Well even though the pre-season wasn't active like last year's, that doesn't mean that the season won't be active. If you don't believe me, look at 2005. I'm thinking around 15 TS, 7 HU, and 3 MH this year.
Andrea
TS Andrea came ashore just north of Cedar Key, FL Thursday. I was there during landfall. When I got there, the wind was sustained at about 25 mph. There were some white cap waves and the only bridge to and from the island was only about 4 ft above water. Low Key is the island before you get to Cedar Key and water was coming on both sides of the road. The winds increased to 40 mph and the water rose to flood all low lying streets. Water was spraying some 30 feet high and flooding over the road to a boat ramp on the other side which was non existent at the time. (I'd post a few vids if I could.)The beach got eroded about 2-3 feet away while I was there. Some sand blew into you and it felt as if thousands of tiny needles were flying into you. Some accumulated in the playground by the beach and left it under a foot of sand. Nothing was damaged much though. A few power lines were down and a home or 2 flooded but nothing worse. We got hit by Debby last year and somehow it seemed she did lots more damage than Andrea. Most likely since Debby lasted longer. We couldn't get to the airport this year like we could with Debby. We watched Debby flip a plane over last year. I always enjoy being in storms like those though. Nothing too strong or too damaging.
Possible 93L?
A cluster of seemingly organizing thunderstorms in the Gulf of Mexico possibly related to Andrea formed today. The NHC is giving this system a near 0% chance of forming into a storm in the next 48 hours due to unfavorable upper-level winds. Andrea survived these winds and if this system could for a while, we might get at least TD 2 out of it. I'm giving the storm a 20% chance of forming in the next 2 days and a 30% of ever forming. Even if the storm doesn't form, its northern movement at 15 mph should bring it into Alabama, Mississippi, or Florida tomorrow. Nevertheless, at least it's something to watch tonight.
Ex-92L
The remanants of 92L has fired a few thunderstorms off today. Nothing too organized. The models a few days ago took it into SE Florida. We'll see if this pans out or not. If the storm makes it under the TUTT, I'd give it a 10% chance of ever forming. Its remanants should hit Florida later this week.
Florida
It's looking active for Florida and the GOM so far this year. Every Invest has either formed in the GOM or projected to go there. I hope we have a somewhat active season but nothing too bad for the people that live here. I wish that TWC would pay more attention to Florida in some storms this year. I was hoping for the Tropical Update Thursday and I got McDonalds and the Stock Market. But I guess that was as important as a strengthening TS slowly tearing through Florida..
What Do You Think?
I'm only 13 and would like to make this my career some day. Bear with my thoughts on current storms and please read and give constructive criticism on my blog updates. Feel free to give your thoughts and opinions on my blog topics such as Ex-92L or Possible 93L. Thank you for reading. Comments appreciated
-JrWeathermanFL
