Watching two disturbances in Atlantic, development likely in Eastern Pacific

By: JohnnyParker , 11:53 AM GMT on September 04, 2013

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Good Morning! At Smithville, MS, the current temperature is 62 and it feels like 62. Highs will continue to range between 86 and 93 with lows between 62 and 67. No rain is expected over the next couple of days. At the Regional Rehab Center in Tupelo, MS, the current temperature is 64 and it feels like 64. Todays high is 88 with a low of 63. Thursdays high is 88.

Now, for your severe weather update for the Southeast Region. Could see severe weather potential around September 10th-19th.

Now, for your tropical update. In the Atlantic, the broad area of low pressure over the Northeastern Caribbean Sea has changed little in organization over the past several hours. Upper-level winds appear favorable for some development over the next few days, but land interaction with the land masses of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico could inhibit tropical cyclone formation as the system moves West-Northwestward to Northwestward at around 10mph. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a medium chance, 30%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a medium chance, 50%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. Regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone forms, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to affect portions of the Northern Lesser Antilles over the next day or so and spread over Puerto Rico by late Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance Aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance this afternoon, if necessary. Also, in the Atlantic, a tropical wave over the Eastern Bay of Campeche is moving Westward at 5 to 10mph. There is some potential for development, and The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a low chance, 20%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days. In the Eastern Pacific, showers and thunderstorms in association with a low pressure system is centered about 150 miles South of Manzanillo have become better organized overnight. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development of this low, and the formation of a tropical depression is likely during the next day or two. The National Hurricane Center is giving this system a high chance, 60%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours, and a high chance, 70%, of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 5 days while it moves West-Northwestward to Northwestward at around 10mph. Locally heavy rains and gusty winds are possible along the Southwestern Coast of Mexico during the next day or two.

Hope yall are having a great Wednesday and I'll have another post tomorrow morning.

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About JohnnyParker

I am Johnny Parker and I am 20. I have studied the weather since I was 5. I have cerebral palsy and my goal is to become a meteorologist.

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