2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season Birdseye Discussion #98A (Special Update)
...SEPTEMBER 6 2012...7:30 PM EDT...
As of 5 AM EDT this morning...Michael became a category 3 hurricane of 115 mph max sustained winds. More recently as of 5 PM EDT...he has weakened to a top end category 2 of 110 mph max sustained winds. This makes Michael the strongest hurricane so far in the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season...and the first major hurricane (115 mph+ max winds) of this season. Currently Michael is a marine threat out over open waters...and not expected to affect any land areas in its lifetime.
Unfortunately for me...I had issued a forecast in this morning's full discussion #98 predicting Michael to reach such an intensity...but had technical issues (related to my poor laptop computer) releasing the full discussion in time before the actual intensification occurred. In effect...my Michael forecast was invalidated because it was released during or after the actual intensification episode. This underscores how quickly things can change in the tropics...and why its good to be able to have a quick blog update cycle. For me...my blog update cycle includes updating the birdseye view charts...updating the mid-latitude and tropical belt sections...updating any special feature sections...and creating forecasts and associated graphics for any active tropical cyclones. Practice makes the blog update cycle go faster...and also I think it is time for me to replace my well-used laptop computer.
Assuming I experience no technical difficulties...my next full update should be released early tomorrow morning and hopefully by my intended release time. Return to full discussion #98 for an assessment on the rest of the Atlantic tropics.