Chantal Degenerates - Has to be Watched for Redevelopment - More Waves to Watch After

By: Levi32 , 11:37 PM GMT on July 10, 2013

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3. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
11:48 PM GMT on July 11, 2013
Levi32 has created a new entry.
2. zampaz
1:16 PM GMT on July 11, 2013
Thanks, I'm learning a lot from you Levi.
I've been watching the following with interest:
(I snipped this quote from Dr. Master's blog and moved Levi's image to the body of my post).
Quoting 2130. Levi32:
All focus is on the trough in the Bahamas associated with ex-Chantal, but there is a 2nd piece to the south in the form of a sharp wave axis with no thunderstorms on it, continuing the journey westward.

I think this should be watched as it nears the Yucatan and then west of the Yucatan in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. It's being sheared in a suppressive upper flow right now, but will be moving under a ridge aloft near the Yucatan, and the upper low splitting off over the SE US will be retrograding away from it in the western gulf in 3-4 days. Such a pattern could lead to thunderstorm growth in the area, and throwing a sharp wave axis like this in the mix can get interesting. It's also the leading edge of the resurgence of the Caribbean low-level jet in the wake of Chantal, meaning there's going to be a lot of air piling into the western Caribbean and SW gulf in the coming days. Air piling up usually rises.br


Member Since: February 2, 2011 Posts: 3 Comments: 904
1. captainmark
11:55 PM GMT on July 10, 2013
Thanks for the update Levi. I don't expect much more than a rain maker for ex-Chantal.
Member Since: August 27, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 100

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About Levi32

Levi Cowan has been tracking tropical systems since 2002, and is currently working on his bachelor's degree in physics at UAF.

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