Sizing Up the 2015 Hurricane Season

By: MAweatherboy1, 5:58 PM GMT on September 07, 2015

Good afternoon, and Happy Labor Day to everyone! I hope you’re all enjoying this unofficial end of summer. It certainly feels like summer here in the Northeast, with a late season heat wave kicking off for some places today, and record or near-record heat in the low-mid 90s likely for the next three days. This time of year is also the climatological peak of Atlantic hurricane season, and my post today will go into how this season has performed relative to expec...

Review of June 23 New England Severe Weather Event

By: MAweatherboy1, 1:09 AM GMT on June 27, 2015

Today’s blog entry will be on the severe weather episode that took place in New England on Tuesday, June 23. I will specifically be focusing on Southern New England. I’ll examine what caused the atmosphere to be ripe for storms that day, what potentially limited the event, and I’ll take a detailed look at the storm that spawned a brief, EF0 tornado in Wrentham, Massachusetts. Given that Wrentham is also my hometown, I’ll be sharing my own personal story f...

Commentary on Blanca

By: MAweatherboy1, 1:54 PM GMT on June 04, 2015

Good morning. Today will be another “case study” blog, this time of the tropical variety. I’m going to take an in-depth look at hurricane Blanca, and its intensity fluctuations over the past couple of days. Before the storm even formed, Blanca had high expectations, with impressive model projections and seemingly perfect atmospheric conditions. Indeed, the disturbance 92E that became Blanca developed quickly, and the cyclone intensified steadily into a hur...

Comments on 5/16 Severe Weather Event

By: MAweatherboy1, 11:51 PM GMT on May 17, 2015

Good evening. Today's blog is a bit of a new one for me, a review of yesterday's severe weather event. In their initial Day 1 outlook, the SPC issued a large moderate risk area, spanning through southern Nebraska, central Kansas, and central Oklahoma, with adjacent enhanced risk areas.

Figure 1: SPC Day 1 Convective outlook for 5/16, valid at 12z.

The entire moderate risk was associated with 15% hatched tornado probabilities, a usual ...

2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast

By: MAweatherboy1, 9:03 PM GMT on March 17, 2015

Happy Spring! It’s that time of year again: time for predictions to start being made for the upcoming 2015 Atlantic Hurricane Season, and that is exactly what I’m doing in this entry. Without further ado, I’ll jump right in.
The 2015 Atlantic season will begin on June 1 of this year and run through November 30, with a climatological peak from mid-August through late September, when the vast majority of tropical storms and hurricanes have formed througho...

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About MAweatherboy1

Average 20 year old weather nerd. Sophomore @ Plymouth State University, majoring in meteorology, with the goal of becoming a professional forecaster

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