Mikeman444's Blog

2012 Prairie weather outloook: Yep the forecast for the year is back!
Posted by: Mikeman444, 10:35 AM GMT on January 02, 2012 +0
Though nowhere near as detailed here is my years forecast for 2012.
This forecast(as do all)covers the provinces of Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba

Why bring it back, and what with it contain?
-Experimental, This is under no means my official forecast, please judge my monthly and seasonal forecast.
-The patterns are different this year, The winter so far shows this quite well
-I got some things right before, though less than 50%
-I Changed the level of detail dramatically, Each month will have a percent chance of the forecast condition
-Spring and Summer are very hard(no concrete factors like La-Nina, AO,etc) to predict, thus will have the lowest percentage
-Dec 21st supposed end of the world, Y2K did not fool me so 2012 isn't either

Here is the forecast:

January: 60%(due to uncertainly of the arrival of cold snap mid month)
Near normal temperatures and precipitation

February: 85%
Frigid, Heavy snow

March: 70%
Near normal, somewhat wet

April: 30%
Very Warm and dry

May: 30%
Cool and wet

June: 30%
Near normal temps, Very wet

July: 35%
Warm and wet

Aug: 30%
Very hot, drier

Sept: 40%
Near normal temps and precipitation

Oct: 50%
Cool and dry

Nov: 50%
Near normal temps, dry

Dec: 30%
Otherwise Cold and dry
Updated: 10:44 AM GMT on January 02, 2012   Permalink | A A A
January 2012 forecast. Winter hits like a truck!
Posted by: Mikeman444, 9:00 AM GMT on January 02, 2012 +0
First a look back at December. It is not very often I underestimate how mild it will be, December finished off 7C warmer than normal! One of the warmest on record.

Now the forecast:
It is looking like all the mild weather will come crashing down quite spectacular towards the end of the month. Around mid month we will be starting the coldest part of the winter and this will generally last into mid February or as late as Mid March with a late February Thaw(lasting a week or two).
January will be near average to milder than average overall

Jan 1-10:
Incredibly mild, Temps nearing 15C(59F) in southern areas. Rain showers, freezing rain, and heavy wet snow in the northern areas.

Jan 11-20:
Mild at first but getting cold rapidly,taking just a few days to dip into the -20s. Possibility of a severe blizzard with a foot of snow and 80km/h wind gusts.

Jan 21-31:
Very cold with Temps plummeting well below -30C over the entire prairies with -40C in may places, some mild spells may interrupt the cold






Updated: 10:02 AM GMT on January 02, 2012   Permalink | A A A