Active Western Hemisphere: Potential hurricane threat on Hawaii?

By: MaxWeather , 8:04 PM GMT on August 02, 2014

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Welcome August!

East-Central Pacific overview



A potential threat to Hawaii
MAJOR HURRICANE ISELLE

Maximum winds: 140 mph
Pressure: 947 mb
Moving W at 10 mph
Located 1,190 miles East of Hilo, HI


Updated: Aug 4 at 10:00 PM


Monitoring Hurricane Bertha


Bertha satellite view



---

Busy Eastern and Central Pacific.


There are several areas to look at in this map, starting from the right of the image (east).

115 W - Greatest concern
Invest 93E is poised to become a tropical cyclone later today. This could become a powerful hurricane and eventually pose a high threat on the Hawaiian Islands as it begins its trek westwards across the open Pacific.

Computer forecast models show a strong hurricane closing on the Big Island of Hawaii in over a week from now. However, it's still too far ahead in time to actually do anything other than monitor the progress of this storm. If this materializes then Hawaii could be in a serious situation.
Currently the NHC is giving 93E a high chance, 80%, of becoming a tropical cyclone in 2 days.

12Z GFS depicting a tropical cyclone nearing Hawaii. Likely named Julio.



130 W - Hurricane Iselle
Iselle, a category 1 hurricane packing 80 mph winds, is located over 700 miles SW of Manzanillo, MX. The hurricane is expected to continue on its journey westwards and this storm too could impact Hawaii on the long term but as a much weaker system. Nonetheless heavy rains and gusty winds are likely when it arrives there by next weekend.

Iselle became a hurricane last night, the 4th of this busy Pacific season. It is located over 1,700 miles east of Hawaii.

155 W - TD Genevieve
Genevieve, a storm hard to kill, has re-generated for the 2nd time and this time may stay for quite some time. The storm is located 665 miles South of the Big Island of Hawaii. TD Genevieve may become a tropical storm again and reach stronger intensities than before when it moved from the East Pacific.

Genevieve, not a threat to Hawaii or Johnston Atoll, is expected to keep moving westwards at at steady pace. Im fact some models call for this storm to cross the International Dateline as a tong tropical storm and eventually become a 953mb powerful typhoon in the Western Pacific as depicted in the image below.

Genevieve could be the storm to cross 3 basins, a record set by 1994 Hurricane John.

More information to come later.




Thanks for visiting! Feel free to leave a comment below.

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Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 66 - 16

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66. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
3:40 PM GMT on August 05, 2014
MaxWeather has created a new entry.
65. MaxWeather
6:04 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
BINGO!
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
64. MaxWeather
6:00 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 63. Astrometeor:



Go to bed. It'll probably be approved in the morning.

I slept long time this afternoon... not sleepy at all
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
63. Astrometeor
5:55 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 62. MaxWeather:


still waiting here.... someone who can take the job?
I know it's like 2 AM but come on


Go to bed. It'll probably be approved in the morning.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
62. MaxWeather
5:41 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 61. Astrometeor:



One of the picture persons has to be awake. Sheesh.

still waiting here.... someone who can take the job?
I know it's like 2 AM but come on
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
61. Astrometeor
5:33 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 58. MaxWeather:

Lord... how many centuries does it take to have my new picture approved?


One of the picture persons has to be awake. Sheesh.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
60. MaxWeather
5:28 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Iselle will pump up the CPAC ACE significantly
As being major hurricane it may enter the basin adding values of 1-plus to the current 0.565 there is

Then Julio which I fear may become major as well (not portrayed by NHC yet) will add in more.
Gevevieve has another 12 degrees of latitude to go before it exits the CPac... some 840 miles left where it may regain TS status to add more ACE. Expected to become a hurricane, well, a typhoon west of the Dateline
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
59. MaxWeather
5:24 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
And the next one is already brewing south of Mexico...
Possibly Karina?

business train car
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
58. MaxWeather
5:20 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Lord... how many centuries does it take to have my new picture approved?
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
57. Astrometeor
5:17 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 55. MaxWeather:


you want to see?
I have proof


Sure, shoot me a g-mail.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
56. MaxWeather
5:13 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
oh wow.. It was exactly a month ago now when I was sitting in NYC Amtrak station waiting for my next train.
I was fb talking with Kori at the moment.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
55. MaxWeather
5:08 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 54. Astrometeor:



HAHAHAHA!

Omg, you're so funny.

*wipes tear from eye*

you want to see?
I have proof
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
54. Astrometeor
5:02 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 52. MaxWeather:


I shave the bush Astro.. not when three hairs stick out there


HAHAHAHA!

Omg, you're so funny.

*wipes tear from eye*
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
53. MaxWeather
4:56 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 49. Astrometeor:



You reminded me of my family road trips when the gas pump would cut off at $75, and our tank wasn't even full yet. Dad had to swipe his card again to buy another $25 more of gas to fill up the van.

lol...

I miss those QuikTrip stations from the south... the are great, low price
and the food inside

we don't have none of that here
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
52. MaxWeather
4:54 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 51. Astrometeor:



Too much pull on your skin, that causes irritation. Sometimes I have a little itch after shaving, but it's no worse than the itch of having a beard.

I shave the bush Astro.. not when three hairs stick out there
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
51. Astrometeor
4:51 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 47. MaxWeather:

On another note...

I hate shaving, it gets so itchy and irritating.
My skin is allergic to this.

The first 3-4 days are so itchy... Ugh!


Too much pull on your skin, that causes irritation. Sometimes I have a little itch after shaving, but it's no worse than the itch of having a beard.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
50. MaxWeather
4:49 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Changing my profile picture...
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
49. Astrometeor
4:47 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 46. MaxWeather:

Ever since I got my car 7 months ago yesterday was the first time I gas up full.
Some 50 bucks... Not bad for a 4 cylinder lasting over a week with that.
I always put in $40 though, it gets almost full. Just a bar or 2 away.


You reminded me of my family road trips when the gas pump would cut off at $75, and our tank wasn't even full yet. Dad had to swipe his card again to buy another $25 more of gas to fill up the van.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
48. MaxWeather
4:28 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
I found this on Facebook... Cute n funny

It reads...

I think I'll live this little one
I take back what I said

Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
47. MaxWeather
4:20 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
On another note...

I hate shaving, it gets so itchy and irritating.
My skin is allergic to this.

The first 3-4 days are so itchy... Ugh!
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
46. MaxWeather
4:17 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Ever since I got my car 7 months ago yesterday was the first time I gas up full.
Some 50 bucks... Not bad for a 4 cylinder lasting over a week with that.
I always put in $40 though, it gets almost full. Just a bar or 2 away.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
45. trHUrrIXC5MMX
3:16 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
He is still around...
Member Since: April 23, 2011 Posts: 104 Comments: 14873
44. Astrometeor
3:06 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Max, you should see my 2nd edit on my first comment in my 100th blog.

^lol at my numbers. I have 0 creativity. :)
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
43. Astrometeor
3:04 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 42. MaxWeather:


you screwed it up... check main blog...

NYC? boy you don't know what's good... tragic!
#letsnottalkaboutnashville


I knew as soon as I hit "post comment". But I gotta go do something, so I'll brb.

Nashville? I don't live there...so yeah. But it is the Music Capital of the WORLD, so they got that going for them.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
42. MaxWeather
3:00 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 41. Astrometeor:



Just like NYC for me. Ain't vacationing up there.

you screwed it up... check main blog...

NYC? boy you don't know what's good... tragic!
#letsnottalkaboutnashville
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
41. Astrometeor
2:57 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 38. MaxWeather:


Just like Dillon, SC...

Not a vacation spot for me really...


Just like NYC for me. Ain't vacationing up there.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
40. MaxWeather
2:54 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Genevieve still going

Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
39. MaxWeather
2:53 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
lol... hurricane?

Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
38. MaxWeather
2:52 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 37. Astrometeor:



Shoot me a gmail? I wanna know what they mean.

Just like Dillon, SC...

Not a vacation spot for me really...
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
37. Astrometeor
2:18 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 36. MaxWeather:


The town ain't pretty.
I know what they mean by this.


Shoot me a gmail? I wanna know what they mean.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
36. MaxWeather
1:21 AM GMT on August 05, 2014
Quoting 35. Astrometeor:



How so? Is it full of nasty/mean people?

The town ain't pretty.
I know what they mean by this.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
35. Astrometeor
11:36 PM GMT on August 04, 2014
Quoting 34. MaxWeather:

Looks like I'm going to stay at home for some more days... Just few.
The job in Herkimer is 4 days long and people there told me the town is not too attractive.


How so? Is it full of nasty/mean people?
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
34. MaxWeather
7:41 PM GMT on August 04, 2014
Looks like I'm going to stay at home for some more days... Just few.
The job in Herkimer is 4 days long and people there told me the town is not too attractive.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
33. MaxWeather
7:38 PM GMT on August 04, 2014
Quoting 32. Astrometeor:



Pressures outside of Bertha are up to 1020 mb. The 998mb matches with the hurricane winds.


I know Astro...

It should be 988mb
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
32. Astrometeor
7:17 PM GMT on August 04, 2014
Quoting 30. MaxWeather:

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

This is very rare


Pressures outside of Bertha are up to 1020 mb. The 998mb matches with the hurricane winds.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
31. MaxWeather
2:43 PM GMT on August 04, 2014
One of the worst looking hurricanes ever
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
30. MaxWeather
2:41 PM GMT on August 04, 2014
Iselle now a monstrous category 4
140 mph
947 mb


Bertha a hurricane...
BULLETIN
HURRICANE BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
1100 AM EDT MON AUG 04 2014

...BERTHA BECOMES THE SECOND HURRICANE OF THE 2014 ATLANTIC
SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.6N 73.6W
ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM ENE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES

This is very rare
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
29. MaxWeather
1:37 PM GMT on August 04, 2014
How the...??
Iselle jumped to 125 high end cat 3 hurricane!

It has become a powerful annular hurricane... cloud tops still cooling around that huge eye.
Could make it into category 4 hurricane.


Pressure is now 958 mb
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
28. MaxWeather
12:56 PM GMT on August 04, 2014
Quoting 27. Astrometeor:



That's weird. I would never let my boss surprise me at my own house without written permission ahead of time.

It's because he is my mother's godson...
He knows where we live and I know him since I was born so does mom.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
27. Astrometeor
5:57 AM GMT on August 04, 2014
Quoting 26. MaxWeather:

My boss is at my house talking about the job in upstate New York.
Surprise visit.


That's weird. I would never let my boss surprise me at my own house without written permission ahead of time.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
26. MaxWeather
5:33 AM GMT on August 04, 2014
My boss is at my house talking about the job in upstate New York.
Surprise visit.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
25. MaxWeather
2:49 AM GMT on August 04, 2014
110 mph or 105 mph????


000
WTPZ34 KNHC 040247
TCPEP4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092014
800 PM PDT SUN AUG 03 2014

...ISELLE CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.9N 134.8W
ABOUT 1360 MI...2185 KM E OF HILO HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.8 WEST. ISELLE IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A CONTINUED WESTWARD
MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.65 INCHES.
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
24. Astrometeor
1:12 AM GMT on August 04, 2014
Quoting 23. MaxWeather:

A 6.1 quake killed over 350 people in China? wow
and counting it is


High density population + lack of enforcement on building codes.

It's not surprising that the death toll is as high as it is. Sad, but true.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
23. MaxWeather
12:16 AM GMT on August 04, 2014
A 6.1 quake killed over 350 people in China? wow
and counting it is
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
22. originalLT
12:13 AM GMT on August 04, 2014
Careful on the road, Max, watch that speed!--That's what I tell my son too!
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8011
21. MaxWeather
11:47 PM GMT on August 03, 2014
Too much information... thank you
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
20. MaxWeather
11:35 PM GMT on August 03, 2014
South Carolina is still on schedule for Mid-August unless otherwise told
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
19. MaxWeather
11:33 PM GMT on August 03, 2014
Could be driving to upstate New York tomorrow.
As my next job may be there...

Utica, New York
If confirmed then I'll be hauling up the Empire State
Tomorrow is the day
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
18. MaxWeather
2:11 PM GMT on August 03, 2014
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697
17. Astrometeor
3:19 AM GMT on August 03, 2014
Quoting 16. MaxWeather:


I was clearly talking about Iselle


Well....duh.
Member Since: July 2, 2012 Posts: 102 Comments: 10718
16. MaxWeather
3:11 AM GMT on August 03, 2014
Quoting 15. Astrometeor:

I'm annular.

I was clearly talking about Iselle
Member Since: April 11, 2014 Posts: 41 Comments: 1697

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About MaxWeather

Hello, I was formerly known as trHUrrIXC5MMX. Just like you I have a passion for weather. Norwalk, Connecticut

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