LRandyB's Tropical Weather Discussion

Last Updated: 2:00 PM GMT on November 08, 2009 — Last Comment: 1:21 PM GMT on November 11, 2009

	Tropical Weather Update - Sunday, November 8th, 2009

Posted by: LRandyB, 1:43 PM GMT on November 06, 2009

Good morning folks! I'm still flying and training in Little Rock, AR for another couple of weeks but thought I'd take a moment to talk about Ida this morning!

As of 7am EST this morning, Ida was a category 1 hurricane just east of Cozumel, MX moving north at 12 mph. The current forecast has Ida moving north into the cool waters of the Gulf and under some fairly strong shear. While some slow strengthening may occur today, rapid weakening should begin tomorrow.

So the next question is what will happen then? NHC is currently forecasting Ida to steer north and then north-northeast into the northeast Gulf by the 5 day point under the influence of a trough of low pressure that is expected to track across the US. The forecast calls for Ida to become a cat 2 storm in the short term and then weaken to a TS and depression upon reaching the northern Gulf. At the moment they aren't forecasting an actual landfall for Ida but it looks like it'll be a rain maker more than anything else if she does make landfall somewhere in the northern Gulf.

So we'll have to see how the scenario plays out over the next couple of days.

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Updated: 2:00 PM GMT on November 08, 2009

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	Tropical Weather Update - Saturday, September 19th, 2009

Posted by: LRandyB, 2:52 PM GMT on September 19, 2009

Good morning folks! The tropics have been relatively quiet for most of the season with small bursts of activity here and there. I'm currently in Little Rock, AR learning the airdrop side of the job of loadmaster and haven't been able to fly any of the storms this year but as it's a slow year, I guess I picked a good time to do the training! Mid-September is statistically the peak of the hurricane season. You wouldn't know it looking at the current satellite loops of...

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	Remembering 9/11

Posted by: LRandyB, 4:25 PM GMT on September 12, 2009

Hi folks, The tropics have been relatively quite and I have been busy working so I haven't posted much lately. One of my bloggers who has been reading me for a while remembered a story I posted a few years ago about my experience in NYC on 9/11/01. They asked that I post it again in remembrance of the event. I had to think about it a bit. Mine was but one of many stories that day and I don't think mine was a particularly compelling story. I still think about the ...

9/11

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Updated: 4:30 PM GMT on September 12, 2009

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	Tropical Weather Update - Wednesday, August 19th, 2009

Posted by: LRandyB, 7:49 PM GMT on August 16, 2009

Hurricane Bill is tracking NW this afternoon. While the models (and NHC) have shifted the track further west, Bill still appears to be on track to recurve in the open Atlantic. A deep trough lies along 70W off the east coast of the US. This trough is helping to pull Bill poleward. At this point, Bermuda needs to prepare for the effects of Bill but the New England coast should be watching this storm as well. It wouldn't take much more nudging of the track to the west...

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Updated: 9:21 PM GMT on August 19, 2009

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	Welcome to the World

Posted by: LRandyB, 9:50 PM GMT on June 29, 2009

I'll update the blog with tropical stuff later. For the moment, I hope no one minds indulging me for a bit as I introduce my new baby grand daughter, Danika Riley Ustianowski. She was born this afternoon at 2:30 CDT and weighted in at 7 lbs 2 oz and 20 inches. Mom and baby are doing wonderfully.Mom and proud grandparents just before Danika was born.Everyone is ready for her!It's ironic that we haven't had rain here in a month or more. As Danika was born, the heavens...

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