Snow Threat Sunday-Monday - Middle Atlantic States

By: Pcroton , 12:08 AM GMT on March 14, 2014

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Update Section, March 16, 4PM

Afternoon analysis shows that the earlier model solutions showed the high pressure suppression as too strong and storm impacts have nudged northward through Central NJ.


Updates begin on Post #267







March 16, 8AM

Snow and Ice threatens the Middle Atlantic states while Severe Weather hits the Gulf Coast and Florida.

Updates Posts 228-233





Updates Posts 228-233






Blog Opening, March 13, 9PM

A potential snow storm threat exists for the Middle Atlantic States for Sunday into Monday.






Two pieces of energy will combine over the Southern Plains on Saturday.








Here are the 12Z Models from 3/13 - centered at 96hr time frame - 8AM Monday.





Notice the amount of energy we are dealing with of which the models have resolved strung out along the frontal system. These scenarios frequently change as guidance nears in on the event. It would be unwise to trust any model guidance at this distance. Recently we have been somewhere in the 48 to 72 hour window where guidance has locked in. This would be the Friday 12Z runs or perhaps Saturday 0Z runs.




Recently guidance has been struggling with storm systems due to the pattern changing and the split flow patterns in the 500MB layer. The result is wildly ranging model solutions both individually and as a group. Note how wild the pattern is through the Pacific and Western US/Canada. These multiple stream splits will undoubtedly give the models fits.






What we know is a system will enter the Southern Plains on Saturday bringing the chance of severe weather. How the storm tracks from here is in question at this time.








The HPC appears to be fairly interested in the threat.

HPC guidance through 8AM Monday.











The NAO is once again going to be near neutral timed with yet another storm threat. While we've never gotten the "strong negative NAO" we heard was coming most of the winter (and never did) there was always this little dip that coincided with our storm threats along the upper middle atlantic coast.







Taking a peek at the long term it appears the Pacific features that were driving our cold weather outbreaks has begun to break up.


The dominating North Pacific SST anomaly has been relaxing.







The PNA is heading negative.







Our jet stream will feature quite an amplified yet fast moving pattern resulting in quite the temperature roller coaster. No longer are we locked into a persistently strong East Pacific ridge and thus Eastern trough.









Looking ahead we appear to be remaining on the cool side although not nearly as brutal as before.







Here are your CFS2 Temperature and Precipitation Maps. It appears through at least April we will remain cool.


The weeklies:















April Monthly:






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413. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
11:38 AM GMT on March 18, 2014
Pcroton has created a new entry.
412. Matlack
11:04 AM GMT on March 18, 2014
Quoting 411. listenerVT:
A friend in Sugar Grove, West Virginia was surprised by 12" of snow.

Is that in the eastern panhandle or in the National Forest area? I have property in Preston County along the PA border. Lots of snow there.
Member Since: January 1, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 358
411. listenerVT
3:47 AM GMT on March 18, 2014
A friend in Sugar Grove, West Virginia was surprised by 12" of snow.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5519
410. listenerVT
3:46 AM GMT on March 18, 2014

Keep an eye on Wednesday for snow and ice. I forget when you were traveling. Tuesday?

Thanks, P. Actually, it was today I traveled. All sunshine. -12.9F last night and we're looking at -10F at some point tonight. Snow cancelled my watercolour class last week. Does it always have to pick Wednesday? LOL!

Check this out!

Astronomers discover the first direct proof of the Big Bang…!
http://gizmodo.com/astronomers-discover-first-dir ect-proof-of-the-big-bang-1545525927/1545578133/+j esusdiaz

The man who predicted today's event, finds out it happened:
http://sploid.gizmodo.com/witness-the-joy-of-the- man-who-predicted-todays-big-ba-1545834924?utm_cam paign=socialflow_gizmodo_facebook&utm_source=gizmo do_facebook&utm_medium=socialflow
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5519
409. listenerVT
3:41 AM GMT on March 18, 2014
Quoting 395. Pcroton:
Glenn Schwartz ‏@HurricaneNBC10 45m

Now officially the 2nd snowiest winter on record in Phila....4.5" with this storm....seasonal total 67.8". Record is 2009-10 with 78.7"



Jim Cantore ‏@JimCantore 47m

COLDEST ST. PATRICK'S DAY ON RECORD IN BURLINGTON, VT where the temp. dropped to -8 (OLD RECORD 129 YEARS, -6 IN 1885) via @NWSBurlington


It was -12.9F at my house a half hour away!
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5519
408. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
9:15 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 407. NEwxguy:


Based on how long this pattern has been in place,cool spring would be a good bet,but still can't get rid of the feeling a switch is going to be thrown at some point and we flip totally into above normal temps.The big question is when.
This pattern has been so unusual,who knows.
been very persistent to say the least and been this way since that ice storm at Christmas

it started with an ice storm maybe it will end with one
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54639
407. NEwxguy
8:43 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 404. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


I know its looking more and more like a cool spring

I guess

Thursday is the beginning of spring season



Based on how long this pattern has been in place,cool spring would be a good bet,but still can't get rid of the feeling a switch is going to be thrown at some point and we flip totally into above normal temps.The big question is when.
This pattern has been so unusual,who knows.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 883 Comments: 15865
406. HeavySnow
8:36 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 400. zotty:
Hey P- crazy winter...

Where's Heavy? This storm was in his wheel house...


10 inches bringing me to 50 for the season! Great sledding today was done by me and the 3 kiddos! Too tough to build with. Fluffy snow on March 17!
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989
405. Jasspjesta
8:33 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Afternoon P and all - have been too busy at work the last couple of weeks to chime in, but have been enjoying all the posts, maps and analysis as always. Ended up here in Southampton, NJ (central Burlington County) with about 5 inches. Verifies what the NWS put out for Tabernacle which is a town very close to the south. We must've been on the cusp of the banding as I noticed while driving north to Trenton today on 206, it went from snow to grass as soon as I hit 195. Glad to be on the winning side with this one, but am too snow fatigued to really get excited about it anymore. Bring on spring, it is time!
Member Since: December 8, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 106
404. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
8:24 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 403. VR46L:


Have you seen this

From JB twitter feed eek !


I know its looking more and more like a cool spring

I guess

Thursday is the beginning of spring season

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54639
403. VR46L
7:38 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 402. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


well it best move along cause winter has pretty well worn out its welcome

as far as I am concerned


Have you seen this

From JB twitter feed eek !
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6932
402. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
7:13 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 401. VR46L:
P It really does not look like winter, wants to go away from your area . the Temp anomaly gfs run shows a huge outbreak of lower than normal temps that lasts upto 300 hrs ! and then it looks like another outbreak of cooler than normal temps at the end of the Run .


well it best move along cause winter has pretty well worn out its welcome

as far as I am concerned
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54639
401. VR46L
6:59 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
P It really does not look like winter, wants to go away from your area . the Temp anomaly gfs run shows a huge outbreak of lower than normal temps that lasts upto 300 hrs ! and then it looks like another outbreak of cooler than normal temps at the end of the Run .
Member Since: March 1, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 6932
400. zotty
6:48 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Hey P- crazy winter...

Where's Heavy? This storm was in his wheel house...
Member Since: August 19, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 747
399. cooldogs13
3:29 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
P looks like another band in se pa near Lancaster is heading right our way maybe get a nice snow shower outta it. I gotta give it to this storm they had me in northern ocean county at 1-3 yesterday and we got about 4-5 inches here. Some folks that live near lbi at my work got about 7.5 when they were only forcast 3-6 another over performing storm here in nj
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398. tlawson48
2:44 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
I just read an article in the Burlington Free Press about the maple syrup season this year. It's so cold that most syrup producers have almost no sap, they are not running their sugar houses and are quite nervous about the yearly open house this weekend as they will only have whatever is left over from last year to sell. This amounts to a small disaster, since a lot of smaller maple syrup operations rely on the yearly open house for a good chunk of their profits. Having maple syrup season in April is almost unheard of.
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397. tlawson48
2:35 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
I assume those snowfall maps in post 396 are the impulse that the NWS is mumbling about for Fri night/Saturday? My forecast for Sat is 40F with snow likely.
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396. Pcroton
2:24 PM GMT on March 17, 2014


Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
395. Pcroton
2:20 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Glenn Schwartz ‏@HurricaneNBC10 45m

Now officially the 2nd snowiest winter on record in Phila....4.5" with this storm....seasonal total 67.8". Record is 2009-10 with 78.7"



Jim Cantore ‏@JimCantore 47m

COLDEST ST. PATRICK'S DAY ON RECORD IN BURLINGTON, VT where the temp. dropped to -8 (OLD RECORD 129 YEARS, -6 IN 1885) via @NWSBurlington
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
394. Pcroton
2:04 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Christopher Polhemus ‏@Polhemusc 56m
Up to about 7 now in toms river


DanSkeldonNBC40 ‏@DanSkeldonNBC40 1h
I measured 7.5” in Ocean City. Heavy slush underneath, powdery fluff on top. Very light snow still falling.


Capital Weather Gang ‏@capitalweather 1h
7.2" of snow at Reagan Natl, 3rd biggest snow on record so late in season for DC

Capital Weather Gang ‏@capitalweather 1h
10 inches at Dulles, 2nd biggest March snowstorm on record there:

County Radio Officer ‏@CamCoEMCOMM 1h
@NWS_MountHolly @phillywx @nynjpaweather 5 inches of snow measured in Blackwood Camden County NJ


Karen Kuhn ‏@Beachgirlqn 1h
@DanSkeldonNBC40 over it here in Absecon.





Ginger ZeeVerified account ‏@Ginger_Zee
LOOK AT THAT NJ SNOW! “@MSSKATS: @Ginger_Zee Seaville NJ








Some impressive stuff in southern NJ.

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
393. Pcroton
1:59 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Some updated totals:


DELAWARE

...KENT COUNTY...
WOODSIDE 7.8 732 AM

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
LEWES 9.0 748 AM

MARYLAND

...CAROLINE COUNTY...
GREENSBORO 7.0 556 AM


...CECIL COUNTY...
NORTHEAST HEIGHTS 5.0 813 AM

...KENT COUNTY...
GALENA 6.5 803 AM



NEW JERSEY

...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
ESTELL MANOR 6.7 813 AM


...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
TABERNACLE 4.8 754 AM

...CAPE MAY COUNTY...
CAPE MAY 7.1 712 AM

...CUMBERLAND COUNTY...
PORT NORRIS 6.5 646 AM

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
TURNERSVILLE 5.8 908 AM

...OCEAN COUNTY...
MANAHAWKIN 7.5 859 AM



PENNSYLVANIA


...DELAWARE COUNTY...
BROOKHAVEN 4.3 910 AM


...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
WYNNEWOOD 3.0 742 AM


...PHILADELPHIA COUNTY...
PHILADELPHIA INTL AI 4.5 800 AM




This map is always suspect...and the contours and color shading is just awful...but it gives you a general idea of where it all fell. Also it is based off of observations then rendered by software so errors will occur as a result of the observations, what time they came in - such as one place has 10" at 8AM and another 4" at 4am - the map doesn't differentiate it treats them at face value and therefore creates those weird holes and pockets.

Given some people saying they got 10-12" in Cape May County and parts of Delaware you can just see it's a poor product overall if you are looking for precision.

Yet as with all it is what we got and is of interest.


Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
392. Pcroton
1:47 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 387. ThePoetSirrah:
Anybody else see the bay-enhanced snow band that currently stretches from the Eastern Shore to the Cape May area? Pretty cool stuff





That's pretty cool.


Quoting 386. listenerVT:
♧ Lá fhéile Pádraig sona dhaoibh! ♧

-12.9F last night that I saw.
-11F at 8:00am.



Keep an eye on Wednesday for snow and ice. I forget when you were traveling. Tuesday?



Quoting 390. Hoynieva:
Is that lovely snow pile down your way, P? It's identical to many in these parts, ha. So gross.

Nary a snowflake here in the city and for that I'm quite content.



Yep. It was pretty awesome. There was another pile along a road that had a mattress and a grill sticking out of it. No where near a house driveway so I think someone had put items out for pickup during one of the big storms and the plow pushed it along and then it just got buried in a favorable spot to pile up snow. They've since taken it away. Wanted to get a photo of that but the road is too busy to do that.

Quoting 383. cchamp6:
So glad the snow stayed south. This damn cold is driving me nuts though! No doubt in my mind we will have a mid April blizzard this year!


You've paid for the southern suppression with cold air though.

The high was not strong but you were correct about it's dry air influence. It had already done it's damage with the northerly wind flow. The high didn't suppress the storm with strength - it did it with low dewpoints on those persistent northerly winds.


Quoting 388. aquak9:
It's Spring. Time for things to grow.
drizzly rain here, no wind. Should eb nice for things that grow.



Might get a bit bumpy later no?






Although that may stay just south of Jax. Tampa-Orlando on the other hand....bumpy ride.


I cleared the driveway and where we get no sun the surface had a head start on cold temps and I measured 3" - as well as around the corner in the grass. Everywhere else was 2". Road is an inch and dwindling as even at 25F the treatment plus the sun is doing a number on it.

Quoting 389. tlawson48:
Interesting tidbit for how much colder than normal this month has been: currently averaging 7.8F below normal. If this continues for the rest of the month (I wouldn't be surprised given the current forecast) it would be the third coldest March on record (only 1872 and 1885 would be colder)!



A lot of oddities this winter. I think 5 times it snowed in the teens when most winters it never does that once. There were also a few towns/cities in the upper mid west and ohio valley that hit their lowest temps of the winter - the first week of March!

Two major snowstorms (defined 6" plus) for Virginia/Maryland/Delaware in March is another rarity.

Number of wind chill advisories were through the roof I know that much.

Certainly one impressive winter and to think when we saw that first cold front blast through with about 10 days to go in July and kept August-Sept cool it really gave the hint that this could come. The mid-October front really sealed the deal.
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
391. Matlack
1:41 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Only measured 2" here in N Brick. March sun melting the paved surfaces quickly.
Member Since: January 1, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 358
390. Hoynieva
1:29 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Is that lovely snow pile down your way, P? It's identical to many in these parts, ha. So gross.

Nary a snowflake here in the city and for that I'm quite content.
Member Since: January 20, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1503
389. tlawson48
1:17 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Interesting tidbit for how much colder than normal this month has been: currently averaging 7.8F below normal. If this continues for the rest of the month (I wouldn't be surprised given the current forecast) it would be the third coldest March on record (only 1872 and 1885 would be colder)!
Member Since: February 10, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 673
388. aquak9
1:11 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
It's Spring. Time for things to grow.
drizzly rain here, no wind. Should eb nice for things that grow.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 169 Comments: 26126
387. ThePoetSirrah
1:00 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Anybody else see the bay-enhanced snow band that currently stretches from the Eastern Shore to the Cape May area? Pretty cool stuff


Member Since: October 25, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 64
386. listenerVT
12:50 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
♧ Lá fhéile Pádraig sona dhaoibh! ♧

-12.9F last night that I saw.
-11F at 8:00am.
Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5519
385. johnbluedog69
12:48 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Just by looking outside we have a good 8to10 inches now im ready for it to go aaway.
Member Since: October 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 437
384. mgill91302
12:30 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Enjoy your snow down south..not a flake at home in Northampton county pa or at work in Somerset nj. I'm glad tho we are trying to get softball season started and the fields are either a mud pit or still snow covered...last year we were outdoors by this time. I will take more wind also to dry things out.
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383. cchamp6
12:27 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
So glad the snow stayed south. This damn cold is driving me nuts though! No doubt in my mind we will have a mid April blizzard this year!
Member Since: December 21, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 1641
382. Pcroton
12:11 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 381. tlawson48:
Talked to a friend who went snowmobiling this weekend abour halfway up the state (somewhere about an hour west of Bangor). He said he stepped off the trail and sank into chest deep snow!

It appears that a good part of our state will see a snowpack well into May if we don't start getting temps that are at least average. Spring flooding threat is getting worse every day as all the major rivers still have two feet plus of ice on them.



That's just crazy. Hopefully the melt isn't timed with a heavy rain storm compounding the issue.


Look ahead we have two systems of note. Next Sunday - and then March 26th which the GFS currently shows as a failed phase (sub trop out to sea, polar energy slides through alone).








Aside from models being models and not always seeing everything inbetween...there doesn't appear to be much out there.

Some interior snow/ice for Wednesday, then that stronger Sunday system, and then another cold hit after that Sunday storm moves out.

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
381. tlawson48
12:07 PM GMT on March 17, 2014
Talked to a friend who went snowmobiling this weekend abour halfway up the state (somewhere about an hour west of Bangor). He said he stepped off the trail and sank into chest deep snow!

It appears that a good part of our state will see a snowpack well into May if we don't start getting temps that are at least average. Spring flooding threat is getting worse every day as all the major rivers still have two feet plus of ice on them.
Member Since: February 10, 2014 Posts: 0 Comments: 673
380. Pcroton
11:57 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 378. doom22015:
Mostly done here in Burke VA, WSW of DC. Just a few flakes now. 24F.
We got 7inches on the lawn, only 4 on the driveway. I think it took quite a while for paved areas to cool down enough to accumulate.


Good storm for Mid March.

Yeah it looked like it would be difficult to get forecasted totals on paved surfaces. That's a good thing though. Do we really want this sticking around?

It's Spring. Time for things to grow.

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
379. Pcroton
11:56 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
One last good band of snow coming in from the west but I doubt it's enough to meet the 3" I thought I could get here.



Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
378. doom22015
11:54 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Mostly done here in Burke VA, WSW of DC. Just a few flakes now. 24F.
We got 7inches on the lawn, only 4 on the driveway. I think it took quite a while for paved areas to cool down enough to accumulate.
Member Since: February 12, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 222
377. Pcroton
11:53 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
It's interesting we had hardly any wind with our winter storms this year and now that Spring is pushing in... we're getting some strong winds.




Well, it's white again.. I was kind of enjoying the clear ground. This won't stay around long though.







Also found the best snow pile in the region. Yeah, it's snow. LOL


Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
376. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
11:43 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
next sys on wed looks a little gusty does not appear to have much precip with it but we will have to see what later model runs do with it

here is 10m wind gusts in kmh for wed system as per 06z nam

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54639
375. Pcroton
11:42 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 373. KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
so ya got a little snow I see p it strung itself out right along from my last radar post never going much further north

someone said cold up north ya a little chilly this am but it moderates from today onward



Aside from averages rising it appears we have another good cold push coming in.


March 25 - April 1




Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
374. Pcroton
11:40 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Cape May is going to go over a foot....



Looks like I'll be done here fairly soon barring another one of those surges along the line we've seen during the morning.

2"

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
373. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
11:39 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
so ya got a little snow I see p it strung itself out right along from my last radar post never going much further north

someone said cold up north ya a little chilly this am but it moderates from today onward

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54639
372. Pcroton
11:30 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Just so everyone knows there's a system coming through on Wednesday that could cause some problems over the interior regions with freezing rain and snow.








Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
371. Pcroton
11:26 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 369. tlawson48:
Another chilly morning up north. 7F this morning with a high of 24F yesterday and 22F forecast for today. Supposed to be -5F tomorrow morining. It hit 51F on Sat and melted just enough so I can see ALL the dog poo in the backyard, at least I can put off cleaning it up until the last foot of snow melts, which should take another month.



LMAO my goodness.

Sadly your winter is not done. It's just not. Very cold the next two weeks over all and a handful of precip chances.

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
370. Pcroton
11:25 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 368. cooldogs13:
Wow p I'm surprised it really did take that long to move north because we have about 3 inches here in brick pushing 4


Very nice. I'm around an inch and a half here. Radar is tricky to see what I will end up with it keeps moving around just to my north - also there's still decent echoes out in PA to our west but as the system slides east I wonder if lift will collapse and kill those - or if they too will slide in.



Well, we can see how this system got strung out. Imagine if it was one low riding up - we would have had a wide reaching major winter storm. It's already major for VA/MD/DE/S NJ anyway.








Florida has some rough weather coming.




Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
369. tlawson48
11:25 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Another chilly morning up north. 7F this morning with a high of 24F yesterday and 22F forecast for today. Supposed to be -5F tomorrow morining. It hit 51F on Sat and melted just enough so I can see ALL the dog poo in the backyard, at least I can put off cleaning it up until the last foot of snow melts, which should take another month.
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368. cooldogs13
11:07 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Wow p I'm surprised it really did take that long to move north because we have about 3 inches here in brick pushing 4
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367. Pcroton
11:01 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
I see mount holly had to bring storm totals back north some in NJ. Washington DC really amped up totals in the west.








I know people like hRRR products but boy do they fault often as do the RAP guidance. Terrible for my county. Terrible for most of Maryland and Virginia as well.


Storm Total, 2AM-2PM, HRRR:






Hourly Rate at 6AM (2AM HRRR product)




We're dumping snow at about an inch an hour rate here and HRRR has zero overhead.

The RAP really faulted us several times this winter putting heavy snowfall swaths 100-150 miles too far west over NJ only to see those storms set up just off shore. It was used a lot early on by Steve but by the time it faulted for a third consecutive early season storm I haven't heard him utter the word since.

HRRR...I'm getting there myself here. A lot of folks use it for thunderstorms for the simrad feature and it seemed to do halfway decent on that. For snowfall...it's pretty bad.

The state of model guidance isn't very good these days. Will be nice if there's a time we can trust it better.
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
366. Pcroton
10:51 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
And in the last 15 minutes the line reversed northward here so it won't be pushing through - instead I will get heavy snow until the end of the shield pulls through from the west. Maybe I do make 3" or so.

See the "L" in Long Branch? See the small red line on the map to it's southwest? See the grey north-south highway (GSP) to the left of that? I'm to the south west on the other side of that line in there somewhere.




Sadly, even though we're at a half an inch, while I was out doing the morning walk I heard a plow just outside the neighborhood scraping away on the pavement. Really? One bored public works worker there!!!

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
365. Pcroton
10:48 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Some nice totals so far: It is still snowing in some of these areas and some of the reports were from early in the event and haven't been updated.



NEW JERSEY

...ATLANTIC COUNTY...
ESTELL MANOR 6.0 548 AM

...BURLINGTON COUNTY...
TABERNACLE 4.0 549 AM

...CAPE MAY COUNTY...
DIAS CREEK 7.0 425 AM

...CUMBERLAND COUNTY...
DEERFIELD TWP 4.5 334 AM

...GLOUCESTER COUNTY...
WILLIAMSTOWN 4.3 518 AM

...OCEAN COUNTY...
LITTLE EGG HARBOR TW 5.0 229 AM





PENNSYLVANIA

...DELAWARE COUNTY...
CHADDS FORD 3.3 601 AM




DELAWARE

...KENT COUNTY...
HARRINGTON 7.5 531 AM

...NEW CASTLE COUNTY...
ODESSA 5.0 546 AM

...SUSSEX COUNTY...
FRANKFORD 7.0 216 AM


MARYLAND

...ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY...
3 NW SEVERNA PARK 7.5 415 AM

...BALTIMORE COUNTY...
2 NE CATONSVILLE 7.0 440 AM

...CAROLINE COUNTY...
GREENSBORO 7.0 556 AM

...KENT COUNTY...
MILLINGTON 4.5 159 AM

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
HILLANDALE 10.5 423 AM

...PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY...
3 NW BOWIE 7.5 445 AM

...QUEEN ANNE`S COUNTY...
CENTREVILLE 5.0 201 AM

...TALBOT COUNTY...
EASTON 6.0 424 AM

...WICOMICO COUNTY...
SALISBURY 5.0 440 AM




...DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA...
1 WNW WASHINGTON 5.8 330 AM



VIRGINIA

...ARLINGTON COUNTY...
1 NNE BAILEYS CROSSR 7.5 425 AM

...AUGUSTA COUNTY...
2 ENE STAUNTON ARPT 6.0 330 AM

...CAROLINE COUNTY...
PORT ROYAL 5.0 437 AM

...FAIRFAX COUNTY...
1 NNE HERNDON 8.8 500 AM

...FREDERICK COUNTY...
2 E STEPHENS CITY 8.1 415 AM

...LOUDOUN COUNTY...
PURCELLVILLE 10.0 510 AM
DULLES INTERNATIONAL 7.0 200 AM

...LOUISA COUNTY...
TREVILIANS 4.0 535 AM

...MADISON COUNTY...
2 SSW ETLAN 9.5 523 AM

...ROCKINGHAM COUNTY...
1 SSE SINGERS GLEN 13.5 219 AM

...WARREN COUNTY...
1 WSW KARO 12.0
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
364. Pcroton
10:38 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Quoting 363. HeavySnow:
Almost 10 inches in Annandale, VA! Nice!


I am glad someone is making out. What an end to the season for DC area.


I have heavy snow, 22F, and half an inch.

Not sure how much is left as the line sagged southward rapidly over the past hour...yet in the last 15 minutes it slowed greatly in the northern part of the county.

Can't tell if the line will push through to dry or we get the whole line as the precip clears from the WSW.



Never stayed up to see how it crept in. Looking at the extended radars it just agonizingly slowly crept northward and then suddenly filled in over my county about 2-3 hours ago.
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 55 Comments: 8651
363. HeavySnow
10:18 AM GMT on March 17, 2014
Almost 10 inches in Annandale, VA! Nice!
Member Since: July 7, 2004 Posts: 18 Comments: 2989

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About Pcroton

Located in Monmouth County in central NJ. Watching the weather from North Carolina to Maine.