OrangeRoses's WunderBlog

Th 021909

By: OrangeRoses, 4:24 PM GMT on February 19, 2009

This is the meteorologist advanced 7 day forecast on which the simple WU forecast is based:


Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport la
325 am CST Thursday Feb 19 2009

Discussion...


00z kshv radiosonde observation and water vapor imagery show a dry air mass and clear skies
in the wake of yesterday/S front...W/northerly flow at the surface and
zonal aloft. Despite this...model soundings and abundant insolation
today suggest afternoon temperatures will top out somewhere above guidance
but just below normal. Meanwhile...surface ridge centered over Kansas will
slide south-southeast and pass Thursday the four-state area to the east late
tonight...allowing return flow to resume as the next upper trough
digs south out of Alberta...W/associated surface low moving onto the
Midwest plains. Models have slowed down the cold front west/this
system...W/both the GFS and European model (ecmwf) bringing it midway into the County Warning Area by
18z Saturday. Moisture return still does not look real impressive
by frontal passage...W/sfc dewpoints in the 40s and low 50s ahead of it...and
precipitable waters going above an inch only briefly Saturday morning.
Thus...we/ll concentrate best chances for showers in the better
moisture over the southeast County Warning Area Saturday afternoon. This will be a
nuisance for the river boaters but...lacking better
moisture/instability...lightning should not pose a threat.


Otherwise...broad ridging over the western US and northwest flow aloft
follow the front...W/a gradual warmup to near-normal temperatures by
Wednesday. Ridge moves east Monday and Tuesday in response to next
incoming trough over the Pacific northwest...W/a slight chance of showers
Wednesday as a surface trough approaches the area. ♀

Φ

Updated: 4:29 PM GMT on February 19, 2009

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Sun 021509

By: OrangeRoses, 10:27 PM GMT on February 15, 2009

Today is a nice sunny day. Normal temps in the 50's F. Earlier this week, however, was the threat a Tornado Watch. I did track the storms which were mainly in a N-S squall line in the middle of the state from OKC down. Some storms were heading this way— Wundermap showed a 1 hr time of arrival , but before they got here they moved around the vicinity. Once again, the antimatter cloud protected us. Φ

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Th 020509

By: OrangeRoses, 4:31 PM GMT on February 05, 2009

We are expected to have much warmer temps for the next 3 days and nights! Last weekend it did crest to 75°F. Φ

Updated: 4:43 PM GMT on February 05, 2009

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