Hurricane scorecard closes May 15. Happy Mother's Day

By: MaxWeather , 6:44 PM GMT on May 11, 2014

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My warmest wishes today for all the great mothers who gave us life.



HURRICANE SCORECARD 2014
MAY 13 Update 6

First and foremost I must announce that unexpectedly I am forced to close the registration for this upcoming hurricane season a month and a half earlier than expected (July 1st).
I'm preparing for a long trip to the south leaving my tools which I need to keep up with the chart behind.

I hope the news gets spread as fast as possible so that everyone who is participating or wish to participate area prepared.



Based on the latest calculations I did today, there is a new underground community forecast which calls for:
12 Named Storms
5 Hurricanes, and
2 Major Hurricanes


The old one was 11, 5 and 2 respectively.

***** 24 HOURS LEFT TO REGISTER ***

Here is the long list of the 79 wunderground members's predictions:


Note the new deadline.

Again, I hope this doesn't cause any inconvenience to you.


Thanks for visiting! Feel free to leave a comment below.

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Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 143 - 93

Page: 1 | 2 | 3Blog Index

143. vis0
9:22 PM GMT on May 21, 2014
Will there be an NiñoNiñaNadá prediction blog (only Niño % posted, title just for attention) as::
========================
Niño type/strength in %::
Niño Low:: 60%
Niño modr::40%
Niño High:: 15%
Niño xtra*:: ???
Niño Modi::55%

HERE in under 120 characters the final summary::
"low to mod w/ hints of Modoki."
========================


watch out for modr(moderate) or modi(Modoki) post confusion.

WHATs NINO XTRA?
*Niño Xtra i consider when a natural influence which is part of the "regular" weather/climate cycle/oscillations is influenced by another natural output NOT directly weather related as a volcanic eruption or meteorite hit that raise (in this case) El Niño to a super duper level.
Member Since: December 15, 2006 Posts: 263 Comments: 647
142. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
7:20 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
MaxWeather has created a new entry.
141. MaxWeather
7:10 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
THANKS TO ALL FOR REGISTERING FOR THE 2014 SCORECARD
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
140. Skyepony (Mod)
5:02 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
8-3-1
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 225 Comments: 39381
139. originalLT
5:00 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Max, don't know what time you leave for the train, but just wanted to wish you a safe trip, and good luck down there. Looks like you'l be running into some real heavy rain by the time you reach Virginia or N.C. Keep in touch with all of us. G'Nite.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
138. Astrometeor
3:14 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Quoting yoboi:




14-5-2
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10481
137. SuperCellTornadoes
3:13 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Quoting 135. MaxWeather:



Hey Iris.. I may be possible for them to do that

I read your last post about why I changed my handle.. simple reason: I was tired of it
the handle didn't mean anything really while this one if just the best for me.

I have you in the scorecard now
:)


Cool. lol. I still kinda like your old one, but this one is easier to type and find.... lol. I changed mine because, well, for reasons I can't say here or else I'm going to be banned.

Thanks for putting me into the scorecard. :D
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 3 Comments: 57
136. Astrometeor
2:31 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Quoting SuperCellTornadoes:
Max -

Do you think that NOAA will issue a El Nino / ENSO event this year? Would be kinda cool, and based on the news....well, it's happening a wee bit.
Wildfires in San Diego CA...O_O

~Iris


I believe NOAA issued a 65% chance for an El Nino to develop over the next few months.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10481
135. MaxWeather
2:14 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Quoting 134. SuperCellTornadoes:

Max -

Do you think that NOAA will issue a El Nino / ENSO event this year? Would be kinda cool, and based on the news....well, it's happening a wee bit.
Wildfires in San Diego CA...O_O

~Iris


Hey Iris.. I may be possible for them to do that

I read your last post about why I changed my handle.. simple reason: I was tired of it
the handle didn't mean anything really while this one if just the best for me.

I have you in the scorecard now
:)
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
134. SuperCellTornadoes
2:06 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Max -

Do you think that NOAA will issue a El Nino / ENSO event this year? Would be kinda cool, and based on the news....well, it's happening a wee bit.
Wildfires in San Diego CA...O_O

~Iris
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 3 Comments: 57
133. MaxWeather
1:43 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Quoting 132. hydrus:

Greetings Max...Put me in for 8/4/1..Did not have a chance to look things over very well, but I believe El-Nino does impact the peak of the season and thereafter...:)

thanks Hydrus
#110
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
132. hydrus
1:42 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Greetings Max...Put me in for 8/4/1..Did not have a chance to look things over very well, but I believe El-Nino does impact the peak of the season and thereafter...:)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22631
131. MaxWeather
1:41 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Quoting 130. RevInFL:

I will choose 13-4-2!! I didn't do so hot last year...it was a strange season!

thank you.
#109
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
130. RevInFL
1:28 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
I will choose 13-4-2!! I didn't do so hot last year...it was a strange season!
Member Since: September 6, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 165
129. MaxWeather
1:27 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
128. MaxWeather
1:21 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Quoting 127. Frasersgrove:

Hi Max, longtime lurker, rare poster but will guess 15-5-3 for this season. Thanks for the blog...

thanks for coming to my blog!
you are the 108th on my long list

Stick around... I'll roll out a blog with the final chart in about 3-4 hours
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
127. Frasersgrove
1:12 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Hi Max, longtime lurker, rare poster but will guess 15-5-3 for this season. Thanks for the blog...
Member Since: November 17, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 22
126. MaxWeather
12:45 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Expect a new blog by midnight ET...
The final chart will be the there
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
125. MaxWeather
12:45 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Im working on the chart right now... the count is over 100 now!
Today I got the mot predictions for a single day... yet the last day

Im also packing up.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
124. originalLT
12:01 AM GMT on May 15, 2014
Interesting post, # 120. It explains some things.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8010
123. whitewabit (Mod)
8:14 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
was embarrassed with my prediction last year as many others were too when the season was much calmer then the normal year !!

but what the heck .. so here goes for the 2014 Hurricane seasons I predict that there will be 13 - 5 - 2 ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 368 Comments: 32425
122. SuzK
7:35 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
Hi MaxWeather! Please add me to your list with : 16-5-3

Thanks!

SuzK
Member Since: October 8, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 100
121. WeatherfanPR
5:53 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
Hello MaxWeather. Nice idea your Hurricane Scorecard. Here are my numbers for the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season: 11-4-2
Member Since: August 23, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1592
120. vis0
5:48 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
    Quoting 59. MaxWeather:


    It's in North Carolina Larry
    ... my spot is NE of Florence, SC

    --

    can anyone help me tell if the last letter of this handle is the letter O or the number 0...? Im unsure what to type in the chart

    I don't know how many major hurricanes he's predicting... looks like 5 but it says Florida, US... ??


    Quoting 59. MaxWeather:


    It's in North Carolina Larry
    ... my spot is NE of Florence, SC

    --

    can anyone help me tell if the last letter of this handle is the letter O or the number 0...? Im unsure what to type in the chart

    I don't know how many major hurricanes he's predicting... looks like 5 but it says Florida, US... ??

vis0:: i see you have Dyslexia like i,

Didn't want 2ovr txt yer pg, ; -) (was banned 4 times 'cause WxU mods say i like to monoblog on my weather influencing invention** ) explained on my (confusing) blog why the predictions.

TS/H/SH (oops, SH are initials for MH in another languages )/LandFall. (LF not FL)
 
ReDiDLE::  why is the Maj. higher than Hur.?
AnSir::  'cause the cool beans were just right.

Real Reply:: as to my higher (SH)MH than H:: Imagine that a Trop. Formation blows up so fast it goes from TS to Cat3. Of course it had to go through Cat1 2, yet in not being observed min by min the "official" records show TS>Cat3, capeesh.


MY style of writing includes unasked for CLUEs to yet unofficial/undiscovered scientific findings i made, as:
**remember kids the REAL solar power is wind, NOT heat/light, why i i kept trying to inform scientists of the ml-d (my blogs since 1991) & faster than light?, are 3 forms of DEEP "sounds/resonances" which black holes put out from the light they squeeze,
imagine sounds STARTING then LOWER from 0.00000000000000000000000000000001Db.

Since i've not accepted a WxU ad offer  (Oct 2013)  my WxU mail is frozen as there was no "don't accept button" on the Ad (emailed WxU 3 times via my yahoo account that my WxU mail is frozen on that Ad page, no reply). Just in case anyone has WxU mailed me and never recieved a reply.

Keep conversing WxU'ers as WxU is one of the best places to exercise the brain be it (names are off the cuff apology for errors) sar2401,patrap,'caymankid',StormTrackerScott,potte ry,washingtonian115,(will graduate Car.)blue,KoritheMan,....oh a fav:: GTstormChaserCaleb,some guy named masters. It reminds me of the exercise my brain received as a teen watching "All In The Family", a 1970s show w/lots of talking some arguing with many opinions, but mostly grounded in the luv for the family...here the family is humanity.
... was it looong enuff.

SINsara-lee
visible zero/vis0
,peace

Member Since: December 15, 2006 Posts: 263 Comments: 647
119. JRRP
1:42 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
13/7/4
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6213
117. mitthbevnuruodo
1:23 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
12-3-1 for me Max. Your spiffy scorecards make me want to do it LOL
Member Since: October 12, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 871
116. floridaT
1:10 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
put me down for 21-8-3 . shoulda had a tie breaker of how many hit the CONUS
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1093
115. SuperCellTornadoes
12:56 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
Hey, Max - quick question for you. Why did you change your handle? I'm curious. I'll tell you why I changed mine as well if you like. lol.

~Iris
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 3 Comments: 57
114. zapace
12:53 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
Zapace 12-8-6
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 0
113. JTDailyUpdate
12:46 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
Placing my bets at 10-5-3
Member Since: August 19, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 347
112. Hernando44
12:45 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
Max: 10-5-2 for Hernando44, Thanks!
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 105
111. islander101010
12:38 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
8-10 4 hurricanes 2 majors one a monster 4 and the second a big 3 hits on s florida back to back from the se. end of aug beginning of sept. senator from miami says hes sorry for voting against aid for sandy relief and begs forgiveness. miami takes the brunt from both storms. be ready this yr
Member Since: September 11, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 5001
110. pcola57
12:20 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
Quoting 108. MaxWeather:

You are more than worthy for my chart Marvin...
91st on the list

thanks for your kind words.
Time is still giving us a chance to meet...
Im leaving for south Carolina tomorrow.
I'll be living near Florence, SC



I definitely will keep in touch and we will see how we could meet up.. :)
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
109. MaxWeather
12:09 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
92.
StormTrackerScott:
Put me in for 8-3-1


93.
SouthTampa:
Put me down for 11-2-0
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
108. MaxWeather
12:08 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
You are more than worthy for my chart Marvin...
91st on the list

thanks for your kind words.
Time is still giving us a chance to meet...
Im leaving for south Carolina tomorrow.
I'll be living near Florence, SC
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
107. pcola57
12:03 PM GMT on May 14, 2014
Good Morning Max my friend.. :)
As you know I'm up in the SC upstate and am very happy..
Peaceful..
Health took a dive..
But a lot of folks worse off than I am..
I'm so happy you are at home now too..
You seem a lot more peaceful as well..
I promise to post something of value here today..

By the way..
If you would add me to your scorecard I will go with 13/4/1..
Wind shear from an El Nino will leave it's mark on this season IMO..
I enjoyed your scorecard from last year immensely..
Participation was high and comments were enjoyable..
GB and Peace to you my friend on this day.. :)
TTYL..
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6915
106. MaxWeather
11:58 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
86.
Quoting 299. sar2401:
11-4-1


87.
windshear1993
10-4-2 are my forcast numbers for 2014


88.
robintampabay
I am going with 7/2/1.


89.
kingcane:
Max put me down for 15-10-5


90.
rmbjoe1954:
Put me down for 10-4-1.



nwobilderburg:
nooo... i must have said it wrong
i was 11-5-2
not 11-2-2

Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
105. MaxWeather
11:53 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Quoting 100. SuperCellTornadoes:

Max - Woops...I put it in backwards - my apologies. would like to see the 15-6-2 posted. Also - this is just for the Atlantic basin, right?

~Iris

*who's really tired and struggling to type...* lol

thanks... 83rd

Quoting 103. abcdeer:

I see people making two predictions? If allowed my main will be 13-3-0 and my alt is 18-11-5

thank you... 84th

Quoting 104. JLPR2:

Good thing I stopped by the main blog, almost missed my chance to enter. I'm always way off, but still... XD
I'm gonna say: 10-3-2

thanks anyway... 85th
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
104. JLPR2
7:29 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Good thing I stopped by the main blog, almost missed my chance to enter. I'm always way off, but still... XD
I'm gonna say: 10-3-2
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 7 Comments: 8747
103. abcdeer
6:35 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
I see people making two predictions? If allowed my main will be 13-3-0 and my alt is 18-11-5
Member Since: October 24, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 85
102. Astrometeor
5:45 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
@Max

I told Iris that this is for the Atlantic Basin, so no worries there.

Good night.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10481
101. Astrometeor
5:32 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Quoting Jedkins01:
I guess life as a meteorologist in Alaska can get boring, so one must result to humor and self entertainment...

I must say though, this is the least technical NWS discussion I've ever read, lol:


000
FXAK67 PAJK 131401
AFDAJK

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
601 AM AKDT TUE MAY 13 2014

.SHORT TERM...PICKING A MODEL OF CHOICE FOR THE DAY IS A LITTLE
LIKE SPEED-DATING: TOO LITTLE TIME/INFORMATION TO MAKE UP THE
MIND LEADING TO REGRETS BY THE END OF THE DATE/SHIFT. THE
AMERICAN NAM IS MODERN, DETAIL-ORIENTED, PROLIFIC, WILLING IF A
LITTLE IMPETUOUS AND INCREDIBLY REACTIONARY. THE AMERICAN
GFS--THE MODEL NEXT DOOR--QUITE OLD FASHIONED, AN OPEN BOOK, EASY
ON THE EYES IF A LITTLE STAID AT TIMES. ALWAYS TALKING ABOUT THE
FUTURE WHILE WHITE-WASHING THE PRESENT. THE CANADIAN SOMETIMES A
LITTLE PRO-EUROPEAN SOMETIMES A LITTLE PRO AMERICAN...MANY TIMES
HARD TO READ, BUT OFTEN HAS A SUNNIER OUTLOOK THAN THE OTHERS.
TOO SUNNY SOMETIMES. AND THAT EUROPEAN ONE...INTELLIGENT, TREND-
SETTING, AND ALLURING-- ONLY APPEARING TWICE A DAY--MAKES ME WANT
MORE. AND TODAY I WANTED MORE AGAIN SO I MADE MY SELECTION. BUT
SOMETIMES I LOOK BACK AND WONDER WHAT COULD HAVE BEEN.


Its not a hoax either, see for yourself:

Link

It made me laugh anyway.


THIS IS TOO GOOD!
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10481
100. SuperCellTornadoes
5:05 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Max - Woops...I put it in backwards - my apologies. would like to see the 15-6-2 posted. Also - this is just for the Atlantic basin, right?

~Iris

*who's really tired and struggling to type...* lol
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 3 Comments: 57
99. Astrometeor
5:03 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Quoting MaxWeather:


I refreshed my blog one last time and saw your post

Thanks for coming. I'm just confused, which prediction you want to see in the chart
17-8-4?


I told her you'd be confused.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10481
98. MaxWeather
4:57 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Quoting 96. SuperCellTornadoes:

Hello Max! Looks like a bunch of us got new handles! lol.

Well, my prediction - if we have an ENSO event:

17 named 8 hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes

If there is NOT an ENSO event:

15 named 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. :D

Nice handle by the way. ;)

~Iris


I refreshed my blog one last time and saw your post

Thanks for coming. I'm just confused, which prediction you want to see in the chart
17-8-4?
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
97. Astrometeor
4:51 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Quoting Astrometeor:


Uh...hold on, lemme tell her. She hasn't been on the blogs in awhile.


And...she...fell asleep. I'll see if I can get a prediction out of her for you tomorrow, Max.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 101 Comments: 10481
96. SuperCellTornadoes
4:49 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Hello Max! Looks like a bunch of us got new handles! lol.

Well, my prediction - if we have an ENSO event:

17 named 8 hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes

If there is NOT an ENSO event:

15 named 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes. :D

Nice handle by the way. ;)

~Iris
Member Since: June 2, 2013 Posts: 3 Comments: 57
95. MaxWeather
4:45 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Quoting 94. sunlinepr:

I'll take 14-3-2

thanks... 82nd

Gnite all
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408
94. sunlinepr
4:30 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
I'll take 14-3-2
Member Since: August 2, 2010 Posts: 21 Comments: 9882
93. MaxWeather
4:19 AM GMT on May 14, 2014
Quoting 309. nwobilderburg:



nooo... i must have said it wrong
i was 11-5-2
not 11-2-2
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 31 Comments: 1408

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Hello, I was formerly known as trHUrrIXC5MMX. Just like you I have a passion for weather.

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