Development possible in Atlantic, severe weather/tornado outbreak tomorrow

By: JohnnyParker , 12:59 PM GMT on November 16, 2013

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Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 56 and it feels like 56. Highs will continue to range between 56 and 76 with lows between 35 and 62. There is a slight chance of rain today, and a 50% chance of scattered thunderstorms tomorrow. Severe weather/tornado outbreak is expected tomorrow. Threats will be for damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes, heavy rain, and flash flooding. Dr. Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at the Weather Channel, is giving North MS a 3 on TOR:CON (Tornado Condition Index) for Sunday. This means that there is a 30% chance of seeing a tornado within a 50 mile radius. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 55 and it feels like 55. Todays high is 67 and a low of 62 with a slight chance of rain. Sundays high is 75 with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms.

Now, for your severe/winter weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around the 22nd-23rd, and again around November 27th-December 1st.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, a non-tropical area of low pressure system is gradually developing over the Central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles to the Southeast of Bermuda. Environmental conditions could become conducive for this system to gradually acquire subtropical characteristics later this weekend or early next week as the low moves Northwestward to Northward. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a subtropical or tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a subtropical or tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, an area of low pressure is located about 400 miles West-Southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Strong upper-level winds are displacing thunderstorm activity associated with this disturbance away from the center of circulation. This winds are forecast to become stronger today, and development of this low is becoming less likely. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours while it moves generally Northward and then Northeastward toward the coast of Mexico, and a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves generally Northwestward at 10 to 15mph. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds associated with this system are likely to affect portions of Southwestern Mexico over the weekend. In the Western Pacific, no development is expected over the next couple of days. In the North Indian Ocean, all is quiet with no development expected over the next couple of days.

Hope yall are having a great Saturday and I'll have another update tomorrow morning. God Bless!

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12:03 PM GMT on November 17, 2013
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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 20. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.

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