Funso a big issue for Mozambique, in the midst of a very active tropical pattern for

By: Levi32 , 8:01 AM GMT on January 23, 2012

Share this Blog
3
+

Visit my new home at http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/



It's the offseason so I'm still a bit rusty at the video commentary right now, but bare with me.

Tropical Cyclone Funso is making himself known as a big problem for Mozambique in eastern Africa. He stalled out for the last few days on the coastline, and has already dumped 12-18 inches of rain on portions of the country, with more still falling. The storm is now moving southeastward back out over the water, and will eventually pull away enough to let the rain diminish. However, the southern part of Mozambique will likely have to deal with its own share of heavy rain from Funso as the storm makes a close pass to the coastline on its way southward Tuesday through Thursday. Steering currents are very weak in the area, and a weak subtropical ridge building to Funso's south will try to force the storm back westward towards the African coastline before he is able to recurve to the southeast. It remains to be seen whether there will be a full landfall, but there is a pretty good chance that the storm's core will affect southern Mozambique. With environmental conditions very favorable at this time for intensification, Funso will likely be a Cat 3 or Cat 4 cyclone, posing a very serious danger to the region.

Funso was spawned as a piece of the very active tropical pattern that we have seen during the last couple of weeks in the Indian Ocean, thanks to abnormally warm waters there for a 2nd-year La Nina. The waters off of western Australia, in particular, are quite hot, running 2-3C above normal right now. Later this week a tropical cyclone is expected to develop there within the monsoon trough and possibly move inland. All of this indicates that the SOI is still strongly positive overall, and it is now back up in the dailies from the brief bout of negative numbers that it put up last week. A positive SOI shows that the La Nina is still around and won't be going anywhere particularly fast, and we will likely have to wait for the spring season for it to weaken substantially. This will continue to shape the northern hemisphere winter, and will keep the southern hemisphere tropical season active.

We shall see what happens!

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

1. LakeWorthFinn
9:16 PM GMT on January 23, 2012
Thanks Levi!
Member Since: October 6, 2005 Posts: 67 Comments: 7416

Viewing: 1 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

Top of Page

About Levi32

Levi Cowan has been tracking tropical systems since 2002, and is currently working on his bachelor's degree in physics at UAF.

Levi32's Recent Photos

Recommended Links

Personal Weather Stations

MesoWest NERRS METEOROLOGICAL SITE AT KAC AK US
Fritz Creek, AK
Elevation: 32 ft
Temperature: 35.0 °F
Dew Point: 24.0 °F
Humidity: 62%
Wind: 25.0 mph from the NE
Wind Gust: 31.0 mph
Updated: 10:30 PM AKST on December 18, 2014
Overlooking Peterson Bay
Homer, AK
Elevation: 27 ft
Temperature: -39.3 °F
Dew Point: -55.3 °F
Humidity: 37%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Updated: 1:39 PM AKST on December 10, 2014
RAWS HOMER AK US
Homer, AK
Elevation: 854 ft
Temperature: 25.0 °F
Dew Point: 17.0 °F
Humidity: 72%
Wind: 4.0 mph from the North
Wind Gust: 15.0 mph
Updated: 9:54 PM AKST on December 18, 2014

About Personal Weather Stations