OrangeRoses's WunderBlog

092211

By: OrangeRoses, 10:12 PM GMT on September 22, 2011

Sept. 22, 2011
Today 0.6 inches of rain happened in 90 minutes(approximately) from 1:15 to 2:40 PM. It was a needed and welcome change.

Remember, tomorrow is the Autumnal Equinox, a change of seasons, 12 hours of daylight along with 12 hours of darkess, and the first day of Fall.

Updated: 10:13 PM GMT on September 22, 2011

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Sat 091011

By: OrangeRoses, 4:03 PM GMT on September 10, 2011

NWS and WU Best Forecast Comparison Sat 9/10- Fri 9/16


National Weather Service Forecast

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Northwest wind between 5 and 10 mph.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. North wind around 5 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. North wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. North wind around 5 mph.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 94. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast.
Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 63.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 98.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64.

Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 94.
Wednesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63.

Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 88.
Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61.

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 84.


Weather Underground Best Forecast
Descriptive Forecast

Saturday
Partly cloudy. High of 91°F. Winds from the WNW at 5 mph.
Saturday Night
Clear. Low of 55°F. Winds from the North at 5 mph.

Sunday
Partly cloudy. High of 88°F. Winds from the NNW at 5 mph.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy. Low of 55°F. Winds from the North at 5 mph.

Monday
Clear in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 99°F. Winds from the SSW at 5 mph.
Monday Night
Clear. Low of 61°F. Winds from the SSE at 5 mph.

Tuesday
Clear. High of 104°F. Unseasonably warm. Winds from the South at 10 mph.
Tuesday Night
Clear in the evening, then partly cloudy. Low of 72°F. Winds from the SW at 5 mph.

Wednesday
Partly cloudy. High of 104°F. Unseasonably warm. Winds from the West at 5 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clear. Low of 70°F. Light winds mph.

Thursday
Partly cloudy. High of 91°F. Winds from the South at 5 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm. Low of 63°F. Winds from the East at 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

Friday
Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. High of 88°F. Winds from the East at 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.
Friday Night Clear. Low of 57°F. Winds from the East at 10 mph.

I will try to do a nextday update for each day with the actual measured data from two local sources; and assign points for the closest forecast of Temps High&Low, Sky Conditions, Wind&Direction,and Rain variables. This should become a contest of sorts to see whose advanced forecast wins the most points for the Sat- Friday Week. (No points given if both forecasts are correct for a variable, or it does not apply.)

............Temp H.........L .............. Sky.......... Wind Speed/Direction------ Totals

9/10 Sat H:WU 90° L:NWS 61° sky:WU Wind speed/dir:NWS ... WU 2 - NWS 3
9/11 Sun H:NWS 95° L:WU 57° sky:NWS Wind dir:WU .............. WU 2 - NWS 2
9/12 Mon H:WU 99° L:NWS 65° sky:WU Wind speed/dir:N/A .... WU 2 - NWS 1

After 3 days we have a tie: WU 6 - NWS 6

9/13 Tue H:WU 104° L:WU 72° Rain:N/A ....................................... WU 2
9/14 Wed H:NWS 95° L:NWS 62° Rain:NWS 0.03 in. .............................. NWS 3
overnight low includes next day before sunrise

9/15 Thur H:NWS 72° L:NWS 59° Rain:NWS 0.02 in. .............................. NWS 3
Both forecasted rain. NWS forecasted day and night correctly. WU only in the evening.

9/15 Fri ... H:NWS 72° L:WU 57° sky:WU Rain:WU 0.03 in. ........ WU 3 - NWS 1


Accumulated Points for the past 7 Days

WU 11 NWS 13


National Weather Service is the winner in this fair comparison.
Both forecasts were much less accurate after 4 days.

NWS omits Wind Speed and Direction for the remainder of the forecast days, SOOOoooo...to be fair, Wind variables will not apply starting Tuesday, but Sky Conditions and Rain-both forecasts show rain chances- may balance everything.

7-day Forecast

Updated: 4:00 PM GMT on September 17, 2011

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Sun 090411

By: OrangeRoses, 5:04 PM GMT on September 04, 2011

Low 50's forecasted overnight. The graphs below update every 20 minutes when you refresh my blog. The history begins Midnight Monday with Midnight Tuesday in the center and end with Midnight Wednesday.







Red Flag Warning continues Sept 5, 2011

Red flag warning remains in effect until 8 PM CDT this evening

* affected area... all of the Linden and Henderson dispatch zones of East Texas served by the National Weather Service in Shreveport Louisiana and McCurtain County in southeast Oklahoma.

* Wind... north 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 30 mph.

* Humidity... 20 to 30 percent.

* Impacts... any fires that develop will spread rapidly. Burn bans are currently in place for much of the area but otherwise...outdoor burning is not recommended.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A red flag warning means that extreme fire weather conditions are either occurring now... or will shortly. A combination of strong winds... low relative humidity... and dry vegetation will create explosive fire growth potential. Avoid all outside burning and welding today. Do not toss lit cigarette Butts outside. Report wild fires to the nearest Fire Department or law enforcement
office.

Sept. 5, 2011 Also a Lake Wind Advisory continues until 7 PM tonight

Red Flag

Updated: 2:02 AM GMT on September 06, 2011

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Th 090111

By: OrangeRoses, 7:06 PM GMT on September 01, 2011

Water vapor SE USA including Gulf of Mexico. Could Tropical Storm Lee become a rainmaker in SE Oklahoma?




This interesting animation of the above image shows a connection with the movement of T.S Lee and the Atlantic and Carribean storms. They both appear to be linked, even though a thousand or more miles apart, via the surface water.

Updated: 9:28 PM GMT on September 02, 2011

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About OrangeRoses

The sixth angel poured out her bowl on the great river Euphrates and its water was dried up to prepare the way for the Kings and Queens from the East

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Fuller Farms
Haworth, OK
Elevation: 433 ft
Temperature: 70.4 °F
Dew Point: 68.0 °F
Humidity: 92%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 11:17 PM CDT on July 24, 2014

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