And here was the previous day.



Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
86. PengSnow
3:12 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
Quoting 2. Pcroton:
Good Morning.

April 16... 28F.... solid coating of snow. Roads are ICE.


Unreal. Models did a terrific job showing the chance for back side snows well in advance. I feel like we were talking about this system and it's potential for two weeks - ever since it first popped on the maps.

Since it's the last snow chance for the area - we'll just name it PENG - after the blogger who first brought it up.





P, Thanks for the Honor!!! I guess i am betting 1 out of 100 for the year, its good to get lucky. Believe it or not and you mentioned it, about a cut off low, we could see a few flakes, I would not be surpised, if we see snow in May too. Additionally per the farmers almanac, i see where there could be alot of instability, as mentioned back in January the frozen lakes could shape our weather.

Lastly, Congratulations on Winning the snow melting contest, well deserved guesstimate.

To All, Have a Safe and Great Holiday Weekend!!!
Member Since: January 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 461
85. Pcroton
1:59 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
Quoting 83. originalLT:

Morning "P", I just noticed on the "Wind Stream" site, they just added the Mississippi and other river systems on their main map. Nice touch.



Hi LT. The coastlines and waterways do seem to be of higher definition now. The site is clearly a continued project of theirs. I like the continuous additions and upgrades.

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84. Pcroton
1:56 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
Oh boy....the low that forms in the central plains early next week is still modeled to be accompanied by a cutoff 500mb low that will very slowly move to the East Coast and then.... well, it's going to sit and spin counterclockwise a few times through the region. We're going to be stuck in a cold trough as a result.







And with that trough our wind pattern comes NW across the Great Lakes and Southern Canada and that taps the cold lake water and snow pack.


Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
83. originalLT
1:43 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
Morning "P", I just noticed on the "Wind Stream" site, they just added the Mississippi and other river systems on their main map. Nice touch.
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82. Pcroton
12:34 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
Morning Updates begin post #74
========================


Quoting 79. StAugustineFL:

Morning P. Yeah, looks like the GFS performed well. Somehow I managed 1.71". I was in the sweetspot with some training activity last night. You can see the sharp cut-off in radar estimated rainfall just to my west.



Looking forward to some potential mischief this afternoon as very cold temps aloft move through to coincide with any heating we may get.





Good to see you around St Aug.

That 500mb feature gave birth to hail over Louisiana yesterday I believe so I could see there being some convective showers developing under it later today.






HRRR Lightning potential seems to be focused in southern Georgia.






NAM seems to focus the event more towards NE Florida.

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81. Pcroton
12:27 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
South East rivers of course running high. Precip totals for yesterday will be available later.








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80. Pcroton
12:26 PM GMT on April 19, 2014
River Flooding still ongoing in the North East due to melting and runoff.



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79. StAugustineFL
11:39 AM GMT on April 19, 2014
Morning P. Yeah, looks like the GFS performed well. Somehow I managed 1.71". I was in the sweetspot with some training activity last night. You can see the sharp cut-off in radar estimated rainfall just to my west.



Looking forward to some potential mischief this afternoon as very cold temps aloft move through to coincide with any heating we may get.

Excerpt from SPC:

MEANWHILE...IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE MID-LEVEL COLD CORE /WITH 500
MB TEMPS OF -16 TO -18C/...RESIDUAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE NEAR A WEAK
SURFACE LOW/TROUGH MAY CONTRIBUTE TO THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES
SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL AND
STRONG WIND GUSTS. SOME OF THIS COULD APPROACH OR BRIEFLY EXCEED
SEVERE LIMITS AROUND JACKSONVILLE FL...NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA...DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

And Jax NWS is also on board with this possibility.

LOW PRESSURE WILL BECOME NEARLY VERTICALLY STACKED
BY THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND WE PLACED LIKELY POPS IN FOR
LOCATIONS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF WAYCROSS...EXTENDING INTO THE
JACKSONVILLE METRO AREA...AS UNSTABLE AIR IN THESE AREAS SHOULD
PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. IF ANY
BREAKS IN THE STRATUS DECK OCCUR DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS...THEN A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...WITH HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DOWNDRAFTS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS.
Member Since: March 8, 2011 Posts: 1 Comments: 837
78. Pcroton
11:33 AM GMT on April 19, 2014
Quoting 73. aquak9:

@$#%&^ @#@#% %^ %^, !@^**&(

I HATE MY LOCAL METS

how the #%^$ does one justify less than 0.5" rain after all the screamin' and hollerin' they've done in the past 24 hours??

that's it, we're done.

Next- -



Did ya get my email from yesterday about models showing an arcing trend in the precip? Too many mets jumped on the overblown NAM solution...and even the NAM showed the high arcing heavier band - it was just too enthusiastic about putting heavier totals south as well. GFS nailed this one. The same mechanisms that brought the heavy precip also blew out the system bringing drier air into the Florida Penninsula.

Edit: I wasn't sure but I did also post (#59) about that briefly on the blog yesterday morning. Something just seemed hyperactive with the NAM overall totals - but it too also did show it's heaviest bands to the north - so in a way both models were saying the heaviest precip would arc around your north. HPC simply faulted and followed/weighted the wetter guidance - and the NWS tends to just follow the HPC most of the time with that. My guess is they didn't expect the 700mb layer to blow out as quickly as it did thus bringing in the broad dry slot. In some ways I can see why since the system did evolve slowly to begin with. Once it flipped the switch it wound up quickly and thus blew out the core quickly.
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
77. Pcroton
11:31 AM GMT on April 19, 2014
UPDATES BEGIN POST 74
==================

Todays model temps for the region, GFS and NAM:

We will be on the colder side such as the GFS/NAM show due to wind direction. Local forecasts have backed off from the mid/upper 60s (which had zero support!) to lower 60s today and 50s tomorrow. That is more reasonable. I would say lower 60s in NJ may even be optimistic in most cases although the more sheltered areas could see temps make it there especially points south and west. The majority of our day will be spent in the 50s regardless of the final high temperature.






Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
76. Pcroton
11:30 AM GMT on April 19, 2014
Todays model temps for the region, HRRR. Which is clearly warmer than the GFS and NAM but will fault badly.








HRRR has a southerly wind which accounts for the warmer temperatures but this is unrealistic with the high pressure system moving eastward through southern Canada and northern New England today. Our winds will be north bringing down the colder Canadian air (snow pack and great lakes) and even north east along the coasts bringing in the marine air.





Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
75. Pcroton
11:29 AM GMT on April 19, 2014
Our primary weather focus is the storm system in the southern Middle Atlantic region.







Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 70 Comments: 12444
74. Pcroton
11:29 AM GMT on April 19, 2014
Good Morning. Bottomed out at 34F last night. No frost only dew.


Our biggest weather story is the now weakening low pressure area in the southern Middle Atlantic. 700MB level blew itself out yesterday evening thus shutting off the Gulf. Also the strong southerly flow verified as per the GFS which pushed the heavier precip north of I-10 along the main Florida penninsula.











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About Pcroton

Located in Monmouth County in central NJ. Watching the weather from North Carolina to Maine.