Central Oregon Coast Weather

In Like A Lion

By: NewportOr, 4:13 PM GMT on February 28, 2014

Friday, Feb. 28th – Lincoln County

Summary: Hope you captured a sunset selfie on your smartphone last evening, as a photographically ideal combination of sun and clouds ended our day. Thursday started out with steady rain in the morning which faded to showers by noonish. Highs were about 55F and lows around 45F. On and off east winds blew 15-25 mph when they were on, with peak gusts of 30 mph recorded at Lincoln City and Yachats. Lincoln City also had the most rain. A couple more light rain showers took us into dark, followed by variable cloudiness overnight. This morning, there was a decent sunrise, a few clouds around, and brisk east winds.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 56F/47F/0.31”
Depoe Bay: 55F/44F/0.11”
Newport: 54F/45F/0.09”
Waldport: 59F/47F/0.08”
Yachats: 53F/43F/0.13”

Forecast: March may indeed come in like a lion. Today begins with a mix of sun and clouds for the grand opening of the Family Promise Thrift Store in Lincoln City, but the overcast is forecast to thicken sometime this afternoon. There is a slight chance of rain and highs near 60F. Tonight, an increasing chance of rain, light winds and a low of 45F. To start your weekend tomorrow, rain is likely with up to a quarter of an inch, high about 50F and light south winds. Outlook is for rain again on Sunday followed by a stronger storm roaring in Sunday night with southerly winds 35 mph or higher and up to a half inch of rain. Unsettled wet and windy weather is predicted for the first full week of March.

Travel: At 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open with dry pavement, areas of fog and temperatures around 40F warming to 55F today. Highway 101 along the Central Coast has no delays. Valley destinations are dry and foggy this morning with forecast highs near 60F. In the Cascades, highways are right at freezing with spots of ice. Carry chains or traction tires. The snow level is near the passes at 5,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers is for wet and breezy conditions on the Coast Range highways and in the Valley. Traversing the Cascades could be hazardous beginning tonight with snow, freezing rain and sleet expected. The freezing level is dropping below the passes to 3,000 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 105”, a loss of 2” since yesterday, or 72% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 0/48/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 0/105/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 0/103/Machine Groomed
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/45/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 0/123/Powder

Marine: Nothing serious on the ocean this morning as winds are NE 10-15 knots and seas are holding at 6 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. There could be a few NE gusts to 20 knots today, seas 5-6 feet. Tonight, N wind 5-10 knots backing to NW after midnight with gusts to 15, mixed swell at 5 feet. Tomorrow, westerlies 5-10 knots gusting 15, seas 7 feet. Outlook is for the beginning of a changeover to a southerly flow on Sunday with a SW breeze 15-20 knots by afternoon, seas 6 feet with a 4 foot chop on top. Sunday night, a near-gale is expected bringing S winds 20-25 knots gusting 35, combined seas rising to 11 feet. Monday and Tuesday, S to SW winds 20-25 knots, combined seas running 12-15 feet. Additional systems are forecast to arrive every other day or so through the week ahead.

On the Beach... Partly sunny, light wind, surf 4-5 feet (low).
Tides
02/28 Fri 11:03 AM 9.57 H
02/28 Fri 05:34 PM -0.89 L
03/01 Sat 12:00 AM 8.74 H
03/01 Sat 05:48 AM 1.02 L

In Short: Becoming cloudy, rain, then stormy.

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The Gap

By: NewportOr, 4:07 PM GMT on February 27, 2014

Thursday, Feb. 27th – Lincoln County

Summary: While yesterday began cloudy with light rain developing early on, a big ol’ gap in weather disturbances gave us a break from the wet stuff for much of the day. Highs were in the upper-50s. As noted earlier, this was a rather lethargic system and didn’t have much energy associated with it. East winds of 10-15 mph pushed back at the weak front coming in from the west; Lincoln City recorded the peak gust at 26 mph. Meanwhile, Waldport scored a double with both the highest temperature and most rainfall for the Central Coast. The rain picked up overnight, though amounts were fairly meager. It was still raining at daybreak, winds were light, and the low was in the upper-40s.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 55F/46F/0.04”
Depoe Bay: 57F/42F/0.10”
Newport: 57F/43F/0.05”
Waldport: 60F/46F/0.13”
Yachats: 57F/46F/0.12”

Forecast: It’ll be like a slow-motion film for the next few days. Look for the steady rain to slowly turn to showers, which are anticipated to fade out overnight. Today’s high in the mid-50s, tonight’s low around 45F. Light winds. Tomorrow should be mostly dry with an outside chance of showers and a mix of sun and clouds, high again around 55F. Outlook is for a sluggish return to rain and showers over the weekend with cooler temperatures. Highs and lows in the 40s. On the horizon, the movie returns to normal speed with a wet and windy Monday, followed by unsettled weather the rest of the week.

Travel: At 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open with wet pavement and temperatures around 40F warming to 50F today; rain is expected through much of the day. Utility work has Highway 20 down to one lane with flaggers a few miles west of Eddyville, but that project should be completed sometime today. Highway 101 along the Central Coast has no delays. Valley destinations have wet pavement this morning, with rain through the day and forecast highs in the 50s. In the Cascades, highways are well below freezing with black ice and a Severe Weather Alert posted for freezing rain early today, followed by up to 3 inches of snow this afternoon and tonight. Carry chains or traction tires. The snow level is near the passes at 5,000 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 107”, a loss of 3” since yesterday, or 73% of normal. Weekly snow total, -11”; difference from last year, -26”; deviation from 30 year average, -5”.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 0/48/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 1/105/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 0/105/Machine Groomed
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/45/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 0/123/Powder

Marine: After building to over 10 feet yesterday, seas have fallen back to around 7 feet this morning, and winds are out of the S at 10-12 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Not much wind in the near term, today and tonight, as it stays southerly 10-15 knots. Seas are a bit confused with two wave trains colliding in local waters. One is W at 6 feet and the other is S at 5 feet. So, while heights are not impressive, it’ll be quite lumpy at times. Tomorrow, a NE breeze of 15-20 knots with a few gusts to 25 and seas around 5 feet. Outlook is for W wind, seas 6 feet on Saturday, with winds going SW on Sunday, 10-15 knots, and seas remaining about 6 feet. There’s better definition now for the early part of next week. A storm is predicted for the Monday-Tuesday timeframe packing S winds 25-30 knots and combined seas jumping up to 13-15 feet.

On the Beach... Rain showers, light wind, surf 6-7 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/27 Thu 10:08 AM 9.46 H
02/27 Thu 04:50 PM -0.9 L
02/27 Thu 11:19 PM 8.23 H
02/28 Fri 04:57 AM 1.62 L

In Short: Rain, showers, drying, then continued unsettled.

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Gesundheit!

By: NewportOr, 4:11 PM GMT on February 26, 2014

Wednesday, Feb. 26th – Lincoln County

Summary: The bees are back in town, along with myriad blooming plants and an increasing pollen count. In fact yesterday The Weather Channel, which tracks such things, issued a High Pollen Alert for the Central Coast (gesundheit!). The ample sunshine and a high around 60F helped the early bloomers, like crocuses, open wide. Brisk east winds put a bit of a chill on things, though, blowing in the early part of the day 20-25 mph, with a peak gust of 38 at Yachats. No precipitation was recorded. At daybreak, clouds from an approaching weather system covered the sky, east winds were around 20 mph, and temps remained mild at 45F or so.

Past 24 Hours High/Low...
Lincoln City: 58F/46F
Depoe Bay: 59F/43F
Newport: 61F/43F
Waldport: 63F/46F
Yachats: 62F/47F

Forecast: Alright sun-seekers, you had your day, now it’s the pluviophiles’ turn. Overcast skies are the run-up to today’s rainfall, which is expected to begin easing its way in as the day progresses. Unlike the storms earlier this month, this weather system is sort of sleepy. Light rain today, high of 55F, east winds 10-15 gusting 20 mph. Increasing rain tonight, light winds and a low of 45F. More rain tomorrow, turning to showers by afternoon, high again in the low-50s. Outlook is for a mostly dry Friday, a 50-50 chance of rain over the weekend, and an unsettled showery pattern for the early part of next week. Cooler by the weekend with highs of 50F, lows around 40F.

Travel: At 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open with dry pavement and temperatures around 40F warming to 55F today; rain by this afternoon. Utility work (repairing power lines damaged by the recent storms) has Highway 20 down to one lane with flaggers occasionally, a few miles west of Eddyville. Highway 101 along the Central Coast has no delays. Valley destinations have dry pavement this morning, but rain is expected later today with forecast highs in the 50s. In the Cascades, highways are well below freezing with icy spots, rain this afternoon, snow tomorrow. Carry chains or traction tires. The snow level today is above the passes at 6,000 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 110”, a loss of 3” since yesterday, or 73% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 0/48/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 0/107/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 0/109/Machine Groomed
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/45/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 0/126/Packed Powder

Marine: As anticipated, seas are building and have hit 8 feet this morning. Winds are from the SE 10-15 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. A Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas is in effect from 10:00am through this evening. Wave heights 11-13 feet are predicted for today, with SE winds 10-15 knots gusting 20. Elevated seas, around 11 feet, continue overnight before subsiding to 7 feet tomorrow; the SE breeze drops Thursday to 5-10 knots gusting 15. Outlook is for variable winds 5-10 knots and seas 5-7 feet from Friday through the weekend. The only fly in the ointment is the passage of a cold front and its accompanying minor blow on Friday night when N winds ramp up to 15-20 knots for a few hours. A storm is shaping up for early next week, but details are sketchy at this point.

On the Beach... Cloudy, rain, light wind, surf 8-10 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/26 Wed 09:09 AM 9.19 H
02/26 Wed 04:03 PM -0.67 L
02/26 Wed 10:37 PM 7.64 H
02/27 Thu 04:02 AM 2.3 L

In Short: Rain, light winds, then continued unsettled.

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A Short Vacation

By: NewportOr, 4:27 PM GMT on February 25, 2014

Tuesday, Feb. 25th – Lincoln County

Summary: Nobody got what they wanted yesterday. Whether you love rain or shine, neither was very much in evidence. Very light rain was on and off until late afternoon, and the sun saved its fleeting appearances for late in the day. Winds were calm to light with high temps in the upper 50s. Overnight, the cloud cover weakened significantly and about midnight, east winds sprang up at 15-20 mph with a peak gust of 29 at Newport. There was lots of blue sky this morning, a moderate easterly breeze and lows around 50F.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 59F/52F/0.09”
Depoe Bay: 57F/46F/0.01”
Newport: 59F/46F/0.01”
Waldport: 58F/48F/0.03”
Yachats: 55F/47F/0.01”

Forecast: A short vacation from the cloudy weather is on tap for early today with a high around 60F. The east wind should be tapering off by this afternoon. Once again, though, the gray veil will be slowly pulled over the Central Coast today as clouds increase ahead of the next weather front. Low about 45F tonight with light southeast winds. Tomorrow, we’re back on the rain train with up to a quarter inch predicted, high of 55F, and continued light east winds. Outlook is for mostly cloudy skies, periods of sunshine, varying chances of rain, light winds, highs of 55F and lows around 45F. In other words, unsettled but mild.

Travel: At 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open with foggy spots and temperatures around 40F warming to 60F today. Highway 101 along the Central Coast has no delays. Valley destinations have patchy fog this morning, but becoming sunny with forecast highs near 60F. In the Cascades, highways are below freezing with icy spots and ground fog. Carry chains or traction tires. The snow level is above the passes at 7,500 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 113”, a loss of 5” since yesterday, or 74% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 0/48/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 0/110/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 0/109/Machine Groomed
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/45/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 0/129/Packed Powder

Marine: The breeze has come around to the E this morning, 15-20 knots, with higher gusts near shore, but seas are unable to build much over 4 feet because they’re in direct opposition to the wind. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Winds are forecast to veer SE today and fade to 5-15 knots, which will allow seas to rise to about 6 feet. The same is expected tonight. Tomorrow, SE winds 10-15 knots gusting 20, and a series of swell trains arrive pushing seas up to 10-12 feet. Outlook is for light southerly winds Thursday and wave heights dropping to 7 feet. Friday, NE winds 10-15 knots gusting 20, seas 5 feet. And on Saturday, the breeze goes SE again, 5-10 knots, with a swell of about 6 feet. There are no severe storms looming in the long term forecast.

On the Beach... Mostly sunny, breezy, surf 3-5 feet (low).
Tides
02/25 Tue 08:05 AM 8.86 H
02/25 Tue 03:11 PM -0.25 L
02/25 Tue 09:51 PM 7.01 H
02/26 Wed 03:02 AM 2.94 L

In Short: Partly cloudy, warm, rain, then showers.

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Humdrum Week

By: NewportOr, 4:09 PM GMT on February 24, 2014

Monday, Feb. 24th – Lincoln County

Summary: The yin and yang of Central Coast weather was readily apparent yesterday. A sunny and frosty morning with temperatures around 35F (see Weather Factoid below), gave way to overcast skies and light rain by afternoon, and highs topped out at 50-55F. Rainfall amounts were heaviest in the northern section; Lincoln City recorded about a quarter of an inch. Winds were strongest in the south; Yachats had the peak gust of 26 mph. A low ceiling and light rain showers prevailed overnight and into this morning with lows near 40F.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 55F/40F/0.24”
Depoe Bay: 50F/39F/0.11”
Newport: 50F/36F/0.11”
Waldport: 50F/38F/0.09”
Yachats: 52F/39F/0.07”

Forecast: Nothing to write home about. Humdrum conditions are in store for the Central Coast over the rest of the week, with the possible exception of a high temp approaching 60F tomorrow along with a respectable dose of sunshine. Otherwise, the outlook is for mostly cloudy, occasional light rain showers, and not much wind. We might see a bit of heavier rain on Wednesday night. Night and day temperatures through the week, except for tomorrow, should be between 45F and 55F.

Travel: At 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 were open, above freezing with wet pavement and will be warming into the mid-50s today. Highway 101 along the Central Coast has no delays. Valley destinations are expecting showers, wet pavement and highs in the 50s today. In the Cascades, highways are just above freezing with a few icy spots. Carry chains or traction tires. The snow level is above the passes at 7,000 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 118”, a loss of 3” since yesterday, or 75% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 0/48/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 1/111/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 0/113/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/45/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 2/132/Packed Powder

Marine: Winds are holding steady at 15-20 knots out of the SE this morning with choppy seas 5 feet and wind waves 4 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. A Small Craft Advisory for S winds gusting to 25 knots ends at 10:00am this morning. Could still see a few gusts to 20 today, but overall the breeze is going lighter, 5-10 knots gusting 15. Seas should stay in the 3-4 foot range. About the same conditions are expected for tonight and tomorrow. Outlook is for southerlies through the week ahead, 5-15 knots, with seas elevating by Wednesday to 9-11 feet, but falling again Thursday into Friday. No major storms on the horizon.

On the Beach... Cloudy, showers, light wind, surf 3-4 feet (low).
Tides
02/24 Mon 02:12 PM 0.27 L
02/24 Mon 08:57 PM 6.42 H
02/25 Tue 01:52 AM 3.42 L
02/25 Tue 08:05 AM 8.86 H

In Short: Overcast, showers, a break, then more showers.

Weather Factoid: How come there’s frost when the thermometer shows a reading above freezing? Typically, we begin seeing frosty roads and lawns when the temperature dips to 35F or so. The main reason* there’s icing of any type at 35F has to do with where thermometer sensors are commonly positioned. Though in reality it does have to be 32F or below for any variety of ice to form, most outdoor thermometers are at minimum a few feet above the ground, so they read a little higher. Cold air, which is heavier than warmer air, sinks to the lowest level, so it is undeniably 32F or below anywhere you see the frost or ice form. *There are other complex reasons why frost forms first on certain surfaces like windshields and rooftops, but we’ll save that for later.

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Headin' Home

By: NewportOr, 4:07 PM GMT on February 23, 2014

Sunday, Feb. 23rd – Lincoln County

Summary: Did your weekend honey-do list include ‘yard work’? Then, yesterday was a good time to begrudgingly move it up a notch or two. Clear as a bell most of the day, highs in the low-50s and a light breeze led to the evaporation of potential excuses for avoiding outdoor projects. East winds were less than 20 mph, and there was no measureable precipitation. Skies remained clear overnight, winds were light and temperatures dipped to the mid-30s inducing frosty cars and rooftops. By daybreak, the barometer was falling and high clouds began filtering in from the northwest.

Past 24 Hours High/Low...
Lincoln City: 53F/38F
Depoe Bay: 49F/35F
Newport: 52F/34F
Waldport: 50F/37F
Yachats: 50F/38F

Forecast: The weather’s rain-dial is being slowly turned up to medium. But, it looks like Seafood & Winers will just miss the next round of precipitation which is predicted to reach the Central Coast late this afternoon, probably after the tents close. High today in the mid-50s, light winds, and increasing clouds. It appears there’ll be a decent shot of rain tonight, up to a half inch, south winds 10-20 mph gusting 30, and a low of 45F. Tomorrow, the rain eventually turns to showers, high again 55F, and a south wind of 10 mph or so. Outlook is for a dry Tuesday with sunbreaks; our high temp might hit 60F. But, it’s back to rain on Wednesday, showers Thursday and Friday, and then rain is likely next weekend. Highs through the period in the mid-50s, lows in the mid-40s, light to moderate wind.

Travel: At 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 were open but below freezing with spots of ice. Slippery patches could last through mid-morning in shaded areas before temperatures warm to around 50F today. Expect heavier than normal eastbound traffic this afternoon on the Coast Range highways as visitors head home. Highway 101 along the Central Coast may have frosty and icy areas this morning. Valley destinations have patchy fog and icy spots early today, but will be warming into the 50s. In the Cascades, highways have icy spots. Carry chains or traction tires. The freezing level is 5,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers along the Central Coast, in the Coast Range and the Valley is rain and wet pavement by this evening; 3-6 inches of snow is forecast for the Cascades tonight.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 121”, a loss of 2” since yesterday, or 75% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 0/48/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 0/113/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 0/115/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/45/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 0/137/Packed Powder

Marine: E winds 5-10 knots and seas down to 4-5 feet this morning may provide a short-lived weather window to venture offshore, but changes are coming later today. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. A Small Craft Advisory goes into effect this afternoon through tonight for S winds increasing to 10-15 knots gusting 20, seas 5 feet with wind waves 3 feet. A stiffer breeze is forecast for later tonight, S 20-25 with isolated gusts to 30, seas around 4 feet. For tomorrow, expect winds to back to SE and fall to 10-15 knots gusting 20, seas staying up around 4 feet. Outlook is for southerlies through the week, 10-15 knots gusting 20, wave heights rising to 8-10 feet by mid-week.

On the Beach... Becoming cloudy, light wind, surf 3-4 feet (low).
Tides
02/23 Sun 01:05 PM 0.77 L
02/23 Sun 07:47 PM 5.96 H
02/24 Mon 12:31 AM 3.58 L
02/24 Mon 06:55 AM 8.59 H

In Short: Increasing clouds, rain, moderate winds, then unsettled.

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Hole the Size of Texas

By: NewportOr, 4:04 PM GMT on February 22, 2014

Saturday, Feb. 22nd – Lincoln County

Summary: Yesterday panned out nicely. A hole in the clouds the size of Texas opened up over the Northwest, giving the Central Coast lots of much-needed, and much-appreciated, sunshine with a high about 50F. Northerly winds yesterday afternoon were mostly less than 20 mph; Waldport reported a gust to 22 mph. Friday morning’s hanger-on rainfall was barely recordable. The downside of the clearing skies was that it got colder overnight and Jack Frost paid us a visit this morning. The upside, in addition to yesterday’s sunshine, was for people up before sunrise today who got to view an immense, bright and spectacular Venus hanging in the eastern sky like a second Moon.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 55F/38F/0.00”
Depoe Bay: 49F/33F/0.01”
Newport: 50F/32F/0.00”
Waldport: 50F/37F/0.00”
Yachats: 48F/32F/0.01”

Forecast: A week ago today the wind was roaring at 60-70 mph and it was pouring rain. Today, rounds of high-fives are more than likely rippling through the planners of the Newport Seafood & Wine Festival as they wake to sunny skies, light winds and a forecast high around 50F for the event’s biggest day. The organizers might get a smidge jittery tonight, though, when a few clouds ease in along with some patchy fog. Low about 35F overnight. For the festival’s last day tomorrow, increasing clouds, light winds, and the mercury rising again to about 50F. Outlook is for a change back to wet weather for most of the week ahead. Rain is forecast Sunday night and Monday, a chance of showers Tuesday, rain again on Wednesday and Friday. The good news is that there doesn’t appear to be much wind with these systems.

Travel: Expect heavier than normal traffic today on all Central Coast highways as the first sunny weekend in a long time and the Newport Seafood & Wine Festival draw thousands of visitors to our area. Delays are possible, especially on Highways 18 and 20 westbound today, eastbound tomorrow, and on Highway 101 between its junction with Highway 18 north of Lincoln City on south through Newport.

As of 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open but below freezing with spots of ice. These slick patches could last through mid-morning in shaded areas before it warms to around 45F today. There’s also a chance of frosty and icy areas on Highway 101 along the Central Coast this morning. Valley destinations have patchy fog and icy spots early today, but will be warming into the 40s. In the Cascades, highways have icy spots. Carry chains or traction tires. The freezing level is 3,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers along the Central Coast, in the Coast Range and the Valley is mostly to partly cloudy, patchy fog and icy spots again tonight and tomorrow morning; a chance of snow showers is forecast in the Cascades.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 123”, a loss of 5” since yesterday, or 76% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 1/48/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 0/114/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 4/118/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 12/45/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 1/137/Packed Powder

Marine: The ocean is fairly choppy offshore this morning with a 6 foot NW swell, wind waves at 4 feet and NE winds up around 15-20 knots; winds and waves are much less imposing in near-shore waters. These same conditions are expected to persist the rest of today. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Tonight, the breeze eases to NE 5-10 knots after midnight and the swell drops to around 4 feet. On Sunday, the wind veers first E, then SE 5-10 knots in advance of a front. But with seas subsiding to just 3 feet, tomorrow could be the nicest day on local waters for the past couple of weeks. Outlook is for S winds rising to 15-20 knots on Monday, seas 4 feet. Ditto Tuesday. By Wednesday wave heights are back on the rise to 8-10 feet, though winds should stay under 20 knots.

On the Beach... Mostly sunny, light wind, surf 4-5 feet (low).
Tides
02/22 Sat 11:53 AM 1.15 L
02/22 Sat 06:22 PM 5.8 H
02/22 Sat 11:13 PM 3.39 L
02/23 Sun 05:46 AM 8.45 H

In Short: Partly cloudy, light winds, then back to rain.

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A Respite

By: NewportOr, 4:14 PM GMT on February 21, 2014

Friday, Feb. 21st – Lincoln County

Summary: The healing process began yesterday with much lighter winds below 20 mph, rain only around a tenth of an inch, and temperatures ranging from about 45-50F. The tail end of the last storm system got the heck out of Dodge and the onset of mellower weather was readily apparent. Overnight, the clouds thinned further with a peek-a-boo Moon, the breeze went calm and there wasn’t much in the way of precipitation. This morning, it remained dead calm and cloudy, and it felt like the door was open to improving conditions.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 52F/46F/0.09”
Depoe Bay: 49F/43F/0.15”
Newport: 50F/43F/0.04”
Waldport: 51F/45F/0.14”
Yachats: 50F/44F/0.08”

Forecast: Respite / res’-putt / noun: a short period of rest or relief from something difficult or unpleasant. And that sums up the current forecast. There’s an outside chance of showers yet today, but some sunbreaks, too, and a high of 50F, light north wind. Tonight for the rescheduled Daddy-Daughter dance in Lincoln City, cooler, low around 35F, patchy fog, light wind, and mostly cloudy skies. For tomorrow’s Big Day at the Seafood & Wine Festival in Newport, partly sunny, light wind with a high again near 50F, overnight low of 35F. Outlook is for mostly sunny and 55F on Sunday before the next front (see Weather Factoid below) arrives with rain Sunday evening into Monday. For the remainder of the week, unsettled weather with varying chances of rain, highs of 55F, lows of 45F, and light wind.

Travel: As of 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and around 40F with wet pavement. Highway 101 has no hitches along the Central Coast. Valley destinations have a chance of showers today and temperatures near 45F. In the Cascades, highways have packed snow, with a few snow flurries. Carry chains or traction tires. The freezing level is 3,000 feet. Outlook for weekend travelers along the Central Coast, in the Coast Range and the Valley is mostly to partly cloudy, patchy fog and icy spots possible nights and mornings; snow flurries in the Cascades.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 128”, a gain of 10” since yesterday, or 76% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 1/48/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 12/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 2/117/Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 11/121/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 12/45/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 7/141/Powder

Marine: Everything’s headed down. Seas are just below 10 feet this morning and winds have shifted to NE 8-10 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is restricted for all recreational vessels, and for uninspected passenger vessels 32 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is unrestricted. For the first time in quite a while, no advisories or warnings are posted and conditions at sea are forecast to be somewhat reasonable today. NE winds of 10-15 knots gusting 20 and seas dropping to about 8 feet. Tonight and tomorrow, look for more of a summer-like pattern, with northerlies 15-20 knots gusting 25, wind waves 4 feet and a W swell of 6 feet. Winds veering NE and easing tomorrow night and Sunday, 10-15 knots, wave heights 4-6 feet. Outlook is for southerlies rising with an incoming front on Monday, 20-25 knots or higher, and seas of 5-7 feet. During the week ahead, weak to moderate fronts are expected to arrive about every other day, with seas on the rise above 10 feet beginning Wednesday.

On the Beach... Mostly cloudy, light wind, surf 6-8 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/21 Fri 10:44 AM 1.39 L
02/21 Fri 04:59 PM 6.0 H
02/21 Fri 10:10 PM 2.96 L
02/22 Sat 04:45 AM 8.41 H

In Short: Partly to mostly clear, light winds, then back to rain.

Weather Factoid: What are weather ‘fronts’? Essentially, a front is the dividing line between air masses. This invisible partition represents a stark change in temperature or barometric pressure but typically both. On the Central Coast, there’s a recognizable pattern when a storm arrives. We commonly get the warm front first, bringing with it steady rain and increasing, though relatively stable, winds. The cold front arrives later, dropping temperatures, turning the rain to showers (or thundershowers), giving us sunbreaks and producing gusty winds.

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Prepaid Penance

By: NewportOr, 6:37 PM GMT on February 20, 2014

Thursday, Feb. 20th – Lincoln County

Summary: Wearing sunglasses with your car’s windshield wipers on; ya gotta love Central Coast weather. Alternating sun, clouds and showers yesterday kept us running back to the closet for a wardrobe change every half hour. Winds were comparatively light (given our recent weather history) at 25-30 mph with a few gusts near 35, with most of that coming overnight. Rainfall totals remained under a quarter of an inch. There wasn’t much movement on the thermometer as highs and lows were mainly between 45F and 50F. It was raining steadily early this morning, and southwest winds were less than 25 mph. Despite the gloomy weather, the days are getting longer. Today, we’ll gain exactly 3 minutes of daylight over yesterday.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 52F/45F/0.13”
Depoe Bay: 48F/43F/0.05”
Newport: 50F/43F/0.21”
Waldport: 50F/45F/0.07”
Yachats: 49F/44F/0.08”

Forecast: The folks at the Newport Seafood and Wine Festival apparently prepaid their penance last weekend when the big storm shredded the tents. Their reward this coming weekend for the festival’s biggest days will be mostly sunny skies and light winds. But first, there’s rain today and a good chance of showers tonight making it a little drippy for the festival opening. High today about 50F, and tonight’s low down to 40F; winds going calm overnight. Tomorrow, we get a bonus TGIF with a mix of clouds and sunshine after patchy morning fog, light north wind and a high in the upper-40s. Outlook for the weekend is mostly sunny and warmer days, patchy fog, and cooler nights; highs in the mid-50s, lows in the mid-30s. Enjoy it while you can. The long term forecast shows a return to wet weather next week, though nothing in the wind and rain department as severe as this past week.

Travel: As of 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and in the low-40s with wet pavement and rainy/breezy conditions forecast today. Highway 101 has no hitches along the Central Coast. Valley destinations will have rain most of the day and temperatures near 45F. In the Cascades, highways have snow and packed snow. A Winter Weather Advisory is posted for 6-12 inches of new snow today. Chains or traction tires are required at Santiam Pass and Government Camp. The freezing level is 3,000 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 118”, a gain of 8” since yesterday, or 72% of normal. Weekly snow total, +41”; difference from last year, +18”; deviation from 30 year average, -6”.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 9/33/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 0/117/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 17/121/Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 7/39/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 13/30/Powder

Marine: The latest storm system is keeping seas relatively high, 12-13 feet this morning, along with W winds of 15-25 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay Bar is restricted for all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. Yaquina Bay bar is restricted for recreational and uninspected passenger vessels 40 feet and less. A Small Craft Advisory for seas 14-15 feet remains in effect through late tonight. Wind waves on the swell could reach 6 feet today, so it’ll be plenty lumpy. SW winds veering NW and easing this afternoon to 10-15 knots. Tonight, winds go NE 5-10 knots, seas subsiding to 10 feet. Tomorrow, a NE breeze of 5-10 knots and seas around 8 feet. Outlook for the weekend is northerlies 10-15 knots gusting 20, and wave heights about 6 feet. The next frontal system is expected Monday, but it certainly doesn’t look like the slammers that bombarded us this week.

On the Beach... Rain, light wind, surf 11-13 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/20 Thu 09:45 AM 1.54 L
02/20 Thu 03:50 PM 6.44 H
02/20 Thu 09:22 PM 2.43 L
02/21 Fri 03:54 AM 8.40 H

In Short: Rain, diminishing winds, then drying, cooler and clearing.

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Rollercoaster Ride

By: NewportOr, 4:12 PM GMT on February 19, 2014

Wednesday, Feb. 19th – Lincoln County

Summary: Hardened by a week of intense storms, everybody on the Central Coast just seemed to go about their business yesterday during the strong winds and driving rain. The highest gusts from our most recent storm came between 8:00am and 1:00pm, and were at predicted levels, with Lincoln City again garnering the blue ribbon. Rainfall amounts between a half and three-quarters of an inch were low enough that the area’s storm-water drains were generally able to keep up. Some rather intense showers drifted through during the late afternoon and overnight. The mercury spent most of its time between 45F and 50F. This morning, a mix of clouds and clearing permitted a waning gibbous Moon, with Mars hovering close by, to make an appearance in the southwestern sky.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain/Wind Gust...
Lincoln City: 52F/45F/0.81”/65 mph
Depoe Bay: 50F/41F/0.49”/46 mph
Newport: 52F/39F/0.62”/49 mph
Waldport: 52F/44F/0.74”/59 mph
Yachats: 51F/43F/0.79”/56 mph

Forecast: We’re going up the last peak on this week’s rollercoaster ride, and are expected to make the final plunge tonight as another, though much weaker, storm comes in. For today, a mix of sun, clouds, showers, possible thunderstorms (maybe with hail) and a west-southwest breeze 15-20 mph gusting 25. Then tonight look for the next front to arrive with rain and southwest winds of 20-25 mph gusting 35 or so. Tomorrow, rain turning to showers and fading wind; high temps around 50F, lows of 45F. Outlook is for patchy fog, sun and clouds, and light north winds on Friday. Saturday and Sunday, it should be partly to mostly sunny, highs nearing the mid-50s, lows in the upper-30s. Back to a chance of rain early next week, but no serious storms are on the horizon.

Travel: As of 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and in the mid-30s with wet pavement and some icy spots. Highway 101 has no problems through the Central Coast area. Valley destinations will have showers with a chance of thunderstorms today and temperatures near 45F. In the Cascades, highways have packed snow and snow showers. A Winter Weather Advisory is posted for up to a foot of new snow over the next couple of days. Chains or traction tires are required at Santiam Pass and Government Camp. The freezing level is 2,500 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 110”, a gain of 8” since yesterday, or 66% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 10/33/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 5/26/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 4/115/Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 13/112/Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 2/22/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 13/30/Powder

Marine: No joy yet for the commercial fishing fleet and other mariners as seas remain fairly high at 14 feet, and WNW winds are 15-20 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. Yaquina Bay bar has not reported in. A Small Craft Advisory for seas 12-15 feet is in effect through tomorrow afternoon. And, a Small Craft Advisory for SW winds 20-25 knots gusting 30 is in effect from this evening through tomorrow morning. There’s a little but not much of a break today as the breeze should remain below 20 knots with wave heights holding at 14 feet. However, unstable air over local waters could produce thunderstorms. Tonight, another system passes through bringing the SW winds up to just below gale force, before they diminish tomorrow; by midday Thursday we’re down to W wind 10 knots, but seas still up around 12 feet. Outlook is for increasingly better conditions through late in the week and into the weekend. Breeze and seas subside during the period in a northerly flow; winds N 5-15 knots and wave heights below 10 feet by Friday.

On the Beach... Showers and sun, modest wind, surf 12-14 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/19 Wed 08:54 AM 1.67 L
02/19 Wed 02:55 PM 6.97 H
02/19 Wed 08:44 PM 1.87 L
02/20 Thu 03:13 AM 8.37 H

In Short: Showers, rain, windy, then gradual drying.

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Number 3

By: NewportOr, 4:12 PM GMT on February 18, 2014

Tuesday, Feb. 18th – Lincoln County

Summary: We got to play outside for a while, but the teacher called us back in from recess early this morning. Yesterday, outdoor activities were possible if you didn’t mind hop-scotching around the showers. Temperatures hovered around 50F. The sun played hide-and-seek through much of the day after the high winds and overcast skies broke up around daybreak. The breeze couldn’t top 40 mph, and rainfall amounts were fairly light, though a heavy shower rolled through Waldport giving residents a quick drenching of half an inch. This morning, south winds are back up to mid-30s and steady rain has returned.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain/Wind Gust...
Lincoln City: 53F/49F/0.09”/30 mph
Depoe Bay: 50F/46F/0.07”/37 mph
Newport: 50F/45F/0.12”/37 mph
Waldport: 51F/45F/0.47”/34 mph
Yachats: 50F/44F/0.02”/35 mph

Forecast: The last of the strongest storms in the current series is blasting into the Central Coast today. A High Wind Warning remains in effect through 4:00pm this afternoon for the Central Coast and Coast Range. South winds 35-45 mph with gusts of 65-70 mph near beaches and headlands. For our coastal communities, south winds 30-40 mph with gusts of 55-60 mph. The highest winds are expected late this morning through early this afternoon. Also, thunderstorms with bursts of heavy rain are possible after the wind passes, due to colder and very unstable air coming in behind the storm front. The thunderstorms may continue through tomorrow. Tonight, winds should be down to 15-20 mph gusting 30, and falling off further tomorrow. Rainfall in the next two days could reach 1-2 inches, especially in areas with the heaviest showers. For tomorrow, showers, high 45F, low of 40F, and wind gusts to 25 mph. Tomorrow night another, albeit much weaker, weather system arrives with southwest winds of 20-25 mph gusting 30 or better. Outlook is for a slow but steady drying trend through the latter part of the week - showers sluggishly trailing off, more breaks in the clouds, and temperatures of 40F-50F. Saturday could in fact be mostly sunny, but more showery weather returns by late Sunday.

Travel: Heavy rain and high winds could cause localized water-ponding and debris on any street, road or highway on the coast and in the Coast Range today. So keep an eye peeled and be prepared for possible delays. As of 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 were open and in the lower-40s with wet pavement. Highway 101 is okay through the Central Coast, but there’s high water in the travel lanes up at Tillamook, use caution. Valley destinations will have heavy rain, strong winds and temperatures near 50F today. In the Cascades, highways have packed snow and windy conditions. A Winter Weather Advisory is posted for up to two feet of new snow over the next couple of days. Chains or traction tires are required at Santiam Pass and Government Camp. The freezing level is 4,000 feet, dropping to 1,500 feet by tomorrow.

Cascades Snow Pack: Currently 102”, a gain of 13” since yesterday, or 63% of normal.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 2/33/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/24/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 3/109/Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 17/103/Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 1/22/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 2/30/Powder

Marine: Another barnburner is coming into local waters this morning. The breeze and seas are already rising; currently S winds are 25-30 knots and wave heights are 11 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. A Storm Warning is in effect through this afternoon. S winds intensifying to 30-35 knots gusting 45 this morning, veering SW 45 knots this afternoon, combined seas building to 14 feet. Tonight, W wind dropping to 20-25 knots and seas 13 feet. For tomorrow, lighter winds and higher seas are forecast. Westerlies 15-20 knots gusting 25, wind waves 5 feet with NW swells at 15 feet. Another blow is forecast for tomorrow night; SW wind rising to 25-30 knots gusting 35 and seas 14 feet. Outlook is for a slowly moderating trend late in the week and into the weekend. Westerly winds down to 15-25 knots, then veering northerly 5-15 knots by Friday. Seas subsiding slowly to 10 feet by late in the week.

On the Beach... Rain, high winds, surf 11-12 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/18 Tue 08:09 AM 1.82 L
02/18 Tue 02:08 PM 7.46 H
02/18 Tue 08:10 PM 1.34 L
02/19 Wed 02:37 AM 8.31 H

In Short: Rain, windy, then slowly moderating.

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Two Down, One to Go

By: NewportOr, 4:00 PM GMT on February 17, 2014

Monday, Feb. 17th – Lincoln County

Summary: It’s funny how quickly we acclimatize. A few days ago, wind gusts of 60 mph would have been a major story on everybody’s lips. But, after gusts above 70 mph Saturday afternoon, last night’s storm didn’t seem all that big. There were, however, impressive winds overnight. A little below official predictions, southwest winds were steady at 40-45 mph and gusts topped out at 50-60 mph. Lincoln City had the highest at 62 mph. Rain was somewhat lower that projections, too, with under an inch on the Central Coast; the Flood Watch was canceled early today. At daybreak, the wind and rain had markedly subsided.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain/Wind Gust...
Lincoln City: 51F/46F/0.77”/63 mph
Depoe Bay: 50F/46F/0.57”/46 mph
Newport: 50F/45F/0.61”/52 mph
Waldport: 51F/45F/0.41”/51 mph
Yachats: 51F/45F/0.77”/56 mph

Forecast: Two down, one to go. The High Wind Warning was canceled at 7:00am this morning, but may soon be replaced by a High Wind Watch for tomorrow. Yup, another storm is headed this way, but it doesn’t appear to be nearly as strong as the last couple of them. Today, winds are expected to be around 15-20 mph; showers and possible thunderstorms could produce heavy rain and/or hail at times, high temperature around 50F. Showers continue tonight with southwest winds 15 mph gusting 30. Tomorrow, rain, possibly heavy at times, and the breeze building back up to 30-35 mph gusting to 55. This storm should be abating by tomorrow night. Outlook is for more rain Wednesday and much lighter winds. We’re down to just a chance of showers on Thursday, followed by cooler temperatures and partly sunny skies Friday, and then mostly sunny headed into the weekend. Temperatures during the week will range from the mid-50s to the mid-30s.

Travel: Heavy rain and high winds have produced localized water-ponding and debris on many streets, roads and highways, so keep an eye peeled today. As of 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 were open and in the mid-40s with wet pavement. Highway 101 is okay through the Central Coast, but there’s a non-blocking tree down 3 miles south of Yachats. And high water on 101 at the usual spot in Seaside has resulted in some delays. Valley destinations will have rain, wind and temperatures near 50F today. In the Cascades, highways have packed snow, icy spots and windy conditions. A Winter Storm Warning is posted for up to two feet of new snow over the next couple of days. Chains or traction tires are required at Tombstone on Highway 20 west of Santiam Pass. Carry chains or traction tires on all Cascade Mountain highways. The freezing level is 3,000 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack... 89”, a gain of 4” since yesterday; 41% below median snow water equivalent.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 2/33/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/24/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 2/104/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 4/91/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 1/22/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 11/30/Powder

Marine: It’s not a very good morning to cast off your mooring lines and venture out to sea. Steep waves are a little above 20 feet and the SW wind is raging at 30-40 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. A Gale Warning is in place until 10:00am, which will then be replaced by a Gale Watch for the next storm system tomorrow. Today, SW winds are forecast to ease by midday to 15-20 knots gusting 25, and seas subside to 17 feet, but they’ll be quite steep. Tonight, SW winds rising again to 20-25 knots gusting 35, combined seas 15 feet. Tomorrow, SW winds intensifying to 30 knots gusting 40; seas building to 18 feet. Outlook is for a westerly breeze of 20-25 knots gusting 30 on Wednesday and Wednesday night, with wave heights 16-18 feet. A switch to northerlies is predicted for late in the week, 15-25 knots and slowly subsiding seas, down to 10 feet by Friday.

On the Beach... Showers, windy, surf 14-15 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/17 Mon 01:27 PM 7.88 H
02/17 Mon 07:40 PM 0.88 L
02/18 Tue 02:06 AM 8.22 H
02/18 Tue 08:09 AM 1.82 L

In Short:
Rain, breezy, another storm, then slowly drying out.

Updated: 4:10 PM GMT on February 17, 2014

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Déjà vu All Over Again

By: NewportOr, 4:10 PM GMT on February 16, 2014

Sunday, Feb. 16th – Lincoln County

Summary: We got a good batterin’ yesterday, no doubt. The predicted strong southwest winds came to fruition and the Central Coast was assaulted by gusts over 70 mph, with a peak of 78 mph on the Yaquina Bay Bridge at Newport. Elsewhere in the region, Sea Lion Caves on the south coast clocked the highest gust of all with 93 mph, Mary’s Peak in the mountains southeast of Newport topped out at 86 mph, and on the north coast, Garibaldi also reported a gust of 86 mph. Trees, limbs, power lines, signs and other objects swiftly morphed into hazardous debris. Many streets, roads and highways were blocked, and people from almost every neighborhood now have a storm-related incident or two permanently etched into their memories. It was warm, too, with highs in the mid-50s and lows in the upper 40s. We received a decent shot of rain as well; amounts up to an inch and a half fell along the Central Coast and in the Coast Range. Just before dark, it was all over but the shouting. Winds dropped off, so did the heavy rain, and an astonishing sunset closed the day. Overnight, a few flashes of lightening and their resounding thunder, the Moon played peek-a-boo through big but disperse clouds, and the mercury dropped into the low-40s as a cold front passed through. This morning, winds were down to a measly 15-20 mph gusting 30 and it was partly sunny.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain/Wind Gust...
Lincoln City: 54F/46F/1.11”/75 mph
Depoe Bay: 52F/42F/1.21”/52 mph
Newport: 54F/41F/1.45”/63 mph
Waldport: 54F/43F/1.31”/68 mph
Yachats: 55F/44F/1.56”/59 mph

Forecast: As Yogi Berra so ineloquently put it, this is déjà vu all over again. Here comes another one. The National Weather Service has issued a High Wind Warning for the Central Coast and Coast Range, in effect from 1:00pm this afternoon through 10:00am tomorrow morning. Strong south winds, steady at 30-45 mph with gusts of 60 mph, are forecast for coastal communities, and 35-45 mph gusting 70-75 mph for beaches and headlands. Peak winds will begin late this afternoon and continue overnight.

We also remain under a Flood Watch through tomorrow morning for the Central Coast and Coast Range. Rivers and streams are already running high from heavy rain during the past few days. Today’s storm could bring an additional 1-2 inches of rain to the Central Coast and Coast Range, and some flooding is likely across river basins. Flooding of small rivers, streams and roads is also probable during the heaviest rainfall periods. Landslides and debris flows are also possible. Structures and roads located below steep slopes, in valleys and near the mouths of valleys may be at serious risk from rapidly moving landslides.

Today’s weather begins with a mix of sun and clouds, south-southwest winds slowly rising to 25-30 mph gusting to 50 mph by early afternoon, a high of 50F, and rain beginning around noon. The wind ramps up to warning levels before dark, but should be easing after midnight to 40-45 mph, with heavy rain at times, low about 45F. Tomorrow, still breezy, heavy rain at times, high again near 50F. Outlook is for additional heavy rain but winds decreasing by Monday night, followed by showers on Tuesday. The remainder of the week, look for periods of rain and showers, cooler, occasional sunbreaks, and lighter winds. Highs 45F and lows in the upper 30s. Snow is possible down to 800 feet or so in the Central Coast Range by Thursday. However, there is light at the end of the tunnel with a good chance that we’ll be drying out and see at least partially clearing skies by the weekend!

Travel: With the ground becoming saturated and trees already weakened by yesterday’s storm, expect further hazards for motorists late this afternoon and tonight when strong winds return. Dangers could include trees, limbs, power lines and other debris on any Central Coast and Coast Range road, street or highway. As of 8:00am, Highways 18, 20 and 34 were open and near freezing with wet pavement and icy patches. Highway 34 has standing water on the roadway near Alsea Mountain summit at Milepost 38.5. Valley destinations remain under a Flood Watch with rain, wind and temperatures near 50F today. In the Cascades, highways have packed snow this morning and are under a Winter Storm Watch. A foot or more of new snow is predicted over the next couple of days. Chains or traction tires are required at Santiam Pass and Government Camp. The freezing level is 3,000 feet. Outlook for holiday weekend travelers is windy and heavy rain with possible flooded roads in the Valley, along the Central Coast and in the Coast Range, and heavy snow in the Cascade passes.

Cascades Snow Pack... 85”, a loss of 1” since yesterday; 42% below median snow water equivalent.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 6/33/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 4/24/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 4/105/Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 9/90/Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/22/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 9/30/Powder

Marine: Seas are up, running about 14 feet, and winds are down to SW 20-25 knots this morning. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay Bar is closed to all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. Yaquina Bay bar is restricted for recreational and uninspected passenger vessels 50 feet and less. A Gale Warning is in effect until 3:00pm this afternoon for S wind increasing to 30-40 knots gusting 50. A Storm Warning kicks in from 3:00pm until late this evening for SW winds 35-45 knots gusting 55. Combined seas of 18 feet today building to 25 feet tonight. Tomorrow, SW winds 20-25 knots gusting 30, seas down to 19 feet. Outlook is for SW wind 20-25 knots gusting 35 on Tuesday, seas 15 feet. Winds turn westerly by mid-week, 15-25 knots, and seas remain 14-17 feet.

On the Beach... Rain, high winds, surf 15-16 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/16 Sun 12:48 PM 8.21 H
02/16 Sun 07:10 PM 0.52 L
02/17 Mon 01:37 AM 8.08 H
02/17 Mon 07:29 AM 2.0 L

In Short: Heavy rain, very windy, then continued stormy.

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3:00pm 02/15/14 - Storm Update

By: NewportOr, 11:13 PM GMT on February 15, 2014

Update at 3:00pm.

The advance warnings were very accurate as the wind roared into the Central Coast beginning around 9:00am this morning.

Peak gusts so far today...

Lincoln City - 75 mph
Depoe Bay - 46 mph
Newport (Airport) - 63 mph
Newport (Yaquina Bay Bridge) - 78 mph
Waldport - 68 mph
Yachats - 57 mph

These gusts may, in fact, be lower than what we see in a stronger storm expected tomorrow. A High Wind Watch remains posted for late Sunday through Sunday night. Strong west to southwest winds, steady at 30-45 mph with gusts of 70-85 mph, are forecast. Some of these extremely high gusts may reach Central Coast communities and the Coast Range due to the wind’s direction, more westerly than today’s storm.

Rainfall totals so far today...

Lincoln City – 1.03”
Depoe Bay – 1.19”
Newport – 1.26”
Waldport – 1.51”
Yachats – 1.53”

The Flood Watch has been updated. It has been extended through Monday morning (instead of ending tomorrow night). Predictions now show another 1-3 inches of rain on the Central Coast and in the Coast Range during tomorrow’s storm.

Updated: 11:14 PM GMT on February 15, 2014

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Stormy, then Stormy

By: NewportOr, 4:10 PM GMT on February 15, 2014

Saturday, Feb. 15th – Lincoln County

Summary: We must be setting the bar too low. Yesterday, cloudy with only moderate rain and wind, was actually termed ‘a nice day’ by some folks. High temps were in the low 50s and lows in the upper-40s. Rainfall varied somewhat; south county received the most and north county the least. The strongest breeze was from the southwest before noon with a peak gust of 34 mph at Yachats. The wind went calm midday before coming up light from the southeast later in the day. Overcast skies remained overnight, but they were backlit by a nearly-full moon and you could easily see the surf without any artificial illumination. At daybreak, the rain showers were picking up and the southeast wind blew less than 10 mph.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 54F/48F/0.08”
Depoe Bay: 50F/46F/0.08”
Newport: 52F/46F/0.11”
Waldport: 52F/47F/0.64”
Yachats: 52F/48F/0.26”

Forecast: A pair of very strong storms will impact the Central Coast and Coast Range this weekend. This morning, the National Weather Service issued a new High Wind Watch, which is in effect from Sunday afternoon through late Sunday night. Meanwhile, a High Wind Warning remains in place from this morning to 6:00pm this evening. Today, near beaches and headlands, south winds 35-45 mph with gusts to 70 mph; in Central Coast communities, south winds 30-40 mph with gusts to 60 mph. On Sunday, even higher winds with gusts of 70-85 mph possible, strongest along beaches and headlands. Peak winds will be late this afternoon and early evening. Then after a break tonight, the second round of strong winds is expected late tomorrow and tomorrow night.

And, we’re still under a Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for the Central Coast and Coast Range. Even more storms are predicted to impact our area during the next several days. Rivers and streams are already running high from rain and snowmelt during the past few days. Today’s storm could bring an additional 1-3 inches of rain to the Central Coast and Coast Range, and flooding is likely across river basins. Flooding of small rivers, streams and roads is also possible during the heaviest rainfall periods.

Outlook for today through early next week is for continued warm (45-55F), a chance of thunderstorms, wet and windy conditions with periods of heavy rain and a potential increase in the local flooding threat. Landslides and debris flows are also possible. Structures and roads located below steep slopes, in valleys and near the mouths of valleys may be at serious risk from rapidly moving landslides.

[Defining the differences - advisories, watches, warnings - see Weather Factoid below.]

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and above freezing with wet pavement this morning. Highway 20 is down to one lane with flaggers just west of Eddyville at Milepost 20 where ODOT is still repairing a washout; generally, delays are less than 20 minutes. Highway 34 has standing water on the roadway near Alsea Mountain summit at Milepost 38.5. Valley destinations are under a Flood Watch with rain, wind and temperatures in the 50s today. In the Cascades, highways have packed snow, slush and spots of ice this morning, and are under a Winter Storm Watch. A foot or more of snow is predicted during the weekend. Carry chains or traction tires. The freezing level is 6,000 feet dropping to near 3,000 feet by tomorrow night. Outlook for holiday weekend travelers is heavy rain with possible flooded roads in the Valley, along the Central Coast and in the Coast Range, and heavy snow in the Cascade passes.

Cascades Snow Pack... 86”, a gain of 9” since yesterday; 19% below median snow water equivalent.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 6/33/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 4/24/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 18/107/Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 7/85/Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/22/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 9/30/Powder

Marine: Seas are up around 10 feet this morning and choppy with a SE breeze of 15-25 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is restricted for recreational vessels 36 feet and less, and for uninspected passenger vessels 26 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is unrestricted. The marine section of today’s report hasn’t escaped special notices from the National Weather Service, either. A Storm Warning is flying from now through this evening for S winds increasing to 35-45 knots gusting 55, seas doubling in size to 20-plus feet by tonight, and a chance of thunderstorms. Winds ease slightly overnight, then a newly-issued Storm Watch kicks in tomorrow morning through late tomorrow night with S winds building to a steady 40 knots gusting 60, and steep seas 23 feet or higher. Outlook is for W to SW winds 20-25 knots gusting 30, and slowly subsiding seas through Wednesday.

On the Beach...
Heavy rain, extremely high winds, surf 10-15 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/15 Sat 12:12 PM 8.42 H
02/15 Sat 06:41 PM 0.26 L
02/16 Sun 01:09 AM 7.9 H
02/16 Sun 06:51 AM 2.22 L

In Short: Heavy rain, very windy, then more storms.

Weather Factoid: Advisories, watches and warnings – what the heck do those terms actually mean? An Advisory is issued when events are expected to remain below warning criteria, but may still cause significant inconvenience. A Watch tells you that conditions are favorable and there is a pretty good chance that the event will happen. When a Watch is issued begin making preparations for the upcoming event. A Warning means that a certain weather event is imminent or already occurring, and measures should be taken to safeguard life and property immediately. A Hazardous Weather Outlook will describe potential hazardous weather and hydrologic information of concern during the week ahead. And finally, a Special Weather Statement is designed to provide critical short term hazardous weather information. The time frame of this information is six hours or less.

Updated: 4:19 PM GMT on February 15, 2014

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Five Warnings Posted

By: NewportOr, 4:08 PM GMT on February 14, 2014

Friday, Feb. 14th – Lincoln County

Summary: Instead of roses, a new pair of hip-waders may be the best shot for a Valentine’s Day gift today. After the winds died down, yesterday was ho-hum with showers and sunbreaks, but rain returned overnight dumping up to nearly an inch along the Central Coast; Waldport had the most at 0.94”. South winds were fairly strong early Thursday morning, 20-30 mph; Lincoln City won that contest with a gust of 43 mph. High temperatures reached into the mid-50s. Overnight lows were 50F or slightly below, and clouds obscured the Full Snow Moon.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 55F/50F/0.61”
Depoe Bay: 52F/47F/0.72”
Newport: 54F/46F/0.92”
Waldport: 53F/48F/0.94”
Yachats: 55F/48F/0.69”

Forecast: The National Weather Service this morning issued another High Wind Watch for Lincoln City, Depoe Bay, Newport, Waldport and Yachats. It is in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday evening for south winds 35-45 mph gusting to 65-70 mph. And an additional round of strong winds is expected on Sunday afternoon and evening.

The National Weather Service has also issued a Flood Watch, in effect from this morning through Sunday afternoon, for the Central Coast and Coast Range. And, more storms are predicted to impact our area during the next several days. The first storm brought about an inch of rain to the Central Coast and Coast Range last night. This precipitation is causing rises in rivers that are already running high from rain and some snowmelt during the past few days. The second storm is expected tomorrow with additional heavy rain. This system is currently predicted to move through more quickly with shorter duration heavy rain. Still, expect another 2 inches in the Coast Range. There will be little time between storms for the rivers to recede, and flooding is likely across river basins in the Central Coast Range and possibly elsewhere. Flooding of small rivers, streams and roads is also possible during the heaviest rainfall periods. [See Weather Factoid below.]

Outlook is for continued warm (45-50F), wet and windy conditions through early next week with heavy rain again on Monday and a potential increase in the local flooding threat. Landslides and debris flows are also possible. Structures and roads located below steep slopes, in valleys and near the mouths of valleys may be at serious risk from rapidly moving landslides.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and above freezing with wet pavement this morning. Highway 20 is down to one lane with flaggers just west of Eddyville at Milepost 20 where ODOT is repairing a washout; expect delays of less than 20 minutes. Highway 34 has standing water on the roadway near Alsea Mountain summit at Milepost 38.5. Valley destinations are under a Flood Watch with rain and temperatures near 50F today. In the Cascades, highways have mostly bare pavement with icy spots this morning, but up to a foot or more of snow is predicted during the next 36 hours. Carry chains or traction tires. The freezing level is 4,500 feet dropping to near 3,500 feet tonight. Outlook for holiday weekend travelers is heavy rain with possible flooding in the Valley, along the Central Coast and in the Coast Range, and heavy snow in the Cascades.

Cascades Snow Pack... 77”, a loss of 3” since yesterday; 29% below median snow water equivalent.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 0/33/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 0/24/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 3/91/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 7/76/Powder
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 0/22/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 3/30/Powder

Marine: SW winds are blowing 15-20 knots this morning, and seas are up to 11 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is restricted for recreational vessels 30 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar has not reported. Conditions are forecast to deteriorate substantially over the next few days. A Small Craft Advisory for SW winds 20-25 knots gusting 30 is up until 4:00pm this afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas 12 feet or higher is in effect until tomorrow morning. And, there’s now a Storm Watch posted for Saturday morning through afternoon with S winds intensifying to 35-40 knots gusting 55 with combined seas building to 16 feet. Outlook is for another full-blown gale on Sunday; SW wind 35-40 knots gusting 45 with wave heights 20 feet or higher. Monday and Tuesday, SW winds 20-25 knots, seas slowly subsiding, but not much, to 17-19 feet.

On the Beach... Heavy rain, windy, surf 8-10 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/14 Fri 11:35 AM 8.53 H
02/14 Fri 06:12 PM 0.14 L
02/15 Sat 12:42 AM 7.69 H
02/15 Sat 06:15 AM 2.47 L

In Short: Heavy rain, very windy, then more storms.

Weather Factoid: What causes these periods of intense heavy rains along the Central Coast? Meteorologists call it an atmospheric river; colloquially it’s often referred to as the ‘Pineapple Express.’ This situation develops when the southern flank of large storm systems in the North Pacific Ocean - rotating counter clockwise - sweep south far enough to capture copious amounts of tropical moisture (hence, the term ‘Pineapple’). As the rotation of the system flows to the northeast, it propels the heavy rain (and warm temperatures) up from the tropics and directly into our area.

Updated: 4:16 PM GMT on February 14, 2014

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The Neverending Story

By: NewportOr, 4:14 PM GMT on February 13, 2014

Thursday, Feb. 13th – Lincoln County

Summary: Seemed like a good day to be wearing a London Fog coat yesterday. Strong southwest winds, 20-30 mph, died out shortly after daybreak, but returned again in the late afternoon. Peak gust since 8:00am Wednesday was 35 mph at Lincoln City. There was fog and light rain most of the day, with heavier showers in the mix; precipitation amounts were highest from Newport south. Into the evening and overnight, partial clearing allowed a few stars to peek through the gloom. By daybreak today, the wind was light, with patchy fog on the lower deck and considerable clearing above which gave us a calm before the (next) storm. Temperatures hovered around 50F, day and night.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 54F/50F/0.20”
Depoe Bay: 50F/47F/0.26”
Newport: 50F/46F/0.55”
Waldport: 52F/49F/0.72”
Yachats: 50F/48F/0.44”

Forecast: And the gold medal for most official weather warnings in Oregon during the past ten days goes to... Team Central Coast! The National Weather Service early yesterday issued another High Wind Watch. It is in effect from 10:00pm tonight through tomorrow morning at 6:00am for beaches and headlands, including those near Lincoln City, Depoe Bay, Newport, Waldport and Yachats. South winds 30 to 40 mph in town and gusts to 60 or 65 mph on beaches and headlands. Also, on Wednesday afternoon, the National Weather Service issued a new Hydrologic Outlook for potential flooding today through next Tuesday. Rainfall Tuesday night and yesterday caused sharp rises on many rivers in Northwest Oregon, with a few rivers already approaching flood stage. The next storm tonight could dump 1 to 3 inches of rain on the Central Coast and Coast Range. On Saturday, expect another 1 to 2 inches of rain. Additional rain is forecast for Sunday night through Tuesday, with periods of heavy rain possible. The very wet weather will keep river levels high for the next several days, and minor flooding is possible for creeks and rivers, along with flood-prone intersections or roads in urban areas. We’ll continue to evaluate weather and river forecasts through the week. Outlook is for showers, mixed sun and clouds today then, beginning tonight, stormy with lots of rain, strong wind at times, and temperatures 40F-50F throughout the long-term.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open, foggy and well above freezing with wet pavement this morning. Highway 20 is down to one lane with flaggers about 3 miles west of Eddyville where a washout occurred. Expect delays up to 20 minutes. Highway 34 has standing water on the roadway near Alsea Mountain summit at Milepost 38.5. Valley destinations have rain showers and temperatures near 50F today. In the Cascades, highways have bare pavement this morning, but between 1 and 6 inches of snow is expected tonight and tomorrow. Carry chains or traction tires. The freezing level is 3,500 feet rising to near 6,000 feet late tonight.

Cascades Snow Pack... 80”, a loss of 5” since yesterday; 20% below water-year average. Weekly snow total +12”, deviation from last year -20”, from 30 year average -11”.0.

Ski Report - New Snow Inches/Total Inches/Condition...
Hoodoo 1/33/Packed Powder
Willamette Pass 1/24/Machine Groomed
Mt Bachelor 3/91/Packed Powder
Mt Hood Meadows 1/75/Variable
Mt Hood Ski Bowl 2/22/Machine Groomed
Timberline Lodge 7/30/Powder

Marine: A light SSW wind about 10 knots and seas of 9 feet are the early morning conditions facing mariners. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar has not reported in. Yaquina Bay bar is unrestricted. Rapid changes are on the way. A Gale Warning is in effect from this evening through tomorrow morning for SW winds 25-30 knots gusting 35. A Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas is also in effect for combined short-period seas rising to 15 feet by tonight. Tomorrow the SW winds are predicted to drop in the late morning to W 15-20 gusting 25, and seas at 13 feet. Outlook isn’t pretty. Saturday, another southerly gale, with the breeze building to 30-35 knots gusting 45, and seas rising to 15 feet. Sunday, SW winds 35-40 knots and seas 22 feet or higher. Additional strong storm systems are forecast to follow during the early part of the week. NOTE: There have been changes to the depth survey for Chart 18581, Yaquina Bay and River Channel. For an updated image, go here: http://ocsdata.ncd.noaa.gov/ntm/Image.aspx?Image=2 40000.

On the Beach... Showers, light wind, surf 8-10 feet (moderate), stormy tonight.
Tides
02/13 Thu 10:58 AM 8.54 H
02/13 Thu 05:42 PM 0.12 L
02/14 Fri 12:14 AM 7.45 H
02/14 Fri 05:39 AM 2.77 L

In Short: Chance of showers, then very windy, heavy rain, more storms.

Updated: 4:26 PM GMT on February 13, 2014

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Lots of Breeze

By: NewportOr, 3:57 PM GMT on February 12, 2014

Wednesday, Feb. 12th – Lincoln County

Summary: The anticipated windstorm arrived late last evening and by midnight it was indeed blowin’ like a bandit. Steady southwest winds 40-50 mph were common along the Central Coast. Yachats topped the ‘Gust List’ just before midnight with 72 mph; Lincoln City wasn’t far behind at 70 mph. The overall highest gust in Western Oregon was 91 mph recorded at 10:30pm last night on Mary’s Peak southeast of Newport at 4,137 feet of elevation. There was a deluge of rain as well, with most locations reporting over an inch. By daylight this morning, the breeze was down to 15-25 mph gusting into the 30s, though the rain hadn’t let up. Temperatures haven’t strayed very far from 50F over the past day.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain/Wind Gust...
Lincoln City: 52F/49F/1.24”/70 mph
Depoe Bay: 49F/47F/1.42”/51 mph
Newport: 50F/48F/1.25”/61 mph
Waldport: 50F/48F/1.12”/52 mph
Yachats: 51F/49F/0.65”/72 mph

Forecast: Less wind, more rain about sums it up for the near-term forecast. Add in areas of fog tonight and tomorrow. The rain today could be heavy at times, turning to showers by tonight. With all this precipitation, and mountain snows melting, our next concern is potential flooding. The National Weather Service has issued a Hydrologic Outlook for 2-3 inches of rain over the next few days. Sharp rises on some creeks and rivers are expected today but flooding is unlikely. However, rivers will remain fairly high, and additional heavy rain this weekend may cause some rivers and tributaries to rise above flood stage. Outlook is for winds to remain southerly, mostly 15-25 mph with gusts to 40 through early next week. High and low temperatures should stay between 45F and 50F. Rain or showers are forecast throughout the ten-day long-term period. There is currently no light at the end of the tunnel.

Travel: A general caution for all Central Coast streets, roads and highways due to the strong winds - trees, limbs and overhead lines may be down or drooping over the pavement today. There are lots of rubbish containers and other detritus on the streets, too. With that caveat, Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open, foggy and above freezing with wet pavement this morning. Valley destinations have rain and temperatures in the 40s forecast today. In the Cascades, highways are mostly clear and wet, but carry chains or traction tires. The freezing level is above the passes at about 7,000 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack... 85”, a gain of 6” since yesterday; 30% below water-year average.

Marine: Offshore this morning, WSW winds have died down to 15-20 knots, but seas have risen dramatically to 17 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay bar is restricted for all recreational vessels and uninspected passenger vessels 40 feet and less. Yaquina Bay bar is restricted for all recreational and uninspected passenger vessels. A Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas, 13-15 feet at 10 seconds, remains in effect through this evening. Those should be down to 10 feet by tonight, with SW winds 15-20 knots gusting 30. Tomorrow, southerlies 15-20 gusting 25, seas 8 feet. Outlook is for another storm to arrive Thursday night into Friday packing SW winds of 25-30 knots gusting 40, combined seas rising to 12 feet. More snotty weather is expected over the weekend with SW winds 30-35 knots, possibly storm force at times, and seas 20-25 feet by Sunday.

On the Beach... Rain, fog, breezy, surf 10 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/12 Wed 10:19 AM 8.46 H
02/12 Wed 05:10 PM 0.2 L
02/12 Wed 11:46 PM 7.19 H
02/13 Thu 05:01 AM 3.08 L

In Short: Rain, fog, windy at times, no change for the long-term.

Updated: 4:08 PM GMT on February 12, 2014

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Wet & Wild

By: NewportOr, 4:05 PM GMT on February 11, 2014

Tuesday, Feb. 11th – Lincoln County

Summary: In a word, gloomy. On the heels of a gorgeous, sunny and warm Sunday, we were socked in all day yesterday with light rain at times, areas of fog and mild temperatures. The only excitement at all was the 15-25 mph south-southwest breeze; a peak gust of 33 mph was recorded at Lincoln City. No general change to speak of overnight and into the morning hours, except that the rain seems to have picked up. The thermometer wavered very little, showing both highs and lows right around 50F.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 52F/48F/0.53”
Depoe Bay: 49F/45F/0.73”
Newport: 50F/46F/0.73”
Waldport: 50F/46F/0.96”
Yachats: 50F/49F/0.52”

Forecast: To paraphrase Bogie, “We’ll always have Sunday.” That was the only day during the past week that the Central Coast was not under some kind of weather watch or warning. Late yesterday, the National Weather Service issued a High Wind Watch for our area, which goes into effect this evening at 6:00pm and runs through tomorrow morning at 7:00am. This will quite possibly be upgraded to warning level later today. Southwest winds are predicted to increase substantially this evening to 40-45 mph gusting to 60-65, as high as 70-75 mph on beaches and headlands. During the day today, however, the southerly winds shouldn’t be much over 30 mph and rain showers are expected with a high near 50F. Tonight, it’ll be raining sideways in the strong breeze, with up to an inch of precipitation forecast. Tomorrow, winds dying down to ‘only’ 25-30 mph gusting 45, and another half inch of rain. Outlook is for rainy and at times windy weather through early next week. Temperatures during the next several days, fairly steady at 45-50F both night and day.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and above freezing with wet pavement this morning, warming to 45-50F later today. Very windy tonight in the Coast Range, so look out for trees, limbs and lines to possibly be in your path. Valley destinations have rain and temperatures in the 40s today. In the Cascades, highways are snow packed with ice and slush in spots. Carry chains or traction tires. Up to 3” of snow is predicted at Cascade pass level today, heavy snow tonight and very windy. The freezing level is about 4,500 feet.

Cascades Snow Pack... 79”, a gain of 1” since yesterday.

Marine: Nothing to write home about this morning. Seas are at 6 feet, SW winds 10-15 knots and there are areas of fog. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. There’s a short window early today to venture offshore, but that all changes this afternoon when a Gale Warning goes into effect for SW winds rising to 20-25 knots gusting 35, seas building to 7-9 feet. A real barnburner is coming late tonight when the breeze intensifies to 35-40 knots gusting 50, and wave heights jump up to 16 feet. Tomorrow, SW winds 20-25 knots gusting 35, slowly dropping through the day to 10-15 knots gusting 20; seas 14 feet subsiding to 11 feet. Outlook is for another storm to arrive Thursday night into Friday, followed by an additional blow Saturday night and Sunday. Southerly winds near gale force at times through the long-term, seas 10-15 feet, possibly as high as 20 feet over the weekend.

On the Beach... Rain, fog, breezy, surf 6-8 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/11 Tue 09:36 AM 8.35 H
02/11 Tue 04:35 PM 0.37 L
02/11 Tue 11:15 PM 6.91 H
02/12 Wed 04:22 AM 3.39 L

In Short: Rain, windy at times, no change for the long-term.

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Wet, Warm & Windy

By: NewportOr, 4:08 PM GMT on February 10, 2014

Monday, Feb. 10th – Lincoln County

Summary: The Central Coast won the sweepstakes for the best weather in the state yesterday. A fair-sized hole in the clouds opened up between weather systems, starting at Yachats in the early morning and working its way north to Lincoln City before noon. (See Weather Factoid below.) So, unlike the rest of Western Oregon, still in the grip of the icy Winter storm, we had oodles of sunshine and much higher temps, up into the 50s, with Waldport the warmest. Light winds enhanced the day for anyone on the beaches or elsewhere outdoors, and rainfall in the morning hours was barely above trace amounts if any fell at all. Overnight, lows were near 40F, and overcast skies returned along with some light rain.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 50F/38F/0.01”
Depoe Bay: 53F/39F/0.02”
Newport: 54F/37F/0.01”
Waldport: 55F/41F/0.00”
Yachats: 53F/43F/0.00”

Storm Summary (Snow [s] and freezing rain ice [i] depths from around Western Oregon between Feb. 6th and 8th)...
Newport: s-3”, i-.35”
Blodgett: s-11”, i-.50”
Philomath: s-15”, i-.25”
Corvallis: s-15”, i-.15”
Albany: s-15”, i-.50”
Salem: s-12”, i-.25”
Eugene: s-7”, i-.50”
Portland: s-5”, i-.30

Forecast: Wet, warm, windy. We could probably stop right there for both the short-term and long-term forecasts. But, here are a few details, anyway. If you’re after one of the antique Japanese glass floats on the sands of Lincoln City today, a raincoat will be in order. High in the upper-40s with southwest winds 15-25 mph gusting 30. There could be a short break in the rain late this afternoon and into this evening. Tonight, more rain, lighter wind, and a low of 45F. Tomorrow, rain and increasing winds, maybe gusting 25 mph, high near 50F. Outlook is for a bigger storm Tuesday night and Wednesday with up to 2 inches of rain and south winds 35-45 mph gusting as high as 60. More storms are tracking toward us for Thursday and Saturday. High and low temperatures through the period in the mid-40s.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open but hovering around the freezing mark in the higher elevations this morning, so heads-up for icy areas. The Coast-to-Valley routes should be warming to 45-50F later today. In the Valley itself, Corvallis is now above freezing but under a Dense Fog Advisory and many roads are slushy. Portland is still receiving freezing rain in some areas, though points south along I-5 are getting regular rain now and the pavement is clearing. In the Cascades, snow is predicted at pass level on and off through the entire week.

Cascades Snow Pack... 78”, a loss of 3” since yesterday.

Marine: The wind is up this morning, from the SW 20-25 knots, and seas are around 6 feet with 4 foot wind waves. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. A Small Craft Advisory for winds is in effect through this afternoon. Expect southerlies 15-20 knots gusting 25 today, seas to 7 feet. The SW breeze should ease to about 15 knots tonight, seas holding at 7 feet. Tomorrow, S wind 15-20 knots rising to 20-25 knots by afternoon, seas 7-8 feet. Outlook is for a full-blown gale Tuesday night and Wednesday. SW winds rising to 30-40 knots with higher gusts and combined seas 11 feet building to 18 feet. Another system roars in from the south Thursday and Friday packing winds of 25-30 knots and seas 12-14 feet. There could be wave heights approaching 20 feet by the weekend.

On the Beach... Rain, breezy, surf 3-4 feet (low).
Tides
02/10 Mon 08:48 AM 8.24 H
02/10 Mon 03:55 PM 0.6 L
02/10 Mon 10:39 PM 6.62 H
02/11 Tue 03:36 AM 3.67 L

In Short:
Wet, warm and windy.

Weather Factoid: Sky cover, basically the extent of clouds versus clearing, is the most problematic part of the weather to predict. Over the years, computers and meteorologists have gotten pretty darned good at forecasting surface-level temperatures, winds and precipitation. But, because of the dynamics of temperature fluctuations in the upper atmosphere and sometimes offbeat dew points, clouds form and abate now and again seemingly at random. We make our best guess (and that’s all it is, by the way). Even with 21st Century computing power and decades of experience, whether we see clouds or clearing is often a crap shoot.

Updated: 4:15 PM GMT on February 10, 2014

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Thawed Out

By: NewportOr, 4:04 PM GMT on February 09, 2014

Sunday, Feb. 9th – Lincoln County

Summary: Okay, who finally went shopping yesterday? From the looks of store parking lots, maybe everybody. Warming temperatures and pouring rain scoured out the Central Coast’s remaining snow and ice, though it took most of the day. Highs near 50F ensured a clean, though wet, slate for walkers and drivers. Rainfall totals were mostly around three-quarters of an inch; Yachats received the most. There were brisk east winds, 20-25 until sunset, when they rapidly switched to southwest and increased to 25-35 mph with a peak gust of 47 at Newport. Overnight, the steady rain turned to showers, the breeze faded away, and lows were in the low-40s.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 48F/32F/0.64”
Depoe Bay: 49F/33F/0.82”
Newport: 50F/34F/0.76”
Waldport: 52F/38F/0.74”
Yachats: 52F/37F/0.91”

Forecast: Put away your gloves and snow boots, and get your raingear back out; you’re going to need it all week. Today, in fact, may be the nicest of the next several. If you’re headed to the Depoe Bay Community Center this afternoon to hear Bob Ward’s discourse on Sir Francis Drake’s possible 1579 anchorage at Whale Cove, there’s a 50-50 chance of showers. Maybe some sunbreaks today, too, with a high near 50F, and light south wind. Tonight, regular rain returns after midnight, low of 45F. Outlook is that beginning tomorrow we’ll see a series of Pacific storms arrive throughout the week, with short breaks between them. During this period, expect lots of rain, it’ll be windy at times, with daytime highs of 50F, nighttime lows of 45F.

Travel: Central Coast streets, roads and Highway 101 are wet and drivable this morning. Coast Range Highways 18, 20 and 34 are below freezing with areas of ice, packed snow and slush. In addition, all three routes have places where trees or lines are down due to freezing rain. None are completely blocked, but delays can be expected. The Valley is beginning to warm up, but not enough to make driving much easier. Lots of snow, ice and slush remain on the roads. Corvallis has light freezing rain forecast until 10:00am. Portland is under a Freezing Rain Advisory until noon. Eugene and Salem are at 33F with fog. Portland and Eugene airports are open, but many flights have been delayed or canceled - call ahead. In the Cascades, snow and packed snow covers the pavement and it’s still snowing. Chains or traction tires are required over Santiam Pass and at Government Camp. All in all, it is still iffy for travel outside our immediate area.

Cascades Snow Pack... 81”, a gain of 5” since yesterday.

Marine: It’s a little lumpy on the ocean this morning. Seas are 7 feet at 9 seconds, but the wind is light SE 7-10 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Southerlies remain around 10-15 knots today, wave heights holding at 6-7 feet. Conditions begin taking a turn for the worse by this evening, however. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued for late tonight through tomorrow afternoon as SW winds rise to 20-25 knots, seas still 7 feet, but wind waves up to 4 feet will make it very choppy. Outlook is for a gale Tuesday afternoon; S wind ramping up to 25-35 knots, combined seas 8 feet building to 12 feet. Wednesday and Thursday, another system arrives with southerly winds 20-25 knots and seas 12-15 feet, possibly near 20.

On the Beach... Showers, light wind, surf 6-8 feet (moderate).
Tides
02/09 Sun 03:08 PM 0.87 L
02/09 Sun 09:54 PM 6.31 H
02/10 Mon 02:41 AM 3.85 L
02/10 Mon 08:48 AM 8.24 H

In Short: Showers, light wind, then wet and windy.

Updated: 4:51 PM GMT on February 09, 2014

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Meltdown

By: NewportOr, 4:07 PM GMT on February 08, 2014

Saturday, Feb. 8th – Lincoln County

Summary: Depending on where you were along the Central Coast, you will recall yesterday differently. At the southern end, it rained most of the day and warmed up above 40F. In the middle, Newport struggled with freezing rain and the mercury hovering around the freezing mark. Lincoln City was on the line of the cooler air and had a mix of precipitation types. Most locations turned to all rain overnight, but it was still cool enough that a little snow remains on lawns and roofs this morning.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Precipitation...
Lincoln City: 35F/24F/0.02”
Depoe Bay: 34F/24F/0.03”
Newport: 34F/28F/0.10”
Waldport: 45F/34F/0.51”
Yachats: 45F/34F/0.27”

Forecast: All warnings and watches were lifted for the Central Coast early this morning. In fact, we’re the only area in Western Oregon not to be currently hunkered down under some type of Winter weather advisory. For us, plain old rain today, light east wind, and a high near 45F. Rainfall amounts could reach half an inch. More rain tonight, low of 40F. Tomorrow, a 50-50 chance of showers with the thermometer rising to near 50F. Outlook is for rain all week, windy at times and temperatures of 45-50F.

Travel: The big story is in this section today. While most of the Central Coast is above freezing and raining this morning, there are remaining spots of wet snow and ice on some local roads and streets. Highway 101 is mostly just wet, but Lincoln City is still colder and has areas of ice and snow on the pavement. Coast Range mountain passes on Highways 18, 20 and 34 are below freezing, packed snow and ice, with freezing rain and up to another 5 inches of snow forecast today. Conditions locally are not what they are elsewhere in Western Oregon, so weekend travelers should not be tempted into thinking it’s all over and time for a run to the Valley. The Willamette Valley remains under storm warnings for freezing rain today from Salem south. North of there, including the Portland area, the warning is for 2-6 inches of snow through tonight, freezing rain tomorrow. Chains or traction tires are required on I-5 between Corvallis and Salem and over all Cascade Mountain passes.

For travel purposes, here are selected Friday snowfall depths - Alsea 5”, Blodgett 7”, Sunset Summit 5”, Philomath 12”, Corvallis 12-18”, Salem 6”, Eugene 7”, Portland 2-5”, Santiam Pass 6”, Government Camp 4”.

Cascades Snow Pack... 76”, a gain of 6” since yesterday.

Marine: SW winds are 5-10 knots this morning, and seas are up a little, running about 7 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. For today and tonight, the breeze is expected to back to the E 10-15 knots gusting 20 with seas rising to 9 feet by this evening. Tomorrow, look for S wind 10-15 knots, seas falling to 6 feet. Outlook is for a series of fronts to arrive from the SW over the week. Winds 20-25 knots Monday and Tuesday, wave heights about 7 feet, but building to 12-15 feet by late Wednesday. Another blow is forecast for Thursday.

On the Beach... Rain, cool, light wind, surf 4-5 feet (low).
Tides
02/08 Sat 02:10 PM 1.14 L
02/08 Sat 08:54 PM 6.01 H
02/09 Sun 01:35 AM 3.85 L
02/09 Sun 07:53 AM 8.18 H

In Short:
Rain, light wind, wet and warming up.

Updated: 4:15 PM GMT on February 08, 2014

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Winter Storm Warning II

By: NewportOr, 3:54 PM GMT on February 07, 2014

Friday, Feb. 7th – Lincoln County

Summary: A professor of meteorology could have used the Central Coast for a lab exercise yesterday, with sessions on every type of Winter weather. We started the day with light snow, which in most areas became heavy shortly after daybreak. The north part of the county’s coastal strip got the least snow; Lincoln City had about an inch on the ground. Newport received 3 inches, and the southern section got the big dump with Waldport and Yachats around 6 inches. Melted precipitation totals and temperatures (below) reflect those differences. By early afternoon, the snow went to flurries and finally stopped entirely. But as the day wore on, freezing rain coated everything on the surface with a layer of ice. By late evening, there were flashes of lightening. Overnight the overcast eventually thinned, and temperatures dropped into the mid-20s; the ice and snow on the ground held firm. The sky was completely clear for a while early this morning, but by daybreak clouds were returning in advance of another round of Wintery weather. All Lincoln County Schools are closed today, as well as many other agencies and operations. Call ahead.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Precipitation...
Lincoln City: 29F/24F/0.01”
Depoe Bay: 29F/23F/0.02”
Newport: 32F/23F/0.08”
Waldport: 45F/27F/0.26”
Yachats: 43F/26F/0.19”

Forecast: Winter Storm Warning. After vacillating late yesterday and last night with a full spread of weather advisories, watches and warnings, the National Weather Service early today issued another Winter Storm Warning for the Central Coast for heavy snow, sleet and freezing rain. This warning is in effect from 10:00am this morning to 10:00pm this evening. Snow will develop later this morning and become heavy at times, eventually changing to sleet or freezing rain this evening. Precipitation is expected to change to all rain by late tonight as temperatures rise above freezing. An additional 2 to 6 inches of snow and up to a quarter inch of ice or more are possible later today through tonight. Impacts of this weather will make travel treacherous on Central Coast streets, roads and highways this afternoon into tonight. Scattered power outages are likely as precipitation changes to freezing rain, bringing down tree limbs and possibly power lines.

Outlook is for all this to go away soon, probably by tomorrow when temperatures rise to 45F and rain washes the ice and snow away. A southwest storm track with warm, wet and sometimes windy weather is predicted for the entire week ahead.

Travel: Don’t. All roads, streets and highways in the Central Coast area, and all of Western Oregon, have varying amounts of ice or snow cover today. Driving will be extremely hazardous through tonight locally and through Sunday everywhere else west of the Cascades. Chains or traction tires are required in the mountains and on many other highways including Interstate 5 between Corvallis and Salem. Portland is a mess. The best advice from all quarters is to stay home unless your presence elsewhere is absolutely necessary. Highway crews have been plowing and sanding, but at times their limited resources have been unable to keep up.

Public transportation may not be very effective, either. The latest from Lincoln County Transit is, “Friday morning – all early routes are cancelled. Routes start late on Friday. The North County bus will leave Newport City Hall at 9:00am. Please call Lincoln County Transit at 541-265-4900 for start times for all other routes.”

Cascades Snow Pack... 70”, a gain of 2” since yesterday.

Marine: Travel on the ocean this morning is inherently easier than ashore, with ESE winds 10-15 knots and seas at 5 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Today, the breeze is expected to come around to the SE 10-15 knots, seas 4-5 feet, though snow and freezing rain may be a complicating factor. Winds veer to SW 10-15 knots tonight, seas remaining 4-5 feet, with rain or snow. Tomorrow, SW wind about 10 knots, seas 5 feet. Outlook is for southerly weather in the early part of the week. S winds rise to 15-20 knots on Monday and to 25-30 knots with gale force gusts to 40 by Tuesday; seas building to 12-15 feet by mid-week.

On the Beach... Snow and ice, cold, surf 3 feet (low).
Tides
02/07 Fri 01:02 PM 1.35 L
02/07 Fri 07:33 PM 5.86 H
02/08 Sat 12:22 AM 3.59 L
02/08 Sat 06:52 AM 8.25 H

In Short: Snow, freezing rain, then wet and warmer.

Updated: 4:28 PM GMT on February 07, 2014

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Blizzard of '14

By: NewportOr, 3:59 PM GMT on February 06, 2014

Thursday, Feb. 6th – Lincoln County

Summary: This will be one of those Winters you can tell your grandkids about. “Yup, back in ‘13-‘14, we had two Winters and a Summer.” Yesterday we’ll simply classify as dry, frigid and windy. Wednesday’s high temps broke freezing, after morning lows in the 20s. East winds were quite strong, 20-30 mph with a peak gust of 43 on the Yaquina Bay Bridge in Newport. Overnight, the mercury dropped into the mid-20s, the east winds continued, the cloud cover gelled, and light snow began around 5:00am. By daybreak, heavy snow started falling from Newport south to Yachats. All Lincoln County Schools are closed today due to the weather.

Past 24 Hours High/Low...
Lincoln City: 36F/26F
Depoe Bay: 38F/24F
Newport: 37F/23F
Waldport: 41F/28F
Yachats: 40F/25F

Forecast: The National Weather Service has upgraded the Central Coast to a Winter Storm Warning from an advisory level event. Expect 3-5 inches of snow along with east winds gusting to 40 mph through this evening. Blowing snow will cause near whiteout conditions, and travel will be extremely hazardous. High today near freezing. In a nutshell, because of the cold, whatever snow lands will stick, or at least try to as the strong winds swirl it around. Though this doesn’t meet the official criteria for a blizzard, it’ll seem like one at times today. A little less wind is forecast tonight, northeast 20-30 mph with gusts to 35; low about 25F, and possibly another 1-2 inches of snow. Tomorrow, there’s a good chance of minor snow accumulations in the morning, but warming into the mid-30s, and by tomorrow night, mixed rain and snow with a low around 34F. We also have a chance of freezing rain during the changeover, but it shouldn’t last long if it does develop. Outlook is for mixed rain and snow by Saturday, and warmer with a high near 45F. The week ahead should be typical February coastal weather with overcast skies, fair amounts of rain, and occasionally windy conditions.

Travel: Local streets and roads, and Highway 101, will be very slippery with varying amounts of snow-cover all day. Expect 2-5 inches of snow on the pavement today, additional snow tonight. Highway department trucks are out sanding, but it may be hard to keep up. The rest of Western Oregon, to include the Coast Range, Willamette Valley and Cascades are all under a Winter Storm Warning for 3-8 inches of snow today. Travel in the Valley will be nearly as tough as in the mountain passes. As of 9:00am, ODOT reports that as many as 20 cars were involved in crashes on Interstate 5 between Salem and Corvallis. I-5 southbound is closed three miles north of Albany, and I-5 northbound is blocked eight miles south of Albany. The strong east winds will also reduce visibilities in blowing snow, and temperatures are forecast to stay below freezing. Travel will be extremely hazardous everywhere west of the Cascades today. Outlook is for these conditions to continue through the day, overnight and into tomorrow.

Cascades Snow Pack... 68”, a loss of 3” since yesterday. There was a gain of 10” over the past week; the deviation from this date last year was -34”; and it’s down -24” from the 30 year average.

Marine: E winds are still fairly strong at 20-25 knots this morning, but with the offshore flow, seas are remaining in the 5 foot range. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect through this afternoon for E winds 20-25 knots gusting 30. Seas holding at 4-5 feet, but visibility will be down to less than a quarter mile at times due to the snow. Tonight, more snow, NE winds 10-15 knots, seas 4-5 feet. The same for tomorrow. Outlook is for a switch to southerlies over the weekend, 20-25 knots, possibly higher, and seas slowly rising to 6-7 feet. By mid-week, wave heights could top 10 feet, maybe even reach the teens, as several SW weather systems are lined up and predicted to blow into local waters.

On the Beach... Snow, cold, breezy, surf 3 feet (low).
Tides
02/06 Thu 11:50 AM 1.44 L
02/06 Thu 06:04 PM 6.06 H
02/06 Thu 11:16 PM 3.03 L
02/07 Fri 05:52 AM 8.44 H

In Short: Snow, windy, cold, then wet and warmer.

Updated: 5:15 PM GMT on February 06, 2014

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Winter Mix

By: NewportOr, 4:10 PM GMT on February 05, 2014

Wednesday, Feb. 5th – Lincoln County

Summary: Yes, those were snowflakes falling from the sky last evening. The anticipated cold arctic air arrived before the last of the showers shook out, so we had a couple of short flurries but no accumulation. That followed a day of mixed sun and clouds, light and variable winds, and a high in the mid-40s. By 9:00pm, the east winds showed up, 10-15 mph gusting 20. Overnight, the sky cleared, the temperature dropped and the breeze intensified. This morning, east winds are 20-25 mph gusting over 30, it’s partly cloudy and temps are in the 20s.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 46F/28F/0.01”
Depoe Bay: 43F/27F/0.00”
Newport: 45F/28F/0.09”
Waldport: 45F/32F/0.07”
Yachats: 44F/32F/0.06”

Forecast: It wasn’t there yesterday, but today a low pressure weather system is developing off the Washington Coast. So, you ask, how does this affect me? The answer is that we have an increasing chance of snow late tomorrow and tomorrow night. The aforementioned weather disturbance has moisture associated with it and bands of that precipitation are expected to make their way into the entrenched cold air over the Central Coast. Already there are a few clouds around, giving us mixed sun and clouds today instead of being totally clear. High this afternoon in the upper 30s with strong east winds, 20-25 mph gusting 30 or higher. The overcast is predicted to thicken overnight, there’s a slight chance of snow showers, continued east winds, and a low in the mid-20s. Tomorrow, a high about 35F and additional moist air filtering in gives us about a 30% chance of snow showers. That goes up to a 50-50 chance tomorrow night, but not much accumulation is expected. Outlook is for a continued slight chance of snow on Friday, high again near 35F, and moderating winds. Friday night into Saturday looks rather dicey as we slowly transition to wetter and warmer weather. During this period, snow and freezing rain are a serious prospect for our area.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open over the Coast Range, but it’s cold, 20-25F, and there are many spots of ice. Snow showers are expected beginning tomorrow. Highway 101 is below freezing through the Central Coast region, so any leftover wet spots from yesterday will be icy this morning. Valley destinations are chilly, 30-35F, with mostly bare pavement, but snow is forecast tomorrow. In the Cascades, occasional snow flurries are predicted through tonight. Cascade highways are windy and cold, just 2-3F, with icy areas and packed snow. Carry chains or traction tires. A Wind Chill Warning is in effect for the next 36 hours. Wind chill temperatures from 5-25F below zero can be expected.

Cascades Snow Pack... 71”, a gain of 2” since yesterday.

Marine: It’s choppy this morning in local waters. Though the swell is just 4 feet, wind waves are running about 3 feet and the E breeze is up to 15-20 knots gusting 25. Those conditions are expected to continue through tonight. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Tomorrow, E winds 10-15 knots, veering SE in the afternoon, 5-10 knots; seas remaining about 4 feet. Outlook is for light easterlies on Friday. A fairly strong system is forecast to arrive on Saturday with S winds 20-25 knots, seas 5-7 feet. A bit lighter southerlies are forecast for Sunday, 10-15 knots, and wave heights slowly rising through the week, eventually reaching 10 feet by Tuesday.

On the Beach... Mostly sunny, cold, breezy, surf, 2-3 feet (low).
Tides
02/05 Wed 10:41 AM 1.41 L
02/05 Wed 04:45 PM 6.63 H
02/05 Wed 10:21 PM 2.26 L
02/06 Thu 04:57 AM 8.71 H

In Short: Partly cloudy, windy, then increasing chances of snow.

Updated: 4:12 PM GMT on February 05, 2014

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Cold Snap II

By: NewportOr, 4:04 PM GMT on February 04, 2014

Tuesday, Feb. 4th – Lincoln County

Summary: Hail the end of the heaviest showers as the atmosphere begins to dry out and colder air creeps in. The most precipitation yesterday was recorded in the southern section of our area at Waldport and Yachats; Newport had a brief shot of hail just before dark. High temperatures were in the mid-40s. Northwest winds ramped-up to 10-15 mph gusting 25 for a brief period in the evening with a peak gust of 30 at Lincoln City. Overnight, skies were mostly clear and the low dropped to near freezing. At daybreak, light wind, overcast and cool.

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 48F/35F/0.10”
Depoe Bay: 44F/34F/0.02”
Newport: 45F/34F/0.06”
Waldport: 45F/34F/0.17”
Yachats: 46F/36F/0.17”

Forecast: With lots of sunshine coming this week, you’ll get to relish every minute of it. We’re currently gaining over two and a half minutes of daylight every 24 hours. But, even in full sunshine, a Winter coat will be required apparel. It appears we will be ushering out highs in the low-40s today and probably won’t see temperatures that warm again until the weekend. Mostly sunny later today with light winds. Cold tonight, low about 28F under clear skies, and the beginning of a period of gusty east winds. Tomorrow’s high is expected to be right around freezing, sunny and east winds gusting 25 mph or more. Outlook is for cold, clear and windy through Friday. The National Weather Service has issued a Special Weather Statement for daytime highs possibly below freezing, overnight lows around 20F, and east winds gusting over 30 mph. The next big concern is for Saturday when a wet weather system off the ocean overruns the cold air. Chances are increasing for the transition to go through snow, sleet and freezing rain before changing to all rain Saturday afternoon.

Travel: Damp pavement and temperatures near freezing this morning are creating slick spots on Central Coast roads and streets. Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open over the Coast Range, but below freezing with icy conditions in some areas. Snow showers are possible this afternoon. Highway 101 has isolated areas of frost early today. In the Valley, Corvallis is above freezing and mostly cloudy, but Portland is frosty with freezing fog. In the Cascades, scattered snow flurries are predicted through today. Cascade highways are cold, about 15F, with icy areas and packed snow. Chains or traction tires are required over Santiam Pass. Expect less than perfect driving conditions today. The freezing level is down to the surface.

Cascades Snow Pack... 69”, a gain of 4” since yesterday.

Marine: This is probably the last day for a while with benign conditions offshore. Winds are light this morning, 4-6 knots out of the N, and seas are running 6 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. By tonight, an arctic air mass is expected to generate NE winds 10-15 knots gusting 20, and seas 4-5 feet. These conditions are forecast to continue through Friday. Outlook is for a period of stormy weather from the SW to begin on Saturday with southerlies 25-30 knots, maybe even reaching gale force, and seas building to 10 feet or higher. NAVIGATION NOTE: In the near future, the US Coast Guard will begin transmitting AIS ATON (Automatic Identification System – Aids to Navigation) messages and marine safety information via AIS for testing and evaluation. The exact content, location, and times of these broadcasts will be announced in future Local Notices to Mariners. If your vessel is capable of receiving and displaying these test AIS messages, you’re encouraged to provide feedback and report any anomalies to the USCG NAVCEN website: www.navcen.uscg.gov

On the Beach... Mostly sunny, light wind, surf 3-4 feet (low).
Tides
02/04 Tue 09:37 AM 1.36 L
02/04 Tue 03:38 PM 7.44 H
02/04 Tue 09:33 PM 1.38 L
02/05 Wed 04:07 AM 8.98 H

In Short: Sun and clouds, light winds, then clear, cold and windy.

Updated: 4:12 PM GMT on February 04, 2014

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Caution: Winter Ahead

By: NewportOr, 4:02 PM GMT on February 03, 2014

Monday, Feb. 3rd – Lincoln County

Summary: Arctic air is already pushing in, the way the Seahawks found the end zone yesterday. For those holed-up watching the game, you didn’t miss much outdoors. Mostly cloudy with sunbreaks, high about 50F, light and variable winds mostly under 10 mph. Clouds condensed overnight and the predicted rain showers arrived with precipitation amounts around a tenth of an inch. This morning, the cooler air dropped temperatures to near freezing. Coupled with wet pavement, area driving conditions are hazardous in some areas (see Travel section below).

Past 24 Hours High/Low/Rain...
Lincoln City: 53F/39F/0.12”
Depoe Bay: 48F/35F/0.18”
Newport: 50F/34F/0.09”
Waldport: 49F/37F/0.13”
Yachats: 49F/37F/0.09”

Forecast: Maybe not the six weeks predicted by Phil, but we are in store for at least one more week of Winter. On the heels of a final round of showers today, and a high in the low-40s, it’s going to get cold and windy. The National Weather Service has issued a Special Weather Statement for very cold weather during the week ahead. Tomorrow should be mostly sunny and relative warm, high about 40F or so, with a light north wind. But beginning tomorrow night, Central Coast temperatures are expected to plummet substantially; lows in the low-20s and highs near freezing. Coupled with gusty east winds, 10-20 mph gusting 30, windchills will be close to zero at times. Outlook is for the cold snap to end Friday night followed by wet, warmer and breezy weather off the ocean. There’s a chance for a brief wintery mix of sleet, freezing rain and a quick shot of snow on Saturday as we transition from cold and clear to wet and warmer.

Travel: With wet pavement and temperatures near freezing, local roads and streets may have spots of black ice this morning, so remain vigilant. Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and below freezing with serious black ice in some areas. (A semi overturned 30 miles west of Newport about 8:00am in icy conditions on Highway 20, and two cars slid off that highway at daybreak, one at Cline Hill and another just west of Burnt Woods.) There’s a chance of snow showers, too, on Coast Range highways through tonight. Highway 101 has possible areas of black ice early today. Valley destinations are in the low-30s, icy in spots and mostly cloudy, with a chance of showers today. In the Cascades, scattered snow showers are predicted through tonight. Mountain highways are cold, in the low-20s, with icy areas and packed snow. Chains or traction tires are required over Santiam Pass and at Government Camp. Expect hazardous driving conditions today. The freezing level is down to the surface.

Cascades Snow Pack... 65”, no change since yesterday.

Marine: Seas are up a bit this morning, around 7 feet, and winds are from the WNW 5-15 knots. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Expect winds to veer to NE tonight 10 knots gusting 15 with seas falling slightly to 5 feet. Conditions begin changing tomorrow with rising NE winds gusting 20 knots, then 20-25 by Tuesday evening; seas remaining 4-5 feet. Outlook is for stiff northeasterlies through the week at 20-25 knots, seas about 4 feet. A major transition to a SW storm flow with windier weather, possible gales and seas rising sharply above 10 feet is predicted to begin on Saturday.

On the Beach... Showers and sun, cooler, light wind, surf 3-4 feet (low).
Tides
02/03 Mon 08:39 AM 1.35 L
02/03 Mon 02:39 PM 8.34 H
02/03 Mon 08:49 PM 0.49 L
02/04 Tue 03:21 AM 9.17 H

In Short: Showers, sunbreaks, then cold and windy.

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Six More Weeks of Winter

By: NewportOr, 4:05 PM GMT on February 02, 2014

Sunday, Feb. 2nd – Lincoln County

Summary: Albeit not up to our “June in January” standards from last month, yesterday was altogether quite pleasant. There was abundant sunshine, light winds and highs near predictions around 50F. Saturday ended with a bright but slim, waxing crescent Moon, earthshine lightly illuminating the ‘dark’ part of the disk. Clouds started rolling in by late evening and the area was completely overcast by midnight. East-southeast winds were about 10 mph, with a peak gust of 16 at Lincoln City. It remained cloudy at daybreak with light rain showers and temperatures in the low-40s.

Past 24 Hours High/Low...
Lincoln City: 52F/41F
Depoe Bay: 48F/37F
Newport: 50F/36F
Waldport: 51F/38F
Yachats: 51F/37F

Past Month Precipitation Total...
Rainfall for the month of January 2014* was 6.36”. The average is 10.20”, so we were down -3.84” from normal. Last year, 9.10” fell during January. *These figures are from the closest National Weather Service climate summary station at Astoria. Locally, the Hatfield Marine Science Center weather station in Newport reported a January total of 4.23”, about half the yearly norm of 8.69”.

Forecast: The long term forecast is in from America’s favorite furry forecaster. At 7:28am EST on this Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow, meaning we have six more weeks of winter ahead. Incidentally, Phil’s overall prediction record since his debut in 1887 is 39% correct and 61% incorrect. Flipping a coin would most likely produce superior results, but certainly isn’t as much fun as this annual event. Phil may have it right for our area as we begin this Super Bowl Sunday with a few showers. A low pressure system came on shore near the Oregon-California border this morning and produced a round of light ‘wrap-around’ showers on the Central Coast. The rest of today, though, look for partly sunny skies and highs in the upper 40s. There’s an increasing chance of more showers tonight and tomorrow. Low about 35F overnight and Monday’s high in the low 40s. Outlook is for a return to Winter (thanks, Phil) with mostly clear conditions, windy and cold. By mid-week, daytime highs may struggle to reach the freezing mark and overnight lows fall into the low-20s. On the horizon, a stormy and wet period beginning Saturday.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and near the freezing mark this morning with icy patches. Snow showers are possible on the Coast Range highways from tonight through Monday night. Highway 34 has standing water on the roadway today near Alsea Mountain summit at Milepost 38. Highway 101 has no reported issues through the Central Coast region early today. Valley destinations are in the upper-30s and mostly cloudy, with a chance of mixed rain and snow showers tonight and tomorrow. In the Cascades, look for an increasing chance of snow showers through tomorrow night. Cascade highway passes are cold, between 10F and 20F, with icy spots. The freezing level is at 3,000 feet but dropping to the surface tonight. Expect icy conditions today, and then snow on the pavement this afternoon through tomorrow. Carry chains or traction tires.

Cascades Snow Pack... 65”, a loss of 2” since yesterday.

Cascadia: A magnitude 4.0 earthquake was recorded at 4:36am this morning 269 miles west of Waldport. It was lightly felt in several Oregon communities.

Marine: Winds are almost calm this morning, N less than 5 knots, and seas are 5-6 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Today, expect northerlies 5-10 knots gusting 15 and seas building to 7 feet. For tonight, N wind 10-15 knots gusting 20 but wave heights returning to about 5 feet; the same for tomorrow. Outlook is for E to NE winds the rest of the week, gradually increasing to 15-20 knots by late Tuesday. With the offshore wind flow, seas are predicted to stay below 5 feet during the extended period, but a change to stormy southwesterly conditions is a probability by next Saturday.

On the Beach... Partly sunny, chance of showers, surf 5-6 feet (low).
Tides
02/02 Sun 01:45 PM 9.17 H
02/02 Sun 08:06 PM -0.34 L
02/03 Mon 02:37 AM 9.24 H
02/03 Mon 08:39 AM 1.35 L

In Short: Mostly cloudy, sunbreaks and showers, then clear, windy and cold.

Updated: 4:08 PM GMT on February 02, 2014

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The Whole Enchilada

By: NewportOr, 4:06 PM GMT on February 01, 2014

Saturday, Feb. 1st – Lincoln County

Summary: We pretty much got the whole enchilada in the last 24 hours with rain showers, sunshine, a moderate breeze, fog and even some frost this morning. Highs were about 50F, lows in the 30s. During the occasional showers yesterday, rainfall amounts varied with location. The heaviest shower of the period rolled through the central part of our area so Depoe Bay and Newport received the most moisture. South-southwest winds were 10-15 mph, with a peak gust of 20 at Lincoln City. Clearing overnight let the daytime heat escape to space so frosty windshields greeted early morning risers.

Past 24 hours high/low/rain...
Lincoln City: 51F/41F/0.01”
Depoe Bay: 47F/39F/0.17”
Newport: 48F/36F/0.16”
Waldport: 49F/38F/0.06”
Yachats: 48F/37F/0.02”

Forecast: It looks like you’ll need your complete quota of coats over the next week. A light jacket will probably do it today for Lester Hall’s 103rd birthday party at the Yachats Lions Club; mostly sunny with a high around 48F, low tonight in the mid-30s, patchy fog. Keep your raincoat handy for a slight chance of rain overnight, and increasing chances of precipitation Sunday night and Monday. Highs in the upper-40s; lows in the mid-30s. Outlook is for getting your Winter coat back out for another cold snap beginning on Tuesday and lasting through the end of the week. Once the threat of showers passes Monday night, an influx of Yukon air is expected to keep it relative cold until next weekend. Mostly clear skies, patchy fog, brisk northeast winds at times, and a temperature range of 25F-35F.

Travel: Highways 18, 20 and 34 are open and near the freezing mark this morning with wet pavement and icy patches. Temperatures should warm to near 40F later today. Heads up – possible snow showers on the Coast Range highways from Sunday night through Monday night. Highway 34 has standing water on the roadway today near Alsea Mountain summit at Milepost 38. Highway 101 has no reported issues through the Central Coast region early today, but with temperatures near 35F in places, you should keep an eye peeled for icy/frosty spots. Valley destinations are in the upper-30s with a few showers possible today, frost and fog tonight. In the Cascades, isolated snow showers are forecast through tomorrow. Highways have packed snow and slush, but it's breaking up. Carry chains or traction tires. The freezing level is at 4,000 feet, though dropping to the surface tonight, so expect icy conditions.

Cascades Snow Pack... 67”, a gain of 9” since yesterday.

Marine: Light breeze and seas this morning, with the SSE wind at 10 knots and a swell of 5 feet. As of 8:00am, Depoe Bay and Yaquina Bay bars are unrestricted. Mariners have been dealt a decent hand for the weekend. In the cards today, S winds 5-10 knots, seas 5 feet. Wind backing to E tonight 5-10 knots, seas 6 feet, patchy fog. Tomorrow the breeze goes NE 5-10 knots gusting 15, wave heights to 7 feet. Outlook is for increasing northerlies, up in the range of 15-20 knots, through most of the week, though seas should hold at 4-5 feet.

On the Beach... Mostly sunny, light wind, surf 3-4 feet (low).
Tides
02/01 Sat 12:52 PM 9.83 H
02/01 Sat 07:23 PM -0.99 L
02/02 Sun 01:55 AM 9.16 H
02/02 Sun 07:44 AM 1.46 L

In Short: Mostly clear, chance of showers, then cold.

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Coastal forecaster, weather observer and offshore sailor specializing in the local nuances of Central Oregon Coast weather for residents and visitors.

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