Hurricane Arthur 12 hours from Landfall, Could Strengthen to Cat 2

By: Levi32 , 6:31 PM GMT on July 03, 2014

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78. hurricanes2018
9:36 PM GMT on August 31, 2015
DATE TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION ID NAME
20150831 1745 16.9 24.2 T3.5/3.5 06L FRED
20150831 1145 16.0 23.3 T3.5/3.5 06L FRED
20150831 0545 15.3 22.3 T3.5/3.5 06L FRED
20150830 2345 14.5 22.0 T3.0/3.0 06L FRED
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77. hurricanes2018
8:47 PM GMT on August 31, 2015
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142015
300 PM MDT MON AUG 31 2015

...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EAST PACIFIC...


SUMMARY OF 300 PM MDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.4N 111.8W
ABOUT 735 MI...1185 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 300 PM MDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen-E was located near latitude 12.4 North, longitude 111.8
West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17
km/h), and a turn toward the north-northwest is expected by
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow strengthening is forecast, and the depression could become a
tropical storm tomorrow.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 900 PM MDT.
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76. hurricanes2018
8:54 AM GMT on August 30, 2015
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75. hurricanes2018
12:12 AM GMT on August 30, 2015
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74. hurricanes2018
2:27 PM GMT on August 29, 2015


INVEST 99L is here!!
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73. hurricanes2018
2:25 PM GMT on August 29, 2015


invest 99L
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72. hurricanes2018
5:14 PM GMT on August 27, 2015
TCA82 TJSJ 271552
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-280000-

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA LOCAL STATEMENT ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR AL052015
1152 AM AST THU AUG 27 2015

THIS PRODUCT COVERS PUERTO RICO AND THE US VIRGIN ISLANDS

...ERIKA MOVING TOWARDS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- NONE

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
- A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* STORM INFORMATION:
- ABOUT 230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PR OR ABOUT 170 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF SAINT THOMAS VI OR ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SAINT CROIX VI
- 16.4N 63.3W
- STORM INTENSITY 50 MPH
- MOVEMENT WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 MPH

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

TROPICAL STORM ERIKA BEGAN TRACKING SOMEWHAT SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST WHEN IT CROSSED THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND IS NOW FORECAST TO
TRACK DIRECTLY OVER CENTRAL PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. NOW MOST
AREAS OF PUERTO RICO WILL EXPERIENCE SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS
GREATER THAN 40 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THE TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO BEGIN AROUND MID AFTERNOON FOR
ALL OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND AS EARLY AS SUNSET IN PUERTO RICO.
RAINFALL AND FLOODING IS A MAJOR CONCERN. RAINFALL ESTIMATES FOR THE
LOCAL ISLANDS HAVE BEEN RAISED TO 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH UP TO 12 INCHES
POSSIBLE.

ALSO THIS NEW TRACK WILL MEAN THAT STORM SURGE WILL BE A FEW FEET
HIGHER ON THE SOUTH COASTS OF ALL THE ISLANDS.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* FLOODING RAIN:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS RAINFALL FLOODING HAVING POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS INCLUDE:
- MODERATE RAINFALL FLOODING MAY PROMPT SEVERAL EVACUATIONS AND
RESCUES.
- RIVERS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY QUICKLY BECOME SWOLLEN WITH SWIFTER
CURRENTS AND OVERSPILL THEIR BANKS IN A FEW PLACES, ESPECIALLY
IN USUALLY VULNERABLE SPOTS. SMALL STREAMS, CREEKS, CANALS,
ARROYOS, AND DITCHES OVERFLOW.
- FLOOD WATERS CAN ENTER SOME STRUCTURES OR WEAKEN FOUNDATIONS.
SEVERAL PLACES MAY EXPERIENCE EXPANDED AREAS OF RAPID
INUNDATION AT UNDERPASSES, LOW-LYING SPOTS, AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. SOME STREETS AND PARKING LOTS TAKE ON MOVING WATER AS
STORM DRAINS AND RETENTION PONDS OVERFLOW. DRIVING CONDITIONS
BECOME HAZARDOUS. SOME ROAD AND BRIDGE CLOSURES.

* WIND:
PROTECT AGAINST DANGEROUS WIND HAVING POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS
ACROSS U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO. POTENTIAL IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA INCLUDE:
- SOME DAMAGE TO ROOFING AND SIDING MATERIALS, ALONG WITH DAMAGE
TO PORCHES, AWNINGS, CARPORTS, AND SHEDS. UNSECURED LIGHTWEIGHT
OBJECTS BECOME DANGEROUS PROJECTILES.
- SOME ROADS IMPASSABLE FROM LARGE DEBRIS, AND MORE WITHIN URBAN
OR HEAVILY WOODED PLACES. A FEW BRIDGES, CAUSEWAYS, AND ACCESS
ROUTES IMPASSABLE.
- SCATTERED POWER AND COMMUNICATIONS OUTAGES, BUT MORE PREVALENT
IN AREAS WITH ABOVE GROUND LINES.

* SURGE:
LOW IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE US
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

* TORNADOES:
LITTLE IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE US
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
FOR THOSE UNDER EVACUATION ORDERS, LEAVE AS SOON AS PRACTICAL WITH A
DESTINATION IN MIND. GAS UP YOUR VEHICLE WELL AHEAD OF TIME. BE SURE
THAT YOU TAKE ALL ESSENTIAL MATERIALS FROM YOUR EMERGENCY SUPPLIES KIT.
LET OTHERS KNOW WHERE YOU ARE GOING AND WHEN YOU INTEND TO ARRIVE.

IF YOU ARE EXCEPTIONALLY VULNERABLE TO WIND OR WATER HAZARDS FROM TROPICAL
SYSTEMS, CONSIDER VOLUNTARY EVACUATION, ESPECIALLY IF BEING OFFICIALLY
RECOMMENDED. RELOCATE TO A PREDETERMINED SHELTER OR SAFE DESTINATION.

IF EVACUATING AWAY FROM THE AREA OR RELOCATING TO A NEARBY SHELTER, LEAVE
EARLY BEFORE WEATHER CONDITIONS BECOME HAZARDOUS.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
NOW IS THE TIME TO BRING TO COMPLETION ALL PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY IN ACCORDANCE WITH YOUR EMERGENCY PLAN.

OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE WRAPPED UP AS SOON AS POSSIBLE BEFORE
WEATHER CONDITIONS COMPLETELY DETERIORATE. ANY REMAINING EVACUATIONS
AND RELOCATIONS SHOULD BE EXPEDITED BEFORE THE ONSET OF TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WIND.

FAILURE TO ADEQUATELY SHELTER MAY RESULT IN SERIOUS INJURY OR LOSS OF
LIFE. ALWAYS HEED THE ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND COMPLY WITH ANY
ORDERS THAT ARE ISSUED. REMEMBER, DURING THE STORM 9 1 1 EMERGENCY
SERVICES MAY NOT BE ABLE TO IMMEDIATELY RESPOND IF CONDITIONS ARE
UNSAFE. THIS SHOULD BE A BIG FACTOR IN YOUR DECISION MAKING.

CHECK-IN WITH YOUR EMERGENCY POINTS OF CONTACT AMONG FAMILY, FRIENDS,
AND WORKMATES. INFORM THEM OF YOUR STATUS AND WELL-BEING. LET THEM
KNOW HOW YOU INTEND TO RIDE OUT THE STORM AND WHEN YOU PLAN TO
CHECK-IN AGAIN.

KEEP CELL PHONES WELL CHARGED AND HANDY. ALSO, CELL PHONE CHARGERS
FOR AUTOMOBILES CAN BE HELPFUL AFTER THE STORM. LOCATE YOUR CHARGERS
AND KEEP THEM WITH YOUR CELL PHONE.

IN EMERGENCIES IT IS BEST TO REMAIN CALM. STAY INFORMED AND FOCUSED
ON THE SITUATION AT HAND. EXERCISE PATIENCE WITH THOSE YOU ENCOUNTER.
BE A GOOD SAMARITAN AND HELPFUL TO OTHERS.

IF YOU ARE A VISITOR AND STILL IN THE AREA, LISTEN FOR THE NAME OF
THE CITY OR TOWN IN WHICH YOU ARE STAYING WITHIN LOCAL NEWS UPDATES.
BE SURE YOU KNOW THE NAME OF THE COUNTY OR PARISH IN WHICH IT
RESIDES. PAY ATTENTION FOR INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

CLOSELY MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL NEWS OUTLETS FOR
OFFICIAL STORM INFORMATION. BE READY TO ADAPT TO POSSIBLE CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST.

* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- FOR INFORMATION ON APPROPRIATE PREPARATIONS SEE READY.GOV
- FOR INFORMATION ON CREATING AN EMERGENCY PLAN SEE GETAGAMEPLAN.ORG
- FOR ADDITIONAL DISASTER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION SEE REDCROSS.ORG

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SAN JUAN PR AROUND 230 PM AST, OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT.
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71. hurricanes2018
5:12 PM GMT on August 25, 2015
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70. hurricanes2018
11:09 AM GMT on August 24, 2015
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69. originalLIT
12:16 PM GMT on August 23, 2015
Hey Levi, time to "Up-Date" your blog!
Member Since: February 11, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 882
68. hurricanes2018
11:00 AM GMT on August 23, 2015
img src="
tropical storm danny and invest 98L ON august 23 2015">
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67. hurricanes2018
10:50 AM GMT on August 23, 2015
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66. hurricanes2018
1:31 PM GMT on August 22, 2015
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65. hurricanes2018
3:04 AM GMT on August 22, 2015
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64. hurricanes2018
7:02 PM GMT on August 21, 2015
hurricane danny cat 3 hurricane now
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63. hurricanes2018
8:36 AM GMT on August 20, 2015


20150820 0545 12.0 43.1 T2.5/3.0 04L DANNY
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62. hurricanes2018
8:48 AM GMT on August 18, 2015
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61. hurricanes2018
12:53 AM GMT on August 18, 2015
where is invest 96L GOING??
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60. hurricanes2018
1:51 AM GMT on August 13, 2015
hello levi how is your summer doing
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59. hurricanes2018
10:38 PM GMT on August 12, 2015
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58. hurricanes2018
11:04 AM GMT on August 11, 2015
BULLETIN
HURRICANE HILDA ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP102015
1100 PM HST MON AUG 10 2015

...SLOW-MOVING HILDA MAINTAINING STRENGTH EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAWAII...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.1N 150.9W
ABOUT 330 MI...530 KM ESE OF HILO HAWAII
ABOUT 540 MI...870 KM ESE OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF HILDA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
THE BIG ISLAND ON TUESDAY.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM HST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 150.9 WEST. HILDA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A TURN
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WITH
HILDA FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY NIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE HILDA WILL PRODUCE LARGE
AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING SURF ALONG EAST AND SOUTHEAST
FACING SHORES OF PORTIONS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

RAINFALL...HILDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FROM WEDNESDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM HST.

$$
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57. hurricanes2018
1:13 PM GMT on August 09, 2015
good morning levi
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56. hurricanes2018
6:51 AM GMT on August 08, 2015
hello levi how are you doing!
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55. hurricanes2018
10:37 PM GMT on February 26, 2015
img src="


the next storm!!">
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54. hurricanes2018
12:27 PM GMT on February 26, 2015
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53. hurricanes2018
12:26 PM GMT on February 26, 2015
good thursday morning on feb 26 2015
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52. hurricanes2018
12:37 AM GMT on February 17, 2015
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51. hurricanes2018
9:50 PM GMT on February 15, 2015
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50. hurricanes2018
12:37 PM GMT on February 15, 2015
A band of heavy snow, thunder and lightning is sweeping to the South of the Boston area.
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49. hurricanes2018
12:29 PM GMT on February 15, 2015
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48. hurricanes2018
12:15 AM GMT on February 15, 2015
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47. hurricanes2018
7:32 PM GMT on February 13, 2015
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46. hurricanes2018
5:31 PM GMT on February 13, 2015
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45. hurricanes2018
10:27 PM GMT on February 12, 2015
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44. hurricanes2018
1:02 PM GMT on February 12, 2015
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43. hurricanes2018
3:17 PM GMT on February 11, 2015
east Haven, CT Weather
9:45 am EST
Weather Condition Icon
22°F
Feels Like 7°
Partly Cloudy / Windy

Next 6 Hours
Mostly sunny with temperatures rising towards the upper 20s. Winds NNE at 10 to 15 mph.
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42. hurricanes2018
12:07 AM GMT on February 10, 2015
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41. hurricanes2018
2:07 PM GMT on February 09, 2015
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40. hurricanes2018
1:08 AM GMT on February 07, 2015
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39. hurricanes2018
2:00 AM GMT on February 03, 2015
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38. hurricanes2018
4:27 PM GMT on January 31, 2015
GFS 12z continues to track north and west with the system tracking it over PA pushing the rain snow line near the PA/NY border. GFS shows a strong low level jet developing in excess of 70 knots aiding in warm air advection from the south.
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37. hurricanes2018
3:14 AM GMT on January 31, 2015
maybe a snow storm for the northeast again levi
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36. hurricanes2018
12:39 AM GMT on January 31, 2015
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35. hurricanes2018
12:48 PM GMT on January 30, 2015
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34. hurricanes2018
9:22 PM GMT on January 29, 2015
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33. hurricanes2018
9:20 PM GMT on January 29, 2015
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32. hurricanes2018
7:11 PM GMT on January 28, 2015
The forecast miss was only a big deal because it was New York - where most of the national media is based. If it had hit New York but missed Boston CNN and Fox News would still be in uninterrupted "breaking news" coverage the historic snow storm.
Member Since: March 12, 2013 Posts: 154 Comments: 129787
31. hurricanes2018
12:08 PM GMT on January 26, 2015
Blizzard Warning
Statement as of 3:29 AM EST on January 26, 2015
...Blizzard Warning remains in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to midnight EST Tuesday night...

* locations...New York City and surrounding immediate suburbs... Long Island...and most of southern Connecticut.

* Hazard types...heavy snow and blowing snow...with blizzard conditions.

* Accumulations...snow accumulation of 18 to 24 inches...with locally higher amounts possible. Snowfall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour expected late tonight into Tuesday morning.

* Winds...north 20 to 30 mph with gusts 45 to 55 mph....strongest across eastern Long Island.

* Visibilities...one quarter mile or less at times.

* Temperatures...in the lower 20s.

* Timing...light snow will begin this morning...with accumulations of 1 to 3 inches possible by sunset. Snow will pick up in intensity Monday evening...with the heaviest snow and strongest winds from about midnight into Tuesday afternoon.

* Impacts...life-threatening conditions and extremely dangerous travel due to heavy snowfall and strong winds...with whiteout conditions. Many roads may become impassable. Strong winds may down power lines and tree limbs.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Blizzard Warning means severe winter weather conditions are expected or occurring. Falling and blowing snow with strong winds and poor visibilities will lead to whiteout conditions...making travel extremely dangerous. Do not travel. If you must travel... have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded...stay with your vehicle.

All unnecessary travel is discouraged beginning Monday afternoon...to allow people already on the Road to safely reach their destinations before the heavy snow begins...and to allow snow removal equipment to begin to clear roads.
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30. hurricanes2018
3:45 AM GMT on January 26, 2015
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29. hurricanes2018
8:51 PM GMT on January 25, 2015
BIG BLIZZARD FOR THE NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY
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28. hurricanes2018
1:39 AM GMT on January 23, 2015
some snow for the northeast
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About Levi32

Masters student in tropical meteorology at FSU. Raised in Alaskan blizzards, but drawn toward tropical cyclones by their superior PGF.

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NERRS
Fritz Creek, AK
Elevation: 3 ft
Temperature: 55.0 °F
Dew Point: 26.0 °F
Humidity: 33%
Wind: 15.0 mph from the North
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 3:30 PM AKDT on August 31, 2015
Overlooking Peterson Bay
Homer, AK
Elevation: 27 ft
Temperature: 61.3 °F
Dew Point: 51.5 °F
Humidity: 70%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 2.0 mph
Updated: 8:41 PM AKDT on July 21, 2015
RAWS
Homer, AK
Elevation: 854 ft
Temperature: 56.0 °F
Dew Point: 28.0 °F
Humidity: 34%
Wind: 11.0 mph from the NW
Wind Gust: 24.0 mph
Updated: 2:54 PM AKDT on August 31, 2015

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