Potential Nor'easter

By: NEwxguy , 1:57 PM GMT on December 16, 2010

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So all week have been watching the models and what they do with the coastal storm on Sunday and Monday,and models have been flip flopping from day to day,with the majority sending it out to sea.The ECMWF model has been pretty consistent sending out to sea.So what do I see this morning?
The ECMWF now has a major nor'easter for New England.1-2 feet of snow possible.So my feeling?Lets wait until Sunday morning to see what the models say,all kinds of possibilities.
1. Major nor'easter
2. Out to sea.
3. moves closer to new england and delivers some snow to southern sections.
Stay tuned.

Frigid temps continue,but wind has died down,so temps are more bearable.After a long cold spell,one gets used to it and when you get a sunny day in the 30's it really seems nice.Its all relative.

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14. Chrisrotary12
11:15 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
Def time to start leaning towards atleast some form of a snow storm. Wouldn't mind a nice storm track between the Euro and the GFS. Just kinda feels like they are going for the extremes on either side of the cone of uncertainty. Being in SNE I don't want a flip over to rain at anypoint.
Member Since: December 16, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
13. seflagamma
11:07 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
Hey NEw, looks like some snow anyway you see it...
just hope it does not happen until Scott gets out of there Saturday morning and at least makes it fairly far south on his drive to Ft Lauderdale!

stay warm!
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 299 Comments: 40926
12. TheDawnAwakening
10:48 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
18z GFS says no mixing problems and no major storm. I think that is just too far east with the EURO too far west.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 246 Comments: 3970
11. NEwxguy
9:30 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
Well,the waters are still pretty warm out there,but it really depends on the track which as far as I'm concerned is still up in the air,but if it comes close you definitely get the BL to warm up.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 886 Comments: 15950
10. TheDawnAwakening
9:27 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
Rain looks likely for me, man this stinks.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 246 Comments: 3970
9. NEwxguy
9:18 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
Yeh,Dawn,as we have seen in the past,things can change quickly so not going jump on board a major just yet.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 886 Comments: 15950
8. TheDawnAwakening
9:01 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
We had some heavy snow showers earlier this afternoon around 12-130pm edt. Anyways clipper misses us to the southeast, NAM has backed away from a norlun trough like setup for tomorrow morning, maybe some flurries.

Major nor'easter looks to take a track near the BM around Monday morning. I think the EURO/UKMET are too far west, they will correct east some.
Member Since: October 21, 2008 Posts: 246 Comments: 3970
7. NEwxguy
8:59 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
More and more models at this time are coming into the idea we are going to get slammed by a major nor'easter starting Sunday,and depending on if it stalls,it could be a 2-3 day storm.Still too early and models keep jumping around from run to run,need to see some consistency.This may be one of those stories we won't know for sure until 12 hrs. before it hits.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 886 Comments: 15950
6. NEwxguy
8:40 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
We actually briefly went to 33 this afternoon.

Few Clouds

32 °F
(0 °C) Humidity: 41 %
Wind Speed: SW 8 MPH
Barometer: 29.74" (1008.7 mb)
Dewpoint: 11 °F (-12 °C)
Wind Chill: 25 °F (-4 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 886 Comments: 15950
5. juslivn
6:40 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
You warmed up a lot more then we did. Still only 25 here.
In the office. Yawn... so I asked what time the office Christmas party is today, and I was told it was yesterday...ooops! No wonder there is a ton of food in the break room, lol...
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 86 Comments: 10130
4. NEwxguy
3:41 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
Few Clouds

27 °F
(-3 °C) Humidity: 58 %
Wind Speed: SW 9 MPH
Barometer: 29.76" (1009.6 mb)
Dewpoint: 14 °F (-10 °C)
Wind Chill: 18 °F (-8 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 886 Comments: 15950
3. NEwxguy
2:39 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
Morning,Jus,so far we've missed everything,and this one may be a miss too.Just cracks me up when models keep changing from run to run.It just makes it more important to wait until the day before the event to get a feeling on what is going to happen.

A LOW TO MODERATE PROBABILITY CONTINUES THAT A WINTER STORM
AFFECTS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER
CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THE THE EXACT TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE
STORM...WHICH WILL IMPACT SNOWFALL POTENTIAL. ALTHOUGH THE
GREATEST RISK FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW APPEARS TO BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
MASSACHUSETTS. LIGHTER SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE REGION. THE STORM COULD ALSO HEAD OUT TO SEA WITH LITTLE IF
ANY IMPACT ON THE AREA.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 886 Comments: 15950
2. juslivn
2:34 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
23 degrees no snow. Amazing how we keep getting missed in this pattern while it is all around us. Let's hope you have the same luck Sunday. Good tune.
Member Since: August 20, 2009 Posts: 86 Comments: 10130
1. NEwxguy
2:04 PM GMT on December 16, 2010
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 886 Comments: 15950

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This blog is for anyone about anything,as long as you are respectful to others.Weather will be the theme,but topics of interest will show up.