MichaelSTL's WunderBlog

The GFS is still showing very widespread rainfall over a large area, which may be enhanced by Norbert (later in the period):



Current NHC track for Norbert:



Aside from that, it will continue to be unseasonably warm for at least the next week; the NWS doesn't have any mention of the next storm system yet:

Tonight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 65. East wind around 7 mph.
Tuesday: Occasional showers and thunderstorms. High near 70. Southeast wind between 7 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Tuesday Night: Showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind around 8 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday: Cloudy, with a high near 68. Northwest wind between 7 and 13 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. North wind between 3 and 7 mph.
Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Friday: Sunny, with a high near 77.
Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.
Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 79.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.
Sunday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Columbus Day: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.



Temperature departures for the previous three falls (first frost is the first occurrence of 32 or lower):


Local Watches, Warnings, and Advisories Map; click here for national map:




Weather Story / Graphical Nowcast / Graphical HWO (click for details):


Hazards scale (mouse over for description; click here for a list of associated events for each level):








(click any of these to enlarge; the CPC outlooks take you to the main page of the Climate Prediction Center; the meteograms are from www.wxmaps.org and the GFS/NAM/NGM/RUC graphs from coolwx.com)

Links on the right for local (and national) weather, news, tropical weather and satellites and past significant events (in the St. Louis area).