OrangeRoses's WunderBlog

Very foggy out this morning with temperature hovering just over the freezing mark at 34°. It is like a cold, wet blanket with no wind also. The NWS issued a short term forecast at 7:48 AM for "patchy fog" and "could be dense at times". The fog has been here a little longer than NWS time of issue. Less than 100 feet away the cold steamy thick misty blanket limits visibility.

That may have a good consequence by slowing down the traffic(which largely includes the loud pickup truck / hick-up truck wannabe cowboys).

The GOES13 Satellite partial image below is a cutout from the original 1.5 MB Eastern USA photo taken at 8:31 AM Today Dec 30, 2011. As you will see, it clearly shows the clouds over SE Oklahoma contributing to our dense fog. It also shows areas of clear skies all around which will be here soon. The arrow points to the Red River that meanders SouthEast to meet the Mississippi River Delta.

It rained 0.4 inches today in 4 hours — 9:30 AM - 1:30 PM. Temp remained a constant 43° and windchill above freezing.

Probability of Freezing Near Surface Temperatures Four Day loop

New Experimental Snow Accumulation Probability Forecasts 3 day Interactive

Wednesday AM Update
The overnight low temperature dipped below freezing at 1 AM until bottoming out at 7 AM as 27°. With southerly winds later today it should warm up thirty degrees.

The Princess hides again, so it is warmer now-- the temp 47° at 6:50 AM.

Monday Night Dec 19

Overcast with thunderstorms. Low of 52°F. Winds from the ESE at 10-15 mph shifting to the South after midnight. Chance of rain 100% with rainfall amounts near 0.6 in. possible.

►The North-South line of thunderstorms mentioned in the hazardous weather outlook earlier at Noon time are centered on Dallas right now and should be moving North and East to this part of the world.

It rained ½ inch from 5:15 PM last night, Dec.19, until midnight.

► Right now 8 AM Dec 20  it is very foggy outside with no mention of fog on the main page. It does show low clouds 200 feet overcast.

Overnight Low 28° at 5:45 AM
Temperature was at or below freezing from 2 AM Sunday until 8:15 AM.

Nowcast 6:45 PM CST December 14, 2011
A line of showers and thunderstorms..moving east of a line from Dallas Texas...to Fort Smith Arkansas...will begin to reach McCurtain County Oklahoma and the Clarksville Texas area...by around 8 PM. Frequent deadly lightning and heavy rain may accompany this activity.

Only 0.025 inches(less than 3 hundredths of an inch) of rain fell all day until now--7:10PM. The cold front generator of scattered thunderstorms and lots of rain has been slow to reach this area, but there is a line of thunderstorms 60 miles west of here, approaching slowly, that could finally verify the NWS forecasts that changed contantly over the past 3 days.

7:35 AM Dec. 15 Thursday Morning Update

The short term Advisory(NowCast)above was incorrect in the timing.

It began to rain at 9:20 PM last night and continued until 12:50 AM with 0.475 inches reaching the ground. No heavy rain or deadly lightning occurred in this area, despite the radar observation mentioned above. I really thought it would rain and thunderstorms would occur but something changed as they approached here. (If I find a reference as to why, the explanation will be posted here.)

I found a very oblique reference to the storm breaking up, but nothing about the rainfall amounts being significantly lower than as suggested.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
954 PM CST WED DEC 14 2011

QUESTION IS HOW FAR EAST WILL THE RAIN GET BEFORE BREAKING UP. NEW NAM
INDICATES SOME INTENSIFICATION AFTER 12Z...BUT THIS GOES AGAINST
GFS WHICH STALLS AND WEAKENS THE LINE.

Φ