2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #118A (Special Update)

By: NCHurricane2009 , 10:45 AM GMT on September 27, 2012

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...SEPTEMBER 27 2012...6:45 AM EDT...
This special update is written concerning Tropical Storm Nadine. Nadine strengthened while I was writing full discussion #118. In that full discussion...I had slightly downgraded my intensity forecast from what I showed in discussions #117 and #116 because it appears Nadine will feel vertical shear a little sooner than thought earlier. However...given the amount of recent strengthening...I have decided to return to the intensity forecasts I showed in discussions #117 and #116. As such...here are my updated intensity forecast points:

5 AM Thu Sep 27 2012...60 mph...initial
11 PM Thu Sep 27 2012...60 mph...21 hr
11 PM Fri Sep 28 2012...70 mph...42 hr
11 PM Sat Sep 29 2012...60 mph...66 hr
11 PM Sun Sep 30 2012...50 mph...90 hr
11 PM Mon Oct 01 2012...40 mph (Dissipating)...114 hr

I am making no changes to my Nadine track forecast at this time. Return to full discussion #118 for an assessment on the rest of the Atlantic tropics.

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