Contest cleaned up :)

By: Ossqss , 2:43 AM GMT on May 10, 2010

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2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season Prognostication contest!

Here ya go weather fans...... Your chance to tell us what you think the Atlantic Hurricane season will look like.

You pick the following in your post

Total number of named storms

Total number of Hurricanes

Total number of Major Hurricanes

Total number of CAT 5 Hurricanes

The tie breaker will be -- Your pick on the date of the first named storm in 2010.

Please place your picks in the blog and I will quote you and lock them in just like we did last year.

Entry will close on 5-15-2010 @ 11pm EST or the time of the first named storm if that is sooner.


My Picks are 13, 8, 3, 1, 6-19-2010

Be safe and prepared !

Here is the list of last years participants and picks !

Handle,#Named Storms,#Hurricanes,#Major Storms,#Cat5, Date 1st Storm

KEHCharleston,12,8,4,0,5-23
Orcasystems,13,8,3,1,5-21
Charlottefl,15,8,5,1,7-15
Moonlightcowboy,16,9,5,2,6-06
Hahaguy,15,8,4,1,6-14
CaneAddict,16,9,3,1,5-29
NRAamy,6,3,1,0,7-04
Severstorm,15,8,5,3,5-24
JRRP,12,7,4,0,5-24
MissNadia,14,7,3,2,6-03
RMM34667,15,6,3,1,6-11
Cotillion,13,6,3,0,6-16
Sh0cK,15,8,4,1,6-27
Amd,11,6,2,0,6-02
Wxgirl,17,7,3,1,7-01
CeBas,14,8,5,2,5-17
cg291612,7,4,1,5-22
seawitch1261,15,7,3,0,7-06
ftpiercecane,16,10,4,2,6-17
Nashda,15,6,3,2,7-30
SWMBO,10,8,3,0,7-01
jeffs713,15,8,4,1,6-16
FMDawg,21,7,3,1,6-11
KEEPEROFTHEGATE,14,9,5,2,5-28
HTV,12,6,3,0,6-19
XL,14,6,3,1,6-04
Lafreniere16,16,9,5,2,6-24
RevInFL,18,5,2,0,6-03
aquak9,14,12,6,1,6-29
GeoffreyWPB,16,9,5,3,6-22
CaneWarning,16,9,4,2,6-06
Atmoaggie,12,8,2,0,6-26
StSimonsIslandGAGuy,12,7,3,0,7-12
Drakoen,14,7,4,1,5-19
StormW,12,6,3,0,6-20
Presslord,14,7,4,1,5-29
Homelesswanderer,18,7,6,0,5-31
Victoriahurricane,16,8,5,2,5-26
AllyBama,16,10,6,3,7-21
CatastrophicDL,16,9,4,1,6-03
Joshfsu123,11,7,2,1,6-18
TampaSpin,12,7,3,1,6-12
NativeSun,14,9,5,2,6-10
Skyepony,17,8,4,0,6-16
Ponchocyclone,14,8,4,1,5-25
Conchygirl,17,5,2,0,6-08
Bonedog,10,5,3,0,6-21
Nrtiwlnvragn,9,5,2,0,7-06
Nocaneindy,18,11,5,2,5-26
SouthALWX,15,9,4,1,6-15
MsBlanch,10,7,4,1,5-23
AstroHurricane001,14,9,5,2,5-22
Oakland,14,9,5,2,5-25
Seastep,15,6,2,0,6-28
Tillou,13,8,3,2,5-26
Tazmanian,15,8,4,1,6-05
K8e1,11,4,2,0,6-02
Ossqss,13,9,4,2,6-27



Here are this years picks.
Please check them for accuracy. I will do so again when I get time later this evening. Note- the late entries do not have a date for the first storm for the tie breaker. Thanks for participating.

Handle,# Named Storms,# Hurricanes,# Major Hurricanes,# CAT 5's, Date of the first named storm in 2010

Update -- An "X" after the date of the first storm as picked and displayed below indicates the date has passed.


Update -- Tropical Storm Alex has formed as of the 5am EST advisory on 6-26.

homegirl,15,9,5,2,7-02
KEEPEROFTHEGATE,23,14,7,3,5-23X
Tropicsweatherpr,15,9,4,2,6-04X
rawson20,14,8,5,1,6-15X
amd,16,9,6,1,6-26
angrypartsguy,21,17,8,4,5-29X
nocaneindy,18,11,6,2,6-14X
theshepherd,15,7,2,1,6-01X
aquak9,22,15,6,3,5-30X
nweatherlover,24,17,7,3,6-03X
pottery,18,12,6,3,6-12X
wxmobilejim,19,10,5,2,5-27X
skepticall2,20,15,5,3,6-17X
atmoaggie,15,9,3,1,6-13X
swampliliy,21,14,6,3,6-03X
alexhurricane1991,18,7,4,1,6-16X
Levi32,18,10,6,2,6-09X
conchygirl,21,8,6,2,6-08X
StSimonsIslandGAGuy,13,7,3,0,6-28
nrtiwlnvragn,14,10,5,3,7-07
Grothar,22,16,6,3,6-20X
NRAamy,8,4,2,1,6-30
bonesins,18,14,5,2,6-08X
severstorm,18,9,6,2,5-28X
GetReal,17,10,4,1,6-16X
victoriahurricane,19,11,6,2,5-26X
btwntx08,18,10,6,2,5-23X
MiamiHurricanes09,18,10,6,3,5-29X
AussieStorm,23,19,9,5,5-27X
jeffs713,18,11,6,3,6-03X
Xyrus,24,15,10,5,5-21X
MahFL,17,12,5,1,6-06X
NativeSun,25,18,11,4,5-27X
TampaSpin,21,13,7,2,6-15X
Weatherkid27,19,11,5,3,6-09X
WinterAnalystwx13,21,10,5,3,5-22X
cg2916,20,12,7,2,6-14X
SouthALWX,22,14,8,2,6-04X
StormStalker85,20,13,6,4,5-28X
tomas5tex,22,15,9,4,5-30X
BahaHurican,19,11,6,2,6-10X
Waltanater,14,7,4,1,6-24
altesticstorm10,25,14,8,3,6-01X
ftpiercecane,22,14,5,2,5-28X
Bobbyweather,19,10,6,3,6-03X
hydrus,15,10,5,3
HaboobsRsweet,17,8,5,2
Patrap,18,9,4,0
MrstormX,16,6,4,0
Skyepony,24,12,4,1
Hurricanes101,19,11,5,2
RevInFL,15,8,3,1
1900hurricane,18,11,6,2
AstroHurricane001,18,11,7,3
Bordonaro,16,10,6,1
JFLORIDA,23,16,12,6
Ossqss,13,8,3,1,6-19X


A big shout out of thanks to nrtiwlnvragn for creating the below for us. Thank you a bunch for your help!!!

The below is based upon the blog data.

Number of Storms

Median 18
Mode 18
Standard Deviation 3.457674621
Minimum 8
Maximum 25



Hurricanes

Median 11
Mode 10
Standard Deviation 3.214257867
Minimum 4
Maximum 19



Major Hurricanes

Median 6
Mode 6
Standard Deviation 1.968740676
Minimum 2
Maximum 12



Cat 5

Median 2
Mode 2
Standard Deviation 1.246800416
Minimum 0
Maximum 6



I believe that, once again, this blog's thinking will be very close to the pro's. I will dig that info up and add it later. If anyone has a some links I could use to find the other predictions, that would help expedite the comparison.

Thanks again for your participation and a special thanks to nrtiwlnvragn for crunching the numbers and creating the graphics :)

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