My First Blog!

By: MAweatherboy1 , 12:40 PM GMT on February 12, 2012

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I am very excited to be writing my first blog. Over the past few days I've been tracking cyclones Jasmine and Giovanna in the Southern Hemisphere. Jasmine is currently meandering in the waters of the South Pacific, barely hanging on to tropical storm strength. It is actually forecast to strengthen slightly by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, though I am skeptical of that as it has been really beaten down for the past couple days. Even if it does strengthen, Jasmine does not pose a threat to land areas.

Meanwhile, cyclone Giovanna has been traversing the waters of the Southern Indian Ocean. Giovanna's intensity has been very challenging to forecast. Shortly after developing, it underwent a very impressive case of rapid intensification, and peaked with sustained winds estimated at 140 mph. During this time the storm developed a classic pinhole eye, and even drew comparisons to Hurricane Wilma. I personally found there to be a striking similarity in the structure of the storms. After going through rapid intensification, Giovanna then underwent an eyewall replacement cycle, during which its pinhole eye collapsed and was replaced by a larger one. Its intensity has sinced decreased considerably as it has struggled to get its act back together, evidenced by a slightly irregular cloud pattern and a fairly ragged eye that has not been able to clear out. It is now just hanging on to minimal major hurricane strength, but it is still forecast to strengthen some before landfall. It has very favorable environmental conditions, so if it can get its internal structure in order I see no reason why it can't be near or a Cat 4 intensity by landfall. Regardless, this is a powerful storm and should be treated as such by residents of Madagascar. Thank you for reading my first entry! It's not great, I know, but I will get better! Have a great week!

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6. SPLbeater
1:54 AM GMT on February 13, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1:


Thanks for the insight. And I agree that it would be hard not having at least one hemisphere active at any given time of year.


Yup. would drive me bananas with nothing in the tropical areas to watch xD. Good to have another tropical weather enthusiast on here....who speaks my language most of the time, and writes blogs that I enjoy most!(topic centered around tropical weather)
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
5. MAweatherboy1
12:42 AM GMT on February 13, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:
I am a tropical weather blogger also, so if the southern hemisphere was not active when the northern hemisphere WASNT, I would be lost lol.

During the atlantic hurricane season, Jeff Masters also blogs about tropical weather. Every day. I dont update every day, but every few days =P


Thanks for the insight. And I agree that it would be hard not having at least one hemisphere active at any given time of year.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 85 Comments: 8159
4. SPLbeater
12:35 AM GMT on February 13, 2012
I am a tropical weather blogger also, so if the southern hemisphere was not active when the northern hemisphere WASNT, I would be lost lol.

During the atlantic hurricane season, Jeff Masters also blogs about tropical weather. Every day. I dont update every day, but every few days =P
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
3. MAweatherboy1
6:19 PM GMT on February 12, 2012
Looks like Giovanna is trying to put on a show again. It definitely has gotten its eye cleared up. Hopefully it will weaken some before hitting Madagascar, but it doesn't look too good...
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 85 Comments: 8159
2. MAweatherboy1
3:10 PM GMT on February 12, 2012
Thank you, SPL! I love tracking tropical systems all around the world.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 85 Comments: 8159
1. SPLbeater
2:39 PM GMT on February 12, 2012
mighty fine first blog...do you have a big interest in the tropical systems?
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488

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About MAweatherboy1

Average 19 year old weather nerd. Freshman at Plymouth State University, majoring in meteorology, with the goal of becoming a professional forecaster.

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