2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #49

By: NCHurricane2009, 2:59 AM GMT on July 30, 2014

...TUESDSAY JULY 29 2014 11:05 PM EDT...
After nearly becoming a tropical cyclone...tropical wave Invest 93-L currently midway between the Lesser Antilles and Cape Verde Islands is suffering dry air intrusion due to light northeasterly wind shear. Therefore I have downgraded my forecast for this system and the organizing tropical wave south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands as this tropical wave could also suffer from the same dynamics currently affecting 93-...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #48

By: NCHurricane2009, 4:48 AM GMT on July 29, 2014

...TUESDSAY JULY 29 2014 12:50 AM EDT...
The tropical wave west of the Cape Verde Islands has organized much faster than previously thought...and therefore has already been upgraded to Invest 93-L on the Naval Research Laboratory site of the US Navy and is likely to become a tropical cyclone at any time. The Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system over the next few days as it has the potential to become a fairly strong tropical cyclone prior ...

Updated: 5:00 AM GMT on July 29, 2014

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #47

By: NCHurricane2009, 2:13 AM GMT on July 28, 2014

...SUNDAY JULY 27 2014 10:15 PM EDT...
Their is strong computer model support for tropical cyclogensis over the next few days from the tropical wave currently west of the Cape Verde Islands. Visible satellite imagery suggested a weak circulation near 30W-10N earlier this afternoon on the east side of the tropical wave...with showers and thunderstorms increasing over and west of this circulation as we have progressed into the evening. Therefore I have upgraded t...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #46A (Special Update)

By: NCHurricane2009, 6:20 PM GMT on July 27, 2014

...SUNDAY JULY 27 2014 2:20 PM EDT...
The tropical wave west of the Cape Verde Islands is producing a weak circulation southwest of the islands at a location near 30W-10N as the 1200Z visible satellite image from Meteosat-9 below shows. The most recent runs of the CMC...GFS...and NAVGEM computer models forecast development from this feature over the next few days. I will be upgrading the tropical wave to a special feature with a forecast during my next full blo...

2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #46

By: NCHurricane2009, 3:35 AM GMT on July 27, 2014

...SATURDAY JULY 26 2014 11:36 PM EDT...
The environment in the eastern tropical Atlantic will remain generally favorable for tropical development for the next few days with tropical upper ridging in the region expected to persist. However these favorable conditions are more on the marginal side with dry Saharan air intrusions in the area. Their are currently two tropical waves in the eastern tropical Atlantic. The first is west of the Cape Verde Islands which ...

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