OrangeRoses's WunderBlog

Many thunderstorms were moving SE in my direction but not one arrived. It was just cool & cloudy this morning and around Noon the sun came out and heated up again.

At 3:30 PM the Heat Index reached 95°

This Personal Weather Station is one of two realtime updating data sources in the entire county.

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Mon. Afternoon Discussion from NWS Shreveport 308 PM

Upcoming forecast can be characterized by two distinct weather
patterns within the next 7 days. Early in the period...a lingering
frontal boundary...combined with sufficient low-level moisture...
will allow for periods of afternoon showers and thunderstorms
through Friday. The strongest convection is expected to occur
late Thursday night along and north of Interstate 20. Later in
the period...upper-level ridging becomes established across the
northern Gulf Coast on Saturday...providing dry conditions through
the remainder of the forecast period. Additionally...afternoon
high temperatures are forecast to surge into the low to middle 90s
this weekend into early next week.

»Surface analysis this morning shows the nearly stalled boundary is stretched from southeast MO through northern Arkansas an into norther central Texas. Radar imagery shows convection along this boundary as well to the west and north of the County warning forecast area. This boundary should not sink much south today. However...it looks as if it will sink a little south by this evening and into tonight. This should allow for convection to develop across much of the County warning forecast area by this evening and into Saturday...especially over the northern half of the County warning forecast area«

The actual sustained wind speeds for the times mentioned were 10 - 15 mph less than the gusts. The NWS uses a loose interpretation of the Advisory rules which state "sustained winds of 31 mph or greater are expected to occur for at least 1 hour" when it actually is referring to the temporary gusts.

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport la
222 PM CDT sun may 9 2010

frontal boundary currently located across the northern Gulf Coast
prognosticated to phase north during the overnight hours...with winds
forecast to become more southerly. The front...combined with
upper-level instability in the form of weak disturbances in the
mean zonal flow...will allow for the chance of showers and
thunderstorms tonight. Most of this convective activity can be
expected north of Interstate 20.

[ I 20 is 110 miles — as the fronts fly — South of me ] See Map

Today is May Day, the first of May. Honeysuckles flowered despite the two Tornado Watches yesterday. They smell so nice and I am glad we did not have a tornado.