2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #129A (Special Update)
...OCTOBER 10 2012...4:10 PM EDT...
Disturbed weather just north of the eastern Bahamas...associated with surface disturbance Invest 97-L and western Atlantic surface cold front...has become well-organized underneath the favorable outflow of a western Atlantic upper ridge. This area of weather was mentioned in paragraph P4 of full discussion #129. After being removed from the NHC tropical weather outlook early this morning...this area of weather has been re-introduced into the outlook with a 10% chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours. Given the well-organized satellite appearance and favorable upper winds...I suspect tropical cyclone formation is much more likely...and therefore will be introducing this as a special feature in my next full blog update.
In the meantime...return to full discussion #129 for info on the rest of the Atlantic tropics.