OrangeRoses's WunderBlog

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As March begins to close shall we see a return to the sub temperatures that delay planting a garden?

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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
348 PM CDT WED MAR 24 2010

GIVEN THE
STRENGTH OF THIS APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM...SOME OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE QUITE STRONG AND COULD POSSIBLY BECOME
SEVERE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD TAP INTO THE STRONG UPPER
WINDS AND MAY PRODUCE HAIL AND BRING DOWN DAMAGING WIND. EVEN WITH
LIMITED SURFACE BASED MOISTURE...ISOLATED TORNADOES CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT COMPLETELY AT THIS POINT. AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD SEEK AN
UPDATE ON THE WEATHER CONDITIONS PRIOR TO SLEEP THIS EVENING AND
KEEP A NOAA WEATHER RADIO ON ALERT MODE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS

Not only am I a weather observer, but a weather experiencer too! Nature does not threaten me, and I know what's underneath my feet.

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Winter Storm Warning
Statement as of 3:33 PM CDT on March 20, 2010

A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect from midnight tonight to
4 PM CDT Sunday.

A strong upper level storm system will continue to push an Arctic
cold front through northeast Texas... southeast Oklahoma... and
southwest Arkansas this afternoon and evening. Temperatures are
forecast to fall into the lower and mid 30s tonight. Areas of snow
will develop within the cold sector behind the this evening over
the warned area. Snowfall is expected to increase in coverage and
intensity late tonight into Sunday morning.

Total snowfall accumulations of two to five inches will be
possible mainly northwest of a Clarksville Texas... to Texarkana
and Nashville Arkansas line... with isolated amounts nearing seven
inches possible across northern McCurtain County Oklahoma. The
significant snowfall will diminish late Sunday afternoon or
evening... as this storm system begins to drift east away from the
region.

Temperatures are expected to remain near or slightly above
freezing tonight and Sunday as the snow moves into the area.
Thus... snowfall accumulations will occur mainly on elevated and
grassy surfaces. However... patchy ice may develop on some
bridges... overpasses... and secondary roadways... where
temperatures fall to or below freezing late tonight and Sunday
morning.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning means significant amounts of snow are
expected. Strong winds are also possible. This will make travel
very hazardous or impossible.






Lake Wind Advisory
Statement as of 3:32 PM CDT on March 20, 2010

The lake Wind Advisory is now in effect until 7 PM CDT Sunday.

High pressure will surge across the region this afternoon and
tonight behind a strong Arctic cold front. Winds will increase to
over 20 mph with gusts as high as 30 mph. Windy conditions will
persist overnight and into Sunday. Winds should begin to subside
Sunday evening.

Enjoy yourselves, those who defy the dedicated life-saving warnings from the NWS. The last time it snowed in OKC and Tulsa 7 died driving the 80 mph speed limits on the interstate highways of Oklahoma, and over 150,000 people lost power. It is now time to WAKE UP, people!


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Latest Surface Isobar Map

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I really have learned a posteriori not to even include Arkansas in my own weather forecastings simply because what rains there does not usually rain here, where I live(more than 75% of the time) and we do not get the severity of storms that 60 miles NE of me gets.

Although Monroe, LA and El Dorado, AR are SE of me it is still irritating to read some kind of overtired person's logic to use a small triangle of locale to "discuss" the weekend weather which then becomes an area wide forecast eventually!

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Nothing remains
We should run when the rain slows
Look for the shafts of light on the road
Where the heat goes

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
558 AM CST SUN MAR 7 2010

.DISCUSSION...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES THIS MORNING
CONTINUED TO DRIFT EAST PROVIDING SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND ITS BACK
SIDE SENDING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS TEXAS AND INTO PLAINS.
DRY AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE SURFACE HIGH HAS BEEN PROVIDING FOR
LOWER DEW POINTS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION. AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDED FROM THE CENTRAL GULF NORTH ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION
THIS MORNING AND WAS FLATTENED BY A WEAKENING CLOSED LOW
MOVING DOWN THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE. ON THE SURFACE UNDER
THE UPPER LOW...A LOW WAS MOVING ACROSS IOWA TRAILING A COLD FRONT
SOUTHWEST INTO THE PAN HANDLES OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. WATER VAPOR
LOOPS AND WIND PROFILER DATA SHOWED A 100 KNOT PLUS UPPER JET SPREADING
PACIFIC MOISTURE ACROSS MEXICO AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.

OUR NEXT UPPER STORM SYSTEM CONTINUED TO SPIN ALONG THE SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA COAST AND NORTHERN BAJA.

AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES EAST
SOUTH OF THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE OVER TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA BUT SLOW TO MOVE INTO THE FOUR
STATE AREA. HAVE BACKED OFF ON THE START OF THE RAIN IN THE ZONES
WITH CHANCES GRADUALLY INCREASING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT.

ONCE THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO NEAR MID DAY
MONDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND
WIDESPREAD OVER EAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND APPROACHING
ADJACENT SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA.
THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW WILL BE MOVING OUT INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WITH A TRAILING FRONTAL SYSTEM DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS
WEST TEXAS. A WARM FRONT WILL BRANCH FROM THE FRONT AND REACH SOUTHEAST
TO THE UPPER TEXAS COAST. THAT WARM FRONT WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEAST
CROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY
FOLLOWED BY THE TRAILING PACIFIC COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL BE
SLOW TO EXIT THE REGION WITH THE UPPER LOW LIFTING INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS...SO HAVE KEPT RAIN CHANCES FOR THE SOUTHEAST
ZONES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER LOW MOVES IN FROM THE
WEST SENDING ANOTHER FRONT THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER FRONT ON THURSDAY. WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN FOR MAINLY
THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH LATE WEEK...THEN DRY FOR
THE WEEKEND.

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