Tropical Storm Karen forms, Rain/storms this weekend

By: JohnnyParker , 12:19 PM GMT on October 03, 2013

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Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 64 and it feels like 64. Highs will continue to range between 74 and 88 with lows between 47 and 65. There is a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms today, a slight chance of rain tomorrow, a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms on Saturday, and a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms on Sunday. Some storms could be strong to severe Saturday into Sunday with large hail and damaging winds being the main threats. An isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. In addition to the severe weather threat, we may see a heavy rain/flash flood threat as well. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 66 and it feels like 66. Todays high is 85 and a low of 65 with a 30% chance of isolated thunderstorms. Fridays high is 87 with a slight chance of rain.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around October 10th-18th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, Tropical Depression Jerry is weak. Winds are at 35mph with a pressure of 1010mbars. Movement is Northeast at 9mph. Is expected to pass through the Azore Islands by Saturday into Sunday. Also, in the Atlantic, data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft indicates that the area of low pressure located over the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico has become a tropical storm and is producing winds of up to 60mph. A Special Advisory will be issued within the next hour, and Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches will be issued for portions of the Northern Gulf Coast. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a high chance, 100%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. After that, less conducive upper-level winds could limit development as the system approaches the Northern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a high chance, 100%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days as it moves North-Northwestward. Additionally, locally heavy rains could affect portions of Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula during the next day or two. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter Aircraft is currently investigating this system. In the Eastern Pacific, a broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles Southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next several days as the disturbance moves Westward at around 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 10%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days.

Hope yall are having a great Thursday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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11:21 AM GMT on October 04, 2013
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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 20. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.