Maria to stay fairly weak; Still looking at potential mischief in the Caribbean

By: Levi32 , 4:39 PM GMT on September 14, 2011

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Please note that these tidbits do NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, and should not be taken as such. While tropical cyclones exist in the Atlantic, the official NHC forecasts will be posted in the lower part of this blog. Please refer to those when making decisions, and heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office.

If you can, playing the video in HD makes it much easier to see things. The video will play in low quality by default. If HD quality isn't available, then it will be in a few minutes. Let me know if you have problems with the video, and please feel free to ask me any questions regarding what I talk about in these tidbits, or about the weather in general. You can post in either of my blogs or on Youtube. I will do my best to answer. Thanks for stopping by!

Find me on Youtube          Find me on Facebook (also on Twitter)



Tropical Storm Maria remains sheared from the southwest and is apparently unable to take advantage of the slightly better ventilation that she is receiving from the upper trough that is recurving her, and is instead still giving into the southwesterly shear. She seems unlikely to reach hurricane status at this point. She will be passing close enough to Bermuda to bring tropical storm conditions, and may brush New Foundland as well as she merges with an extratropical low. Both of these areas can deal with a weak tropical storm, and hopefully no one will be endangered too much by this storm. She shouldn't be too big of a deal.

Looking ahead...We're still on the lookout for mischief in the Caribbean next week or beyond. Right now the area is dead because Maria is sitting north of it, but after she leaves and cold air envelops the eastern half of the United States, pressures should rise there and allow convergence to begin in the western Caribbean, increasing thunderstorms and precipitation there. The NOGAPS supports a storm in 7 days, but that's the NOGAPS, not very trustworthy. The GFS is alternating between showing a storm and not showing a storm, and the ECMWF has dropped significant hints at development. This is good news since we don't want a storm developing close to land, but what could be happening is that the models may be shifting the timeline back a little bit, favoring development 5 days or so later than they were before. The GFS shows the Caribbean much juicier-looking in 15 days than 8 days. The reason for this may be that without a tropical wave to stimulate development, the cool pattern over the eastern U.S. may need more time to induce low pressure in the Caribbean.

The various ensembles are also starting to hint more at a trough over New England in the 11-15 day period, which corresponds to a pattern that is seen almost every time a late-season storm develops in the western Caribbean and move north into the eastern gulf, Florida, or Bahamas area. I show a bunch of these storms in today's video and the pattern that they developed in, with similarities to the forecasted pattern in 10-15 days. The time period for development may be shifting out to the 20th through the 30th instead of 15th through 25th, but a 5-day shift isn't that bad for how long we've been talking about this. This is still a very long way out and we'll just have to watch this pattern to see if stuff starts to bubble in the Caribbean.

We shall see what happens!

NHC Official Forecast for Tropical Storm Maria:



Tropical Storm Maria Model Track Forecasts:



Caribbean/East Pacific Visible/IR2 Satellite (click image for loop):



Central Atlantic Visible/IR2 Satellite (click image for loop):



Atlantic Tropical Surface Analysis:



200mb Vertical Velocity Potential (green areas represent upward motion associated with the MJO):






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50. rmbjoe1954
4:20 PM GMT on September 19, 2011
Hi Levi-

I really miss your outlook (tidbits) especially as the MJO is reversing making potential tropical threats down the line. Your feedback is so welcomed. It is understandable this blog can be too much; but hopefully you can overlook these nuisances and provide for the outlooks that only you can state so rationally. You are gifted, you know, and so please continue with your remarkable outlooks regarding the tropics.

Respectfully,

Joe
Member Since: June 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1752
49. swflurker
5:05 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
What I don't understand, when you go WU, click on tropical weather, you get a blog about a little on the tropics, then AWG crap. If I want to read about AGW, start a new drop down on the menu for that. Also, as of now, there are 2 other storms (world wide) that may effect, or are now effecting land as we speak! JMO

P.S To Levi, Leave for forwarding address on youtube! Thanks
Member Since: August 6, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 309
48. TampaSpin
3:32 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
I agree with most everything everyone is saying.........i hardly ever post on the main blog as its just a political agenda for many. It use to be just weather and now its a free for all. Levi you are very good at what you do. You keep up your supreme work and your career.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20490
47. KYDan
2:49 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
Quoting Patrap:
Wu "flu" is a annual occurrence in Sept and Oct Lull's.

A bunch to do about nothing it is.

Just paranoia run a muck.







I do not believe you could be more wrong if you tried. The forum is undergoing a split and much of the split is correctable if the admin wants the board to continue to be the #1 weather related site on the net. I fear that is no longer the wish of the admin.

I have been blogging, messaging, and chatting since 96 and I have seen this scenario occur on many other other forums. Posters will find a place to play that suits their personalities and many f them do not like what WU has become so they leave. Unfortunately for WU, many of the best tropical weather minds are leaving or left much earlier.

I do not doubt that the membership will continue to be large at WU, but the content of the forums will be different and the allure of tropical weather info will degrade and other subjects will become the norm.

I normally just lurk and read, but I have been looking for information sources elsewhere, as I doubt I will find what I want from WU in the future.

Dan
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 100
46. Patrap
1:21 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
Wu "flu" is a annual occurrence in Sept and Oct Lull's.

A bunch to do about nothing it is.

Just paranoia run a muck.





Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 437 Comments: 134615
45. ncstorm
1:19 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
The main blog calms down in the afternoon/evening hours for some reason. People probably finally get off the computer.

Levi, I was wondering where you were at this afternoon. I didn't see my daily Levi posts :P

Got pretty much unanimous model support for an Eastern Atlantic tropical system over the weekend, and there is still model support for the Western Caribbean storm as well.


calm down? not hardly..they are over there now discussing politics again, but you keep on holding out hope
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 17326
44. ncstorm
1:17 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
Quoting Levi32:


The best free site to find them at is currently here for worldwide, or here for just the CONUS.


thanks Levi,

that is the site I had before..appreciate it!
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 17326
43. TropicalAnalystwx13
12:42 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
The main blog calms down in the afternoon/evening hours for some reason. People probably finally get off the computer.

Levi, I was wondering where you were at this afternoon. I didn't see my daily Levi posts :P

Got pretty much unanimous model support for an Eastern Atlantic tropical system over the weekend, and there is still model support for the Western Caribbean storm as well.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 34446
42. shoreacres
12:12 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
Just remember - there are a lot of us out here who have depended on people like you, atmo, beell, docndswamp, barefoot, etc., for solid information and analysis that affect real decisions we have to make in the face of changing weather.

It's easy to get distracted by all the foolishness, but the service you're providing is worth a lot, to a lot of people.

Back in the day, Doc Master's had the "go-to" blog. The good news is that as his agenda changed, other people began filling the void - like you. And you're appreciated.
Member Since: October 4, 2004 Posts: 205 Comments: 15288
41. aquak9
12:09 AM GMT on September 16, 2011
Quoting Levi32:


I'm not leaving in the near future, but if I ever do, I will leave a note lol.

...or a least a trail of breadcrumbs.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 192 Comments: 27813
40. Levi32
11:57 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting chopper5654:
I hope you continue, Levi. I haven't been following you long, but I have already learned a lot. And, I wish I could find a similar blog-style covering the Midwest CONUS.

I was just getting used to you and would hate to see you, or your blogging colleagues, go somewhere else that I couldn't find.

Chip


I'm not leaving in the near future, but if I ever do, I will leave a note lol.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
39. chopper5654
11:47 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
I hope you continue, Levi. I haven't been following you long, but I have already learned a lot. And, I wish I could find a similar blog-style covering the Midwest CONUS.

I was just getting used to you and would hate to see you, or your blogging colleagues, go somewhere else that I couldn't find.

Chip
Member Since: November 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
38. Levi32
11:43 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting wunderweatherman123:
levi gfs 12z and 18z show a cape verde going into the carribean but then recurving. first the 12z over puerto rico. now the 18z over hispanola. farther west each run... reminds me of ivan in 04. any thoughts on this?


No not Ivan, just a late-season central Atlantic storm that might recurve sharply due to the trough over the eastern United States. We'll watch to see if something gets into the Caribbean from the east.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
37. Levi32
11:42 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting scooster67:
How about starting a migration over here? Would admin. cut it off and ban You? I would for sure migrate over here.


If they banned me that would just be an excuse for me to ween myself off of their "support". Obviously just being here is great advertisement for people's various blogging enterprises, since this is the most popular "weather" forum.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
36. Levi32
11:40 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting scooster67:
Levi,

The Atlantic basin, all of it, is very quiet. Do you think the mischief you have been predicting for 8-9 days now still have all of the options as to where it may strike land? Mexico, gulf coast/panhandle,Peninsula, Cuba/bahamas. Or have some of the options become less likely?

Oh! Don't you dare leave WU. Then the have won. :)


Yes it is very quiet. A downward burst in the MJO is currently moving over the basin and thunderstorm activity is limited. The models are divided on whether this will change during the next 8-15 days. Either way I think the Caribbean will turn wet, but the MJO may make or break my forecast. We will have to see.

The path of a potential cyclone developing in the western Caribbean under this pattern still has mainly two options: north or northeast into the east gulf, Florida or Bahamas area, or west into Central America. A northwest compromise in between does not seem likely. Which of these two options occurs will depend entirely on when and where we get development, if we get it.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
35. wunderweatherman123
11:30 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
levi gfs 12z and 18z show a cape verde going into the carribean but then recurving. first the 12z over puerto rico. now the 18z over hispanola. farther west each run... reminds me of ivan in 04. any thoughts on this?
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1824
34. scooster67
11:25 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting Levi32:
Atmo and Alec,

I'm very saddened to see you both go. I know this site gets maddening during the winter and the lull periods during the hurricane season, but I hoped that those who had stayed this long already would be committed to hanging around regardless. I wish you and everyone else who is leaving well....hopefully this is not the last I see of you. I know some of the banned people are starting a new forum to talk in. Maybe you guys will visit there.

I myself am not going to even post in the main blog unless there is a storm threat, because it would be a waste of time otherwise.

I wish we could just do something like when we all talked in weatherguy03's blog back in the day, away from the craziness of the main. That was a lot more peaceful.
How about starting a migration over here? Would admin. cut it off and ban You? I would for sure migrate over here.
Member Since: September 26, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 638
33. scooster67
11:21 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting seflagamma:
Hey Everyone,

Levi, love your additional comments today. thanks.


Hey everyone, please do not let the AGW crowd on the main blog to run you off... it is so unnecessary.
some of you that are leaving should stick around or at least return every so often.
don't let them run you away.

Unless there is a "threat" I don't hang on the "main" blog that often.. just too much crap..
and I have about 30 of them on ignore anyway so I cannot see all of their crap.

And over the past 6 yrs, this place is like a second home to a lot of us...
Wish you all would not leave.


Well said Gamma!

They win if we all leave. Handle them the same way we handle the trolls, because that's really what they are.

If Levi goes I will be upset. He is the best teacher and forecaster I have had the privilege to listen to. Maybe we can all just stay and learn over here.

Levi,

The Atlantic basin, all of it, is very quiet. Do you think the mischief you have been predicting for 8-9 days now still have all of the options as to where it may strike land? Mexico, gulf coast/panhandle,Peninsula, Cuba/bahamas. Or have some of the options become less likely?

Oh! Don't you dare leave WU. Then the have won. :)
Member Since: September 26, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 638
32. Levi32
10:18 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting ncstorm:
Levi, do you have a link to JMA model..my favorites were deleted by accident..tia!


The best free site to find them at is currently here for worldwide, or here for just the CONUS.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
31. Levi32
10:17 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting hump9n:
Levi, I haven't watched the last few of your tidbits. All I want to know is when will Texas get some significant rain. Any insight?


Unfortunately as we get deeper into the latter half of the hurricane season, the tropical potential for Texas decreases substantially, and I don't think Texas has even been hit by a significant tropical cyclone in October. There may be a couple of shortwaves passing to the north during the next couple of weeks which could spread some light rains down, especially in northern Texas, but likely not drought-buster rains. With La Nina coming back on Texas should remain mild and dry this winter, possibly without significant rain until next summer. I wish I had better news. We can still hope for a random tropical system in the gulf during the next two weeks, but things look rather dim right now.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
30. thelmores
9:59 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
I found my way to WU back in early 2005, and I have to say, that 2005 and 2006 were the best years on this blog..... we didn't have some of the great tools the site currently have, but what we did have was an intense thirst for understanding and studying tropical weather.

I have almost gotten to the point I rarely visit Dr. Masters blog...... the GW stuff really don't bother me..... Dr. Masters and I through the years sent many emails back and forth about the topic...... and well, frankly we agreed to just respectfully disagree for the most part. But I must say, I did tell Dr. Masters years ago, that the Global Warming crowd soon would not have the scientific support they needed to continue the movement, and that it would morph into blaming ANY variation of weather on Human's....... thus the "climate change" movement was born......

But I digress..... the blog just got so big, so many people, so many trolls, etc...... it just became difficult if not impossible to enjoy the things that brought me here and kept me here in 2005......

I have never "announced" I was leaving...... I just stayed away for the most part....

Anybody remember GulfScotsman? Never did I have so much fun, and learn so much than with him......

I wish all those who I met, and had discussions with all the best.......

Atmo........ don't be a stranger! ;)
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3831
29. Levi32
9:51 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Atmo and Alec,

I'm very saddened to see you both go. I know this site gets maddening during the winter and the lull periods during the hurricane season, but I hoped that those who had stayed this long already would be committed to hanging around regardless. I wish you and everyone else who is leaving well....hopefully this is not the last I see of you. I know some of the banned people are starting a new forum to talk in. Maybe you guys will visit there.

I myself am not going to even post in the main blog unless there is a storm threat, because it would be a waste of time otherwise.

I wish we could just do something like when we all talked in weatherguy03's blog back in the day, away from the craziness of the main. That was a lot more peaceful.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
28. MySecondHandle
9:44 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Umm, wow!
Member Since: February 16, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 12
27. VoodooRue
8:23 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Great update, Levi. Keep up the good work.
Member Since: October 2, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 43
26. yankees440
7:54 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
As one of my first posts, being a lurker for long over a few years, not only do I agree with Atmoaggie, but I also am contemplating leaving Wunderground. The moderators or whomever controls content on the blogs have done an aweful job and thus wholeheartedly support everything Atmoaggie has said.
As for you Levi, you have done an outstanding job with your forecasting and I appreciate all you have done for us here at Wunderground.
There are also many other prominent bloggers on Wunderground that have also done an excellent job as well as make the forums a great educational opportunity.
It's quite unfortunate I have to write this type of post on your blog but it would be useless to post on Dr. Jeff Master's forum.
Is there someway the more serious here at Wunderground can ban together and make the forum both educational and right the way it used to be before no one else is left?

Thanks again,
Jordan


Member Since: August 28, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 460
25. VAbeachhurricanes
7:44 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Quoting PakaSurvivor:
Levi,

What has happened in the last week? I get on yesterday and today and everyone appears to be saying goodbye? WU Mail me if you can and let me know whats going on and are you departing also.


Lots of accusations being thrown around, some great bloggers being banned for nobody knows what, and people are just tired of what the blog has become. A scene where people just want to come in and beat there chests, and bash anyone who disagrees with them. Has become a sad sight.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7002
24. seflagamma
7:29 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Hey Everyone,

Levi, love your additional comments today. thanks.


Hey everyone, please do not let the AGW crowd on the main blog to run you off... it is so unnecessary.
some of you that are leaving should stick around or at least return every so often.
don't let them run you away.

Unless there is a "threat" I don't hang on the "main" blog that often.. just too much crap..
and I have about 30 of them on ignore anyway so I cannot see all of their crap.

And over the past 6 yrs, this place is like a second home to a lot of us...
Wish you all would not leave.


Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 306 Comments: 41050
23. Stats56
7:27 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
sorry to say, I agree with atmo. Personally, I have added Levi as a subscription on my youtube account. I will watch his videos from there. I am done with WU given its current state.
Member Since: September 18, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 69
22. PakaSurvivor
7:12 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Levi,

What has happened in the last week? I get on yesterday and today and everyone appears to be saying goodbye? WU Mail me if you can and let me know whats going on and are you departing also.
Member Since: September 20, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 235
21. VAbeachhurricanes
6:51 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Anyone know where p451 and dewey blog now?

Cant believe how much this blog has changed since 2007... so sad.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 7002
20. quasigeostropic
5:41 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
I'm thinking of echoing atmoaggie as well. I'm just providing WU free advertising to their AGW agenda. I am taking down all my tutorials and let WU get free advertisement elsewhere. It was nice back in the days when AGW wasn't crammed down our throats every other blog by Jeff Masters(I've been here since 2005). Now the AGW trolls are in full force, using the rating system here to pull down skeptics(even myself). I will not continue supporting this site for it being dishonest(false claims about AGW), and being apathetic to trolls that name-call and disrespect skeptic's opinions. I will no longer tolerate a site that caters to bad science.

Back in the days, this site was NUMBER 1! Now it's an ego-contest, dishonest, and disrespectful. To all those who made WU great, I salute you!



Wishing you the best Levi!
Member Since: November 20, 2007 Posts: 21 Comments: 192
19. atmoaggie
5:22 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Well, given that most any other blog I would write this in is either banned or cleared out by it's owner, or, just a place I don't want to be (TheMain), I hope it is okay to do so here.

Levi, best of luck to you and your meteorological future. I think you have a certain aptitude found only in a very few.

This is goodbye as I shall not be around WU any more. Besides the goofs by admin, TheMain is simply overrun by inanity, trolls, and holier-than-though preachers of AGW. And it all starts with WU, itself, though, which I blame for the degradation of what was once a splendid forum by "leading" by example and allowing the worst while banning the best.

Postings by myself, and all others, are free content for WU. This free content provides hits for ad dollars, besides just hits by the poster. With no, or infrequent, posts, no dollars. (In no way am I encouraging you, Levi, to do anything different, here.)

I have decided that I can no longer, in good conscience, continue to provide WU with any more free content for them to make money from. (Not that I was ever that prolific in doing so, but zero is what they'll get from here on).

Good to know most of you. I may be found at gulf coast wx, from time to time. (see google)

Cheers.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
18. ncstorm
4:15 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Levi, do you have a link to JMA model..my favorites were deleted by accident..tia!
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 13 Comments: 17326
17. hump9n
4:03 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
Levi, I haven't watched the last few of your tidbits. All I want to know is when will Texas get some significant rain. Any insight?
Member Since: September 9, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
16. Levi32
2:29 PM GMT on September 15, 2011
FIMY EnKF control run seems to like the western Caribbean.

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
15. Levi32
4:55 AM GMT on September 15, 2011
The 0z GFS shows a cyclone developing in the western Caribbean in 8-10 days, consistent with my ideas for that time period. We shall see how this goes. Pattern-induced development like this is very hard for models to pick out. I have seen them stubbornly insist on nothing right up until the day that something suddenly develops. We shall see how it goes.

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
14. thelmores
11:32 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
As always Levi, really appreciate your work!

I learn something new almost every time I watch the tidbit........

We are lucky to have your insight!
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3831
13. hurigo
10:58 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
A W E S O M E !
Member Since: October 9, 2005 Posts: 100 Comments: 6768
12. Levi32
10:43 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Thanks everyone for stopping by :)

Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
Another great tibit.

On another topic,in case you didn't got the link at the Dr Masters blog of what the CSU team has for the 14-27 of September period,here it is. They go below normal for that period.

Link


Thanks for the link.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26775
11. Hoff511
10:38 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Thanks Levi! Realizing that the warm west/ cold east if favorable for development in the Caribbean, what percentage would you approximate for storm formation when that particular pattern is present this time of year?
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 265
10. jonelu
10:08 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
That was great!
Member Since: October 31, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 884
9. Tropicsweatherpr
7:54 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Another great tibit.

On another topic,in case you didn't got the link at the Dr Masters blog of what the CSU team has for the 14-27 of September period,here it is. They go below normal for that period.

Link
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 15720
8. daddyjames
7:21 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Levi, thanks yet again. If you choose not to become a forecaster - you definitely are a fantastic instructor . . . thinking that WU should put you on the payroll. have a fantastic day in the Great White north.
Member Since: June 25, 2011 Posts: 2 Comments: 3735
7. MNhockeymama
7:02 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Good job, as usual!
Member Since: September 4, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 124
6. franco54
6:10 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Excellent information. thank you.
Member Since: September 14, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 1
5. lavinia
5:33 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Wonderful update Levi! You're a great teacher. :)
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 217
4. TropicalAnalystwx13
5:09 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Thank Levi!

You're like my meteorological teacher.

Err,..Thank you Mr. Cowan :P
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 34446
3. SunnyDaysFla
5:00 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Another great teaching video Levi. Thank you.
I thought the audio was fine, louder than normal, so my poor hearing was not a problem!
Member Since: September 19, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 744
2. InTheCone
4:59 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Thanks for the update! Really enjoyed the historical perspective.
Member Since: September 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1990
1. seflagamma
4:50 PM GMT on September 14, 2011
Levi,

I loved it, learned a lot. Great job and tying it all together. Late in the season we do seem to get a lot of storms..

At least we get a little break for a while!

Thank you!!!
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 306 Comments: 41050

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Masters student in tropical meteorology at FSU. Raised in Alaskan blizzards, but drawn toward tropical cyclones by their superior PGF.

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